Skip to main content
Erschienen in: Water Resources Management 8/2019

14.05.2019

Wavelet-Nonlinear Cointegration Prediction of Irrigation Water in the Irrigation District

verfasst von: Jinping Zhang, Hongbin Li, Xixi Shi, Yang Hong

Erschienen in: Water Resources Management | Ausgabe 8/2019

Einloggen

Aktivieren Sie unsere intelligente Suche, um passende Fachinhalte oder Patente zu finden.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Aiming at revealing the nonlinear relations between rainfall, crop water requirement and irrigation water in the irrigation district, and improving the accuracy of wavelet-cointegration prediction model proposed by the literature (Zhang et al. J Hydrol 544: 343-351, 2017), the nonlinear cointegration theory and wavelet neutral network method are introduced to construct the innovated wavelet-nonlinear cointegration prediction model of irrigation water. The results show that there are nonlinear cointegration relations amongst the decomposed time series of rainfall, crop water requirement and irrigation water. Compared with the wavelet-cointegration prediction model, the wavelet-nonlinear cointegration prediction model has the higher prediction accuracy, and all relative errors of the predicted values are around 2%, except 2004 and 2012.

Sie haben noch keine Lizenz? Dann Informieren Sie sich jetzt über unsere Produkte:

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literatur
Zurück zum Zitat Abdullah SS, Malek MA, Abdullah NS, Kisi O, Yap KS (2015) Extreme learning machines: a new approach for prediction of reference evapotranspiration. J Hydrol 527:184–195CrossRef Abdullah SS, Malek MA, Abdullah NS, Kisi O, Yap KS (2015) Extreme learning machines: a new approach for prediction of reference evapotranspiration. J Hydrol 527:184–195CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Boubacar D, Kodjo A, Alben C (2016) Time series prediction use artificial wavelet neural network and multi-resolution analysis: Application to wind speed data. Renew Energy 92:202–211CrossRef Boubacar D, Kodjo A, Alben C (2016) Time series prediction use artificial wavelet neural network and multi-resolution analysis: Application to wind speed data. Renew Energy 92:202–211CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Cole MA (2004) Economic growth and water use. Appl Econ Lett 11:1–4CrossRef Cole MA (2004) Economic growth and water use. Appl Econ Lett 11:1–4CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Covelli C, Cozzolino L, Cimorelli L, Della Morte R, Pianese D (2016) Optimal Location and Setting of PRVs in WDS for Leakage Minimization. Water Resour Manag 30(5):1803–1817CrossRef Covelli C, Cozzolino L, Cimorelli L, Della Morte R, Pianese D (2016) Optimal Location and Setting of PRVs in WDS for Leakage Minimization. Water Resour Manag 30(5):1803–1817CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Durdu Omer F (2010) A hybrid neural network and ARIMA model for water quality time series prediction. Eng Appl Artif Intell 23(4):586–594CrossRef Durdu Omer F (2010) A hybrid neural network and ARIMA model for water quality time series prediction. Eng Appl Artif Intell 23(4):586–594CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Elshorbagy A, Parasuraman K (2008) On the relevance of using artificial neural networks for estimating soil moisture content. J Hydrol 362:1–18CrossRef Elshorbagy A, Parasuraman K (2008) On the relevance of using artificial neural networks for estimating soil moisture content. J Hydrol 362:1–18CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Engle RF, Granger CWJ (1987) Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica. 55:251–276CrossRef Engle RF, Granger CWJ (1987) Cointegration and error correction: representation, estimation and testing. Econometrica. 55:251–276CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Erdem E, Shi J (2011) ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction. Appl Energy 88(4):1405–1414CrossRef Erdem E, Shi J (2011) ARMA based approaches for forecasting the tuple of wind speed and direction. Appl Energy 88(4):1405–1414CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Fan Zh, Zhang SHY (2005) Study on modeling of nonlinear cointegration and empirical analysis of China’s stock markets. J Manag Sci in China 8(1):73–77 (in Chinese with English abstract) Fan Zh, Zhang SHY (2005) Study on modeling of nonlinear cointegration and empirical analysis of China’s stock markets. J Manag Sci in China 8(1):73–77 (in Chinese with English abstract)
Zurück zum Zitat Feng P, Han RG, Ding ZHH (2009) Multiple Time-scale SPA Analysis on Uncertainty Relationship between Rivers’ Runoff Time Series. J Basic Sci Eng 17(5):716–724 Feng P, Han RG, Ding ZHH (2009) Multiple Time-scale SPA Analysis on Uncertainty Relationship between Rivers’ Runoff Time Series. J Basic Sci Eng 17(5):716–724
