Skip to main content
Top
Published in: Review of Accounting Studies 1/2011

01-03-2011

Do acquirers disclose good news or withhold bad news when they finance their acquisitions using equity?

Authors: Rui Ge, Clive Lennox

Published in: Review of Accounting Studies | Issue 1/2011

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Companies that use their own stock to finance acquisitions have incentives to increase their market values prior to the acquisition. This study examines whether such companies mislead investors by issuing overly optimistic forecasts of future earnings (“deception by commission”) or by withholding bad news about future earnings (“deception by omission”). We compare the management forecasts of acquiring firms in a pre-acquisition period (days −90 to −30 before the acquisition announcement) and a post-acquisition period (days +30 to +90 after the acquisition is completed). We show that, when acquisitions are financed using stock, companies are not more likely to issue overly optimistic earnings forecasts during the pre-acquisition period compared with the post-acquisition period. However, these same acquirers are more likely to withhold impending bad news about future earnings. Consistent with litigation having an asymmetric effect on disclosure incentives, our findings suggest that deception by omission occurs more often than deception by commission.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Appendix
Available only for authorised users
Footnotes
1
Our study is different from Francis et al. (1994) and Skinner (1997), who debate whether the timely disclosure of bad news reduces or increases the costs of litigation. Unlike those studies, we argue that it is more costly for a manager to explicitly over hype the stock than to silently delay the revelation of bad news.
 
2
Our control sample does not include non-acquiring companies because such companies have very different characteristics from those of acquirers (Mitchell and Mulherin1996; Andrade et al. 2001; Malmendier and Tate 2008). We follow Erickson and Wang (1999) and Louis (2004) who use cash acquirers rather than non-acquirers as the control sample.
 
3
A target company also has an incentive to disclose information strategically in order to get a higher payment from the acquirer. However, we do not investigate the target’s disclosure strategy for two reasons. First, the majority of targets (79%) are not public companies and data are unavailable for them. Second, Erickson and Wang (1999) argue that an acquirer can identify its target and adjust its behavior accordingly whereas, by the time the acquirer initiates its bid, it is too late for the target to respond.
 
4
In untabulated tests, we find similar results if the management forecast is classified as bad (good) news when it is less (greater) than the consensus analyst forecast. Because it is difficult to compare qualitative management forecasts such as open-ended forecasts with consensus analyst forecasts, we instead use the abnormal return classification as this allows us to include qualitative management forecasts in the sample.
 
5
In untabulated tests, we instead code MFBAD as one when the number of bad news forecasts exceeds the number of good news forecasts, and the results are qualitatively the same. We also conduct a test in which MFBAD is coded one if at least one earnings forecast is bad news. Again, the results are robust to this research design choice.
 
6
Our results are qualitatively the same if we instead winsorize or truncate the variables to control for outliers.
 
7
For multiple management forecasts, we code MFGOOD as equal to one if the sum of the cumulative abnormal return is positive when aggregated over each three-day window (zero otherwise). In an untabulated test, we instead code MFGOOD as one when the number of good news forecasts exceeds the number of bad news forecasts or at least one forecast is good news. The results are qualitatively the same.
 
8
In an untabulated test, we also estimate multinomial logit models in order to analyze the three disclosure choices simultaneously. The results are qualitatively the same as those tabulated.
 
9
The pre-acquisition window begins from 90 days before the acquisition announcement day because Erickson and Wang (1999) and Louis (2004) show that stock swap acquirers manage earnings during the quarter prior to the acquisition. Schwert (1996) and Louis (2004) find that acquisition news leaks out to the market about 1 month before the acquisition announcement, so the window for the forecast revision ends 30 days before the acquisition announcement date in order to avoid the information in the management forecast being contaminated by leakage of news about the acquisition. In a sensitivity test, we also use the acquisition announcement date as the window end day, and the results are qualitatively the same.
 
10
The Security Data Company dataset defines the effective date as the date when the entire transaction is completed and effective.
 
11
In untabulated tests we find very similar results if we include in the sample the acquisitions that are financed using a mix of both equity and cash.
 
12
Martin (1996) predicts that acquirers are more likely to use stock if they have bigger acquisition targets, but the study’s findings show just the opposite. In contrast, our model (reported in the “Appendix”) is consistent with Martin’s (1996) prediction. The difference in results could be attributable to the sample period since Martin’s (1996) study examines acquisitions in the period from 1978 to 1988 whereas our sample period is from 1995 to 2006.
 
