2000 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel
The Changing World Paradigm and the U.S./European Agenda
verfasst von : Immo Stabreit
Erschienen in: Security, Trade, and Environmental Policy
Verlag: Springer US
Enthalten in: Professional Book Archive
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Let me begin by making a very short statement on where we stand. I think that in European history we have a certain periodicity. You can trace this back a few hundred years. You have periods of between 15 or 20, sometimes 25 years of rapid change, upheaval, wars, revolution. Then the system settles down and quiet reigns for between 30 of 40 years. After that—as I like to say—the volcano gets active again. That the quiet periods should last about 40 years is of course by no means an accident. After 40 years the majority of the people then alive do not have an immediate personal recollection of the last period of upheaval. The desire for change becomes almost irresistible, untrammeled by recollections of previous wars and revolutions.