Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Biodiversity and Conservation 13/2019

03.09.2019 | Review Paper

The risk of threshold responses, tipping points, and cascading failures in pollination systems

verfasst von: Tanya Latty, Vasilis Dakos

Erschienen in: Biodiversity and Conservation | Ausgabe 13/2019

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Growing evidence of global declines in pollinator abundance and diversity has raised concerns about the resilience of pollination systems. When subjected to stressors, each nested component of the pollination system (communities, populations, and colonies) can respond in either a smooth linear fashion, or in an abrupt nonlinear manner. Threshold and tipping point responses to stress are of particular concern because they result in sudden changes with little warning; such changes may lead to persistent non-functional states that are difficult to reverse. Here, we review evidence for threshold and tipping point responses at the colony, population and community levels of the pollination system. We find that while there are strong theoretical reasons to expect tipping point and threshold responses at all three levels of the pollination system, evidence in the field is lacking for all levels except the colony level. While this is encouraging, caution is still warranted as tipping point and threshold responses—by their very nature—may not be apparent until they are underway. Moreover, we propose that the interaction of nonlinear stress responses across different levels of the pollination system can increase the risk of cascading failures. We therefore suggest a cautious approach toward the management of pollination systems. Since environmental change will almost certainly continue to accelerate, understanding the potential for thresholds, tipping points and cascading failures is key to safeguarding global pollination systems.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Glossar
Allee effect
Allee effects occur when populations suffer from low or negative population growth when their population size is small
Alternative stable states
Different states of a system that can occur under the same external conditions
Bistability
The presence of two alternative stable states under the same conditions
Extinction vortex
A self-reinforcing process that drives population size downward to extinction
Hysteresis
The lack of reversibility in bistable systems; hysteresis refers to the phenomenon where the pathway to system degradation may not be the same as the pathway to restoration
Threshold response
A strong nonlinear response of a system to small changes in environmental conditions or stressors
Pollination system
Community composed of interacting pollinators (animals) and plants
Positive feedback
A self-amplifying process between two or more system components
Resilience indicators
Indicators of increasing instability in system dynamics that are used to detect proximity to tipping points (also referred to as early-warning signals)
Tipping point
A point where a runaway process (usually due to a positive feedback) pushes a system to flip into a different state
Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Aizen MA, Morales CL, Morales JM (2008) Invasive mutualists erode native pollination webs. PLoS Biol 6(2):31CrossRef Aizen MA, Morales CL, Morales JM (2008) Invasive mutualists erode native pollination webs. PLoS Biol 6(2):31CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Aizen MA, Sabatino M, Tylianakis JM (2012) Specialization and rarity predict nonrandom loss of interactions from mutualist networks. Science 335:1486–1489PubMedCrossRef Aizen MA, Sabatino M, Tylianakis JM (2012) Specialization and rarity predict nonrandom loss of interactions from mutualist networks. Science 335:1486–1489PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Allee WC, Park O, Emerson AE, Park T, Schmidt KP (1949) Principles of animal ecology. WB Saundere Co., Ltd Allee WC, Park O, Emerson AE, Park T, Schmidt KP (1949) Principles of animal ecology. WB Saundere Co., Ltd
Zurück zum Zitat Barron AB (2015) Death of the bee hive: understanding the failure of an insect society. Curr Opin Insect Sci 10:45–50PubMedCrossRef Barron AB (2015) Death of the bee hive: understanding the failure of an insect society. Curr Opin Insect Sci 10:45–50PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bartomeus I, Vilà M, Santamaría L (2008) Contrasting effects of invasive plants in plant–pollinator networks. Oecologia 155(4):761–770PubMedCrossRef Bartomeus I, Vilà M, Santamaría L (2008) Contrasting effects of invasive plants in plant–pollinator networks. Oecologia 155(4):761–770PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bartomeus I, Ascher JS, Gibbs J, Danforth BN, Wagner DL, Hedtke SM, Winfree R (2013) Historical changes in northeastern US bee pollinators related to shared ecological traits. Proc Nat Acad Sci 110(12):4656–4660PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Bartomeus I, Ascher JS, Gibbs J, Danforth BN, Wagner DL, Hedtke SM, Winfree R (2013) Historical changes in northeastern US bee pollinators related to shared ecological traits. Proc Nat Acad Sci 110(12):4656–4660PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Bascompte J, Jordano P (2007) Plant-animal mutualistic networks: the architecture of biodiversity. