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2013 | Buch

The Atlas of Climate Change: Based on SEAP-CMIP5

Super-Ensemble Projection and Attribution (SEAP) of Climate Change

verfasst von: Wenjie Dong, Fumin Ren, Jianbin Huang, Yan Guo

Verlag: Springer Berlin Heidelberg

Buchreihe : Springer Earth System Sciences

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SUCHEN

Über dieses Buch

"The Atlas of Climate Change—Based on SEAP-CMIP5" is intended to satisfy readers’ curiosity: how will our climate system change over the next 100 years? It is the first showcase for the state-of -the-art earth system models that released their CMIP5 simulations for the IPCC AR5.The atlas focuses on both the past climate system change from 1850 and the projection of the future climate system change to 2100 using the RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios based on climate models. This provides the research and application community interested in the impact of climate change on fields such as agriculture, ecosystem, environment,water resources, energy, health, economy, risk governance and international negotiation, etc. with the newest climate change projection information. Additionally, the atlas will show the historical responsibility of the developed/developing countries and possible contributions to the mitigation of climate change according to their pledge of GHG emission reduction after the Cancun Agreement as an extension numerical experiment to CMIP5 with NCAR’s CESM1.0. The authors will update this atlas after future releases of CMIP5 model outputs and update the figures in the second edition of the atlas in 2012-2013.

Both Prof. Wenjie Dong and Yan Guo work at the Beijing Normal University, China. Prof. Fumin Ren works at the China Meteorological Administration, China. Prof. Jianbin Huang works at the Tsinghua University, China.

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Data and Method
Abstract
This chapter detailedly introduces the data and methods utilized in the computation in the following two chapters, as well as the experimental designs of numerical simulations in Chap.​ 3.
Wenjie Dong, Fumin Ren, Jianbin Huang, Yan Guo
Chapter 2. Climate Change Simulation and Projection Based on CMIP5
Abstract
This chapter provides the simulated historical climate and projected future climate under three RCPs (i.e., RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) over the globe and China by coupled climate models from CMIP5. The analyzed climate elements include surface air temperature, precipitation and several monsoon indices. The concerned time-scale is annual and seasonal mean.
Wenjie Dong, Fumin Ren, Jianbin Huang, Yan Guo
Chapter 3. Attribution of Responsibility for Historical Climate Change from Developed/Developing Countries
Abstract
This chapter shows the results of attribution study which assesses the contributions of historical greenhouse gas emissions to global warming from developed and developing countries; and projection study which assess the effects of emission reduction commitments after the Cancun Agreement on future global warming. These numerical experiment is performed based on NCAR/CESM1_0_2 model. The analyzed climate elements involve air temperature, precipitation, sea level pressure, geopotential height and cryosphere related elements, etc.
Wenjie Dong, Fumin Ren, Jianbin Huang, Yan Guo
Metadaten
Titel
The Atlas of Climate Change: Based on SEAP-CMIP5
verfasst von
Wenjie Dong
Fumin Ren
Jianbin Huang
Yan Guo
Copyright-Jahr
2013
Verlag
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Electronic ISBN
978-3-642-31773-6
Print ISBN
978-3-642-31772-9
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-31773-6