13
Francis and Lennox (2008) emphasize the importance of utilizing exogenous independent variables from the first-step model that can be validly excluded from the second-step model. In our study, the CASH and TVAL variables are reasonably assumed to be exogenous, and they are not expected to have a direct effect on the manager’s decision to issue an earnings forecast. Therefore, these instruments are likely to be valid. Further, the results in the “Appendix” show that CASH and TVAL are highly significant predictors of the financing decision, which indicates that they are powerful instruments.
 
14
All untabulated results are available from the authors upon request.
 
15
We do not include return momentum in our main tests because the direction of causality between momentum and forecasting is unclear. In particular, companies that issue bad news earnings forecasts will tend to experience more negative returns and will therefore have a lower returns momentum.
 
16
Unreported results show that the mean value of ABRET1 is more negative for the stock swap acquirer sample than the sample of cash purchase acquirers. This is consistent with Louis (2004), who shows that stock swap acquirers generally underperform relative to cash acquirers.
 
Literature
go back to reference Aboody, D., & Kasznik, R. (2000). CEO stock option awards and the timing of corporate voluntary disclosures. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 29, 73–100.CrossRef Aboody, D., & Kasznik, R. (2000). CEO stock option awards and the timing of corporate voluntary disclosures. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 29, 73–100.CrossRef
go back to reference Ajinkya, B., & Gift, M. (1984). Corporate managers’ earnings forecasts and symmetrical adjustments of market expectations. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 425–444.CrossRef Ajinkya, B., & Gift, M. (1984). Corporate managers’ earnings forecasts and symmetrical adjustments of market expectations. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 425–444.CrossRef
go back to reference Andrade, G., Mitchell, M., & Stafford, E. (2001). New evidence and perspectives on mergers. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 103–120.CrossRef Andrade, G., Mitchell, M., & Stafford, E. (2001). New evidence and perspectives on mergers. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 103–120.CrossRef
go back to reference Barber, B., & Lyon, J. (1997). Detecting long-run abnormal stock returns: The empirical power and specification of test statistics. Journal of Financial Economics, 43, 341–372.CrossRef Barber, B., & Lyon, J. (1997). Detecting long-run abnormal stock returns: The empirical power and specification of test statistics. Journal of Financial Economics, 43, 341–372.CrossRef
go back to reference Botsari, A., & Meeks, G. (2008). Do acquirers manage earnings prior to a share for share bid? Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 35, 633–670.CrossRef Botsari, A., & Meeks, G. (2008). Do acquirers manage earnings prior to a share for share bid? Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 35, 633–670.CrossRef
go back to reference Brockman, P., Khurana, I., & Martin, X. (2008). Voluntary disclosures around share repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics, 89, 175–191.CrossRef Brockman, P., Khurana, I., & Martin, X. (2008). Voluntary disclosures around share repurchases. Journal of Financial Economics, 89, 175–191.CrossRef
go back to reference Brockman, P., & Martin, X. (2008). Voluntary disclosures around corporate acquisitions. Working Paper, University of Missouri. Brockman, P., & Martin, X. (2008). Voluntary disclosures around corporate acquisitions. Working Paper, University of Missouri.
go back to reference Cheng, Q., & Lo, K. (2006). Insider trading and voluntary disclosures. Journal of Accounting Research, 44, 815–848.CrossRef Cheng, Q., & Lo, K. (2006). Insider trading and voluntary disclosures. Journal of Accounting Research, 44, 815–848.CrossRef
go back to reference Chisholm, R., & Feehan, T. (1977). The intent to deceive. Journal of Philosophy, 74, 143–159.CrossRef Chisholm, R., & Feehan, T. (1977). The intent to deceive. Journal of Philosophy, 74, 143–159.CrossRef
go back to reference DuCharme, L., Malatesta, P., & Sefcik, S. (2004). Earnings management, stock issues, and shareholder lawsuits. Journal of Financial Economics, 71, 27–49.CrossRef DuCharme, L., Malatesta, P., & Sefcik, S. (2004). Earnings management, stock issues, and shareholder lawsuits. Journal of Financial Economics, 71, 27–49.CrossRef
go back to reference Dye, R. (1985). Disclosure of nonproprietary information. Journal of Accounting Research, 23, 123–145.CrossRef Dye, R. (1985). Disclosure of nonproprietary information. Journal of Accounting Research, 23, 123–145.CrossRef