Zurück zum Zitat Granger CWJ, Hallman J (1991a) Long memory series with attractors. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 53:11–26CrossRef Granger CWJ, Hallman J (1991a) Long memory series with attractors. Oxf Bull Econ Stat 53:11–26CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Granger CWJ, Hallman J (1991b) Nonlinear transformations of integrated time series. J Time Ser Anal 12:207–224CrossRef Granger CWJ, Hallman J (1991b) Nonlinear transformations of integrated time series. J Time Ser Anal 12:207–224CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Guo Y, Shen YJ (2016) Agricultural water supply/demand changes under projected future climate change in the arid region of northwestern China. J Hydrol 540:257–273CrossRef Guo Y, Shen YJ (2016) Agricultural water supply/demand changes under projected future climate change in the arid region of northwestern China. J Hydrol 540:257–273CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hotaek P, Takeshi Y, Kazukiyo Y et al (2008) Tempospatial characteristics of energy budget and evapotranspiration in the eastern Siberia. Agric For Meteorol 148(12):1990–2005CrossRef Hotaek P, Takeshi Y, Kazukiyo Y et al (2008) Tempospatial characteristics of energy budget and evapotranspiration in the eastern Siberia. Agric For Meteorol 148(12):1990–2005CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Hurst HE (1951) Long-term storage capacity of reservoirs. Transactions of the American society of civil engineering, vol 116, pp 770–779 Hurst HE (1951) Long-term storage capacity of reservoirs. Transactions of the American society of civil engineering, vol 116, pp 770–779
Zurück zum Zitat Hylleberg S, Engle RF, Granger CWJ, Yoo BS (1990) Seasonal integration and cointegration. J Econ 44(1):215–238CrossRef Hylleberg S, Engle RF, Granger CWJ, Yoo BS (1990) Seasonal integration and cointegration. J Econ 44(1):215–238CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Kennedy D (1976) The distribution of the maximum Brownian excursion. J.Appl.Probab. 13:371–376CrossRef Kennedy D (1976) The distribution of the maximum Brownian excursion. J.Appl.Probab. 13:371–376CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zolna K, Dao PB, Staszewski WJ, arszcz T (2016) Towards homoscedastic nonlinear cointegration for structural health monitoring, Mech. Syst. Signal Pr 75(15):94–108 Zolna K, Dao PB, Staszewski WJ, arszcz T (2016) Towards homoscedastic nonlinear cointegration for structural health monitoring, Mech. Syst. Signal Pr 75(15):94–108
Zurück zum Zitat Kuo SF, Ho SS, Liu CW (2006) Estimation irrigation water requirements with derived crop coefficients for upland and paddy crops in ChiaNan Irrigation Association, Taiwan. Agric Water Manag 82:433–451CrossRef Kuo SF, Ho SS, Liu CW (2006) Estimation irrigation water requirements with derived crop coefficients for upland and paddy crops in ChiaNan Irrigation Association, Taiwan. Agric Water Manag 82:433–451CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Lo AW (1991) Long-term memory in stock market prices. Econometrica. 59(5):1279–1313CrossRef Lo AW (1991) Long-term memory in stock market prices. Econometrica. 59(5):1279–1313CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Mandelbrot BB, Taqqu M (1979) Robust R/S analysis of long run serial correlation. Bulletin of International Statistical Institute 48:59–104 Mandelbrot BB, Taqqu M (1979) Robust R/S analysis of long run serial correlation. Bulletin of International Statistical Institute 48:59–104
Zurück zum Zitat Mandelbrot BB, Taqqu M (1979) Robust R/S analysis of long run serial correlation. Bulletin of International Statistical Institute 48:59–104 Mandelbrot BB, Taqqu M (1979) Robust R/S analysis of long run serial correlation. Bulletin of International Statistical Institute 48:59–104
Zurück zum Zitat Pelletier JD, Turcotte DL (1997) Long range persistence in climatological and hydrological time series: analysis, modeling and application to drought hazard assessment. J Hydrol 203:198–208CrossRef Pelletier JD, Turcotte DL (1997) Long range persistence in climatological and hydrological time series: analysis, modeling and application to drought hazard assessment. J Hydrol 203:198–208CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Rad AM, Ghahraman B, Khalili D et al (2017) Integrated meteorological and hydrological drought model: a management tool for proactive water resources planning of semi-arid regions. Adv Water Resour 107:336–353CrossRef Rad AM, Ghahraman B, Khalili D et al (2017) Integrated meteorological and hydrological drought model: a management tool for proactive water resources planning of semi-arid regions. Adv Water Resour 107:336–353CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Radhakrishnan P, Dinesh S (2006) An alternative approach to characterize time series data: case study on Malaysian rainfall