Skip to main content
Disciplines
Automotive Business IT + Informatics Construction + Real Estate Electrical Engineering + Electronics Energy + Sustainability Insurance + Risk Finance + Banking Management + Leadership Marketing + Sales Mechanical Engineering + Materials
Events
DE
EN
Books
Journals
Topic Page
Marketing
Start single access now
Access for companies
EXTENDED SEARCH
Log in
Top
The Annals of Regional Science
Published in: The Annals of Regional Science 1/2016

09-12-2015 | Original Paper

Economic impact assessment of alternative European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) options with the application of the GMR-Turkey model

Authors: Attila Varga, Mete Basar Baypinar

Published in: The Annals of Regional Science | Issue 1/2016

Log in

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

This paper applies the GMR-Turkey policy impact model to estimate the likely regional effects of a selected set of policies suggested in the European Neighborhood Policy literature. We grouped the policy suggestions into two alternative sets of measures, which became the bases of two alternative scenarios of regional economic development, the Conservative scenario and the Technology- and innovation-based development scenario. Our results suggest that a persistent and systematic long-term regional technology development-based economic policy which applies measures such as investment, education and R&D support, promotion of better connectedness to EU research networks and increased physical accessibility to developed markets could in the longer run result in higher levels of regional and national production together with decreasing interregional differences than a scenario supporting the expansion of traditional industries in the region.
previous article Commuting and timing of retirement
next article Dirty spatial econometrics

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now
Footnotes
1
The ENP framework is proposed to the 16 of EU’s closest neighbors—Algeria, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Egypt, Georgia, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Moldova, Morocco, Palestine, Syria, Tunisia and Ukraine.
 
2
The Acquis is the body of common rights and obligations that is binding on all the EU member states.
 
3
Horizon 2020 is the EU’s collaborative research support program that follows the Framework Programs (FPs) from 2014.
 
4
The MASST (Capello 2007) and the RHOMOLO (Brandsma et al. 2015) models should also be referred here. Though GMR, MASST and RHOMOLO are different in many respect in their internal structures (e.g., MASST is a partial equilibrium econometric model, RHOMOLO is a general equilibrium, SCGE model on six industries, the GMR model is an integrated econometric-SCGE–DSGE model) they share the common interest of incorporating geographic effects into their model structures.
 
5
The ENQ effect may appear quite significant in comparison with the R&D effect. In our observation it is because the relative weight of the change in ENQ is more significant than that of the change in R&D. While the allocated IPA funding increases R&D by about 2 %, the increase in ENQ by the end of the 7-year period is 10 %, which is in our observation a really significant improvement in the composition of research partners.
 
6
Note that we depicted the impacts of the Conservative scenario without accounting for the effects of the 2 % increase in export. The specific reason is that the model is not capable of differencing between export increase impacts on a particular region and the impacts on all the regions at the national level. Consequently the export impact at the national level would include increased the effects of export activities in all the regions of Turkey and not only the impacts doming from the Kayseri region.
 