go back to reference Erickson, M., & Wang, S. (1999). Earnings management by acquiring firms in stock for stock mergers. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 27, 149–176.CrossRef Erickson, M., & Wang, S. (1999). Earnings management by acquiring firms in stock for stock mergers. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 27, 149–176.CrossRef
go back to reference Feinberg, J. (1984). The moral limits of the criminal law (Vol. 1). Harm to others. New York: Oxford University Press. Feinberg, J. (1984). The moral limits of the criminal law (Vol. 1). Harm to others. New York: Oxford University Press.
go back to reference Francis, J., Philbrick, D., & Schipper, K. (1994). Shareholder litigation and corporate disclosures. Journal of Accounting Research, 32, 137–164.CrossRef Francis, J., Philbrick, D., & Schipper, K. (1994). Shareholder litigation and corporate disclosures. Journal of Accounting Research, 32, 137–164.CrossRef
go back to reference Frankel, R., McNichols, M., & Wilson, G. (1995). Discretionary disclosure and external financing. The Accounting Review, 70, 135–150. Frankel, R., McNichols, M., & Wilson, G. (1995). Discretionary disclosure and external financing. The Accounting Review, 70, 135–150.
go back to reference Gong, G., Louis, H., & Sun, A. (2008). Earnings management, lawsuits, and stock-for-stock acquirers’ market performance. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 46, 62–77.CrossRef Gong, G., Louis, H., & Sun, A. (2008). Earnings management, lawsuits, and stock-for-stock acquirers’ market performance. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 46, 62–77.CrossRef
go back to reference Heckman, J. (1979). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153–161.CrossRef Heckman, J. (1979). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica, 47, 153–161.CrossRef
go back to reference Jung, W., & Kwon, Y. (1988). Disclosure when the market is unsure of information endowment of managers. Journal of Accounting Research, 26, 146–153.CrossRef Jung, W., & Kwon, Y. (1988). Disclosure when the market is unsure of information endowment of managers. Journal of Accounting Research, 26, 146–153.CrossRef
go back to reference Kane, G., & Meade, N. (1998). Ratio analysis using rank transformation. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 10, 59–74.CrossRef Kane, G., & Meade, N. (1998). Ratio analysis using rank transformation. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 10, 59–74.CrossRef
go back to reference Kasznik, R., & Lev, B. (1995). To warn or not to warn: management disclosures in the face of an earnings surprise. The Accounting Review, 70, 113–134. Kasznik, R., & Lev, B. (1995). To warn or not to warn: management disclosures in the face of an earnings surprise. The Accounting Review, 70, 113–134.
go back to reference Lang, M., & Lundholm, R. (2000). Voluntary disclosure and equity offerings: Reducing information asymmetry or hyping the stock? Contemporary Accounting Research, 17, 623–662.CrossRef Lang, M., & Lundholm, R. (2000). Voluntary disclosure and equity offerings: Reducing information asymmetry or hyping the stock? Contemporary Accounting Research, 17, 623–662.CrossRef
go back to reference Lang, M., & Lundholm, R. (1993). Cross-sectional determinants of analyst ratings of corporate disclosures. Journal of Accounting Research, 31, 246.CrossRef Lang, M., & Lundholm, R. (1993). Cross-sectional determinants of analyst ratings of corporate disclosures. Journal of Accounting Research, 31, 246.CrossRef
go back to reference Lennox, C., & Park, C. (2006). The informativeness of earnings and management’s issuance of earnings forecasts. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 42, 439–458.CrossRef Lennox, C., & Park, C. (2006). The informativeness of earnings and management’s issuance of earnings forecasts. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 42, 439–458.CrossRef
go back to reference Louis, H. (2004). Earnings management and the market performance of acquiring firms. Journal of Financial Economics, 74, 121–148.CrossRef Louis, H. (2004). Earnings management and the market performance of acquiring firms. Journal of Financial Economics, 74, 121–148.CrossRef
go back to reference Malmendier, U., & Tate, G. (2008). Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market’s reaction. Journal of Financial Economics, 89, 20–43.CrossRef Malmendier, U., & Tate, G. (2008). Who makes acquisitions? CEO overconfidence and the market’s reaction. Journal of Financial Economics, 89, 20–43.CrossRef
go back to reference Martin, K. (1996). The method of payment in corporate acquisitions, investment opportunities, and management ownership. Journal of Finance, 51, 1227–1246.CrossRef Martin, K. (1996). The method of payment in corporate acquisitions, investment opportunities, and management ownership. Journal of Finance, 51, 1227–1246.CrossRef
