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Open Access 13-11-2023

Factors associated with child marriage during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia

Authors: Andrian Liem, Very Julianto, Kamsi, Arini Haq, Raydinda Laili Shofa, Kamilatissa’adah

Published in: Contemporary Islam

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Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate factors associated with the applications of child marriage dispensation submitted to the Religious Courts during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia, particularly in 2019–2021. The number of child marriage dispensation cases was analyzed together with other socioeconomic variables, including poverty and jobless rates, junior and senior high school completion rates, number of cerai talak (a divorce initiated by the husband) and cerai gugat (a divorce initiated by the wife) applications, number of COVID-19 positive cases, and number of deaths by COVID-19. The differences between 2021 and 2019 were analyzed using the paired t-test and repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA). The relationship between variables was analyzed using the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient. Hierarchical multiple regression with the entering method was used to determine the predictors of the number of child marriage dispensation cases in the years 2019, 2020, and 2021 and the change from 2019 to 2021. New dispensation underage marriage applications in 2019, 2020, and 2021 were 24,457 (M =843, SD =1519), 63,391 (M = 2186, SD = 4085), and 62,167 (M = 2144, SD = 4058), which were significantly different (F(1.0, 28.6) = 7.63, p = .01) and positively correlated with poverty rate, jobless rate, cerai talak, cerai gugat, COVID-19 positive cases, and COVID-19 death cases. The multiple regression analysis for the change of dispensation underage marriage applications in the pandemic and before (years 2021–2019) was statistically significant, (F(6,22) = 117.62, p < .001), which the final model was able to account for 97% of the variance in new dispensation underage marriage applications. Collaborative multi-sector works are needed to decrease the skyrocketing child marriage numbers, especially in a crisis situation like the COVID-19 pandemic.
Notes

