Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Journal of Quantitative Economics 1/2017

17-06-2016 | Notes and Short Articles

A Short Note on Information Transmissions Across US-BRIC Equity Markets: Evidence from Volatility Spillover Index

Authors: Amanjot Singh, Parneet Kaur

Published in: Journal of Quantitative Economics | Issue 1/2017

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The present study is the first of its kind capturing information transmissions among the US and BRIC equity markets through the creation of a total spillover index across the years 2004–2014 and average directional volatility spillovers by employing ARMA (1,1) EGARCH-M (1,1) model and Diebold and Yilmaz’s (Int J Forecast 28(1):57–66, 2011) generalized spillover index under vector autoregression framework. The results spotlight increasing volatility spillover effects or information transmissions during adverse market scenarios, i.e. there are bi-directional volatility spillover effects among the markets undertaken; even confirmed by Markov regime switching model results. On an average, around 38\(\,\%\) of the variations are accounted due to the spillover effects. At the same time, both the US and Brazilian markets are found to be net transmitters of volatility, whereas the rest of the markets are net receivers of volatility. The Indian equity market is greatly affected by cross market variations, whereas the Brazilian equity market is found to be the dominant transmitter of volatility. The findings have important implications for international portfolio risk managers and different institutional investors.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Footnotes
1
An economic bloc comprising, Brazil, Russia, India and China as major emerging markets having high growth potential and ability to surpass mature markets in future.
 
2
The respective lag lengths are determined on the basis of autocorrelation functions (ACF), partial autocorrelation functions (PACF) and significance level of Ljung Box test statistics of the stock market returns.
 
3
As per Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research (2010), the recovery from the US crisis started from June 2009. So, we have considered the time period of 2 years starting from July 2007 to June 2009, further inspired from Bekaert et al. (2011).
 
