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2017 | OriginalPaper | Buchkapitel

The Effects of Credit Rating Announcements on Bond Liquidity: An Event Study

verfasst von : Pilar Abad, Antonio Diaz, Ana Escribano, M. Dolores Robles

Erschienen in: Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance

Verlag: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This paper investigates liquidity shocks on the US corporate bond market around credit rating change announcements. These shocks may be induced by the information content of the announcement itself, and abnormal trading activity can be triggered by the release of information after any upgrade or downgrade. Our findings show that: (1) the market anticipates rating changes, since trends liquidity proxies prelude the event, and additionally, large volume transactions are detected the day before the downgrade; (2) the concrete materialization of the announcement is not fully anticipated, since we only observe price overreaction immediately after downgrades; (3) a clear asymmetric reaction to positive and negative rating events is observed; (4) different agency-specific and rating-specific features are able to explain liquidity behavior around rating events; (5) financial distress periods exacerbate liquidity responses derived from downgrades and upgrades.

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Fußnoten
1
Recent papers using some of these measures corroborate the liquidity effects on prices (see, e.g., Bao et al. [1], Dick-Nielsen et al. [8] and Friewald et al. [10]).
 
2
The use of the TRACE data set for research purposes requires previous filtering. Edwards et al. [9] and Dick-Nielsen [7] propose using algorithms to filter out the reporting errors, and we apply these, introducing minor variations. From the original 45 million transactions, we include in our sample about 4.5 million.
 
3
We exclude zero or variable coupon bonds, TIPS, STRIPS, perpetual bonds and bonds with embedded options, such as putable, callable, tendered, preferred, convertible or exchangeable bonds. Additionally, we ignore municipal bonds, international bonds and eurobonds. We also eliminate those bonds that are part of a unit deal.
 
4
Bonds double- or triple-rated by more than one CRAs, are set as unique events. We compute the final rating as the average rating using the numeric value assigned by the long-term debt rating equivalences, with values from AAA = 1 to D = 25. CRCs in the opposite direction are ignored.
 
5
Following Corwin and Lipson [5] we use the firm-specific past history to compute the expected liquidity in a period of typical liquidity. Other alternative is considering an appropriate matching portfolio of similar bonds with stable ratings. However, the lack of liquidity in corporate bond markets makes this approach unsuitable. Bessembinder et al. [2] indicate that construct abnormal bond returns using the matching portfolio models (the benchmark is a matching portfolio designed to adjust risk and time-to-maturity) or the mean-adjusted model (the benchmark is Treasury security with the most similar maturity date) induces a bias.
 
6
See Sheskin [17] for details.
 
7
Other results for different subsamples and periods are available upon request.
 
8
As control variables we include the bond’s age, the relative offering amount, and two dummy variables for firms in the industrial and financial industries.
 
9
Other results for the pre-event window [−5, −1] are available upon request.
 
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Metadaten
Titel
The Effects of Credit Rating Announcements on Bond Liquidity: An Event Study
verfasst von
Pilar Abad
Antonio Diaz
Ana Escribano
M. Dolores Robles
Copyright-Jahr
2017
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50234-2_1