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Information Systems Frontiers

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01.07.2014

Using scenarios to understand the frontiers of IS: Fifteen years later (a postscript)

verfasst von: Anat Hovav

Erschienen in: Information Systems Frontiers | Ausgabe 3/2014

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Fifteen years ago, Paul Gray and I wrote the above article describing four potential trajectories technology may take (Gray and Hovav, 1999). The trajectories were developed based on a number of general assumptions and by using scenario building methodology. When I read the paper over in preparation for writing this postscript, it occurred to me that “had I known then what I know now…” I found our outlook somewhat naïve, techno centric and at points shortsighted. Hindsight is of course always 20/20. The key to good scenario building is not to try and describe a predictable future but to create a set of diverse futures and analyze the drivers and consequences of each. …

Vorheriger Artikel Using scenarios to understand the frontiers of IS

Nächster Artikel Foresight for a responsible future with ICT

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Titel: Using scenarios to understand the frontiers of IS: Fifteen years later (a postscript)
verfasst von: Anat Hovav
Publikationsdatum: 01.07.2014
Verlag: Springer US
Erschienen in: Information Systems Frontiers / Ausgabe 3/2014
Print ISSN: 1387-3326
Elektronische ISSN: 1572-9419
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10796-014-9501-x

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