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2018 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

An Integral Futures Lens on Future Security Issues

Authors : Craig Perry, Andy Hines

Published in: Security by Design

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Conventional analysis of security issues tends to take a disjointed approach through tightly focused tactical lenses. Increasingly, however, security issues are embedded in a wider and diverse range of factors that may escape conventional analysis. An integral futures perspective to exploring security issues is proposed that provides a wider lens by taking an integrated holistic approach that explores individual and collective aspects of emerging issues from both an interior (e.g., motivation, culture) and exterior (e.g., behavior, systems, and infrastructures) perspective. We believe this approach provides a fresh way to identify issues as well as providing a more holistic explanatory framework.

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Footnotes
1
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2
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. The National Military Strategy of the United States of America 2015: The United States Military’s Contribution To National Security. June 2015.
 
3
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-0, Joint Operations. January 17, 2017.
 
4
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 1, Doctrine for the Armed Forces of the United States. March 25, 2013.
 
5
Holmes, James R. “Everything You Know About Clausewitz Is Wrong.” The Diplomat, November 12, 2014, thediplomat.com/2014/11/everything-you-know-about-clausewitz-is-wrong. Accessed June 10, 2017.
 
6
Joint Staff. Joint Pub 3-07, Joint Doctrine for Military Operations Other Than War. June 16, 1995.
 
7
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-07, Stability Operations. September 29, 2011.
 
8
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-0, Joint Operations. January 17, 2017.
 
9
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-05, Special Operations. July 16, 2014.
 
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Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-12 (R), Cyberspace Operations. February 5, 2013.
 
11
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-13, Information Operations. November 20, 2014.
 
12
Beck, Don. “What Is Spiral Dynamics Integral?” Integral Naked, 2003, www.​spiraldynamics.​net. Accessed.
 
13
Rutenberg, Jim. “RT, Sputnik and Russia’s New Theory of War: How the Kremlin built one of the most powerful information weapons of the 21st century—and why it may be impossible to stop.” The New York Times, September 13, 2017, https://​www.​nytimes.​com/​2017/​09/​13/​magazine/​rt-sputnik-and-russias-new-theory-of-war.​html. Accessed September 23, 2017.
 
14
Defense Intelligence Agency. Russia Military Power: Building a Military to Support Great Power Aspirations. 2017.
 
15
Office of the Director of National Intelligence. Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US Elections. January 6, 2017.
 
16
Navarro, Peter. “China’s Non-Kinetic 'Three Warfares' Against America.” The National Interest, January 5, 2016, http://​nationalinterest​.​org/​blog/​the-buzz/​chinas-non-kinetic-three-warfares-against-america-14808. Accessed September 9, 2017.
 
17
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-07.2, Antiterrorism. November 24, 2010.
 
18
Joint Staff. Joint Publication 3-24, Counterinsurgency. November 22, 2013.
 
19
Waltzman, Rand. “The Weaponization of Information: The Need for Cognitive Security.” RAND Corporation, April 27, 2017.
 
20
McKew, Molly K. “The Gerasimov Doctrine: It’s Russia’s new chaos theory of political warfare. And it’s probably being used on you.” Politico, September 5, 2017, http://​www.​politico.​eu/​article/​new-battles-cyberwarfare-russia/​. Accessed September 23, 2017.
 
21
Reinbold, Fabian. “Germany Prepares for Possible Russian Election Meddling.” Spiegel Online, September 7, 2017, http://​www.​spiegel.​de/​international/​germany/​how-germany-is-preparing-for-russian-election-meddling-a-1166461.​html. Accessed September 23, 2017.
 
22
Paul, Christopher and Miriam Matthews. “The Russian ‘Firehose of Falsehood’ Propaganda Model: Why It Might Work and Options to Counter It.” RAND Corporation, 2016.
 
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Metadata
Title
An Integral Futures Lens on Future Security Issues
Authors
Craig Perry
Andy Hines
Copyright Year
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-78021-4_3

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