1 List of symbols and notations
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\(A_1\) and \(A_2\): CPG capacities associated with two failure mechanisms: the first by the contact area of the load and the second by the screw tips.
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\(A_{11}\) and \(A_{11}^*\): Timber contribution to the capacity under CPG. \(A_{11}\) is calculated with Eq. 5 considering an effective spreading length (\(l_{ef,1}\)). \(A_{11}^*\), calculated using Eq. 20, neglects any sort of load diffusion.
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\(A_{12}\): Screw contribution to the capacity under CPG, calculated with Eq. 5.
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\(A_{ef}\): Effective contact area. Due to the contribution of adjacent fibres, an increase of 30 mm of the contact length on each side of the contact area is recommended.
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\(a_1\): Spacing between screw or rod reinforcement in the direction parallel to the grain.
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\(a_{3,c}\): Distance between the screw closest to the member edge and the member end in the direction parallel to the grain.
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\(\alpha\): Angle between screw axis and grain direction of the wood member.
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\(B_1\): CPG capacity of the un-reinforced timber specimen.
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b: Member width.
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\(b_c\): Width of the contact area for the reinforced member under CPG.
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\(c_h=\left( 0.19+0.012d\right) \rho _k\left( \frac{90^\circ +\alpha }{180}\right)\): Sub-grade coefficient for the screw for solid timber, glued laminated (GL) timber of softwood. \(c_h\) is in MPa if d is in mm, \(\rho _k\) in kg/m\(^3\) and \(\alpha\) in degrees.
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CPG: Compression perpendicular to the grain.
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CoV: Coefficient of Variation.
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\(C({\textbf{x}},\mathbf {\Theta })\): Following Gardoni et al. (2002), it is the capacity, where \({\textbf{x}}\) are the measurable capacity variables, and \(\varvec{\Theta }=\{\varvec{\theta }, \sigma \}\) are unknown model parameters with modeling error \(\sigma\).
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d: Outer thread diameter of the screw;
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\(d_1\): Inner thread diameter of the screw obtained as 0.7d;
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\(E_s\): Young’s modulus of steel equals to 210GPa.
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\(\theta _{ij}\): Generic coefficient of the explanatory variables used in the probabilistic capacity models.
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\(f_{c,90,d}\): Design compression strength perpendicular to the grain direction.
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\(F_{c,90,d}\): Design compression force perpendicular to the grain direction.
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\(F_{c,90,k}\): Characteristic compressive strength of the reinforced member under CPG.
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\(F_{c,90,m}^j\): Mean compressive strength of the reinforced member under CPG, where the index j indicates the model number used for its estimation. The paper investigates eight capacity models, so \(j\in [1-8]\).
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\(f_{c,90,k}\): Characteristic compressive strength of the reinforced member under CPG.
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\(F_{w,k}\): Characteristic withdrawal capacity of the screw.
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\(f_{w,k}\): Characteristic withdrawal strength of the screw. The definition of \(f_{w,k}\), reported in Eq. 8, follows Eq.6 in Tab.11.2 of the Eurocode 5 draft (2022).
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\(F_{c,k}\): Characteristic axial capacity of the screw.
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\(F_{exp}\): Experimental capacity under CPG.
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\(f_{y,k}\): Characteristic yielding strength of the steel.
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\(\gamma _3\): Constant coefficient, found equal to 1.2, used in the proposed deterministic capacity model.
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\(h_{ef}\): Effective height. For members on continuous support loaded by concentrated forces perpendicular to the grain, the load arrangement factor should be calculated with an effective spreading length of the compressive stresses. The following equations should be used for continuous and discrete supports respectively: \(h_{ef}=\text {min}\{h; 280 \text {mm}\}\), \(h_{ef}=\text {min}\{0.4 \cdot h; 140 \text {mm}\}\).
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\(I_s=\pi \cdot \frac{d_1^4}{64}\): Moment of inertia of the screws cross-sections.
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\(k_{c,90}\): load distribution factor and equal to \(\sqrt{l_{ef}/l_c}\) for un-reinforced members.
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\(k=0.5\left[ 1+0.49\left( {\bar{\lambda }}_k-0.2\right) +{\bar{\lambda }}_k^2\right]\): Buckling coefficient for buckling.
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\(k_p\) for un-reinforced compression perpendicular to grain: according to prEN1995 (2021), it accounts for the material behaviour and the degree of deformation perpendicular to the grain. The factor accounts for the increased stiffness when the deformation increases (Leijten et al. 2012), see Table 1.
