Temporal Value in MCDM

Inhaltsverzeichnis

1. Frontmatter

2. Chapter 1. Introduction

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   The development of territorial spaces, particularly through the lens of transport infrastructure planning, represents one of the most intricate and multifaceted challenges in contemporary public policy and urban development. Decisions made in this domain not only shape the spatial organization of regions but also significantly influence economic growth, social cohesion, and environmental sustainability. As such, transport infrastructure planning necessitates a comprehensive and dynamic approach that accounts for the interdependencies between technical, economic, and societal factors.

3. Chapter 2. Strategic Choices in Territorial Development

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   In this section, which is dedicated to decision-making in a territorial context, we provide a concise overview of decision support methodologies from the literature. We also explore how the preferences and judgements of multiple individuals can be aggregated into a collective decision. Our focus is on analysising participation in territorial governance within a group decision-making context, using Social Choice Theory as a framework.

4. Chapter 3. Review of Decision Support Methodologies in Literature

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   This chapter provides an overview of decision support methodologies, with a focus on Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) and its application in infrastructure planning. It examines the structure, strengths, and limitations of key MCA methods and assesses their suitability for complex decision-making in the transport and logistics sectors. It also explores the evaluation techniques employed to support strategic choices, emphasising their role in reconciling technical, economic, and policy considerations. Finally, it reviews of contemporary MCA applications in transportation planning, drawing insights from global scientific literature to identify trends, challenges, and best practices in decision support frameworks.

5. Chapter 4. Participation in Territorial Governance: A Group Decision-Making Context

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   This chapter explores group decision-making in territorial governance, with a focus on stakeholder participation in transport infrastructure planning. It examines the challenges of reconciling individual and collective preferences, emphasising the complexities of multi-stakeholder decision processes. Using Social Choice Theory and Social Welfare Functions as a basis, the chapter analyses mechanisms for aggregating diverse preferences into collective decisions,addressing the conflicts that are inherent in infrastructure planning. Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) methods are discussed as tools to structure decision-making processes and facilitate consensus. Integrating political, economic, and social considerations, enhances this framework ability to ptomote participatory governance and ensure more balanced and inclusive decision-making in sustainable transport development.

6. Chapter 5. Methodological Approach

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   This chapter outline a methodological approach to evaluating stakeholder preferences and decision-making dynamics in large-scale infrastructure projects. The proposed model integrates multi-criteria analysis (MCA) with a novel 30-year evaluation framework, enabling the comparative assessment of alternatives at different point in time. The MCA approach prioritises impact identification and stakeholder engagement through iterative roundtable discussions. By synthesising multiple evaluation techniques, the methodology facilitates consensus building, mediates competing interests, and accommodates temporal variability. This tailored framework enhances strategic decision-making, ensuring that sustainable infrastructure planning is informed by both technical assessments and political considerations.

7. Chapter 6. The Working Group

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   Evaluating the temporal value of infrastructure projects requires a structured decision-making framework that considers the views of various stakeholder. This chapter examines the role of the Working Group as a central mechanism in the proposed evaluation model, which facilitates stakeholder engagement across multiple territorial levels. Comprising of institutional and managerial entities, the group ensures a balanced approach to decision-making by aligning public administration objectives with private sector interests. The model emphasizing multi-level governance and incorporates mechanisms for conflict resolution and preference aggregation, fostering a nuanced synthesis of stakeholder perspectives. This methodological approach enhances the transparency and effectivenessof decision-making, ensuring that infrastructure projects meet regulatory, economic, and social sustainability criteria.

8. Chapter 7. Ranking of Alternatives Based on Individual Preferences

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   This phase enables the ranking of alternatives according to each stakeholder's individual preferences, as expressed through criteria and weights. Since each stakeholder has different objectives, they are asked to express these through specific criteria in order to identify the alternative that can maximize these objectives from different perspectives (economic, technical, social, environmental). First, the chapter will analyse the role of criteria, then propose the technique for determining weights: simplified Simos method.