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 38:567–593CrossRef Bascompte J, Jordano P (2007) Plant-animal mutualistic networks: the architecture of biodiversity. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 38:567–593CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bascompte J, Jordano P, Melián CJ, Olesen JM (2003) The nested assembly of plant–animal mutualistic networks. Proc Natl Acad Sci 100:9383–9387PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Bascompte J, Jordano P, Melián CJ, Olesen JM (2003) The nested assembly of plant–animal mutualistic networks. Proc Natl Acad Sci 100:9383–9387PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Bastolla U, Fortuna MA, Pascual-García A, Ferrera A, Luque B, Bascompte J (2009) The architecture of mutualistic networks minimizes competition and increases biodiversity. Nature 458(7241):1018–1021PubMedCrossRef Bastolla U, Fortuna MA, Pascual-García A, Ferrera A, Luque B, Bascompte J (2009) The architecture of mutualistic networks minimizes competition and increases biodiversity. Nature 458(7241):1018–1021PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Bauch CT, Sigdel R, Pharaon J, Anand M (2016) Early warning signals of regime shifts in coupled human–environment systems. Proc Natl Acad Sci 113(51):14560–14567PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Bauch CT, Sigdel R, Pharaon J, Anand M (2016) Early warning signals of regime shifts in coupled human–environment systems. Proc Natl Acad Sci 113(51):14560–14567PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Berec L, Angulo E, Courchamp F (2007) Multiple Allee effects and population management. Trends Ecol Evol 22:185–191PubMedCrossRef Berec L, Angulo E, Courchamp F (2007) Multiple Allee effects and population management. Trends Ecol Evol 22:185–191PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Biesmeijer JC, Roberts SP, Reemer M, Ohlemüller R, Edwards M, Peeters T, Thomas C, Settele J (2006) Parallel declines in pollinators and insect-pollinated plants in Britain and the Netherlands. Science 313(5785):351–354PubMedCrossRef Biesmeijer JC, Roberts SP, Reemer M, Ohlemüller R, Edwards M, Peeters T, Thomas C, Settele J (2006) Parallel declines in pollinators and insect-pollinated plants in Britain and the Netherlands. Science 313(5785):351–354PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Boff S, Soro A, Paxton RJ, Alves-dos-Santos I (2014) Island isolation reduces genetic diversity and connectivity but does not significantly elevate diploid male production in a neotropical orchid bee. Conserv Genet 15:1123–1135CrossRef Boff S, Soro A, Paxton RJ, Alves-dos-Santos I (2014) Island isolation reduces genetic diversity and connectivity but does not significantly elevate diploid male production in a neotropical orchid bee. Conserv Genet 15:1123–1135CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Burden CM, Elmore C, Hladun KR, Trumble JT, Smith BH (2016) Acute exposure to selenium disrupts associative conditioning and long-term memory recall in honey bees (Apis mellifera). Ecotoxicol Environ Saf 127:71–79PubMedCrossRef Burden CM, Elmore C, Hladun KR, Trumble JT, Smith BH (2016) Acute exposure to selenium disrupts associative conditioning and long-term memory recall in honey bees (Apis mellifera). Ecotoxicol Environ Saf 127:71–79PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Burkle LA, Marlin JC, Knight TM (2013) Plant-pollinator interactions over 120 years: loss of species, co-occurrence, and function. Science 339:1611–1615PubMedCrossRef Burkle LA, Marlin JC, Knight TM (2013) Plant-pollinator interactions over 120 years: loss of species, co-occurrence, and function. Science 339:1611–1615PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Calabrese JM, Fagan WF (2004) Lost in time, lonely, and single: reproductive asynchrony and the Allee effect. Am Nat 164:25–37PubMedCrossRef Calabrese JM, Fagan WF (2004) Lost in time, lonely, and single: reproductive asynchrony and the Allee effect. Am Nat 164:25–37PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Carpenter SR, Cole JJ, Pace ML, Batt R, Brock W, Cline T, Coloso J, Hodgson JR, Kitchell JF, Seekell DA (2011) Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment. Science 332:1079–1082PubMedCrossRef Carpenter SR, Cole JJ, Pace ML, Batt R, Brock W, Cline T, Coloso J, Hodgson JR, Kitchell JF, Seekell DA (2011) Early warnings of