Skip to main content
Top

2018 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

A Mean-Fuzzy Random VaR Portfolio Selection Model in Hybrid Uncertain Environment

Author : Jun Li

Published in: Proceedings of the Fifth International Forum on Decision Sciences

Publisher: Springer Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This paper aims to study portfolio optimization in hybrid uncertain environment. Different from the existing researches, this paper first presents the definition of fuzzy random Value-at-risk to measure investment risk and uses the λ-average value of the expected value of the fuzzy random return rate of a portfolio to measure investment return. Then a new mean-fuzzy random VaR portfolio selection model in which return rates of securities are assumed to be fuzzy random variables is proposed. Random simulation technologies are combined together with fuzzy simulation technologies to calculate fuzzy random Value-at-Risk, and a hybrid particle swarm optimization-based hybrid intelligent algorithm is designed to solve the proposed model. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate the application of this proposed model. The comparison results between HPSO-HIA and PSO-HIA show that the proposed algorithm- HPSO-HIA is effective for solving the proposed model.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio selection. J Finance 7:77–91 Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio selection. J Finance 7:77–91
2.
go back to reference Yoshimoto A (1996) The mean-variance approach to portfolio optimization subject to transaction costs. J Oper Res Soc Jpn 39(1):99–117CrossRef Yoshimoto A (1996) The mean-variance approach to portfolio optimization subject to transaction costs. J Oper Res Soc Jpn 39(1):99–117CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Best MJ, Hlouskova J (2000) The efficient frontier for bounded asset. Math Methods Oper Res 52(2):195–212CrossRef Best MJ, Hlouskova J (2000) The efficient frontier for bounded asset. Math Methods Oper Res 52(2):195–212CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Deng XT, Li ZF, Wang SY (2005) A minimax portfolio selection strategy with equilibrium. Eur J Oper Res 166(1):278–292CrossRef Deng XT, Li ZF, Wang SY (2005) A minimax portfolio selection strategy with equilibrium. Eur J Oper Res 166(1):278–292CrossRef
5.
go back to reference Corazza M, Favaretto D (2007) On the existence of solutions to the quadratic mixed-integer mean–variance portfolio selection problem. Eur J Oper Res 176(3):1947–1960CrossRef Corazza M, Favaretto D (2007) On the existence of solutions to the quadratic mixed-integer mean–variance portfolio selection problem. Eur J Oper Res 176(3):1947–1960CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Grootveld H, Hallerbach W (1999) Variance vs downside risk: is there really that much difference? Eur J Oper Res 114(2):304–319CrossRef Grootveld H, Hallerbach W (1999) Variance vs downside risk: is there really that much difference? Eur J Oper Res 114(2):304–319CrossRef
7.
go back to reference Campbell R, Huisman R, Koedijk K (2001) Optimal portfolio selection in a Value-at-risk framework. J Bank Finance 25:1789–1804CrossRef Campbell R, Huisman R, Koedijk K (2001) Optimal portfolio selection in a Value-at-risk framework. J Bank Finance 25:1789–1804CrossRef
8.
go back to reference Alexander GJ, Baptista AM (2002) Economic implications of using a mean-VaR model for portfolio selection: A comparison with mean-variance analysis [J]. J Econ Dyn Control 26:1159–1193CrossRef Alexander GJ, Baptista AM (2002) Economic implications of using a mean-VaR model for portfolio selection: A comparison with mean-variance analysis [J]. J Econ Dyn Control 26:1159–1193CrossRef
9.
go back to reference Benati S, Rizzi R (2007) A mixed integer linear programming formulation of the optimal mean/Value-at-risk portfolio problem. Eur J Oper Res 176:423–434CrossRef Benati S, Rizzi R (2007) A mixed integer linear programming formulation of the optimal mean/Value-at-risk portfolio problem. Eur J Oper Res 176:423–434CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Yiu KFC (2004) Optimal portfolios under a value-at-risk constraint. J Econ Dyn Control 28:1317–1334CrossRef Yiu KFC (2004) Optimal portfolios under a value-at-risk constraint. J Econ Dyn Control 28:1317–1334CrossRef
11.
go back to reference Giannopoulos K, Clark E, Tunaru R (2005) Portfolio selection under VaR constraints. CMS 2:123–138CrossRef Giannopoulos K, Clark E, Tunaru R (2005) Portfolio selection under VaR constraints. CMS 2:123–138CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Danielsson J, Jorgensen B, Vris CG, Yang X (2008) Optimal portfolio allocation under the probabilistic VaR constraint and incentives for financial innovation. Ann Finance 4:345–367CrossRef Danielsson J, Jorgensen B, Vris CG, Yang X (2008) Optimal portfolio allocation under the probabilistic VaR constraint and incentives for financial innovation. Ann Finance 4:345–367CrossRef
13.
go back to reference Liu YJ, Zhang WG (2013) Fuzzy portfolio optimization model under real constraints. Insur Math Econ 53:704–711CrossRef Liu YJ, Zhang WG (2013) Fuzzy portfolio optimization model under real constraints. Insur Math Econ 53:704–711CrossRef
15.
go back to reference Liu B (2002) Theory and practice of uncertain programming. Physica, HeidelbergCrossRef Liu B (2002) Theory and practice of uncertain programming. Physica, HeidelbergCrossRef
