Skip to main content

2024 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

The Calendar Effect Related to Firm Size in the American Stock Market

verfasst von : Xinyu Yang, Ilayda Nemlioglu

Erschienen in: Eurasian Business and Economics Perspectives

Verlag: Springer Nature Switzerland

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the calendar effect exists or not, especially the Monday effect and the January effect in the American stock market by using daily returns and monthly returns of the S&P500 index, the Russell 2000 index, and the NASDAQ index in the period 2012 to 2021. The models used in the paper are the OLS model, the GARCH model and the ARMA-GARCH model. Meanwhile, the dummy variables are inserted into models to identify different date of daily stock returns or monthly stock returns. As a result, it is obviously witnessed that there is no Monday effect and no January effect in the American stock market from 2012 to 2021. Nonetheless, the calendar effect of the large-cap stock index is different from that of the small-cap stock index. For the large cap stock index, there is a existence of the day of the week calendar effect that the average daily return on Friday in the S&P500 index is apparently different from average daily return on Monday. For the small cap stock index, there is a presence of the monthly calendar effect that average monthly return in November in the Russell 200 index is significantly different from average monthly returns in January.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Addinpujoartanto, N. A. (2019). Analysis of January effect on big stock companies and small stock companies at Indonesia stock exchange. International Journal of Business, Humanities, Education and Social Sciences (IJBHES), 1(2), 47–56.CrossRef Addinpujoartanto, N. A. (2019). Analysis of January effect on big stock companies and small stock companies at Indonesia stock exchange. International Journal of Business, Humanities, Education and Social Sciences (IJBHES), 1(2), 47–56.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Agrawal, A., & Tandon, K. (1994). Anomalies or illusions? Evidence from stock markets in eighteen countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 13(1), 83–106.CrossRef Agrawal, A., & Tandon, K. (1994). Anomalies or illusions? Evidence from stock markets in eighteen countries. Journal of International Money and Finance, 13(1), 83–106.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Arsad, Z., & Andrew Coutts, J. (1997). Security price anomalies in the London international stock exchange: A 60 year perspective. Applied Financial Economics, 7(5), 455–464.CrossRef Arsad, Z., & Andrew Coutts, J. (1997). Security price anomalies in the London international stock exchange: A 60 year perspective. Applied Financial Economics, 7(5), 455–464.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Baker, H. K., Rahman, A., & Saadi, S. (2008). The day-of-the-week effect and conditional volatility: Sensitivity of error distributional assumptions. Review of Financial Economics, 17(4), 280–295.CrossRef Baker, H. K., Rahman, A., & Saadi, S. (2008). The day-of-the-week effect and conditional volatility: Sensitivity of error distributional assumptions. Review of Financial Economics, 17(4), 280–295.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Basher, S. A., & Sadorsky, P. (2006). Day-of-the-week effects in emerging stock markets. Applied Economics Letters, 13(10), 621–628.CrossRef Basher, S. A., & Sadorsky, P. (2006). Day-of-the-week effects in emerging stock markets. Applied Economics Letters, 13(10), 621–628.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Berument, H., & Doǧan, N. (2011). Stock market return and volatility relationship: Monday effect. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 5(2), 175–185. Berument, H., & Doǧan, N. (2011). Stock market return and volatility relationship: Monday effect. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 5(2), 175–185.
Zurück zum Zitat Brooks, C., & Persand, G. (2001). Seasonality in southeast Asian stock markets: Some new evidence on day-of-the-week effects. Applied Economics Letters, 8(3), 155–158.CrossRef Brooks, C., & Persand, G. (2001). Seasonality in southeast Asian stock markets: Some new evidence on day-of-the-week effects. Applied Economics Letters, 8(3), 155–158.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chawla, V., & Shastri, M. (2023). Day of week effect: An empirical study for Indian stock markets. International Journal of Business and Globalisation, 33(3), 326–343.CrossRef Chawla, V., & Shastri, M. (2023). Day of week effect: An empirical study for Indian stock markets. International Journal of Business and Globalisation, 33(3), 326–343.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chien, C.-C., Lee, C.-F., & Wang, A. M. (2002). A note on stock market seasonality: The impact of stock price volatility on the application of dummy variable regression model. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 42(1), 155–162.CrossRef Chien, C.-C., Lee, C.-F., & Wang, A. M. (2002). A note on stock market seasonality: The impact of stock price volatility on the application of dummy variable regression model. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 42(1), 155–162.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cross, F. (1973). The behavior of stock prices on Fridays and Mondays. Financial Analysts Journal, 29(6), 67–69.CrossRef Cross, F. (1973). The behavior of stock prices on Fridays and Mondays. Financial Analysts Journal, 29(6), 67–69.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417.CrossRef Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383–417.