data. Chaos, Solitons Fractals 27(2):511–518CrossRef Radhakrishnan P, Dinesh S (2006) An alternative approach to characterize time series data: case study on Malaysian rainfall data. Chaos, Solitons Fractals 27(2):511–518CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Seung-Hoon Y (2007) Urban water consumption and regional economic growth: the case of Taejeon, Korea. Water Resour Manag 21:1353–1361CrossRef Seung-Hoon Y (2007) Urban water consumption and regional economic growth: the case of Taejeon, Korea. Water Resour Manag 21:1353–1361CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Trajkovic S, Kolakovic S (2009) Evaluation of reference evapotranspiration equations under humid conditions. Water Resour Manag 23(14):3057–3067CrossRef Trajkovic S, Kolakovic S (2009) Evaluation of reference evapotranspiration equations under humid conditions. Water Resour Manag 23(14):3057–3067CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Wang F, Zheng XZ, Chen S et al (2017) Emergency Repair Scope Partition of City Water Distribution Network: a Novel Approach Considering the Node Importance. Water Resour Manag 31:3779–3794CrossRef Wang F, Zheng XZ, Chen S et al (2017) Emergency Repair Scope Partition of City Water Distribution Network: a Novel Approach Considering the Node Importance. Water Resour Manag 31:3779–3794CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Yoo SH, Yang CY (1999) Role of water utility in the Korean national economy. Int J Water Resour Dev 15:527–541CrossRef Yoo SH, Yang CY (1999) Role of water utility in the Korean national economy. Int J Water Resour Dev 15:527–541CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang JP, Zhao Y, Ding ZHH (2014) Research on the relationships between rainfall and meteorological yield in irrigation district. Water Resour Manag 28:1689–1702CrossRef Zhang JP, Zhao Y, Ding ZHH (2014) Research on the relationships between rainfall and meteorological yield in irrigation district. Water Resour Manag 28:1689–1702CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang JP, Ding ZHH, Yuan WL, Zuo QT (2013a) Research on the relationship between rainfall and reference crop evapotranspiration with multi-time scales. Paddy Water Environ 11(1):473–482CrossRef Zhang JP, Ding ZHH, Yuan WL, Zuo QT (2013a) Research on the relationship between rainfall and reference crop evapotranspiration with multi-time scales. Paddy Water Environ 11(1):473–482CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang JP, Guo BT, Ding ZHH (2013b) Research on the drought index of irrigation district with multi-time scales. Environ Monit Assess 185(10):8749–8757CrossRef Zhang JP, Guo BT, Ding ZHH (2013b) Research on the drought index of irrigation district with multi-time scales. Environ Monit Assess 185(10):8749–8757CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang JP, Li YY, Zhao Y, Hong Y (2017) Wavelet-cointegration prediction of irrigation water in the irrigation district. J Hydrol 544:343–351CrossRef Zhang JP, Li YY, Zhao Y, Hong Y (2017) Wavelet-cointegration prediction of irrigation water in the irrigation district. J Hydrol 544:343–351CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang JP, Zhao Y, Xiao WH (2015) Multi-resolution cointegraton prediction for runoff and sediment load. Water Resour Manag 29:3601–3613CrossRef Zhang JP, Zhao Y, Xiao WH (2015) Multi-resolution cointegraton prediction for runoff and sediment load. Water Resour Manag 29:3601–3613CrossRef
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang Q, Benveniste A (1992) Wavelet networks. IEEE Trans on Neural Networks 3(6):888–898 Zhang Q, Benveniste A (1992) Wavelet networks. IEEE Trans on Neural Networks 3(6):888–898
Zurück zum Zitat Zhang XB, Sun QH, Zhang SHY (1999) Research on nonlinear cointegration and its tesing method. J Syst Eng 14(1):57–68 (in Chinese with English abstract) Zhang XB, Sun QH, Zhang SHY (1999) Research on nonlinear cointegration and its tesing method. J Syst Eng 14(1):57–68 (in Chinese with English abstract)
Zurück zum Zitat Zou P, Yang J, Fu J, Liu G, Li D (2010) Artificial neural network and time series models for predicting soil salt and water content. Agric Water Manag 97:2009–2019CrossRef Zou P, Yang J, Fu J, Liu G, Li D (2010) Artificial neural network and time series models for predicting soil salt and water content. Agric Water Manag 97:2009–2019CrossRef
Metadaten
Titel
Wavelet-Nonlinear Cointegration Prediction of Irrigation Water in the Irrigation District
verfasst von
Jinping Zhang
Hongbin Li
Xixi Shi
Yang Hong
Publikationsdatum
14.05.2019
Verlag
Springer Netherlands
Erschienen in
Water Resources Management / Ausgabe 8/2019
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Elektronische ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-019-02270-3

Weitere Artikel der Ausgabe 8/2019

Water Resources Management 8/2019 Zur Ausgabe