9. Chapter 8. Evaluation of Temporal Value

   Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

   Abstract

   Evaluating temporal value is critical for decision-making, especially in public policy contexts where resource allocation requires balancing short-, medium-, and long-term considerations. This chapter presents a theoretical framework for evaluating the temporal aspects of different alternatives, emphasising the importance of a structured approach to time-sensitive decision-making. It explores key methodologies for determining temporal value, such as social time preference and evaluation matrices, and critically reviews the current state of the art in this area. By addressing the complexities of intertemporal comparisons, this analysis lays the groundwork for more informed and sustainable policy decisions.

10. Chapter 9. The MACTOR Method and Its Case-Based Adaptation

    Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

    Abstract

    This phase involves integrates the individual evaluations, carried out by each stakeholder, who has already individually expressed their criteria and weights based on temporal value. These evaluation are then combined into a single evaluation framework. The final matrix represents the synthesis of the evaluations developed thus far. Each element indicates the feasibility of a given alternative for a specific stakeholder based on their expressed preferences, strategic issues, and priorities. The chapter will be organised as follows. First, the MACTOR method and its case-based reworking will presents the analytical method developed by Godet. This method is based on an alliances and conflicts matrix and will be adapted and used to study the reciprocal influences among stakeholders, their strategies, their convergences and divergences in objectives, and the existing balance of power.

11. Chapter 10. Case Study: The Gorizia Interporto

    Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

    Abstract

    This chapter provides a comprehensive analysis of the evaluation subject, with a focus on the Gorizia Interporto in the Sant’Andrea area. Situated within the broader logistics framework of Friuli Venezia Giulia, the terminal's strategic importance is assessed in terms of infrastructure, intermodal transport, and sustainable logistics. Five potential development alternatives are explored and evaluated for their impact on territorial cohesion, economic efficiency, and environmental sustainability. Through stakeholder analysis and multi-criteria assessment, the research examines the terminal’s role in regional and international freight networks. This theoretical evaluation lays the groundwork for the practical application detailed in Chap. 11.

12. Chapter 11. Application of the Methodology and Performance Analysis

    Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

    Abstract

    This chapter applies the methodology developed in the preceding chapter (Chap. 9), as specifically formulated through the combination of several existing MCA approaches. Building upon the methodological considerations summarised in Chap. 1: The Problem of Choice, this methodology has been adapted fot the case study under evaluation. For a detailed examination, please refer to Chap. 10: The Case Study. The Gorizia Interporto. The discussion begins with a description of the working group and continues with an exposition the economic and welfare criteria adopted by the stakeholders, as well as the determination of various weights. Initial rankings will be compiled, showin the short-, medium-, and long-term performance of the alternatives separately for each stakeholder. These rankings will then be transformed into multi-period assessments by aggregating the values obtained into a single measure that also takes into account how long the effects would persist across various periods. The analysis will then proceed with an examination of possible alliances and conflicts among stakeholders, developing a matrix that records the influence of one stakeholder upon another. This will enable a decision matrix to be compliled that considers not only individual preferences but also the roles of stakeholders and their potential courses of action. A key feature of this evaluation model was stakeholders involvement, which constituted what we will call the working group. The complexity of the topics and information addressed required active and collective participation to ensure greater objectivity in the assessments. The composition of this group was fundamental to the research, and the limited number of participants facilitated interaction and enhanced synergy.

13. Chapter 12. Conclusions

    Elisa Mariavittoria Bertolini

    Abstract

    The research conducted has facilitated the development of an analytical methodology for evaluating the growth prospects of the Gorizia freight terminal. Specifically, this methodology serves as a decision support tool that supplements conventional Multi-Criteria Analysis (MCA) techniques. To this end, the study has enhanced the analysis of governance dynamics in a group decision-making context.