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fields, M. J. (1931). Stock prices: A problem in verification. The Journal of Business of the University of Chicago, 4(4), 415–418.CrossRef Fields, M. J. (1931). Stock prices: A problem in verification. The Journal of Business of the University of Chicago, 4(4), 415–418.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat French, K. R. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect. Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1), 55–69.CrossRef French, K. R. (1980). Stock returns and the weekend effect. Journal of Financial Economics, 8(1), 55–69.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gallagher, D. R., & Pinnuck, M. (2006). Seasonality in fund performance: An examination of the portfolio holdings and trades of investment managers. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 33(7–8), 1240–1266.CrossRef Gallagher, D. R., & Pinnuck, M. (2006). Seasonality in fund performance: An examination of the portfolio holdings and trades of investment managers. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 33(7–8), 1240–1266.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gharaibeh, O. (2017). The January effect: Evidence from four Arabic market indices. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 7(1), 144–150.CrossRef Gharaibeh, O. (2017). The January effect: Evidence from four Arabic market indices. International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 7(1), 144–150.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gibbons, M. R., & Hess, P. (1981). Day of the week effects and asset returns. Journal of Business, 579–596. Gibbons, M. R., & Hess, P. (1981). Day of the week effects and asset returns. Journal of Business, 579–596.
Zurück zum Zitat Gu, A. Y. (2019). Strong march phenomenon and weak January effect in the US bond market. Accounting and Finance Research, 8(1), 193–193.CrossRef Gu, A. Y. (2019). Strong march phenomenon and weak January effect in the US bond market. Accounting and Finance Research, 8(1), 193–193.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Haug, M., & Hirschey, M. (2006). The january effect. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(5), 78–88.CrossRef Haug, M., & Hirschey, M. (2006). The january effect. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(5), 78–88.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Holden, K., Thompson, J., & Ruangrit, Y. (2005). The Asian crisis and calendar effects on stock returns in Thailand. European Journal of Operational Research, 163(1), 242–252.CrossRef Holden, K., Thompson, J., & Ruangrit, Y. (2005). The Asian crisis and calendar effects on stock returns in Thailand. European Journal of Operational Research, 163(1), 242–252.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jaffe, J., & Westerfield, R. (1985). The week-end effect in common stock returns: The international evidence. The Journal of Finance, 40(2), 433–454. Jaffe, J., & Westerfield, R. (1985). The week-end effect in common stock returns: The international evidence. The Journal of Finance, 40(2), 433–454.
Zurück zum Zitat Kamara, A. (1997). New evidence on the Monday seasonal in stock returns. Journal of Business, 63–84. Kamara, A. (1997). New evidence on the Monday seasonal in stock returns. Journal of Business, 63–84.
Zurück zum Zitat Kato, K., & Schallheim, J. S. (1985). Seasonal and size anomalies in the Japanese stock market. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20(2), 243–260.CrossRef Kato, K., & Schallheim, J. S. (1985). Seasonal and size anomalies in the Japanese stock market. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 20(2), 243–260.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Keim, D. B. (1983). Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality: Further empirical evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 12(1), 13–32.CrossRef Keim, D. B. (1983). Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality: Further empirical evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 12(1), 13–32.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kling, G., & Gao, L. (2005). Calendar effects in Chinese stock market. Annals of Economics and Finance, 6(1), 75–88. Kling, G., & Gao, L. (2005). Calendar effects in Chinese stock market. Annals of Economics and Finance, 6(1), 75–88.
Zurück zum Zitat Mazur, M., Dang, M., & Vega, M. (2021). COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101690.CrossRef Mazur, M., Dang, M., & Vega, M. (2021). COVID-19 and the march 2020 stock market crash. Evidence from S&P1500. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101690.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mehdian, S., & Perry, M. J. (2001). The reversal of the Monday effect: New evidence from US equity markets. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 28(7–8), 1043–1065.CrossRef Mehdian, S., & Perry, M. J. (2001). The reversal of the Monday effect: New evidence from US equity markets. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 28(7–8), 1043–1065.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mehdian, S., & Perry, M. J. (2002). Anomalies in US equity markets: A re-examination of the January effect. Applied Financial Economics, 12(2), 141–145.CrossRef Mehdian, S., & Perry, M. J. (2002). Anomalies in US equity markets: A re-examination of the January effect. Applied Financial Economics, 12(2), 141–145.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Merrill, A. A. (1966). Behavior of prices on wall street. Analysis Press. Merrill, A. A. (1966). Behavior of prices on wall street. Analysis Press.
Zurück zum Zitat Mikosch, T., & Stărică, C. (2004). Changes of structure in financial time series and the GARCH model. REVSTAT-Statistical Journal, 2(1), 41–73. Mikosch, T., & Stărică, C. (2004). Changes of structure in financial time series and the GARCH model. REVSTAT-Statistical Journal, 2(1), 41–73.