regime shifts: a whole-ecosystem experiment. Science 332:1079–1082PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Carvalheiro LG, Kunin WE, Keil P, Aguirre-Gutiérrez J, Ellis WN, Fox R, Groom Q, Hennekens S, Van Landuyt W, Maes D (2013) Species richness declines and biotic homogenisation have slowed down for NW-European pollinators and plants. Ecol Lett 16(7):870–878PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Carvalheiro LG, Kunin WE, Keil P, Aguirre-Gutiérrez J, Ellis WN, Fox R, Groom Q, Hennekens S, Van Landuyt W, Maes D (2013) Species richness declines and biotic homogenisation have slowed down for NW-European pollinators and plants. Ecol Lett 16(7):870–878PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Chapman RE, Bourke AF (2001) The influence of sociality on the conservation biology of social insects. Ecol Lett 4:650–662CrossRef Chapman RE, Bourke AF (2001) The influence of sociality on the conservation biology of social insects. Ecol Lett 4:650–662CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Courchamp F, Clutton-Brock T, Grenfell B (1999) Inverse density dependence and the Allee effect. Trends Ecol Evol 14:405–410PubMedCrossRef Courchamp F, Clutton-Brock T, Grenfell B (1999) Inverse density dependence and the Allee effect. Trends Ecol Evol 14:405–410PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Dai L, Vorselen D, Korolev KS, Gore J (2012) Generic indicators for loss of resilience before a tipping point leading to population collapse. Science 336:1175–1177PubMedCrossRef Dai L, Vorselen D, Korolev KS, Gore J (2012) Generic indicators for loss of resilience before a tipping point leading to population collapse. Science 336:1175–1177PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Dakos V, Bascompte J (2014) Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset of collapse in mutualistic communities. Proc Natl Acad Sci 111:17546–17551PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Dakos V, Bascompte J (2014) Critical slowing down as early warning for the onset of collapse in mutualistic communities. Proc Natl Acad Sci 111:17546–17551PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Dakos V, Carpenter SR, Brock WA, Ellison AM, Guttal V, Ives AR, Kéfi S, Livina V, Seekell DA, van Nes EH (2012) Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data. PLoS ONE 7:e41010PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Dakos V, Carpenter SR, Brock WA, Ellison AM, Guttal V, Ives AR, Kéfi S, Livina V, Seekell DA, van Nes EH (2012) Methods for detecting early warnings of critical transitions in time series illustrated using simulated ecological data. PLoS ONE 7:e41010PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Darvill B, Lepais O, Woodall L, Goulson D (2012) Triploid bumblebees indicate a direct cost of inbreeding in fragmented populations. Mol Ecol 21:3988–3995PubMedCrossRef Darvill B, Lepais O, Woodall L, Goulson D (2012) Triploid bumblebees indicate a direct cost of inbreeding in fragmented populations. Mol Ecol 21:3988–3995PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat De Palma A, Kuhlmann M, Roberts SP, Potts SG, Börger L, Hudson LN, Lysenko I, Newbold T, Purvis A (2015) Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes. J Appl Ecol 52:1567–1577PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef De Palma A, Kuhlmann M, Roberts SP, Potts SG, Börger L, Hudson LN, Lysenko I, Newbold T, Purvis A (2015) Ecological traits affect the sensitivity of bees to land-use pressures in European agricultural landscapes. J Appl Ecol 52:1567–1577PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fagan WF, Holmes E (2006) Quantifying the extinction vortex. Ecol Lett 9:51–60PubMed Fagan WF, Holmes E (2006) Quantifying the extinction vortex. Ecol Lett 9:51–60PubMed
Zurück zum Zitat Faria LRR, Soares EDG, Carmo ED, Oliveira PMCD (2016) Diploid male dynamics under different numbers of sexual alleles and male dispersal abilities. Theory Biosci 135:111–119PubMedCrossRef Faria LRR, Soares EDG, Carmo ED, Oliveira PMCD (2016) Diploid male dynamics under different numbers of sexual alleles and male dispersal abilities. Theory Biosci 135:111–119PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Foley MM, Martone RG, Fox MD, Kappel CV, Mease LA, Erickson AL, Halpern BS, Selkoe KA, Taylor P, Scarborough C (2015) Using ecological thresholds to inform resource management: current options and future possibilities. Front Mar Sci 2:95CrossRef Foley MM, Martone RG, Fox MD, Kappel CV, Mease LA, Erickson AL, Halpern BS, Selkoe KA, Taylor P, Scarborough C (2015) Using ecological thresholds to inform resource management: current options and future possibilities. Front Mar Sci 2:95CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gallai N, Salles JM, Settele J, Vaissière BE (2009) Economic valuation of the vulnerability of world agriculture confronted