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Published in:
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2014 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

11. Application to a Network of Hospitals at Regional Scale

Authors : Alessio Lupoi, Francesco Cavalieri, Paolo Franchin

Published in: SYNER-G: Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of Complex Urban, Utility, Lifeline Systems and Critical Facilities

Publisher: Springer Netherlands

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Abstract

The seismic performance of a regional Health-Care System (HCS) is investigated. The earthquake effects both on hospitals and on the Road Network (RDN), connecting towns to hospitals, are evaluated and the interaction among them accounted for. Victims move to hospitals until their request for a bed or for a surgical treatment is satisfied, if possible. A novel “dynamic” model for hospitalization is developed and implemented. The road network is modelled in connectivity terms. The vulnerability of hospitals and bridges is expressed by pre-evaluated fragility curves. Seismic hazard is described by a state-of-the-art model. The reliability problem is solved by Monte Carlo simulation. The un-hospitalized victims, the risk that hospitals are unable to provide medical care, the demand of medical care on hospitals, the hospitalization travel time, are among the useful results of the analysis. The methodology is exemplified with reference to a case-study region, with population of 877,000, 20 towns, 5 hospitals and 32 bridges.

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Footnotes
1
In the original model the intensity measure is the Modified Mercalli Intensity (MMI); the relationship in (Wald et al. 1999) is employed to convert MMI into PGA.
 
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Metadata
Title
Application to a Network of Hospitals at Regional Scale
Authors
Alessio Lupoi
Francesco Cavalieri
Paolo Franchin
Copyright Year
2014
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Book
SYNER-G: Systemic Seismic Vulnerability and Risk Assessment of Complex Urban, Utility, Lifeline Systems and Critical Facilities

Print ISBN: 978-94-017-8834-2

Electronic ISBN: 978-94-017-8835-9

Copyright Year: 2014

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-8835-9_11