Skip to main content

2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

5. The ASEAN Economic Community of 2015 and Beyond

verfasst von : Kiki Verico

Erschienen in: The Future of the ASEAN Economic Integration

Verlag: Palgrave Macmillan UK

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Empirically, the phase of an Economic community is the longest among the EU’s formation phases, amounting to 20 years from 1967 to 1987, while other phases such as FTA, Common Market (CM), Single Monetary Union (SMU) and Single Currency of Euro (SC) took only 10 years to be completed. The Economic Community or also known as a Custom Union (CU) in theory covers both trade and investment integration and is an essential phase for any regional economic integration progress. Theoretical studies suggest that a CU is required which unfortunately ASEAN does not have. Yet it is plausible for AFTA to increase FDI inflows as long as it utilizes the open regionalism framework since ‘foreign investors favour liberalization in a region-wide market’ (Ravenhill 1995, p. 856). Can ASEAN achieve economic community without CU? This chapter attempts to answer this with the success story of the implementation of ASEAN’s open regionalism principle, which attracted FDI inflows from new non-members after they joined ASEAN. The framework is known as ‘ASEAN Plus’ Framework such as the ASEAN-China FTA (2010), ASEAN-Japan FTA (2008) and ASEAN-South Korea FTA (2008). This study features Indonesia’s private sector opinions on the AEC both from manufacturing and service sector firms. These opinions were obtained from a recent field survey conducted in Indonesia in 2014. It involved around 345 manufacturing and 187 service-sector firms in six big cities in Indonesia. Further, this chapter features an analysis based on a hypothesis that ASEAN can complete its economic community with the role of sub-regional economic cooperation based on infrastructure network cooperation from the study entitled ASEAN Economic Community : A Work in Progress edited by Das, Menon, Severino, Shrestha and published in 2013.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Aoki, T. (1992). Japanese FDI and the forming of networks in the Asia Pacific region: Experience in the Asia Pacific region: Experience in Malaysia and its implications. In S. Tokunaga (Ed.), Japan’s foreign investment and Asian economic interdependence: Production, trade and financial systems (pp. 5–47). Tokyo: University of Tokyo Press. Aoki, T. (1992). Japanese FDI and the forming of networks in the Asia Pacific region: Experience in the Asia Pacific region: Experience in Malaysia and its implications. In S. Tokunaga (Ed.), Japan’s foreign investment and Asian economic interdependence: Production, trade and financial systems (pp. 5–47). Tokyo: University of Tokyo Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Baldwin, R. E (2006). Managing the noodle bowl: The fragility of East Asian regionalism (CEPR Discussion Paper No.5561). London: CEPR. Baldwin, R. E (2006). Managing the noodle bowl: The fragility of East Asian regionalism (CEPR Discussion Paper No.5561). London: CEPR.
Zurück zum Zitat Baltagi, B. H., Egger, P., & Pfaffermayr, M. (2005). Estimating regional trade agreement effects on FDI in an interdependent world. Journal of Econometric, 140, 260–281.CrossRef Baltagi, B. H., Egger, P., & Pfaffermayr, M. (2005). Estimating regional trade agreement effects on FDI in an interdependent world. Journal of Econometric, 140, 260–281.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bowles, P., & MacLean, B. (1996). Understanding trade bloc formation: The case of the ASEAN free trade area. Review of International Political Economy, 3(2), 319–348.CrossRef Bowles, P., & MacLean, B. (1996). Understanding trade bloc formation: The case of the ASEAN free trade area. Review of International Political Economy, 3(2), 319–348.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chey, H.-k. (2009). The changing political dynamics of East Asian financial cooperation: The Chiang Mai initiative. Asian Survey, XLIX, 3. Chey, H.-k. (2009). The changing political dynamics of East Asian financial cooperation: The Chiang Mai initiative. Asian Survey, XLIX, 3.
Zurück zum Zitat Das, S. B., Menon, J., Severino, R., & Shrestha, O. L. (2013). The ASEAN economic community: A work in progress. Singapore: ISEAS. Das, S. B., Menon, J., Severino, R., & Shrestha, O. L. (2013). The ASEAN economic community: A work in progress. Singapore: ISEAS.
Zurück zum Zitat Dunning, J. H. (1990). Economic integration and transatlantic foreign direct investment: The record assessed. The international investment and business studies, Series B, no. 144, Department of Economics, University of Reading. Dunning, J. H. (1990). Economic integration and transatlantic foreign direct investment: The record assessed. The international investment and business studies, Series B, no. 144, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
Zurück zum Zitat Fleming, J. M. (1971). On exchange rate unification. The Economic Journal, 81(323), 467–488.CrossRef Fleming, J. M. (1971). On exchange rate unification. The Economic Journal, 81(323), 467–488.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fukuoka, Y., & Verico, K. (2015). Indonesia-China economic relations in the twenty-first century: Opportunities and challenges. In Y.-C. Kim (Ed.), China and ASEAN: Global production networks. London: Springer. Fukuoka, Y., & Verico, K. (2015). Indonesia-China economic relations in the twenty-first century: Opportunities and challenges. In Y.-C. Kim (Ed.), China and ASEAN: Global production networks. London: Springer.
Zurück zum Zitat Helpman, E. (1984). A simple theory of international trade with multinational corporations. Journal of Political Economy, 92, 451–472.CrossRef Helpman, E. (1984). A simple theory of international trade with multinational corporations. Journal of Political Economy, 92, 451–472.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kojima, K. (1978). Direct foreign investment: A Japanese model of multinational business operation. New York: Praeger. Kojima, K. (1978). Direct foreign investment: A Japanese model of multinational business operation. New York: Praeger.