with pollinator decline. Ecol Econ 68(3):810–821CrossRef Gallai N, Salles JM, Settele J, Vaissière BE (2009) Economic valuation of the vulnerability of world agriculture confronted with pollinator decline. Ecol Econ 68(3):810–821CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gegear RJ, Otterstatter MC, Thomson JD (2006) Bumble-bee foragers infected by a gut parasite have an impaired ability to utilize floral information. Proc R Soc Lond B 273:1073–1078CrossRef Gegear RJ, Otterstatter MC, Thomson JD (2006) Bumble-bee foragers infected by a gut parasite have an impaired ability to utilize floral information. Proc R Soc Lond B 273:1073–1078CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Geslin B, Gauzens B, Baude M, Dajoz I, Fontaine C, Henry M, Ropars L, Rollin O, Thébault E, Vereecken NJ (2017) Massively introduced managed species and their consequences for plant–pollinator interactions. In Advances in ecological research, vol 57. Academic Press, pp 147–199CrossRef Geslin B, Gauzens B, Baude M, Dajoz I, Fontaine C, Henry M, Ropars L, Rollin O, Thébault E, Vereecken NJ (2017) Massively introduced managed species and their consequences for plant–pollinator interactions. In Advances in ecological research, vol 57. Academic Press, pp 147–199CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gilpin M (1986) Minimum viable populations: processes of extinction. In: Soulé ME (ed) Conservation biology: the science of scarcity and diversity. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland Gilpin M (1986) Minimum viable populations: processes of extinction. In: Soulé ME (ed) Conservation biology: the science of scarcity and diversity. Sinauer Associates, Sunderland
Zurück zum Zitat Gloag R, Ding G, Christie JR, Buchmann G, Beekman M, Oldroyd BP (2016) An invasive social insect overcomes genetic load at the sex locus. Nat Ecol Evol 1:0011CrossRef Gloag R, Ding G, Christie JR, Buchmann G, Beekman M, Oldroyd BP (2016) An invasive social insect overcomes genetic load at the sex locus. Nat Ecol Evol 1:0011CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat González-Varo JP, Biesmeijer JC, Bommarco R, Potts SG, Schweiger O, Smith HG, Steffan-Dewenter I, Szentgyörgyi H, Woyciechowski M, Vilà M (2013) Combined effects of global change pressures on animal-mediated pollination. Trends Ecol Evol 28(9):524–530PubMedCrossRef González-Varo JP, Biesmeijer JC, Bommarco R, Potts SG, Schweiger O, Smith HG, Steffan-Dewenter I, Szentgyörgyi H, Woyciechowski M, Vilà M (2013) Combined effects of global change pressures on animal-mediated pollination. Trends Ecol Evol 28(9):524–530PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Goulson D, Nicholls E, Botías C, Rotheray EL (2015) Bee declines driven by combined stress from parasites, pesticides, and lack of flowers. Science 347:1255957PubMedCrossRef Goulson D, Nicholls E, Botías C, Rotheray EL (2015) Bee declines driven by combined stress from parasites, pesticides, and lack of flowers. Science 347:1255957PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Greenleaf SS, Williams NM, Winfree R, Kremen C (2007) Bee foraging ranges and their relationship to body size. Oecologia 153:589–596PubMedCrossRef Greenleaf SS, Williams NM, Winfree R, Kremen C (2007) Bee foraging ranges and their relationship to body size. Oecologia 153:589–596PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Grilli J, Rogers T, Allesina S (2016) Modularity and stability in ecological communities. Nat Commun 7:2031CrossRef Grilli J, Rogers T, Allesina S (2016) Modularity and stability in ecological communities. Nat Commun 7:2031CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Gsell AS, Scharfenberger U, Özkundakci D, Walters A, Hansson L-A, Janssen ABG, Nõges P, Reid PC, Schindler DE, Van Donk E, Dakos V, Adrian R (2016) Evaluating early-warning indicators of critical transitions in natural aquatic ecosystems. Proc Natl Acad Sci 113(50):E8089–E8095PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Gsell AS, Scharfenberger U, Özkundakci D, Walters A, Hansson L-A, Janssen ABG, Nõges P, Reid PC, Schindler DE, Van Donk E, Dakos V, Adrian R (2016) Evaluating early-warning indicators of critical transitions in natural aquatic ecosystems. Proc Natl Acad Sci 113(50):E8089–E8095PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Hedrick PW, Gadau J, Page RE (2006) Genetic sex determination and extinction. Trends Ecol Evol 21:55–57PubMedCrossRef Hedrick PW, Gadau J, Page RE (2006) Genetic sex determination and extinction. Trends Ecol Evol 21:55–57PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hein S, Poethke H-J, Dorn S (2009) What stops the ‘diploid male vortex’?—A simulation study for species with single locus complementary sex determination. Ecol Model 220:1663–1669CrossRef Hein S, Poethke H-J, Dorn S (2009) What stops the ‘diploid male vortex’?