16.
go back to reference Luhandjula MK (2004) Optimisation under hybrid uncertainty. Fuzzy Sets Syst 146:187–203CrossRef Luhandjula MK (2004) Optimisation under hybrid uncertainty. Fuzzy Sets Syst 146:187–203CrossRef
17.
go back to reference Luhandjula MK (2006) Fuzzy stochastic linear programming: survey and future research directions. Eur J Oper Res 174(3):1353–1367CrossRef Luhandjula MK (2006) Fuzzy stochastic linear programming: survey and future research directions. Eur J Oper Res 174(3):1353–1367CrossRef
18.
go back to reference Li J, Xu JP, Gen M (2006) A class of fuzzy random multiobjective programming problem. Math Comput Model 44:1097–1113CrossRef Li J, Xu JP, Gen M (2006) A class of fuzzy random multiobjective programming problem. Math Comput Model 44:1097–1113CrossRef
19.
go back to reference Katagiri H, Ishii H (1999) Fuzzy portfolio selection problem. In: Paper to be presented at the IEEE international conference on systems, man, and cybernetics Katagiri H, Ishii H (1999) Fuzzy portfolio selection problem. In: Paper to be presented at the IEEE international conference on systems, man, and cybernetics
20.
go back to reference Smimou K, Bector CR, Jacoby G (2008) Portfolio selection subject to experts’ judgments. Int Rev Financial Anal 17(5):1036–1054CrossRef Smimou K, Bector CR, Jacoby G (2008) Portfolio selection subject to experts’ judgments. Int Rev Financial Anal 17(5):1036–1054CrossRef
21.
go back to reference Li J, Xu JP (2009) A novel portfolio selection model in hybrid uncertain environment. Omega-Int J Manag Sci 37(2):439–449CrossRef Li J, Xu JP (2009) A novel portfolio selection model in hybrid uncertain environment. Omega-Int J Manag Sci 37(2):439–449CrossRef
22.
go back to reference Zmeskal Z (2005) Value at risk methodology under soft conditions approach (fuzzy-stochastic approach). Eur J Oper Res 161:337–347CrossRef Zmeskal Z (2005) Value at risk methodology under soft conditions approach (fuzzy-stochastic approach). Eur J Oper Res 161:337–347CrossRef
23.
go back to reference Yoshida Y (2009) An estimation model of value-at-risk portfolio under uncertainty. Fuzzy Sets Syst 160:3250–3262CrossRef Yoshida Y (2009) An estimation model of value-at-risk portfolio under uncertainty. Fuzzy Sets Syst 160:3250–3262CrossRef
24.
go back to reference Puri ML, Ralescu DA (1986) Fuzzy random variables. J Math Anal Appl 114:409–422CrossRef Puri ML, Ralescu DA (1986) Fuzzy random variables. J Math Anal Appl 114:409–422CrossRef
25.
go back to reference López-Díaz M, Gil MA (1998) The λ-average value and the fuzzy expectation of a fuzzy random variable. Fuzzy Sets Syst 99:347–352CrossRef López-Díaz M, Gil MA (1998) The λ-average value and the fuzzy expectation of a fuzzy random variable. Fuzzy Sets Syst 99:347–352CrossRef
26.
go back to reference Liu Y, Liu B (2005) On minimum-risk problems in fuzzy random decision systems. Comput Oper Res 32:257–283CrossRef Liu Y, Liu B (2005) On minimum-risk problems in fuzzy random decision systems. Comput Oper Res 32:257–283CrossRef
27.
28.
go back to reference Peng J (2008) Measuring fuzzy risk with credibilistic value at risk. In: Paper to be presented at the Third international conference on innovative computing, information and control, Dalian Peng J (2008) Measuring fuzzy risk with credibilistic value at risk. In: Paper to be presented at the Third international conference on innovative computing, information and control, Dalian
29.
go back to reference Wang S, Watada J (2012) A hybrid modified PSO approach to VaR-based facility location problems with variable capacity in fuzzy random uncertainty. Inf Sci 192:3–18CrossRef Wang S, Watada J (2012) A hybrid modified PSO approach to VaR-based facility location problems with variable capacity in fuzzy random uncertainty. Inf Sci 192:3–18CrossRef
30.
go back to reference Campos LM, González A (1989) A subjective approach for ranking fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy Sets Syst 29:45–153 Campos LM, González A (1989) A subjective approach for ranking fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy Sets Syst 29:45–153
31.
go back to reference Liu B (2002) Theory and practice of uncertain programming. Physica Verlag, New YorkCrossRef Liu B (2002) Theory and practice of uncertain programming. Physica Verlag, New YorkCrossRef
32.
go back to reference Kennedy J, Eberhart RC (1995) Particle swarm optimization. In: Paper to be presented at the IEEE international conference neural network Kennedy J, Eberhart RC (1995) Particle swarm optimization. In: Paper to be presented at the IEEE international conference neural network
33.
go back to reference Kennedy J, Eberhart RC, Shi Y (2001) Swarm intelligency. Morgan Kaufman Publishers, San Francisco Kennedy J, Eberhart RC, Shi Y (2001) Swarm intelligency. Morgan Kaufman Publishers, San Francisco
34.
go back to reference He Q, Wang L (2007) A hybrid particle swarm optimization with a feasibility-based rule for constrained optimization. Appl Math Comput 186:1407–1422 He Q, Wang L (2007) A hybrid particle swarm optimization with a feasibility-based rule for constrained optimization. Appl Math Comput 186:1407–1422
Metadata
Title
A Mean-Fuzzy Random VaR Portfolio Selection Model in Hybrid Uncertain Environment
Author
Jun Li
Copyright Year
2018
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-7817-0_13

Premium Partner