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Published in: Financial Markets and Portfolio Management 1/2015

01-02-2015

A note on sorting bias correction in regression-based mutual fund tournament tests

Authors: Aymen Karoui, Iwan Meier

Published in: Financial Markets and Portfolio Management | Issue 1/2015

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Abstract

The tournament hypothesis of Brown et al. (J Financ 51(1):85–110, 1996) conjectures that mutual funds with a below-average performance over the first half of the year tend to increase their risk in the second half of the year. Schwarz (Rev Financ Stud 25(3):913–936, 2012) argues that the methodologies that are used to test this hypothesis are flawed because they are affected by a bias that results from sorting on return, which likely also sorts on risk. He argues that both the contingency and regression approaches used in the literature are affected by this sorting bias. We demonstrate that simply including the return standard deviation over the first half of the year in regression-based tests corrects for most of the bias and is just as suitable a way to control for the sorting bias as the more complex Schwarz (Rev Financ Stud 25(3):913–936, 2012) correction.

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Footnotes
1
To adjust for stock splits, the number of shares at the end of June, \(w_{6,i}^j \), is adjusted using the share adjustment factor from CRSP such that it corresponds to the equivalent number of shares in December. For example when a 1:3 stock split occurs over the second half of the year, the number of stocks in the June portfolio is multiplied by 3.
 
2
The relationship is positive as we multiply the coefficient \(\beta _1 \) in both Eqs. (3) and (9) by \(-1\), thus inverting the relationship.
 
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Metadata
Title
A note on sorting bias correction in regression-based mutual fund tournament tests
Authors
Aymen Karoui
Iwan Meier
Publication date
01-02-2015
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Financial Markets and Portfolio Management / Issue 1/2015
Print ISSN: 1934-4554
Electronic ISSN: 2373-8529
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-014-0240-2

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