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Introduction

Marriage for Muslims is not only a religious but also social activity because Islamic marriage contains a civil contract (mu‘amalah) and ritual acts (ibadah) (Fauzi, 2019). Moreover, the believers may also perceive that marrying off their children is their duty as parents and the sunnah of the Prophet Muhammad (Susilo et al., 2021). This phenomenon can also be found in Indonesia, one of the biggest countries with a Muslim community (Hadiati et al., 2022). The marriage process and registration in Indonesia are different between Muslims and citizens of other religions as described in the previous studies, which interested readers can visit, as these differences are not discussed further in this study (Fauzi, 2019; Grijns & Horii, 2018; Julianto et al., 2022).
However, the readiness for marriage in Islam is determined by the signs of puberty (aqil baligh), not by particular age (Rofiah et al., 2022; Samuri et al., 2022b). Therefore, once the individual shows physical change because of puberty (having sex dreams for men and menarche for women), the person is perceived as an adult and deemed ready for marriage. This understanding is mainly coming from the interpretation of the hadith of the Prophet Muhammad married Aishah [Aisyah] when she was 6 years old (Rofiah et al., 2022; Samuri et al., 2022a).
Consequently, the number of child marriages in Islamic communities or countries is relatively high. In Indonesia, it was found that one in nine girls had married in 2018, which made Indonesia one of the highest child marriage numbers in the world (Subchi et al., 2021; Susilo et al., 2021). In particular, the impact of religion on child marriage was found to be stronger in the villages than in the urban or city areas through the patriarchy and religious leaders’ influence (Hadiati et al., 2022; Putri et al., 2021; Ratnaningsih et al., 2022; Rofiah et al., 2022; Sutriyatmi et al., 2023; Widyastari et al., 2020). Readers are encouraged to read an ethnographic report by Platt (2017) if they are interested in understanding more about the marital experiences of Muslim Indonesian women from an anthropological perspective.
The child marriage phenomenon was also found in the neighboring Islamic country, Malaysia, where child marriage among Muslims may be allowed through the Sharia court’s permission (Samuri et al., 2022a). Moreover, child marriages were also found to be prevalent in Muslim communities or countries worldwide (Samuri et al., 2022b). For example, Muslim women in Bangladesh were nearly two times more likely to be married at an early age compared to non-Muslim women (Saleheen et al., 2021). It was also found that child marriage was more prevalent among Muslim women in six South Asian countries (Afghanistan, Bangladesh, India, Maldives, Nepal, and Pakistan) compared to non-Muslim women in those countries (Kamal & Ulas, 2021).
However, the use of hadith in justifying child marriage has been challenged by other Islamic scholars (Adawiyah et al., 2022; Rofiah et al., 2022). For example, scholars of the Kongres Ulama Perempuan Indonesia (KUPI, the Indonesian Women's Ulama [Scholars] Congress) rely on the Qur’an (al-Baqarah, 2: 195) when arguing that child marriage should be prevented because it causes multiple harms (madharat), particularly for the children (Satibi et al., 2023). A similar movement was also found in Malaysia, where some scholars argued that the hadith of Aishah should not be interpreted literally and the forced application of this hadith in the current lifetime could be only to fulfil sexual desire (Samuri et al., 2022a).
On the other hand, the minimum legal age limit for brides and grooms in Indonesia is 19 years after a long battle of 45 years to increase the brides’ minimum age limit from 16 years (Grijns & Horii, 2018; Julianto et al., 2022). As consistently found in previous studies, child marriage negatively affects the children who are involved because it could violate their basic rights (Grijns & Horii, 2018). In particular, girls would be affected more than boys by gender-based violence, cessation of education, teenage pregnancy, and maternal mortality (Miedema et al., 2020; Rofiah et al., 2022).
However, despite the minimum age for the brides has been raised, Muslim people in Indonesia still could apply for a marriage dispensation if the broom and/or bride are under 19 years by submitting their applications to the [Islamic] Religious Court (Pengadilan Agama [Islam]) before the couple can do their marriage at [Islamic] Religious Affairs Office (Kantor Urusan Agama/KUA [Islam]) (Grijns & Horii, 2018). A previous study in Palu Religious Court from 2018 to 2020 found one of the primary factors of parents submitting underage marriage dispensation applications for their children was avoiding slander from the society (Marzuki et al., 2021). These parents were worried when seeing their children in a relationship and acting against the social norms.
The condition was worsened during the COVID-19 pandemic because the number of marriage dispensation applications steadily increased, which happened not only in Indonesia but globally (Alqahtani & Alqahtani, 2022; Arshad, 2020; Bachtiar et al., 2021; Julianto et al., 2022; Subchi et al., 2021). A study among Bangladeshi, Rohingya, Jordanians, and Syrians found that these refugee girls were having a higher risk to be married than local girls or the host community, which mainly because of the curbing policy and the impacted family’s economic situation (Baird et al., 2022). Furthermore, the United Nations International Children’s Emergency Fund (UNICEF) predicted that the COVID-19 pandemic will significantly add to the number of child marriages worldwide through education interruption, economic crisis, health care interruption, orphanages, and disruption to child marriage prevention programs (Alqahtani & Alqahtani, 2022; Kidman et al., 2022).
Therefore, this study aimed to investigate factors associated with the applications of child marriage dispensation submitted to the Religious Courts during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia, particularly between 2019 and 2021. By understanding these factors, the stakeholders can design effective programs to slow down the child marriage numbers when entering the endemic period as was done in a previous study post-natural disaster (Dewi & Dartanto, 2019).

