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Erschienen in: Wireless Personal Communications 4/2018

31.01.2018

The Probabilistic Model and Forecasting of Power Load Based on Variational Bayesian Expectation Maximization and Relevance Vector Machine

verfasst von: Wegen Gao, Qigong Chen, Yuan Ge, YiQing Huang

Erschienen in: Wireless Personal Communications | Ausgabe 4/2018

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Abstract

As the surging demands of secure power supply and reliable power system, the power load approximation and forecasting are becoming more significant and more important. Different from the current research work, we integrate power load approximation and forecasting based on the Gaussian mixture model and relevance vector machine. In order to estimate the parameters of GMM, the variational bayesian expectation maximization algorithm are employed. Based on the estimation results, the relevance vector machine and bayesian regression model are built to forecast the power load and its labels. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithms can closely approximate the power load profiles and forecast the power load with lower errors.

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Metadaten
Titel
The Probabilistic Model and Forecasting of Power Load Based on Variational Bayesian Expectation Maximization and Relevance Vector Machine
verfasst von
Wegen Gao
Qigong Chen
Yuan Ge
YiQing Huang
Publikationsdatum
31.01.2018
Verlag
Springer US
Erschienen in
Wireless Personal Communications / Ausgabe 4/2018
Print ISSN: 0929-6212
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-834X
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11277-018-5324-2

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