—A simulation study for species with single locus complementary sex determination. Ecol Model 220:1663–1669CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Henry M, Becher MA, Osborne JL, Kennedy PJ, Aupinel P, Bretagnolle V, Brun F, Grimm V, Horn J, Requier F (2017) Predictive systems models can help elucidate bee declines driven by multiple combined stressors. Apidologie 48(3):328–339CrossRef Henry M, Becher MA, Osborne JL, Kennedy PJ, Aupinel P, Bretagnolle V, Brun F, Grimm V, Horn J, Requier F (2017) Predictive systems models can help elucidate bee declines driven by multiple combined stressors. Apidologie 48(3):328–339CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Huang Z-Y, Robinson GE (1996) Regulation of honey bee division of labor by colony age demography. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 39:147–158CrossRef Huang Z-Y, Robinson GE (1996) Regulation of honey bee division of labor by colony age demography. Behav Ecol Sociobiol 39:147–158CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hughes TP, Linares C, Dakos V, van de Leemput IA, van Nes EH (2013) Living dangerously on borrowed time during slow, unrecognized regime shifts. Trends Ecol Evol 28:149–155PubMedCrossRef Hughes TP, Linares C, Dakos V, van de Leemput IA, van Nes EH (2013) Living dangerously on borrowed time during slow, unrecognized regime shifts. Trends Ecol Evol 28:149–155PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hunsicker ME, Kappel CV, Selkoe KA, Halpern BS, Scarborough C, Mease L, Amrhein A (2016) Characterizing driver–response relationships in marine pelagic ecosystems for improved ocean management. Ecol Appl 26:651–663PubMedCrossRef Hunsicker ME, Kappel CV, Selkoe KA, Halpern BS, Scarborough C, Mease L, Amrhein A (2016) Characterizing driver–response relationships in marine pelagic ecosystems for improved ocean management. Ecol Appl 26:651–663PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Jiang J, Huang ZG, Seager TP, Lin W, Grebogi C, Hastings A, Lai YC (2018) Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction. Proc Nat Acad Sci 115(4):E639–E647PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Jiang J, Huang ZG, Seager TP, Lin W, Grebogi C, Hastings A, Lai YC (2018) Predicting tipping points in mutualistic networks through dimension reduction. Proc Nat Acad Sci 115(4):E639–E647PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Jin N, Klein S, Leimig F, Bischoff G, Menzel R (2015) The neonicotinoid clothianidin interferes with navigation of the solitary bee Osmia cornuta in a laboratory test. J Exp Biol 218:2821–2825PubMedCrossRef Jin N, Klein S, Leimig F, Bischoff G, Menzel R (2015) The neonicotinoid clothianidin interferes with navigation of the solitary bee Osmia cornuta in a laboratory test. J Exp Biol 218:2821–2825PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kaiser-Bunbury CN, Muff S, Memmott J, Müller CB, Caflisch A (2010) The robustness of pollination networks to the loss of species and interactions: a quantitative approach incorporating pollinator behaviour. Ecol Lett 13:442–452PubMedCrossRef Kaiser-Bunbury CN, Muff S, Memmott J, Müller CB, Caflisch A (2010) The robustness of pollination networks to the loss of species and interactions: a quantitative approach incorporating pollinator behaviour. Ecol Lett 13:442–452PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kéfi S, Dakos V, Scheffer M, Van Nes EH, Rietkerk M (2013) Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions. Oikos 122:641–648CrossRef Kéfi S, Dakos V, Scheffer M, Van Nes EH, Rietkerk M (2013) Early warning signals also precede non-catastrophic transitions. Oikos 122:641–648CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kelly RP, Erickson AL, Mease LA, Battista W, Kittinger JN, Fujita R (2015) Embracing thresholds for better environmental management. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B 370:20130276CrossRef Kelly RP, Erickson AL, Mease LA, Battista W, Kittinger JN, Fujita R (2015) Embracing thresholds for better environmental management. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B 370:20130276CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Klein A-M, Vaissiere BE, Cane JH, Steffan-Dewenter I, Cunningham SA, Kremen C, Tscharntke T (2007) Importance of pollinators in changing landscapes for world crops. Proc R Soc B 274:303–313PubMedCrossRef Klein A-M, Vaissiere BE, Cane JH, Steffan-Dewenter I, Cunningham SA, Kremen C, Tscharntke T (2007) Importance of pollinators in changing landscapes for world crops. Proc R Soc B 274:303–313PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Klein S, Cabirol A, Devaud J-M, Barron AB, Lihoreau M (2017) Why bees are so vulnerable to environmental stressors. Trends Ecol Evol 32:268–278PubMedCrossRef Klein S, Cabirol A, Devaud J-M, Barron AB, Lihoreau M (2017) Why bees are so vulnerable to environmental stressors. Trends Ecol Evol 