Methodology

This quantitative study utilized data from the Supreme Court of The Republic of Indonesia (Mahkamah Agung). In particular, for the main variable, we used the number of child marriage dispensation cases from 2019 to 2021 from 29 provincial [Islamic] Religious High Courts (Pengadilan Tinggi Agama/PTA [Islam]). Five provinces of total 34 provinces in Indonesia were not included in this study because they have no PTA, including Papua Barat/West Papua, Sulawesi Barat/West Sulawesi, Bali, Kepulauan Riau/Riau Islands, and Kalimantan Utara/North Kalimantan provinces. There is no PTA in these provinces might be because of the small numbers of Muslims or logistical issues (i.e., new province), which could be outliers for this study. The complete description from 34 provinces has been reported elsewhere (Julianto et al., 2022).
This study also used socioeconomic variables that were extracted from Badan Pusat Statistik/BPS (Central Agency on Statistics) and COVID-19-related variables from the COVID-19 task force. In addition, the divorce cases were also included where they were two types of divorce recorded by the [Islamic] Religious Courts: cerai talak (Arabic: talaq, means to release) and cerai gugat (sue, judicial divorce) (Nainggolan, 2022). Cerai talak is simply understood as a form of divorce under Islamic law initiated by the husband who repudiates the marriage [wife] by saying “talaq” three times and then proceed at the Religious Court. On the other hand, cerai gugat under Islamic law is basically understood as a form of divorce initiated by the wife who makes a petition to the Religious Court to be divorced from her husband. The summary of these variables is presented in Table 1 below.
Table 1
Description and source of variables included in the study
Variable
Description
Source
Child marriage
The application numbers of child marriage dispensation in 2019, 2020, and 2021
The Supreme Court of The Republic of Indonesia
Poverty rate
The number of poor populations, which is defined as people with a monthly average per capita expenditure below the poverty line
Jobless rate
The percentage of open unemployment, including those who (1) are unemployed and looking for work; (2) do not have a job and are preparing a business; (3) do not have a job and are not looking for work, because they feel it is impossible to get a job; and (4) already have a job, but have not started working
Junior high school completion rate
The junior high school completion rate
Senior high school completion rate
The senior high school completion rate
Ditto
Cerai talak
The total numbers of cerai talak applications
Cerai gugat
The total numbers of cerai gugat applications
Ditto
COVID-19 positive cases
The numbers of COVID-19 confirmed cases
COVID-19 death cases
The numbers of deaths by COVID-19
Ditto
BPS = Badan Pusat Statistik (Central Agency on Statistics)
Data were first analyzed descriptively (i.e., mean [M] and standard deviation [SD]) for each year and the difference between 2021 and 2019 by calculating the change. Second, the differences between 2021 and 2019 were analyzed using the repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA, F) for all variables except two variables related to the COVID-19 pandemic (total positive cases and total death numbers), which were analyzed using the paired t-test (t). Third, the relationship between variables was analyzed using the Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient (r). Finally, hierarchical multiple regression (F)1 with entering method was used to determine the predictors of the number of child marriage dispensation cases in years 2019, 2020, and 2021; and the change from 2019 to 2021.
Variables were included in the regression based on the results of correlational tests and multicollinearity screenings that included poverty and jobless rate in Block 1, cerai talak and cerai gugat in Block 2, and COVID-19 positive cases and COVID-19 death cases (only in years 2020 and 2021) in Block 3. Standard coefficients (β) and confidence intervals (95% CI) were computed to compare the relative importance of each variable in the equation. for each possible. The R-squared (R2) and change of R-squared (Δ R2) were examined to determine the goodness of fit of a regression model. All analyses were conducted using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS) version 28.

Results

New dispensation underage marriage applications (Table 2) from 29 provinces in 2019, 2020, and 2021 were 24,457 (M = 843, SD = 1519), 63,391 (M = 2186, SD = 4085), and 62,167 (M = 2144, SD = 4058), respectively. The repeated measures ANOVA (Greenhouse-Geisser) showed that the dispensation underage marriage application number was significantly different within 3 years, F(1.0, 28.6) =7.63, p = .01. The posthoc pairwise comparisons indicated that the differences were significant between year 2019 and 2020 (p = .03) as well as between year 2019 and 2021 (p = .03). On the other hand, the dispensation underage marriage applications between year 2020 and 2021 were not significantly different (p = .99). These dispensation application numbers in all 3 years were consistently to be found positively correlated with poverty rate, jobless rate, cerai talak, cerai gugat, COVID-19 positive cases, and COVID-19 death cases (Table 3). In addition, all negative correlations between the percentage of high school completion rate and the dispensation underage marriage applications in 2019, 2020, and 2021 were found to be non-significant.
Table 2
Underage marriage dispensation applications, socioeconomic variables, and COVID-19-related variables in 29 provinces (2019–2021)
No
Province
A
   
