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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

A Deep Hybrid Neural Network Forecasting for Multivariate Non-stationary Time Series

Authors : Xiaojian Yang, Xiyu Liu

Published in: Human Centered Computing

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

In the field of financial time series prediction, multivariate time series is increasingly considered as the input of the prediction model and non-stationary time series have always been the most common data sets. However, the processing efficiency is low but the cost is high whenthe traditional methods is used for modeling non-stationary time series. This paper is aimed at providing the methodological guidance for building low-cost models for modeling multivariate non-stationary time series. By building a univariate CNN, a multivariate CNN, a nonpooling CNN (NPCNN), a CNN-LSTM and a NPCNN-LSTM, we conducted a series of comparative experiments. We found that multivariate non-stationary time series is not complex enough, the pooling operation will lose the useful information and the LSTM layer can weaken this negative effect. Meanwhile, convolutional layers and LSTM layers can improve the prediction accuracy. Adding the LSTM to prediction models can make models have better performance in short-term prediction.

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Metadata
Title
A Deep Hybrid Neural Network Forecasting for Multivariate Non-stationary Time Series
Authors
Xiaojian Yang
Xiyu Liu
Copyright Year
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70626-5_19

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