32:268–278PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kramer AM, Dennis B, Liebhold AM, Drake JM (2009) The evidence for Allee effects. Popul Ecol 51:341CrossRef Kramer AM, Dennis B, Liebhold AM, Drake JM (2009) The evidence for Allee effects. Popul Ecol 51:341CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Leonard RJ, Hochuli DF (2017) Exhausting all avenues: why impacts of air pollution should be part of road ecology. Front Ecol Environ 15(8):443–449CrossRef Leonard RJ, Hochuli DF (2017) Exhausting all avenues: why impacts of air pollution should be part of road ecology. Front Ecol Environ 15(8):443–449CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lever JJ, Nes EH, Scheffer M, Bascompte J (2014) The sudden collapse of pollinator communities. Ecol Lett 17:350–359PubMedCrossRef Lever JJ, Nes EH, Scheffer M, Bascompte J (2014) The sudden collapse of pollinator communities. Ecol Lett 17:350–359PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Levin SA (1998) Ecosystems and the biosphere as complex adaptive systems. Ecosystems 1(5):431–436CrossRef Levin SA (1998) Ecosystems and the biosphere as complex adaptive systems. Ecosystems 1(5):431–436CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Memmott J, Waser NM, Price MV (2004) Tolerance of pollination networks to species extinctions. Proc R Soc Lond B 271:2605–2611CrossRef Memmott J, Waser NM, Price MV (2004) Tolerance of pollination networks to species extinctions. Proc R Soc Lond B 271:2605–2611CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Memmott J, Craze PG, Waser NM, Price MV (2007) Global warming and the disruption of plant–pollinator interactions. Ecol Lett 10(8):710–717PubMedCrossRef Memmott J, Craze PG, Waser NM, Price MV (2007) Global warming and the disruption of plant–pollinator interactions. Ecol Lett 10(8):710–717PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Myerscough MR, Khoury DS, Ronzani S, Barron AB (2017) Why do hives die? Using mathematics to solve the problem of honey bee colony collapse. The role and importance of mathematics in innovation. Springer, Berlin, pp 35–50 Myerscough MR, Khoury DS, Ronzani S, Barron AB (2017) Why do hives die? Using mathematics to solve the problem of honey bee colony collapse. The role and importance of mathematics in innovation. Springer, Berlin, pp 35–50
Zurück zum Zitat Ollerton J, Winfree R, Tarrant S (2011) How many flowering plants are pollinated by animals? Oikos 120:321–326CrossRef Ollerton J, Winfree R, Tarrant S (2011) How many flowering plants are pollinated by animals? Oikos 120:321–326CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Pascual M, Dunne JA (eds) (2006) Ecological networks: linking structure to dynamics in food webs. Oxford University Press, Oxford Pascual M, Dunne JA (eds) (2006) Ecological networks: linking structure to dynamics in food webs. Oxford University Press, Oxford
Zurück zum Zitat Perry CJ, Søvik E, Myerscough MR, Barron AB (2015) Rapid behavioral maturation accelerates failure of stressed honey bee colonies. Proc Natl Acad Sci 112:3427–3432PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Perry CJ, Søvik E, Myerscough MR, Barron AB (2015) Rapid behavioral maturation accelerates failure of stressed honey bee colonies. Proc Natl Acad Sci 112:3427–3432PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Petanidou T, Kallimanis AS, Tzanopoulos J, Sgardelis SP, Pantis JD (2008) Long-term observation of a pollination network: fluctuation in species and interactions, relative invariance of network structure and implications for estimates of specialization. Ecol Lett 11:564–575PubMedCrossRef Petanidou T, Kallimanis AS, Tzanopoulos J, Sgardelis SP, Pantis JD (2008) Long-term observation of a pollination network: fluctuation in species and interactions, relative invariance of network structure and implications for estimates of specialization. Ecol Lett 11:564–575PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Potts SG, Biesmeijer JC, Kremen C, Neumann P, Schweiger O, Kunin WE (2010) Global pollinator declines: trends, impacts and drivers. Trends Ecol Evol 25(6):345–353PubMedCrossRef Potts SG, Biesmeijer JC, Kremen C, Neumann P, Schweiger O, Kunin WE (2010) Global pollinator declines: trends, impacts and drivers. Trends Ecol Evol 25(6):345–353PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rader R, Bartomeus I, Garibaldi LA, Garratt MP, Howlett BG, Winfree R, Cunningham SA, Mayfield MM, Arthur AD, Andersson GK, Bommarco R (2016) Non-bee insects are important contributors to global crop pollination. Proc Natl Acad Sci 113(1):146–151PubMedCrossRef Rader R, Bartomeus I, Garibaldi LA, Garratt MP, Howlett BG, Winfree R, Cunningham SA, Mayfield MM, Arthur AD, Andersson GK, Bommarco R (2016) Non-bee insects are important contributors to global crop pollination. Proc Natl Acad Sci 113(1):146–151PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rafferty