B
   
C
   
  
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
1
DI Aceh
229
963
956
727
809,760
833,910
850,260
40,500
148,474
166,600
158,857
10,383
2
Bangka Belitung
159
265
261
102
67,370
72,050
69,700
2,330
26,063
38,756
37,176
11,113
3
Banten
192
504
357
165
641,420
857,640
852,280
210,860
489,825
661,061
562,310
72,485
4
Bengkulu
325
961
1,098
773
298,000
306,000
291,790
-6,210
33,793
43,801
38,745
4,952
5
Jawa Tengah
5,451
13,683
14,073
8,622
3,679,400
4,119,930
3,934,010
254,610
818,276
1,214,342
1,128,223
309,947
6
Kalimantan Tengah
310
901
839
529
131,240
141,780
141,030
9,790
55,473
63,309
63,874
8,401
7
Sulawesi Tengah
286
600
462
176
404,030
403,740
381,210
-22,820
46,993
59,381
59,371
12,378
8
Jawa Timur
6,167
17,576
17,567
11,400
4,056,000
4,585,970
4,259,600
203,600
835,130
1,301,145
1,281,395
446,265
9
Kalimantan Timur
538
1,255
1,195
657
220,910
243,990
233,130
12,220
106,960
124,884
126,186
19,226
10
Nusa Tenggara Timur
34
81
92
58
1,129,460
1,173,530
1,146,280
16,820
84,874
121,884
109,928
25,054
11
Gorontalo
388
918
1,090
702
184,710
185,310
184,600
-110
22,382
25,410
17,959
-4,423
12
DKI Jakarta
296
600
401
105
362,300
496,840
498,290
135,990
339,402
572,780
439,899
100,497
13
Jambi
301
1,016
1,021
720
273,370
288,100
279,860
6,490
71,212
93,990
93,754
22,542
14
Lampung
280
776
717
437
1,041,480
1,091,140
1,007,020
-34,460
175,657
209,568
210,632
34,975
15
Maluku
17
56
69
52
319,510
322,400
295,970
-23,540
54,400
63,489
59,589
5,189
16
Sulawesi Utara
289
890
909
620
188,600
195,850
186,550
-2,050
73,413
90,248
85,540
12,127
17
Sumatera Utara
380
874
868
488
1,260,500
1,356,720
1273,070
12,570
399,262
507,805
475,156
75,894
18
Papua
67
167
184
117
900,950
912,230
944,490
43,540
65,143
75,658
64,996
-147
19
Riau
385
1,059
1,053
668
483,920
491,220
496,660
12,740
180,661
203,837
145,669
-34,992
20
Sulawesi Tenggara
146
378
343
197
299,970
317,320
323,360
23,390
46,017
61,860
54,134
8,117
21
Kalimantan Selatan
561
1,462
1,383
822
190,290
206,920
197,760
7,470
89,269
103,648
109,968
20,699
22
Sulawesi Selatan
2,224
4,197
4,289
2,065
759,580
800,240
765,460
5,880
196,779
269,817
252,349
55,570
23
Sumatera Selatan
618
1,498
1,626
1,008
1,067,160
1,119,650
1,116,610
49,450
190,204
238,363
219,199
28,995
24
Jawa Barat
3,106
8,530
7,054
3,948
3,375,890
4,188,520
4,004,860
628,970
1,929,515
2,533,076
2,430,147
500,632
25
Kalimantan Barat
506
1,253
1,216
710
370,470
370,710
354,000
-16,470
111,257
151,561
153,307
42,050
26
Nusa Tenggara Barat
378
913
1,160
782
705,680
746,040
735,300
29,620
85,501
113,430
82,495
-3,006
27
Sumatera Barat
340
1,031
1,077
737
343,090
364,790
339,930
-3,160
144,349
190,609
179,948
35,599
28
DI Yogyakarta
468
947
756
288
440,890
503,140
474,490
33,600
71,482
101,846
106,432
34,950
29
Maluku Utara
16
37
51
35
87,180
87,520
81,180
-6,000
27,874
29,997
28,133
259
 
Total
24,457
63,391
62,167
37,710
24,093,130
26,783,200
25,718,750
1,625,620
6,919,640
9,432,155
8,775,371
1,855,731
 
M (SD)
843
(1,519)
2,186
(4,085)
2,144
(4,058)
1,300
(2,555)
830,797
(1,050,999)
923,559
(1,220,348)
886,853
(1,152,171)
56,056
(131,727)
238,608
(387,959)
325,247
(532,812)
302,599
(509,047)
63,991
(128,387)
 
