Analysis of the Population Replacement Component in Demographic Development of Russia

The relevance of statistical analysis of demographic development in Russia is due to negative trend of natural rate of population growth, low birth rate, and high mortality as observed in last two decades. A solid information and analytical approach to the study of negative phenomena in demographic development is necessary for development of effective measures and management decisions on different levels to ensure the positive demographic change in Russian Federation. In this work, we study processes associated with the population replacement component in demographic development of Russia. Analyzing the demographic development, we used general scientific and statistical research methods such as: dialectics, comparison, time series analysis, the method of generalizing indicators, the method of multidimensional grouping. Stages of demographic development were identified based on its component analysis and quantitative assessment of the natural population decline replacement. A system of indicators to allow the development of an integral indicator and to characterize the population replacement component of demographic development has been formed. As the result of the study, three groups of regions were formed using the “Pattern” method: having low, medium and above-average demographic development based on the integral estimate ranking of regions.