Literature
Akçomak S, Müller-Zick H (2013) Trust and innovation in Europe: causal, spatial and non-linear forces: STPS-Science and Technology Policy Studies Center, Middle East Technical University
Anselin L, Varga A, Acs Z (1997) Local geographic spillovers between university research and high technology innovations. Journal of Urban Economics 42(3):422–448CrossRef
Bayar A (2007) Simulation of R&D investment scenarios and calibration of the impact on a set of multi-country models
Brandsma A, Kancs A (2015) RHOMOLO: a dynamic general equilibrium modelling approach to the evaluation of the European Union’s R&D policies. Reg Stud 49:1340–1359CrossRef
Capello R (2007) A forecasting territorial model of regional growth: the MASST model. Ann Reg Sci 41:753–787CrossRef
ESRI (2002) An examination of the ex-post macroeconomic impacts of CSF 1994–1999 on objective 1 countries and regions
Fujita M, Krugman P, Venables A (1999) The spatial economy. MIT Press, Cambridge
Krugman P (1991) Increasing returns and economic geography. J Polit Econ 99:483–499CrossRef
LSE (2011) Study on the impact of the single market on cohesion: implications for cohesion policy, growth and competitiveness. Final report. European Commission, Directorate-General Regional Policy, Directorate Policy Development, CCI: 2010CE16BAT006
ORAN (2013) 2014–2020 regional development plan of TR72 region, Mid-Anatolian Development Agency – ORAN
Ratto M, Roeger W, in’t Veld J (2009) QUEST III: an estimated open-economy DSGE model of the euro area with fiscal and monetary policy. Econ Model 26(1):222–233CrossRef
Scherngell T, Barber MJ (2009) Spatial interaction modelling of cross-region R&D collaborations: empirical evidence from the 5th EU framework programme*. Pap Reg Sci 88(3):531–546CrossRef
Scherngell T, Barber MJ (2009) Spatial interaction modelling of cross-region R&D collaborations: empirical evidence from the 5th EU framework programme*. Pap Reg Sci 88(3):531–546CrossRef
Varga A (2007) GMR-Hungary: a complex macro-regional model for the analysis of development policy impacts on the Hungarian economy. PTE KTK KRTI working papers (2007/4)
Varga A (2015) Place-based, spatially blind, or both? Challenges in estimating the impacts of modern development policies: the case of the GMR policy impact modeling approach. Int Reg Sci Rev. doi:10.​1177/​0160017615571587​
Varga A (2000) Local academic knowledge transfers and the concentration of economic activity. J Reg Sci 40(2):289–309CrossRef
Varga A, Pontikakis D, Chorafakis G (2014) Metropolitan Edison and cosmopolitan Pasteur? Agglomeration and interregional research network effects on European R&D productivity. J Econ Geogr 14:229–263. doi:10.​1093/​jeg/​lbs041 CrossRef
Varga A, Járosi P, Sebestyén T (2011) Modeling the economic impacts of regional R&D subsidies: the GMR-Europe model and its application for EU Framework Program policy impact simulations. In: Paper presented at the 6th international seminar on regional innovation policies. University of Lund, Lund, Sweden
Varga A, Járosi P, Sebestyén T, Baypinar M (2013) Detailed policy impact model. Report of the SEARCH FP7 Project. November 2013
Varga A, Járosi P, Sebestyén T, Szerb L (2015) Extension and application of the GMR-Eurozone model towards the CEE regions for impact assessment of smart specialisation policies. GRINCOH FP6 Project report
Wanzenböck I, Scherngell T, Brenner T (2014) Embeddedness of regions in European knowledge networks: a comparative analysis of inter-regional R&D collaborations, co-patents and co-publications. Ann Reg Sci 53(2):337–368CrossRef
Yeldan AE, Taşçı K, Voyvoda E, Özsan ME (2013) Bölgesel Kalkınma ve İkili Tuzaktan Çıkış Stratejileri Orta Gelir Tuzağı’ndan Çıkış: Hangi Türkiye? (vol 2): TURKONFED
Metadata
Title
Economic impact assessment of alternative European Neighborhood Policy (ENP) options with the application of the GMR-Turkey model
Authors
Attila Varga
Mete Basar Baypinar
Publication date
09-12-2015
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
The Annals of Regional Science / Issue 1/2016
Print ISSN: 0570-1864
Electronic ISSN: 1432-0592
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-015-0725-6

Other articles of this Issue 1/2016

The Annals of Regional Science 1/2016 Go to the issue

Original Paper

Commercial bank locations and “banking deserts”: a statistical analysis of Milwaukee and Buffalo

Original Paper

Regional income club convergence in US BEA economic areas: a spatial switching regression approach

Original Paper

Commuting and timing of retirement

Original Paper

Location matters for pro-environmental behavior: a spatial Markov Chains approach to proximity effects in differentiated waste collection

Original Paper

Ripple effect and contagious effect in the US regional housing markets

Original Paper

Assessing the regional business cycle asymmetry in a multi-level structure framework: a study of the top 20 US MSAs