NE, CaraDonna PJ, Burkle LA, Iler AM, Bronstein JL (2013) Phenological overlap of interacting species in a changing climate: an assessment of available approaches. Ecol Evol 3(9):3183–3193PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Rafferty NE, CaraDonna PJ, Burkle LA, Iler AM, Bronstein JL (2013) Phenological overlap of interacting species in a changing climate: an assessment of available approaches. Ecol Evol 3(9):3183–3193PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Revilla TA, Encinas-Viso F, Loreau M (2015) Robustness of mutualistic networks under phenological change and habitat destruction. Oikos 124:22–32CrossRef Revilla TA, Encinas-Viso F, Loreau M (2015) Robustness of mutualistic networks under phenological change and habitat destruction. Oikos 124:22–32CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Richter A, Dakos V (2015) Profit fluctuations signal eroding resilience of natural resources. Ecol Econ 117:12–21CrossRef Richter A, Dakos V (2015) Profit fluctuations signal eroding resilience of natural resources. Ecol Econ 117:12–21CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Robinson GE (1992) Regulation of division of labor in insect societies. Annu Rev Entomol 37:637–665PubMedCrossRef Robinson GE (1992) Regulation of division of labor in insect societies. Annu Rev Entomol 37:637–665PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Sánchez-Bayo F, Wyckhuys KAG (2019) Worldwide decline of the entomofauna: a review of its drivers. Biol Cons 232:8–27CrossRef Sánchez-Bayo F, Wyckhuys KAG (2019) Worldwide decline of the entomofauna: a review of its drivers. Biol Cons 232:8–27CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Saavedra S, Rohr RP, Dakos V, Bascompte J (2013) Estimating the tolerance of species to the effects of global environmental change. Nat Commun 4:2350PubMedCrossRef Saavedra S, Rohr RP, Dakos V, Bascompte J (2013) Estimating the tolerance of species to the effects of global environmental change. Nat Commun 4:2350PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Scheffer M, Carpenter SR (2003) Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation. Trends Ecol Evol 18:648–656CrossRef Scheffer M, Carpenter SR (2003) Catastrophic regime shifts in ecosystems: linking theory to observation. Trends Ecol Evol 18:648–656CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Scheffer M, Carpenter S, Foley JA, Folke C, Walker B (2001) Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 413:591–596PubMedCrossRef Scheffer M, Carpenter S, Foley JA, Folke C, Walker B (2001) Catastrophic shifts in ecosystems. Nature 413:591–596PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Scheffer M, Bascompte J, Brock WA, Brovkin V, Carpenter SR, Dakos V, Held H, van Nes EH, Rietkerk M, Sugihara G (2009) Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461:53–59PubMedCrossRef Scheffer M, Bascompte J, Brock WA, Brovkin V, Carpenter SR, Dakos V, Held H, van Nes EH, Rietkerk M, Sugihara G (2009) Early-warning signals for critical transitions. Nature 461:53–59PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Schröder A, Persson L, De Roos AM (2005) Direct experimental evidence for alternative stable states: a review. Oikos 110:3–19CrossRef Schröder A, Persson L, De Roos AM (2005) Direct experimental evidence for alternative stable states: a review. Oikos 110:3–19CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Straub L, Williams GR, Pettis J, Fries I, Neumann P (2015) Superorganism resilience: eusociality and susceptibility of ecosystem service providing insects to stressors. Curr Opin Insect Sci 12:109–112CrossRef Straub L, Williams GR, Pettis J, Fries I, Neumann P (2015) Superorganism resilience: eusociality and susceptibility of ecosystem service providing insects to stressors. Curr Opin Insect Sci 12:109–112CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tautz J, Maier S, Groh C, Rössler W, Brockmann A (2003) Behavioral performance in adult honey bees is influenced by the temperature experienced during their pupal development. Proc Natl Acad Sci 100:7343–7347PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Tautz J, Maier S, Groh C, Rössler W, Brockmann A (2003) Behavioral performance in adult honey bees is influenced by the temperature experienced during their pupal development. Proc Natl Acad Sci 100:7343–7347PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Zurück zum Zitat Timóteo S, Ramos JA, Vaughan IP, Memmott J (2016) High resilience of seed dispersal webs highlighted by the experimental removal of the dominant disperser. Curr Biol 26(7):910–915PubMedCrossRef Timóteo S, Ramos JA, Vaughan IP, Memmott J (2016) High resilience of seed dispersal webs highlighted by the experimental removal of the dominant disperser. Curr Biol 26(7):910–915PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Tylianakis JM, Morris RJ (2017) Ecological networks across environmental gradients. