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2022 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

2. Entscheidungstheoretische Grundlagen

Published in: Wirtschaftspolitik klipp & klar

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Zusammenfassung

Nach kurzen Erläuterungen zu Karl Poppers (1902–1994) Kritischem Rationalismus wird die Relevanz klassischer Entscheidungsregeln für die Zielsetzungen wirtschaftspolitischen Handelns bewertet. Behandelt werden dabei die Maximax-, Leximax-, Maximin-, Leximin-, Hurwicz-, Savage-Niehans-, Laplace-, Bayes- und μ-σ-Regel. Das Gefangenen-Dilemma leitet die Berücksichtigung strategischer Aspekte ein. In deren Zentrum steht die Strategieanalyse mit der Untersuchung externer und interner Umweltbedinungen, die Strategieentwicklung mit GAP-, SWOT-, TOWS-Analyse und Benchmarking sowie die Strategieformulierung mit der Innovations-, Imitations-, Adaptions-, Kostenführerschafts-, Differenzierungs-, Nischen- und Diversifikationsstrategie. Die 36 Strategeme des Tan Daoji geben einen Einblick in das Denken chinesischer Strategen. Nach verhaltensökonomischen Erläuterungen zu systematischen („biases“) und unsystematischen („noise“) Verzerrungen sowie zum staatlichen Nudging und Sludging bildet die Präsentation des innovationsfreundlichen Serendipitätsprinzips den Abschluss dieses Kapitels.

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Metadata
Title
Entscheidungstheoretische Grundlagen
Copyright Year
2022
Book
Wirtschaftspolitik klipp & klar

Print ISBN: 978-3-658-38145-5

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-658-38146-2

Copyright Year: 2022

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-38146-2_2