F/t (p)
7.63
.01
   
6.56
.01
   
8.67
**
  
-
 
df1, df2
1.0, 28.6
   
1.1, 31.5
   
1.1, 29.8
   
 
p I vs II
.03
   
.04
   
.01
   
 
p I vs III
.03
   
.09
   
.04
   
 
p II vs III
.99
   
.04
   
.01
   
No
Province
D
   
E
   
F
   
  
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
1
DI Aceh
89.50
90.92
93.43
3.93
69.96
70.07
74.36
4.40
1,567
1,536
1,469
-98
2
Bangka Belitung
77.96
81.91
80.99
3.03
53.84
56.74
63.98
10.14
593
553
577
-16
3
Banten
87.40
86.70
90.63
3.23
56.94
64.24
66.90
9.96
3,186
3,121
3,323
137
4
Bengkulu
85.13
87.68
89.94
4.81
61.47
62.73
62.46
0.99
875
928
912
37
5
Jawa Tengah
85.47
89.00
88.44
2.97
49.79
55.82
59.9
10.11
21,202
19,244
18,799
-2,403
6
Kalimantan Tengah
81.01
84.83
89.76
8.75
50.01
60.77
61.04
11.03
879
776
810
-69
7
Sulawesi Tengah
82.23
82.79
85.42
3.19
52.00
57.68
61.16
9.16
839
907
940
101
8
Jawa Timur
86.21
89.98
90.30
4.09
57.74
63.53
66.33
8.59
27,277
25,000
25,110
-2,167
9
Kalimantan Timur
86.98
92.40
95.34
8.36
64.74
71.63
74.26
9.52
2,278
1,964
1,996
-282
10
Nusa Tenggara Timur
74.31
78.81
78.83
4.52
43.85
50.65
44.88
1.03
161
170
135
-26
11
Gorontalo
80.60
80.10
81.22
0.62
50.87
55.35
53.73
2.86
512
476
524
12
12
DKI Jakarta
93.02
94.57
95.00
1.98
84.35
85.67
84.98
0.63
4,329
3,685
3,960
-369
13
Jambi
84.40
86.31
89.00
4.60
56.87
63.66
64.51
7.64
1,109
1,066
1,147
38
14
Lampung
84.08
86.66
89.46
5.38
54.87
57.59
60.09
5.22
2,814
2,922
3,119
305
15
Maluku
88.43
88.04
93.08
4.65
67.82
70.55
68.12
0.30
192
198
212
20
16
Sulawesi Utara
85.67
86.69
91.05
5.38
67.58
73.79
68.56
0.98
424
486
440
16
17
Sumatera Utara
88.26
91.63
91.35
3.09
65.21
70.39
72.81
7.60
3,172
3,183
3,555
383
18
Papua
59.31
65.75
66.06
6.75
27.44
30.92
32.95
5.51
545
489
514
-31
19
Riau
84.97
86.84
87.11
2.14
58.78
66.62
68.94
10.16
2,922
2,893
3,198
276
20
Sulawesi Tenggara
85.46
89.18
90.88
5.42
64.26
68.28
70.65
6.39
836
839
868
32
21
Kalimantan Selatan
82.77
82.48
84.06
1.29
59.52
63.05
63.59
4.07
1,766
1,520
1,543
-223
22
Sulawesi Selatan
83.74
85.08
88.18
4.44
60.97
66.22
69.43
8.46
3,534
3,489
3,406
-128
23
Sumatera Selatan
83.40
85.02
87.68
4.28
58.23
65.42
67.20
8.97
2,321
2,193
2,474
153
24
Jawa Barat
85.53
88.17
88.18
2.65
57.46
63.56
64.89
7.43
24,172
23,756
23,971
-201
25
Kalimantan Barat
72.78
80.88
79.65
6.87
49.29
55.23
54.27
4.98
1,038
1,042
1,126
88
26
Nusa Tenggara Barat
88.64
89.91
92.19
3.55
57.60
64.66
65.71
8.11
2,034
2,048
2,040
6
27
Sumatera Barat
84.07
87.12
89.49
5.42
60.32
67.11
70.06
9.74
2,272
2,187
2372
100
28
DI Yogyakarta
92.34
92.36
94.94
2.60
84.54
87.99
90.12
5.58
1,529
1,447
1,467
-62
29
Maluku Utara
84.07
87.12
89.49
7.86
59.13
66.52
66.95
7.82
358
351
391
33
 
Total
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
114,736
108,469
110,398
-4,338
 
M (SD)
83.72(6.46)
86.17(5.48)
87.97(6.07)
4.34(2.01)
58.81(10.92)
64.02(10.36)
65.27(10.62)
6.46(3.35)
3,956(7,137)
3,740(6,674)
3,807(6,662)
-150(614)
 