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 48:25–48CrossRef Tylianakis JM, Morris RJ (2017) Ecological networks across environmental gradients. Annu Rev Ecol Evol Syst 48:25–48CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Valdovinos FS, Moisset de Espanés P, Flores JD, Ramos-Jiliberto R (2013) Adaptive foraging allows the maintenance of biodiversity of pollination networks. Oikos 122:907–917CrossRef Valdovinos FS, Moisset de Espanés P, Flores JD, Ramos-Jiliberto R (2013) Adaptive foraging allows the maintenance of biodiversity of pollination networks. Oikos 122:907–917CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Van Wilgenburg E, Driessen G, Beukeboom LW (2006) Single locus complementary sex determination in Hymenoptera: an” unintelligent” design? Front Zool 3:1PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Van Wilgenburg E, Driessen G, Beukeboom LW (2006) Single locus complementary sex determination in Hymenoptera: an” unintelligent” design? Front Zool 3:1PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Vanbergen AJ (2013) Threats to an ecosystem service: pressures on pollinators. Front Ecol Environ 11:251–259CrossRef Vanbergen AJ (2013) Threats to an ecosystem service: pressures on pollinators. Front Ecol Environ 11:251–259CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Veraart AJ, Faassen EJ, Dakos V, van Nes EH, Lurling M, Scheffer M (2012) Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system. Nature 481:357–359CrossRef Veraart AJ, Faassen EJ, Dakos V, van Nes EH, Lurling M, Scheffer M (2012) Recovery rates reflect distance to a tipping point in a living system. Nature 481:357–359CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Whitehorn PR, Tinsley MC, Brown MJ, Darvill B, Goulson D (2009) Impacts of inbreeding on bumblebee colony fitness under field conditions. BMC Evol Biol 9:152PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef Whitehorn PR, Tinsley MC, Brown MJ, Darvill B, Goulson D (2009) Impacts of inbreeding on bumblebee colony fitness under field conditions. BMC Evol Biol 9:152PubMedPubMedCentralCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Williams NM, Crone EE, Roulston TAH, Minckley RL, Packer L, Potts SG (2010) Ecological and life-history traits predict bee species responses to environmental disturbances. Biol Conserv 143:2280–2291CrossRef Williams NM, Crone EE, Roulston TAH, Minckley RL, Packer L, Potts SG (2010) Ecological and life-history traits predict bee species responses to environmental disturbances. Biol Conserv 143:2280–2291CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Winfree R, Aguilar R, Vázquez DP, LeBuhn G, Aizen MA (2009) A meta-analysis of bees’ responses to anthropogenic disturbance. Ecology 90:2068–2076PubMedCrossRef Winfree R, Aguilar R, Vázquez DP, LeBuhn G, Aizen MA (2009) A meta-analysis of bees’ responses to anthropogenic disturbance. Ecology 90:2068–2076PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wissel C (1984) A universal law of the characteristic return time near thresholds. Oecologia 65(1):101–107PubMedCrossRef Wissel C (1984) A universal law of the characteristic return time near thresholds. Oecologia 65(1):101–107PubMedCrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yletyinen J, Brown P, Pech R, Hodges D, Hulme PE, Malcolm TF, Maseyk FJ, Peltzer DA, Perry GL, Richardson SJ, Smaill SJ (2019) Understanding and managing social-ecological tipping points in primary industries. Bioscience 69(5):335–347CrossRef Yletyinen J, Brown P, Pech R, Hodges D, Hulme PE, Malcolm TF, Maseyk FJ, Peltzer DA, Perry GL, Richardson SJ, Smaill SJ (2019) Understanding and managing social-ecological tipping points in primary industries. Bioscience 69(5):335–347CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zayed A, Packer L (2005) Complementary sex determination substantially increases extinction proneness of haplodiploid populations. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 102:10742–10746PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral Zayed A, Packer L (2005) Complementary sex determination substantially increases extinction proneness of haplodiploid populations. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 102:10742–10746PubMedCrossRefPubMedCentral
Metadaten
Titel
The risk of threshold responses, tipping points, and cascading failures in pollination systems
verfasst von
Tanya Latty
Vasilis Dakos
Publikationsdatum
03.09.2019
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Biodiversity and Conservation / Ausgabe 13/2019
Print ISSN: 0960-3115
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9710
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-019-01844-2

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 13/2019

Biodiversity and Conservation 13/2019 Zur Ausgabe