Literature
go back to reference Bekaert, G., M. Ehrmann, M. Fratzscher, and A. Mehl. 2011. Global crises and equity market contagion, working paper [1381]. European Central Bank. Bekaert, G., M. Ehrmann, M. Fratzscher, and A. Mehl. 2011. Global crises and equity market contagion, working paper [1381]. European Central Bank.
go back to reference Bekiros, S.D. 2014. Decoupling and the spillover effects of the US financial crisis: evidence from the BRIC markets. International Review of Financial Analysis 33: 58–69.CrossRef Bekiros, S.D. 2014. Decoupling and the spillover effects of the US financial crisis: evidence from the BRIC markets. International Review of Financial Analysis 33: 58–69.CrossRef
go back to reference Bhar, R., and B. Nikolova. 2007. Analysis of mean and volatility spillovers using BRIC countries, regional and world equity index returns. Journal of Economic Integration 22(2): 369–381.CrossRef Bhar, R., and B. Nikolova. 2007. Analysis of mean and volatility spillovers using BRIC countries, regional and world equity index returns. Journal of Economic Integration 22(2): 369–381.CrossRef
go back to reference Bianconi, M., J.A. Yoshino, and M.O. Sousa. 2013. BRIC and the U.S. financial crisis: an empirical investigation of stock and bond markets. Emerging Markets Review 14: 76–109.CrossRef Bianconi, M., J.A. Yoshino, and M.O. Sousa. 2013. BRIC and the U.S. financial crisis: an empirical investigation of stock and bond markets. Emerging Markets Review 14: 76–109.CrossRef
go back to reference Bollerslev, T. 1986. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics 31: 307–327.CrossRef Bollerslev, T. 1986. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics 31: 307–327.CrossRef
go back to reference Booth, G.G., W.R. So, and Y. Tse. 1999. Price discovery in the German equity index derivatives markets. The Journal of Futures Markets 9(6): 619–643.CrossRef Booth, G.G., W.R. So, and Y. Tse. 1999. Price discovery in the German equity index derivatives markets. The Journal of Futures Markets 9(6): 619–643.CrossRef
go back to reference Chen, M. 2015. Risk-return tradeoff in Chinese stock markets: some recent evidence. International Journal of Emerging Markets 10(3): 448–473.CrossRef Chen, M. 2015. Risk-return tradeoff in Chinese stock markets: some recent evidence. International Journal of Emerging Markets 10(3): 448–473.CrossRef
go back to reference Cronin, D. 2014. The interaction between money and asset markets: A spillover index approach. Journal of Macroeconomics 39: 185–202.CrossRef Cronin, D. 2014. The interaction between money and asset markets: A spillover index approach. Journal of Macroeconomics 39: 185–202.CrossRef
go back to reference Diebold, F.X., and K. Yilmaz. 2011. Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers. International Journal of Forecasting 28(1): 57–66.CrossRef Diebold, F.X., and K. Yilmaz. 2011. Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers. International Journal of Forecasting 28(1): 57–66.CrossRef
go back to reference Evgenii, G., and F. Elena. 2014. Internal and external spillover effects for the BRIC countries: Multivariate GARCH-in-mean approach. Research in International Business and Finance 31: 32–45.CrossRef Evgenii, G., and F. Elena. 2014. Internal and external spillover effects for the BRIC countries: Multivariate GARCH-in-mean approach. Research in International Business and Finance 31: 32–45.CrossRef
go back to reference Gagnon, l, and A.G. Karolyi. 2006. Price and volatility transmisison across borders. Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments 17(3): 107–158.CrossRef Gagnon, l, and A.G. Karolyi. 2006. Price and volatility transmisison across borders. Financial Markets, Institutions and Instruments 17(3): 107–158.CrossRef
go back to reference Hamilton, J.D. 1989. A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time-series and business cycle. Econometrica 57(2): 357–384.CrossRef Hamilton, J.D. 1989. A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary time-series and business cycle. Econometrica 57(2): 357–384.CrossRef
go back to reference Koop, G., M.H. Pesaran, and S.M. Potter. 1996. Impulse response analysis in non-linear multivariate models. Journal of Econometrics 74: 119–147.CrossRef Koop, G., M.H. Pesaran, and S.M. Potter. 1996. Impulse response analysis in non-linear multivariate models. Journal of Econometrics 74: 119–147.CrossRef
go back to reference Kumar, M. 2013. Returns and volatility spillover between stock prices and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from IBSA countries. International Journal of Emerging Markets 8(2): 108–128.CrossRef Kumar, M. 2013. Returns and volatility spillover between stock prices and exchange rates: Empirical evidence from IBSA countries. International Journal of Emerging Markets 8(2): 108–128.CrossRef
go back to reference Liow, K.H. 2014. The dynamics of return co-movements and volatility spillover effects in Greater China public property markets and international linkages. Journal of Property Investment & Finance 32(6): 610–641.CrossRef Liow, K.H. 2014. The dynamics of return co-movements and volatility spillover effects in Greater China public property markets and international linkages. Journal of Property Investment & Finance 32(6): 610–641.CrossRef
go back to reference Nelson, D.B. 1991. Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica 59(2): 347–370.CrossRef Nelson, D.B. 1991. Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica 59(2): 347–370.CrossRef
go back to reference Pesaran, M.H., and Y. Shin. 1998. Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models. Economics Letters 58: 17–29.CrossRef Pesaran, M.H., and Y. Shin. 1998. Generalized impulse response analysis in linear multivariate models. Economics Letters 58: 17–29.CrossRef
go back to reference Rittler, D. 2012. Price discovery and volatility spillovers in the European Union emissions trading scheme: A high-frequency analysis. Journal of Banking & Finance 36(3): 774–785.CrossRef Rittler, D. 2012. Price discovery and volatility spillovers in the European Union emissions trading scheme: A high-frequency analysis. Journal of Banking & Finance 36(3): 774–785.CrossRef
go back to reference Schaller, H., and S. Norden. 1997. Regime switching in stock market returns. Applied Financial Economics 7(2): 177–191.CrossRef Schaller, H., and S. Norden. 1997. Regime switching in stock market returns. Applied Financial Economics 7(2): 177–191.CrossRef
go back to reference Sehgal, S., W. Ahmad, and F. Deisting. 2015. An investigation of price discovery and volatility spillovers in India’s foreign exchange market. Journal of Economic Studies 42(2): 261–284.CrossRef Sehgal, S., W. Ahmad, and F. Deisting. 2015. An investigation of price discovery and volatility spillovers in India’s foreign exchange market. Journal of Economic Studies 42(2): 261–284.CrossRef
go back to reference Syriopoulos, T., B. Makram, and A. Boubaker. 2015. Stock market volatility spillovers and portfolio hedging: BRICS and the financial crisis. International Review of Financial Analysis 39: 7–18.CrossRef Syriopoulos, T., B. Makram, and A. Boubaker. 2015. Stock market volatility spillovers and portfolio hedging: BRICS and the financial crisis. International Review of Financial Analysis 39: 7–18.CrossRef
Metadata
Title
A Short Note on Information Transmissions Across US-BRIC Equity Markets: Evidence from Volatility Spillover Index
Authors
Amanjot Singh
Parneet Kaur
Publication date
17-06-2016
Publisher
Springer India
Published in
Journal of Quantitative Economics / Issue 1/2017
Print ISSN: 0971-1554
Electronic ISSN: 2364-1045
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40953-016-0047-2

Other articles of this Issue 1/2017

Journal of Quantitative Economics 1/2017 Go to the issue

Premium Partner