Skip to main content
Top

2024 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Credibility Evaluation of Renewable Energy Comprehensive Capacity Based on Recursive Function Method

Authors : Yinsheng Su, Hongyue Zhen, Qian Ma, Ligang Zhao, Runzhi Mu, Tinghui Zhou, Yuan Xu

Published in: The Proceedings of 2023 International Conference on Wireless Power Transfer (ICWPT2023)

Publisher: Springer Nature Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

For landscape renewable energy access areas, there is not only a correlation between wind farms and photovoltaic power plants, but also a certain correlation between wind power and photovoltaic power generation. When evaluating the credibility of the comprehensive capacity of landscape renewable energy, the reliability evaluation index selects the unloading rate of the commonly used index, and the credibility of the capacity needs to be estimated. The traditional Monte Carlo simulation method has a long calculation speed. This paper proposes to use the recursive function method to calculate the trusted capacity, further improve the calculation speed of the trusted capacity, and verify the feasibility of the method from two aspects of calculation speed and calculation error. And explore the impact of different scenery ratio and different total installed capacity on the credibility of the comprehensive capacity.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Zhang, N., Kang, C., Xiao, J., et al.: Review and prospect of wind power capacity credit. Proc. CSEE 35(1), 82–94 (2015). (in Chinese) Zhang, N., Kang, C., Xiao, J., et al.: Review and prospect of wind power capacity credit. Proc. CSEE 35(1), 82–94 (2015). (in Chinese)
2.
go back to reference Dong, L., Wang, L., Hao, Y., et al.: Prediction of wind power generation based on autoregressive moving average model. Acta Energ. Solar. Sinica 32(5), 617–622 (2011). (in Chinese) Dong, L., Wang, L., Hao, Y., et al.: Prediction of wind power generation based on autoregressive moving average model. Acta Energ. Solar. Sinica 32(5), 617–622 (2011). (in Chinese)
3.
go back to reference Li, B., Chen, M., Zhong, H., et al.: A review of long-term planning of new power systems with large share of renewable energy. Proc. CSEE 43(02), 555–581 (2023). (in Chinese) Li, B., Chen, M., Zhong, H., et al.: A review of long-term planning of new power systems with large share of renewable energy. Proc. CSEE 43(02), 555–581 (2023). (in Chinese)
4.
go back to reference Liu, Y., Wang, H., Han, S., et al.: Real-time complementarity evaluation method for real-time complementarity of wind and solar power considering their volatility. Power Syst. Technol. 44(09), 3211–3220 (2020). (in Chinese) Liu, Y., Wang, H., Han, S., et al.: Real-time complementarity evaluation method for real-time complementarity of wind and solar power considering their volatility. Power Syst. Technol. 44(09), 3211–3220 (2020). (in Chinese)
5.
go back to reference Fang, X., Guo, Q., Zhang, D., et al.: Capacity credit evaluation of grid-connected photovoltaic generation. Power Syst. Technol. 36(9), 31–35 (2012). (in Chinese) Fang, X., Guo, Q., Zhang, D., et al.: Capacity credit evaluation of grid-connected photovoltaic generation. Power Syst. Technol. 36(9), 31–35 (2012). (in Chinese)
6.
go back to reference Wu, M., Ji, Y., Zheng, N., et al.: Assessment on credible capacity of hybrid microgrid containing wind/photovoltaic/storage based on sequence operation. Acta Energ. Solar. Sinica 42(03), 251–258 (2021). (in Chinese) Wu, M., Ji, Y., Zheng, N., et al.: Assessment on credible capacity of hybrid microgrid containing wind/photovoltaic/storage based on sequence operation. Acta Energ. Solar. Sinica 42(03), 251–258 (2021). (in Chinese)
7.
go back to reference Wang, H., Bai, X., Xu, J.: Reliability assessment considering the coordination of wind power, solar energy and energy storage. Proc. CSEE 32(13), 13–20 (2012). (in Chinese) Wang, H., Bai, X., Xu, J.: Reliability assessment considering the coordination of wind power, solar energy and energy storage. Proc. CSEE 32(13), 13–20 (2012). (in Chinese)
8.
go back to reference Wang, B., Kang, L., Miao, X., et al.: Analysis and enlightenment of renewable energy and demand response participating in UK and US capacity markets considering capacity credibility. Power Syst. Technol. 46(04), 1233–1247 (2022). (in Chinese) Wang, B., Kang, L., Miao, X., et al.: Analysis and enlightenment of renewable energy and demand response participating in UK and US capacity markets considering capacity credibility. Power Syst. Technol. 46(04), 1233–1247 (2022). (in Chinese)
9.