go back to reference Mitchell, M., & Mulherin, J. (1996). The impact of industry shocks on takeover and restructuring activity. Journal of Financial Economics, 41, 193–229.CrossRef Mitchell, M., & Mulherin, J. (1996). The impact of industry shocks on takeover and restructuring activity. Journal of Financial Economics, 41, 193–229.CrossRef
go back to reference Moeller, S., Schlingemann, F., & Stulz, R. (2005). Wealth destruction on a massive scale? A study of acquiring-firm returns in the recent merger wave. Journal of Finance, 60, 757–782.CrossRef Moeller, S., Schlingemann, F., & Stulz, R. (2005). Wealth destruction on a massive scale? A study of acquiring-firm returns in the recent merger wave. Journal of Finance, 60, 757–782.CrossRef
go back to reference Myers, S., & Majluf, N. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 187–221.CrossRef Myers, S., & Majluf, N. (1984). Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13, 187–221.CrossRef
go back to reference Noe, C. (1999). Voluntary disclosures and insider transactions. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 27, 305–326.CrossRef Noe, C. (1999). Voluntary disclosures and insider transactions. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 27, 305–326.CrossRef
go back to reference Oler, D. (2008). Does acquirer cash level predict post-acquisition returns? Review of Accounting Studies, 13, 479–511.CrossRef Oler, D. (2008). Does acquirer cash level predict post-acquisition returns? Review of Accounting Studies, 13, 479–511.CrossRef
go back to reference Petersen, M. (2009). Estimating standard errors in finance panel data sets: comparing approaches. Review of Financial Studies, 22, 435–480.CrossRef Petersen, M. (2009). Estimating standard errors in finance panel data sets: comparing approaches. Review of Financial Studies, 22, 435–480.CrossRef
go back to reference Rau, P., & Vermaelen, T. (1998). Glamour, value, and the post-acquisition performance of acquiring firms. Journal of Financial Economics, 49, 223–253.CrossRef Rau, P., & Vermaelen, T. (1998). Glamour, value, and the post-acquisition performance of acquiring firms. Journal of Financial Economics, 49, 223–253.CrossRef
go back to reference Roll, R. (1986). The hubris hypothesis of corporate takeovers. Journal of Business, 59, 197–216.CrossRef Roll, R. (1986). The hubris hypothesis of corporate takeovers. Journal of Business, 59, 197–216.CrossRef
go back to reference Rosenbaum, P., & Rubin, D. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70, 41–55.CrossRef Rosenbaum, P., & Rubin, D. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70, 41–55.CrossRef
go back to reference Schwert, G. (1996). Markup pricing in mergers and acquisitions. Journal of Financial Economics, 41, 153–192.CrossRef Schwert, G. (1996). Markup pricing in mergers and acquisitions. Journal of Financial Economics, 41, 153–192.CrossRef
go back to reference Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (2003). Stock market driven acquisitions. Journal of Financial Economics, 70, 295–311.CrossRef Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (2003). Stock market driven acquisitions. Journal of Financial Economics, 70, 295–311.CrossRef
go back to reference Skinner, D. (1997). Earnings disclosures and stockholder lawsuits. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 23, 249–282.CrossRef Skinner, D. (1997). Earnings disclosures and stockholder lawsuits. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 23, 249–282.CrossRef
go back to reference Spranca, M., Minsk, E., & Baron, J. (1991). Omission and commission in judgment and choice. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 27, 76–105.CrossRef Spranca, M., Minsk, E., & Baron, J. (1991). Omission and commission in judgment and choice. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology, 27, 76–105.CrossRef
go back to reference Verrecchia, R. (1983). Discretionary disclosure. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 5, 179–194.CrossRef Verrecchia, R. (1983). Discretionary disclosure. Journal of Accounting and Economics, 5, 179–194.CrossRef
go back to reference Zhang, X. (2006). Information uncertainty and analyst forecast behavior. Contemporary Accounting Research, 23, 565–590.CrossRef Zhang, X. (2006). Information uncertainty and analyst forecast behavior. Contemporary Accounting Research, 23, 565–590.CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Do acquirers disclose good news or withhold bad news when they finance their acquisitions using equity?
Authors
Rui Ge
Clive Lennox
Publication date
01-03-2011
Publisher
Springer US
Published in
Review of Accounting Studies / Issue 1/2011
Print ISSN: 1380-6653
Electronic ISSN: 1573-7136
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11142-010-9139-y

Other articles of this Issue 1/2011

Review of Accounting Studies 1/2011 Go to the issue