Zurück zum Zitat MacDermott, R. (2006). Regional trade agreement and foreign direct investment. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 18, 107–116.CrossRef MacDermott, R. (2006). Regional trade agreement and foreign direct investment. North American Journal of Economics and Finance, 18, 107–116.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Markusen, J. R. (1984). Multinationals, multi-plant economies, and the gains from trade. Journal of International Economics, 16, 205–226.CrossRef Markusen, J. R. (1984). Multinationals, multi-plant economies, and the gains from trade. Journal of International Economics, 16, 205–226.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Menon, J. (2006, November). Bilateral trade agreements and world trading system (ADB Institute Discussion Paper). ADBI Menon, J. (2006, November). Bilateral trade agreements and world trading system (ADB Institute Discussion Paper). ADBI
Zurück zum Zitat Mundell, R. (1961). A theory of optimum currency areas. American Economic Review, 51(4), 657–665. Mundell, R. (1961). A theory of optimum currency areas. American Economic Review, 51(4), 657–665.
Zurück zum Zitat Peng, D. (2002). Invisible linkages: A regional perspective of east Asian political economy. International Studies Quarterly, 46, 423–447.CrossRef Peng, D. (2002). Invisible linkages: A regional perspective of east Asian political economy. International Studies Quarterly, 46, 423–447.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Ravenhill, J. (1995). Economic cooperation in Southeast Asia. The Regents. The University of California. Ravenhill, J. (1995). Economic cooperation in Southeast Asia. The Regents. The University of California.
Zurück zum Zitat Ricci, L. A. (1997, June). A model of an optimum currency area (The IMF Working Paper (76)). Ricci, L. A. (1997, June). A model of an optimum currency area (The IMF Working Paper (76)).
Zurück zum Zitat Urata, S. (1993). Japanese foreign direct investment and its effect on foreign trade in Asia. In T. Ho & A. O. Krueger (Eds.), Trade and protection (pp. 273–304). Chicago: University of Chicago Press. Urata, S. (1993). Japanese foreign direct investment and its effect on foreign trade in Asia. In T. Ho & A. O. Krueger (Eds.), Trade and protection (pp. 273–304). Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2010c).The AFTA, BFTA & ITRO effects on trade ― Investment relations in Southeast Asia: Case study of Indonesia, Malaysia & Thailand, Summer Institute of International Conference, The Global Institute for Asian Regional Integration (GIARI), Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 2–6 August. Verico, K. (2010c).The AFTA, BFTA & ITRO effects on trade ― Investment relations in Southeast Asia: Case study of Indonesia, Malaysia & Thailand, Summer Institute of International Conference, The Global Institute for Asian Regional Integration (GIARI), Waseda University, Tokyo, Japan, 2–6 August.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2011). Short-run & long-run analysis of the ASEAN+3’s economic integration equilibrium. The 12th Asia Pacific Rim Universities – Doctoral Students Conference (APRU-DSC), Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, 4–7 July. Verico, K. (2011). Short-run & long-run analysis of the ASEAN+3’s economic integration equilibrium. The 12th Asia Pacific Rim Universities – Doctoral Students Conference (APRU-DSC), Tsinghua University, Beijing, China, 4–7 July.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2013a). The impacts of discriminative trade arrangements on foreign direct investment and foreign trade in Southeast Asia during 1988–2008 period. Unpublished Ph.D dissertation. Waseda University. Verico, K. (2013a). The impacts of discriminative trade arrangements on foreign direct investment and foreign trade in Southeast Asia during 1988–2008 period. Unpublished Ph.D dissertation. Waseda University.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2013b). ASEAN economic integration: Challenges and strategies. GoLive Indonesia, Indonesian Student Association – University of Adelaide, 2nd May. Verico, K. (2013b). ASEAN economic integration: Challenges and strategies. GoLive Indonesia, Indonesian Student Association – University of Adelaide, 2nd May.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2013c). Global trade landscape and RI’s options. Asia-Pacific of ANU’s Indonesia Project Blog. Verico, K. (2013c). Global trade landscape and RI’s options. Asia-Pacific of ANU’s Indonesia Project Blog.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2014b). Indonesia dalam Bingkai Integrasi Ekonomi Kawasan (in Bahasa). Setelah Kenduri Besar, Faculty of Economics and Business University of Indonesia: Unpublished Study Chapter. Verico, K. (2014b). Indonesia dalam Bingkai Integrasi Ekonomi Kawasan (in Bahasa). Setelah Kenduri Besar, Faculty of Economics and Business University of Indonesia: Unpublished Study Chapter.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2015a). Open-ended impact of AFTA on FDI inflows: Evidence of macro level data of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand and firm level data of Indonesia. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development (JECD), 36(2), 91–124. Verico, K. (2015a). Open-ended impact of AFTA on FDI inflows: Evidence of macro level data of Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand and firm level data of Indonesia. Journal of Economic Cooperation and Development (JECD), 36(2), 91–124.
Zurück zum Zitat Verico, K. (2015). Are the benefits from ASEAN integration sustainable?. Asian Economic Panel Conference. 20–24th March 2015, Malaysia. Verico, K. (2015). Are the benefits from ASEAN integration sustainable?. Asian Economic Panel Conference. 20–24th March 2015, Malaysia.
Zurück zum Zitat Vernon, J. (1966). International investment and international trade in the product cycle. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(2), 190–207.CrossRef Vernon, J. (1966). International investment and international trade in the product cycle. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80(2), 190–207.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Viner, J. (1950). The custom union issue. New York: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Viner, J. (1950). The custom union issue. New York: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Metadaten
Titel
The of 2015 and Beyond
verfasst von
Kiki Verico
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1057/978-1-137-59613-0_5