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\(k_{pr}\) parameter adopted for screws reinforced compression perpendicular to the grain (this parameter was originally indicated as \(k_{c,90}\) in EN 1995-1-1): according to prEN1995-1-1, it takes into account the material behaviour and the degree of deformation perpendicular to the grain. The value of \(k_{pr}\) according to Blass et al. (2004) and the existing version of (EN1995 2010) can be assumed as 1.75 for glulam members on discrete supports loaded by distributed loads and/or by concentrated loads at a clear distance from the support \(l_s\) larger or equal to 2h, or 1.5 in case of glulam member on continuous support (sill configuration). For the other cases, the value of \(k_{pr}\) can be assumed equal to 1. The tested specimens correspond to the left scenario in Fig. 1.
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\(k_{w}={\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} 1, &{} 30^{\circ } \le \epsilon \le 90^{\circ } \\ 1-0.01(30^{\circ }-\epsilon ), &{} 0^{\circ }\le \epsilon <30^{\circ } \\ \end{array}\right. }\): Parameter for screws and rods with wood-screw thread, where \(\epsilon\) is the angle between the fastener axis and the direction of the grain.
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\(k_{mat}={\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} 1.0, &{} n_p=1 \\ 1.06, &{} n_p\ge 2 \\ 1.10, &{} n_p\ge 3 \\ 1.13, &{} n_p\ge 5 \\ 1.15, &{} n_p \ge 7 \\ \end{array}\right. }\): Material parameter for the number of lamination, where \(n_p\) is the number of lamination.
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\(k_{\rho }={\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} 1.10, &{} \text {for softwoods and }\, 15^{\circ }\le \epsilon \le 90^{\circ } \\ 1.25-0.05d, &{} \text {for softwoods and }\, 0^{\circ }\le \epsilon < 15^{\circ } \\ 1.6, &{} \text {for hardwoods and }\, 0^{\circ }\le \epsilon \le 90^{\circ } \\ \end{array}\right. }\): Parameter for screws and rods with wood-screw thread, where \(\epsilon\) is the angle between the fastener axis and the direction of the grain.
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\(\kappa _c={\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} 1, &{} {\bar{\lambda }}_k\le 0.2 \\ \frac{1}{k+\sqrt{k^2-{\bar{\lambda }}_k^2}}, &{} {\bar{\lambda }}_k >0.2 \end{array}\right. }\): Reduction factors for screw buckling. Alternatively, the values in Table 2 can be used. For values non-included in Table 2 the linear interpolation should be carried out.
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\(l_{ef,1}\): Effective contact length parallel to the grain in correspondence with the contact area for the reinforced member under CPG.
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\(l_{ef,2}\): Effective distribution length parallel to the grain defined by the screw or rod types for the reinforced member under CPG.
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\(l_e\): Clear spacing parallel to grain between the contact area and the member edge.
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\(l_r\): Penetration part of the threaded part of the screw.
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\(l_s\): Length support to concentrated load. The Karlsruhe model indicated the penetration part of the threaded part of the screw (\(l_r\)).
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\(l_{ef}\): Effective spreading length of the compressive stresses estimated by assuming a \(45^\circ\) diffusion angle.
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\(l_c\): Contact length of the applied force.
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\(l_w\): Anchorage depth of the screw.
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\({\bar{\lambda }}_k=\frac{N_{pl,k}}{N_{ki,k}}\): Relative slenderness ratio of the screws.
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n: Number of fully threaded screws.
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\(n_0\): Number of fully threaded screws or rods arranged in a row parallel to the grain.
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\(N_{pl,k}\): Characteristic buckling strength of the screw.
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\(N_{ki,k}=2\sqrt{c_hE_sI_s}\): Characteristic ideal elastic buckling.
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\(\rho _k\): Characteristic density of wood.
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\(R_{S,k}\): In the Karlsruhe model it indicates the minimum between \(F_{c,k}\) and \(F_{w,k}\).
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\(R_{ax,k}\): In the Karlsruhe model, it indicated the withdrawal strength of the screw, named \(F_{w,k}\) in the current notation.
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\(R_{c,k}\): In the Karlsruhe model, it indicated the buckling strength of the screw, named \(F_{c,k}\) in the current notation.
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\(\sigma _{c,90,d}\): design compression stress perpendicular to the grain direction.