Zurück zum Zitat Mustafa, K. (2008). The Islamic calendar effect on Karachi stock market. Global Business Review, 13(3), 562–574. Mustafa, K. (2008). The Islamic calendar effect on Karachi stock market. Global Business Review, 13(3), 562–574.
Zurück zum Zitat Patel, J. B. (2016). The January effect anomaly reexamined in stock returns. Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 32(1), 317–324.CrossRef Patel, J. B. (2016). The January effect anomaly reexamined in stock returns. Journal of Applied Business Research (JABR), 32(1), 317–324.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Perez, G. (2018a). Does the January effect still exists? International Journal of Financial Research, 9(1), 50–73.CrossRef Perez, G. (2018a). Does the January effect still exists? International Journal of Financial Research, 9(1), 50–73.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Perez, G. (2018b). Monday effect in the Chinese stock market. International Journal of Financial Research, 9(1), 1–7.CrossRef Perez, G. (2018b). Monday effect in the Chinese stock market. International Journal of Financial Research, 9(1), 1–7.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rounaghi, M. M., & Zadeh, F. N. (2016). Investigation of market efficiency and financial stability between S&P 500 and London stock exchange: Monthly and yearly forecasting of time series stock returns using ARMA model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 456, 10–21.CrossRef Rounaghi, M. M., & Zadeh, F. N. (2016). Investigation of market efficiency and financial stability between S&P 500 and London stock exchange: Monthly and yearly forecasting of time series stock returns using ARMA model. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 456, 10–21.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rozeff, M. S., & Kinney, W. R., Jr. (1976). Capital market seasonality: The case of stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 379–402.CrossRef Rozeff, M. S., & Kinney, W. R., Jr. (1976). Capital market seasonality: The case of stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 3(4), 379–402.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Solnik, B., & Bousquet, L. (1990). Day-of-the-week effect on the Paris bourse. Journal of Banking & Finance, 14(2–3), 461–468.CrossRef Solnik, B., & Bousquet, L. (1990). Day-of-the-week effect on the Paris bourse. Journal of Banking & Finance, 14(2–3), 461–468.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Swinkels, L., & Van Vliet, P. (2012). An anatomy of calendar effects. Journal of Asset Management, 13(4), 271–286.CrossRef Swinkels, L., & Van Vliet, P. (2012). An anatomy of calendar effects. Journal of Asset Management, 13(4), 271–286.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tkalčević, A., & Kalodera-Schmiedecke, I. (2020). The January effect in the aftermath of financial crisis of 2008. Ekonomski pregled, 71(6), 557–578.CrossRef Tkalčević, A., & Kalodera-Schmiedecke, I. (2020). The January effect in the aftermath of financial crisis of 2008. Ekonomski pregled, 71(6), 557–578.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Truong, L. D., & Friday, H. S. (2021). The January effect and lunar new year influences in frontier markets: Evidence from the Vietnam stock market. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 11(2), 28.CrossRef Truong, L. D., & Friday, H. S. (2021). The January effect and lunar new year influences in frontier markets: Evidence from the Vietnam stock market. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 11(2), 28.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Van Der Sar, N. L. (2003). Calendar effects on the Amsterdam stock exchange. De Economist, 151(3), 271–292.CrossRef Van Der Sar, N. L. (2003). Calendar effects on the Amsterdam stock exchange. De Economist, 151(3), 271–292.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wong, W. K., Agarwal, A., & Wong, N. T. (2006). The disappearing calendar anomalies in the Singapore stock market. Wong, W. K., Agarwal, A., & Wong, N. T. (2006). The disappearing calendar anomalies in the Singapore stock market.
Zurück zum Zitat Worthington, A. C. (2010). The decline of calendar seasonality in the Australian stock exchange, 1958–2005. Annals of Finance, 6(3), 421–433.CrossRef Worthington, A. C. (2010). The decline of calendar seasonality in the Australian stock exchange, 1958–2005. Annals of Finance, 6(3), 421–433.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Xiao, B. (2016). The monthly effect and the day of the week effect in the American stock market. International Journal of Financial Research, 7(2), 11–17.CrossRef Xiao, B. (2016). The monthly effect and the day of the week effect in the American stock market. International Journal of Financial Research, 7(2), 11–17.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Xinyu, Y., & Nemlioğlu, I. (2023). Investigation of Monday effect in the American and Chinese stock markets. Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, 8(1), 93–109.CrossRef Xinyu, Y., & Nemlioğlu, I. (2023). Investigation of Monday effect in the American and Chinese stock markets. Bulletin of Economic Theory and Analysis, 8(1), 93–109.CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yuan, T., & Gupta, R. (2014). Chinese lunar new year effect in Asian stock markets, 1999–2012. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 54(4), 529–537.CrossRef Yuan, T., & Gupta, R. (2014). Chinese lunar new year effect in Asian stock markets, 1999–2012. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 54(4), 529–537.CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
The Calendar Effect Related to Firm Size in the American Stock Market
verfasst von
Xinyu Yang
Ilayda Nemlioglu
Copyright-Jahr
2024
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-64140-4_15

Premium Partner