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Open Access Zeitschriften Artikel – Finance + Banking

Open Access Zeitschriften Artikel – Finance + Banking

Estimating ultra long-term interest rates with raise regression

  • Open Access

Accurate estimation of ultra-long-term interest rates is essential for financial regulators, life insurance companies, and pension funds. The Nelson-Siegel model and its extension, the Svensson model, are widely used thanks to their parsimony and …

An integrated optimisation model for pricing and hedging oil derivatives

  • Open Access
  • Review

This paper develops an integrated optimisation model for pricing and hedging oil derivatives in incomplete markets where available market quotes and the trader’s views, inventory and risk aversion may affect the pricing. The model is well suited …

Inside the mind of retail short sellers

  • Open Access

This paper exploits individual trading records from a large brokerage service to investigate the trading patterns of retail investors who take short positions in stocks using contracts for differences (CFDs). Their risk tolerance, as reported in …

Beyond pure hype: news sentiment and its role in the BTC and ETH futures market

  • Open Access
  • Review

Unlike traditional assets, cryptocurrencies lack fundamental information such as dividends, earnings, or cash flows, requiring market participants to rely on alternative sources of information for price discovery and trading decisions. In this …

Optimal designs for discrete-time survival models with competing risks

  • Open Access

Current methodological research on randomized controlled trial design has predominantly focused on studies with a single primary endpoint. However, many trials in practice involve multiple competing target events. The optimal designs for survival …

Decomposing the revenue implications of the global minimum tax

  • Open Access

We develop a methodology to decompose the tax revenue impact of the global minimum tax introduced in 2024 into several components and quantify its potential impact on profit shifting. We apply the methodology to a dataset comprising 34 thousand …

Housing Market Vulnerabilities and Monetary Policy: Lessons From two Decades of European Data

  • Open Access

This paper investigates the transmission of monetary policy to real output, inflation, and housing markets in twelve European countries over the period 1995Q1-2025Q2. The paper emphasizes the importance of housing markets in the transmission …

Beyond Bonferroni: new multiple contrast tests for time-to-event data under non-proportional hazards

  • Open Access

When comparing multiple groups in clinical trials, we are not only interested in whether there is a difference between any groups but rather where the difference is. Such research questions lead to testing multiple individual hypotheses. To …

Estimating treatment effects on duration with disease: a principal stratification framework

  • Open Access

In clinical research, estimating the average treatment effect is a common goal. However, when treatment effects vary substantially across individuals, it is often more informative to evaluate the treatment effect within subgroups. This paper …

Measuring monetary policy shocks and their effects in an emerging economy: the case of Brazil

  • Open Access

We estimate novel narrative monetary policy shocks for Brazil, derived from the Central Bank’s reaction function and accounting for both constant and time-varying systematic monetary policy. We then examine the effects of these shocks on Brazilian …

The role of global factors in Bitcoin dynamics: Evidence from the TVP-VAR-SV model

  • Open Access

This paper investigates the time-varying dynamics of the Bitcoin price by examining its relationship with key global factors, including the VIX, the interest rate, the US dollar index, the oil price, and the gold price. The empirical analysis …

Similarity-based path forecasting of US recession periods

  • Open Access

We develop a nonparametric similarity-based approach for binary time series that exploits recurring historical patterns to construct probability forecasts for all feasible multi-period outcome sequences. In contrast to conventional …

Stochastic geometry approach to secrecy analysis in visible light communication in the presence of randomly located eavesdroppers

  • Open Access

This paper investigates the physical layer security of indoor visible light communication (VLC) systems in the presence of randomly located eavesdroppers using a stochastic geometry framework. Unlike traditional LOS-only or perfect-CSI …

3D Stochastic geometry framework For IRS-assisted hybrid beamforming in massive MIMO under imperfect CSI

  • Open Access

This paper presents a three-dimensional (3D) stochastic geometry framework to analyze intelligent reflecting surface (IRS) – assisted hybrid beamforming in massive MIMO downlink systems under imperfect channel state information (CSI). Leveraging …

Survey on AI technologies aiding multicast and broadcast services in 5G and 6G

  • Open Access

Despite standardization since 3GPP Release 9, multicast and broadcast services (MBS) remain largely undeployed in commercial networks. Artificial intelligence may catalyze adoption by addressing the optimization complexity hindering practical …

Wasserstein GAN-based estimation for conditional distribution function with current status data

  • Open Access

Current status data are commonly encountered in modern medicine, econometrics and social science. Its unique characteristics pose significant challenges to the analysis of such data and the existing methods often suffer grave consequences when the …

Deep learning for the change-point Cox model with current status data

  • Open Access

This study develops estimation methods for a deep partially linear Cox proportional hazards model with a change point under current status data, aiming to accommodate complex change-point effects. Prior work has largely relied on linear models …

From cash to digital: how mobile money is transforming tax collection in developing countries

  • Open Access

The rapid expansion of digital financial services, in particular mobile money, has been a game changer for financial inclusion in developing countries. This paper investigates the impact of mobile money adoption on non-resource tax revenues using …

Director typology and ESG performance: does board gender diversity matter? Evidence from European sustainable companies

  • Open Access
  • Original Paper

This study examines the moderating role of board gender diversity (BGD) in the relationship between busy directors, foreign directors, non-executive directors, and environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance. Using a sample of European …

The impact of climate change on reserves in life insurance

  • Open Access
  • Original Research Paper

Climate change brings serious challenges for various sectors of the economy, including the insurance industry. One important impact is its influence on mortality rates, which directly affect the financial reserves of life insurers. Accurately …