Cases | Case A | Case B | Case C |
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Deformation | 2.50% | 10% | 20% |
\(k_p\) factor | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
\(f_{yk}\) [Mpa] | \(\alpha\)=90 | \(\alpha\)=0 |
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1000 | 0.6 | 0.5 |
800 | 0.65 | 0.55 |
500 | 0.75 | 0.65 |
2 Introduction
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Collecting a database of tests of timber specimens under CPG, which could be used in future studies for validation and calibration purposes. The database can be downloaded as supplementary electronic material.
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Critical review of the current CPG capacity model, included in the draft of the next generation of Eurocodes.
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Comparison between eight probabilistic and deterministic capacity models to verify if the assumptions of the Eurocode model (especially those on the load spreading) have a solid foundation.
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Improvement and possible simplification of the Eurocode model, given the optimal fitting of the simplistic mechanical model and the probabilistic ones. This paper recognizes two candidate models for possible future code developments.
3 Standard proposal and literature background
Design model of timber members under CPG | |
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Characteristic strength of non-reinforced members under CPG (EN1995 2010) | |
\(\sigma _{c,90,d}\le k_{pr}\cdot f_{c,90,d}\) | (2) |
Note \(k_{pr}\) is originally indicated as \(k_{c,90}\) in EN 1995-1-1 as in the Eq. 1. The new term is here adopted to be coherent with the new proposal. | |
Characteristic strength of non-reinforced members under CPG (prEN1995 2021) | |
\(\sigma _{c,90,d}\le k_p \cdot k_{c,90}\cdot f_{c,90,d}=B_1\) | (3) |
\(k_{c,90}=\sqrt{\frac{l_{ef}}{l_c}}\le 4\) | (4) |
Characteristic strength of reinforced members under CPG (prEN1995 2021) | |
\(F_{c,90,k}=\text {min}{\left\{ \begin{array}{ll} k_{pr}\cdot b_c \cdot l_{ef,1} \cdot f_{c,90,k}+n\cdot \textit{min}\{F_{w,k},F_{c,k}\}=A_{11}+n\cdot A_{12}=A_1, &{} \\ b\cdot l_{ef,2} \cdot f_{c,90,k}=A_2 &{} \\ \end{array}\right. },\) | (5) |
for intermediate support | |
\(l_{ef,1} =l_c+\text {min}\{30\text {mm}, l_c,l_s/2\}+\text {min}\{30\text {mm}, l_c,l_s/2\}\) | |
\(l_{ef,2} =2l_r+(n_0-1)\cdot a_1\) | (6) |
for end support | |
\(l_{ef,1} =l_c+\text {min}\{l_e,30\text {mm}, l_c,l_s/2\}+\text {min}\{30\text {mm}, l_c,l_s/2\}\) | |
\(l_{ef,2} =l_r+(n_0-1)\cdot a_1+\text {min}\{l_r,a_{3,c}\}\) | (7) |
Screw withdrawal resistance | |
\(F_{w,k} = \pi \cdot d \cdot l_w \cdot f_{w,k},\,\,\text {where}\,\,f_{w,k} = 8.2\cdot k_w \cdot k_{mat} \cdot d^{-0.33} \cdot \left( \frac{\rho _k}{350}\right) ^{k_\rho }\) | (8) |
Screw buckling resistance | |
\(F_{c,k}= \frac{\gamma _{R}}{\gamma _{M1}}\cdot \kappa _c \cdot N_{pl,k},\,\,\text {where}\,\, N_{pl,k} = \pi \cdot \frac{d_{1}^{2}}{4} \cdot f_{y,k}\,\,\text {and}\,\, \frac{\gamma _{R}}{\gamma _{M1}}\approx 1.18\,(*)\) | (9) |
\((*)\) \(\frac{\gamma _{R}}{\gamma _{M1}}\) can be assumed equal to one for estimating the mean value of the buckling resistance |
4 Database compilation
4.1 Comparison with prEN 1995 model predictions
5 Sensitivity analysis
5.1 Non-reinforced specimens under CPG
5.2 Reinforced specimens under CPG
5.3 Justification for probabilistic models
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The current capacity model estimates the capacity as the minimum between two failure modes. However, despite the model predicting the failure by the screw tips, the observed failure generally occurs by the contact area of the applied load. Additionally, the sensitivity analyses proved that the discrepancy between \(A_1\) and \(A_2\) reduces significantly if the minimum capacity is \(A_2\). The inaccuracy of the \(A_2\) failure mode might depend on the \(k_{pr}\) factor, affecting \(A_1\), which increases the gap between \(A_1\) and \(A_2\). The authors believe that the model can be simplified with a single capacity equation based solely on the first failure mode (\(A_1\)), properly corrected to include the effect of the screw length on the timber contribution.