go back to reference Yang, G., Zhou, M., Lin, B., Du, W.: Optimal scheduling the wind-solar-storage hybrid generation system considering wind-solar correlation. In: 2013 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), Hong Kong, pp. 1–6 (2013) Yang, G., Zhou, M., Lin, B., Du, W.: Optimal scheduling the wind-solar-storage hybrid generation system considering wind-solar correlation. In: 2013 IEEE PES Asia-Pacific Power and Energy Engineering Conference (APPEEC), Hong Kong, pp. 1–6 (2013)
10.
go back to reference Billinton, R., Gao, Y., Karki, R.: Composite system adequacy assessment incorporating large-scale wind energy conversion systems considering wind speed correlation. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 24(3), 1375–1382 (2009) Billinton, R., Gao, Y., Karki, R.: Composite system adequacy assessment incorporating large-scale wind energy conversion systems considering wind speed correlation. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 24(3), 1375–1382 (2009)
11.
go back to reference Lu, Q., Hu, W., Min, Y., Yuan, F., Gao, Z.: Wind power uncertainty modeling considering spatial dependence based on Pair-copula theory. In: 2014 IEEE PES General Meeting, National Harbor, pp. 1–5 (2014) Lu, Q., Hu, W., Min, Y., Yuan, F., Gao, Z.: Wind power uncertainty modeling considering spatial dependence based on Pair-copula theory. In: 2014 IEEE PES General Meeting, National Harbor, pp. 1–5 (2014)
12.
go back to reference Wu, Y., Zhang, L., Li, H., et al.: Wind power capacity credibility assessment considering power output correlation of multiple wind farms. Electric Power Automat. Equip. 35(11), 8–12 (2015). (in Chinese) Wu, Y., Zhang, L., Li, H., et al.: Wind power capacity credibility assessment considering power output correlation of multiple wind farms. Electric Power Automat. Equip. 35(11), 8–12 (2015). (in Chinese)
13.
go back to reference Xu, S., Liu, C., Su, C., Wang, C.: Correlation analysis of wind and photovoltaic power based on mixed copula theory and its application into optimum capacity allocation. In: 2019 IEEE 3rd Conference on Energy Internet and Energy System Integration (EI2), Changsha, pp. 976–980 (2019) Xu, S., Liu, C., Su, C., Wang, C.: Correlation analysis of wind and photovoltaic power based on mixed copula theory and its application into optimum capacity allocation. In: 2019 IEEE 3rd Conference on Energy Internet and Energy System Integration (EI2), Changsha, pp. 976–980 (2019)
14.
go back to reference Becker, R.: Generation of time-coupled wind power infeed scenarios using pair-copula construction. IEEE Trans. Sustain. Energy 9(3), 1298–1306 (2018) Becker, R.: Generation of time-coupled wind power infeed scenarios using pair-copula construction. IEEE Trans. Sustain. Energy 9(3), 1298–1306 (2018)
15.
go back to reference Li, Y., Xie, K., Hu, B.: A copula function based dependent model for multivariate wind speed time series and its application in reliability assessment. Power Syst. Technol. 37(3), 840–846 (2013). (in Chinese) Li, Y., Xie, K., Hu, B.: A copula function based dependent model for multivariate wind speed time series and its application in reliability assessment. Power Syst. Technol. 37(3), 840–846 (2013). (in Chinese)
16.
go back to reference Zhao, J., Yuan, Y., Fu, Z., et al.: Reliability assessment of wind- PV hybrid generation system based on Copula theory. Electric Power Automat. Equip. 33(1), 124–129 (2013). (in Chinese) Zhao, J., Yuan, Y., Fu, Z., et al.: Reliability assessment of wind- PV hybrid generation system based on Copula theory. Electric Power Automat. Equip. 33(1), 124–129 (2013). (in Chinese)
17.
go back to reference Wang, H., Bai, X.: Assessment on generation adequacy and capacity credit for large-scale wind farm. Power Syst. Technol. 36(6), 200–206 (2012). (in Chinese) Wang, H., Bai, X.: Assessment on generation adequacy and capacity credit for large-scale wind farm. Power Syst. Technol. 36(6), 200–206 (2012). (in Chinese)
18.
go back to reference Wang, Y., Wu, Q., Liu, L., et al.: Finely evaluation method of new energy operational capacity credit. Renew. Energy Resources 41(01), 90–98 (2023). (in Chinese) Wang, Y., Wu, Q., Liu, L., et al.: Finely evaluation method of new energy operational capacity credit. Renew. Energy Resources 41(01), 90–98 (2023). (in Chinese)
19.
go back to reference Zhang, S., Li, K., Zhou, M., et al.: Calculation of wind-farm capacity credit considering transmission line faults. Proc. CSEE 30(16), 19–25 (2010). (in Chinese) Zhang, S., Li, K., Zhou, M., et al.: Calculation of wind-farm capacity credit considering transmission line faults. Proc. CSEE 30(16), 19–25 (2010). (in Chinese)
Metadata
Title
Credibility Evaluation of Renewable Energy Comprehensive Capacity Based on Recursive Function Method
Authors
Yinsheng Su
Hongyue Zhen
Qian Ma
Ligang Zhao
Runzhi Mu
Tinghui Zhou
Yuan Xu
Copyright Year
2024
Publisher
Springer Nature Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-97-0865-9_44