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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Aluminum Production and Aviation: An Interesting Case of an Interwoven Rebound Effect in a Digital Transforming World

Authors : Tessaleno Devezas, Hugo Ruão

Published in: The Economics of Digital Transformation

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

In this chapter, it is presented an extensive prospective analysis of the worldwide aluminum production. It is discussed in detail the six major reasons why aluminum is not only one of the fundamental materials of modern civilization, but it could still immensely expand its range of applications and volume of production globally. The high demand for aluminum from all industry sectors can still endure for a couple of decades from now, but probably at a lower growth rate, following probably the path of a logistic curve. Today’s high per capita consumption presented by highly industrialized countries (between 15 kg and 30 kg per capita) will probably persist for the next two decades from now, considering that these countries have also significative automobile and aircraft production plants. But a very important aspect to consider regarding aluminum production/consumption is the fact that it is highly probable that recycling of scrap aluminum will gain a renewed momentum as environmental concerns worsen; still regarding this point it is important to take in account that today’s existing aluminum in circulation is almost enough to satisfy global demand through recycling.

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Footnotes
1
The revolutionary design of the Boeing 247 (1932), DC1 (1933) and DC-3 (1935) models is credited as legitimate representatives of modern airplane engineering, whose fundamental characteristics are still used today. The DC-3 is considered as History’s most successful airplane; although DC-3 passenger version was shut down in 1943, some of these original aircraft are still in service on small cargo regional routes around the world – more than 75 years later!
 
2
The order presented is not the order of the largest producers, but rather of the largest reserves. The order by volume of production is: Australia, China, Brazil, Indonesia, Guinea, India, Jamaica, Kazakhstan, Russia and Suriname.
 
3
The prices in this figure are given in Euros/kg as it is presented by CES EduPack.
 
4
To this four digits follow letters that specify the type of temper treatment: F (as fabricated), H (strain hardened, followed by numbers that specify if they are submitted to other heat treatments); O (full soft), T (heat treated followed by numbers that specify the type of treatment), W (solution heat treated). Cast alloys also use the same letter codes.
 
5
All data of the curves presented in this section stem from IAI and USGS.
 
6
Important to observe that the yearly number refers to booked flights, and do not reflect the number of people flying. For instance, a person that flies once a week, every week, will count as 52 booked flights (passenger) in that year. A passenger flying on both the international and domestic stages of the same flight should be counted as both a domestic and an international passenger, then as two booked flights.
 
7
This foreseen recession may have been anticipated because of the pandemics of the SARS-CoV-2, which is still spreading around the world at the time we are concluding this chapter.
 
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Metadata
Title
Aluminum Production and Aviation: An Interesting Case of an Interwoven Rebound Effect in a Digital Transforming World
Authors
Tessaleno Devezas
Hugo Ruão
Copyright Year
2021
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-59959-1_16