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The model is deterministic. However, the availability of more experimental data might support the development of a probabilistic capacity model with a correction factor dependent on the geometric arrangement of the specimens.
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The model might be too complex, given its level of accuracy. The experimental data showed that the failure mode of the screws generally agrees with its prediction. Therefore, it might be helpful to correct the timber contribution with a single correction factor, dependent on adimensional geometrical parameters, given the significant uncertainty of this term.
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The differences between load cases can be expressed by synthetic geometric parameters rather than relying on the classification in Fig. 4. Avoiding such a classification and introducing a correction term, including the geometric feature characterizing the load configurations, might enhance the generality of the capacity model. Besides, the sensitivity analysis highlights a significant gap in the resistances for load cases B and C. However, the experimental predictions do not entirely confirm this gap. Therefore, a data-driven probabilistic capacity model might highlight the most significant parameters in the capacity model.
6 Comparison between capacity models
Capacity models of timber members under CPG | |
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1. Capacity model for the 1st failure mode according to the EC5 proposal | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^1=A_1=k_{pr}\cdot f_{c90,m}\cdot b_c \cdot l_{ef,1}+n\cdot \text {min}\{F_{w,m},F_{c,m}\}\) | (12) |
2. Capacity model for the 2nd failure mode according to the EC5 proposal | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^2=A_2=b\cdot l_{ef,2} \cdot f_{c90,m}\) | (13) |
3. Capacity model according to the EC5 proposal | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^3=\text {Min}(A_1,A_2)\) | (14) |
4. Simplistic model for the 1st failure mode | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^4= A_1^*=b_c\cdot l_c\cdot f_{c90,m}+n\cdot \text {min}\{F_{w,m},F_{c,m}\}\) | (15) |
5. Probabilistic model with adimensional explanatory functions and variance stabilizing transformation (P.M.1) | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^5=\left[ f_{c90,m}\cdot b_c\cdot l_c\cdot 10^{\gamma _1} + n\cdot \text {min}(F_{w,m},F_{c,m})\right]\) | (16) |
6. Probabilistic model with adimensional explanatory functions and variance stabilizing transformation (P.M.2) | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^6=\left[ f_{c90,m}\cdot b_c\cdot l_c\cdot {\gamma _2} + n\cdot \text {min}(F_{w,m},F_{c,m})\right]\) | (17) |
7. Simplistic model for the 1st failure model with correction factor | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^7=\gamma _3\cdot b_c\cdot l_c f_{c90,m}+n\cdot \text {min}\{F_{w,m},F_{c,m}\}\,\,\text {with}\,\gamma _3=2\) | (18) |
8. Simplistic model for the 1st failure model with correction factor derive from CPG formulation without reinforcement | |
\(F_{c,90,m}^8=\gamma _4\cdot b_c\cdot l_c f_{c90,m}+n\cdot \text {min}\{F_{w,m},F_{c,m}\}\,\,\text {with}\,\gamma _4=1.4\) | (19) |
The variables with subscript \(_m\) have replaced those with \(_k\) to obtain the mean values. |
6.1 Probabilistic capacity models
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\(\left\{ \frac{a_{3,c}}{b_c}, \frac{a_{3,c}}{l_c}, \frac{l_e}{b_c}, \frac{l_e}{l_c}, \frac{l_e a_{3,c}}{l_c b_c}, \frac{a_1}{b_c}, \frac{a_1}{l_c} \right\}\): These functions express the relative distance between the screws and the steel plate from the specimen edges. Additionally, the last two measure the screw spacing compared to the extension of the steel plate.
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\(\left\{ \frac{b_c}{H}, \frac{l_c}{H}, \frac{b_cl_c}{HW} \right\}\): These functions describe the plate extension compared to the specimen height.
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\(\left\{ \frac{n_0}{n} \right\}\): This term identifies the percentage number of screws oriented parallel to the grain.
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\(\left\{ \frac{l_r}{H} \right\}\): This term is the only one taking into account the screw geometry. It expresses the ratio between the threaded length of the screw and the specimen height.
Explanatory functions | |||
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\(h_{11}\) | \(a_{3c}/b_c\) | \(h_{17}\) | \(a_1/l_c\) |
\(h_{12}\) | \(a_{3c}/l_c\) | \(h_{21}\) | \(b_c/H\) |
\(h_{13}\) | \(l_e/b_c\) | \(h_{22}\) | \(l_c/H\) |
\(h_{14}\) | \(l_e/l_c\) | \(h_{23}\) | \((b_cl_c)/(WH)\) |
\(h_{15}\) | \((l_ea_{rc})/(WH)\) | \(h_{3}\) | \(n_0/n\) |
\(h_{16}\) | \(a_1/b_c\) | \(h_{4}\) | \(l_r/H\) |
\(\varvec{\Theta }\) | Mean | Stand. Dev. | Covariance coefficients | ||||||
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\(\theta _0\) | \(\theta _{12}\) | \(\theta _{14}\) | \(\theta _{16}\) | \(\theta _{17}\) | \(\theta _{22}\) | \(\theta _{3}\) | |||
\(\theta _0\) | -0.246 | 0.255 | 0.065 | 0.002 | -0.002 | -0.057 | -0.072 | -0.011 | -0.007 |
\(h_{12}\) | 0.063 | 0.044 | 0.002 | 0.002 | -0.001 | -0.012 | 0.006 | 0.000 | -0.002 |
\(h_{14}\) | 0.015 | 0.028 | -0.002 | -0.001 | 0.001 | 0.006 | -0.004 | -0.001 | 0.001 |
\(h_{16}\) | -0.261 | 0.510 | -0.057 | -0.012 | 0.006 | 0.260 | -0.122 | -0.032 | 0.015 |
\(h_{17}\) | 1.500 | 0.590 | -0.072 | 0.006 | -0.004 | -0.122 | 0.348 | 0.041 | -0.054 |
\(h_{22}\) | -0.055 | 0.151 | -0.011 | 0.000 | -0.001 | -0.032 | 0.041 | 0.023 | -0.001 |
\(h_3\) | -0.021 | 0.194 | -0.007 | -0.002 | 0.001 | 0.015 | -0.054 | -0.001 | 0.038 |
\(\varvec{\Theta }\) | Mean | Stand. Dev. | Covariance coefficients | ||||
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\(\theta _{0}\) | \(\theta _{16}\) | \(\theta _{21}\) | \(\theta _{3}\) | \(\theta _{4}\) | |||
\(\theta _0\) | 2.248 | 0.538 | 0.104 | -0.107 | -0.012 | -0.037 | -0.040 |
\(\theta _{16}\) | -2.640 | 0.940 | -0.107 | 0.318 | -0.010 | -0.015 | -0.040 |
\(\theta _{21}\) | -1.401 | 0.496 | -0.012 | -0.010 | 0.089 | 0.009 | -0.039 |
\(\theta _3\) | 0.544 | 0.403 | -0.037 | -0.015 | 0.009 | 0.058 | 0.007 |
\(\theta _4\) | 2.186 | 0.556 | -0.040 | -0.040 | -0.039 | 0.007 | 0.111 |
6.2 Comparison between capacity models
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Adopting \(A_2\) as mechanical models leads to an extremely poor fitting. This fact is confirmed by the significantly high error and negative correlation coefficients occurring in rare circumstances in case of poor-quality regressions. This fact agrees with the experimental evidence, which showed that \(A_2\) seldom occurs despite being predicted in multiple circumstances. Conversely, \(A_1\) is in discrete agreement with the experimental data. The third capacity model, named \(F_{c,90,m}^3\), is in the current EC5 proposal. Although the experimental data showed that it does not predict the failure modes, its performance is discrete. Therefore, using \(A_2\) in some cases, rather than \(A_1\), improves the model performance. The reason behind this might be the following: \(A_1\) takes the load diffusion into account, which leads to a strength amplification not occurring in practice. Conversely, \(A_2\) neglects this phenomenon, since \(l_{ef,2}\) is generally lower than \(l_{ef,1}\). Therefore, the discrete performance of the EC5 model does not depend on its mechanical background, contradicted by the experiments, but on error compensation. In some cases, \(A_2\) better predicts failure mechanisms associated with \(A_1\) because it neglects the model’s assumed load diffusion.
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The fourth capacity model, \(F_{c,90,m}^4\), is the simplistic model, where the timber contribution is obtained by multiplying the strength perpendicular to grain by the contact area of the steel plate. The performance is worse than the EC5 model, proving that the load diffusion occurs, despite not being entirely grasped by the EC5 model. The performance of this model demonstrates that the load diffusion is not vertical, although lower than 45\(^\circ\), as proved by the first model. Nonetheless, the plate distances from the edges have a limited effect, and the stress bulb might have a steeper diffusion angle.
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The two probabilistic models have both satisfactory performance. However, the first one (\(F_{c,90,m}^5\)) with a variance stabilizing transformation has a modest performance compared to the number of terms involved. The relative error also increases compared to the simplistic mechanical model. Therefore, the first probabilistic model exhibits a good correlation, but its higher complexity does not yield a satisfactory accuracy gain. Conversely, the sixth model (\(F_{c,90,m}^6\)) has an outstanding performance. It is the best model among the eight for all error metrics with an R\(^2=0.82\). An R\(^2\) higher than 0.8 can be a good fitting for a mechanical model. Besides, the correction term for \(F_{c,90,m}^6\) has just four addends, excluding the intercept. The four addends have a clear mechanical meaning and do not comprise the distances from the edges. This fact further confirms that the assumed diffusion model could be improved.
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The second model with the best performance is the \(F_{c,90,m}^7\), where the correction term is assumed constant and equal to 2, as estimated from a least-squares optimization. This model can be recommended in standard applications due to its simplicity and high accuracy. Besides, this model is consistent with the one for CPG without reinforcement, which assumed an amplification factor equal to 1.4. \(F_{c,90,m}^7\) and \(F_{c,90,m}^8\) assume as coefficients for the timber contribution 1.2 and 1.4, respectively. Although the second coincides with the one for CPG without reinforcement, a 2 factor provides better performance in error metrics with R\(^2=0.76\). The comparison between \(F_{c,90,m}^7\) and \(F_{c,90,m}^8\) proves that, if there are screws, the timber contribution amplifies and should be equal to 2.
6.3 Discussion
Explanatory functions | |||
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Label | Definition | Min | Max |
\(h_{16}\) | \(a_1/b_c\) | 0.27 | 0.83 |
\(h_{21}\) | \(b_c/H\) | 0.19 | 0.70 |
\(h_3\) | \(n_0/n\) | 0.38 | 1.00 |
\(h_4\) | \(l_r/H\) | 0.21 | 0.89 |
7 Conclusion
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The formulations for predicting the assumed two failure mechanisms, one by the contact load (\(A_1\)) and the other by the screw tips (\(A_2\)), can be improved. The predicted failure mechanism (\(A_2\)) does not occur in more than half of the experimental data. Consequently, the \(A_1\) predictive model performs better than min(\(A_1\),\(A_2\)). Still, the model defined as min(\(A_1\),\(A_2\)) possesses a discrete accuracy compared to \(A_1\).
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The above observation might prove that the main shortcoming of the \(A_1\) model stands in the assumed diffusion mechanism of the load. Contrary to the EC5 assumptions, the load diffusion is not at 45\(^\circ\), as confirmed by the good prediction of the mechanical model No 7 obtained by summing the screw and timber contribution amplified by a constant coefficient. The timber contribution is obtained by multiplying the timber strength by the contact load without any assumption about the stress spreading and the relative position of the loading plate to the specimen edges. The simplistic model yields an R\(^2\)=0.76 vs an R\(^2\)=0.59 for the model equal to \(A_1\).
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The best fitting with the experimental data, with an R\(^2\)=0.82, is obtained with a probabilistic model, where a factor corrects the timber contribution to resistance. The adimensional explanatory functions, selected by a stepwise deletion process, do not depend on the distances of the plate from the edges, proving that other parameters affect the resistance. Namely, the selected parameters are the density of the screws (\(a_1/b_c\)), the ratio between the plate width and the specimen height (\(b_c/H\)), the percentage number of screws oriented parallel to grain (\(n_0/n\)), and the ratio between the threaded length of the screw and the specimen height (\(l_r/H)\).
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The paper proposes a deterministic version of the probabilistic model, where the correction factor is assumed constant and equal to 2 after a least-squares optimization. This model represents a compromise between complexity and accuracy for future code developments.
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The experimental results do not confirm a significant difference between the analysed load cases classified in Fig. 4. Therefore, a unified coefficient \(k_{pr}\) is recommended for future standardisation.