F/t (p)
69.76***
   
85.15***
   
3.03.09
   
 
df1, df2
1.9, 54.8
   
1.7, 47.5
   
1.1, 30.4
   
 
p I vs II
***
   
***
       
 
p I vs III
***
   
***
       
 
p II vs III
***
   
***
       
No
Province
G
   
H
   
I
   
  
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
I
II
III
IV
1
DI Aceh
4,515
4,547
4,972
457
0
8,752
29,684
29,684
0
358
1,708
1,708
2
Bangka Belitung
1,908
1,717
1,900
-8
0
2,337
49,971
49,971
0
35
1,424
1,424
3
Banten
11,689
11,235
12,346
657
0
18,154
114,787
114,787
0
518
2,165
2,165
4
Bengkulu
2,423
2,560
2,934
511
0
3,603
19,432
19,432
0
112
360
360
5
Jawa Tengah
61,061
56,514
56,761
-4,300
0
82,860
404,370
404,370
0
3,609
26,665
26,665
6
Kalimantan Tengah
2,782
2,594
2,678
-104
0
9,866
35,900
35,900
0
198
1,233
1,233
7
Sulawesi Tengah
2,830
2,849
3,019
189
0
3,360
43,485
43,485
0
106
1,519
1,519
8
Jawa Timur
65,311
60,983
63,126
-2,185
0
84,084
315,656
315,656
0
6,367
23,334
23,334
9
Kalimantan Timur
6,547
5,951
6,006
-541
0
26,581
131,149
131,149
0
747
5,172
5,172
10
Nusa Tenggara Timur
315
330
301
-14
0
2,193
65,368
65,368
0
67
1,304
1,304
11
Gorontalo
1,860
1,825
1,894
34
0
3,839
8,632
8,632
0
102
356
356
12
DKI Jakarta
12,588
11,100
12,058
-530
0
184,318
754,435
754,435
0
5,150
11,339
11,339
13
Jambi
3,544
3,413
3,853
309
0
3,227
26,580
26,580
0
56
1,019
1,019
14
Lampung
9,802
10,667
11,916
2,114
0
7,563
40,295
40,295
0
274
3,630
3,630
15
Maluku
456
557
547
91
0
5,722
9,071
9,071
0
70
193
193
16
Sulawesi Utara
1,444
1,500
1,445
1
0
15,818
20,237
20,237
0
302
831
831
17
Sumatera Utara
12,256
12,501
13,718
1,462
0
18,129
87,563
87,563
0
677
2,208
2,208
18
Papua
1,342
1,245
1,324
-18
0
13,153
20,953
20,953
0
157
428
428
19
Riau
8,785
8,672
9,528
743
0
24,966
104,602
104,602
0
583
3,475
3,475
20
Sulawesi Tenggara
2,640
2,616
2,955
315
0
8,203
11,965
11,965
0
146
380
380
21
Kalimantan Selatan
6,105
5,648
6,039
-66
0
15,303
54,255
54,255
0
1,383
1,803
1,803
22
Sulawesi Selatan
12,682
12,090
12,172
-510
0
30,955
84,838
84,838
0
592
1,648
1,648
23
Sumatera Selatan
7,928
7,466
8,717
789
0
11,837
47,965
47,965
0
599
2,482
2,482
24
Jawa Barat
73,645
71,537
74,115
470
0
90,286
618,248
618,248
0
1,446
13,133
13,133
25
Kalimantan Barat
4,023
4,126
4,099
76
0
3,118
38,553
38,553
0
25
1,036
1,036
26
Nusa Tenggara Barat
6,735
6,626
6,946
211
0
5,664
22,143
22,143
0
261
557
557
27
Sumatera Barat
6,391
6,206
7,003
612
0
23,464
66,589
66,589
0
525
1,628
1,628
28
DI Yogyakarta
4,179
4,320
4,173
-6
0
12,155
144,856
144,856
0
259
5,006
5,006
29
Maluku Utara
845
867
882
37
0
2,771
9,334
9,334
0
89
215
215
 
Total
336,631
322,262
337,427
796
0
722,281
3,380,916
3,380,916
0
24,813
116,251
116,251
 
M (SD)
11,608(19,481)
11,113(18,423)
11,635(18,904)
27(1,096)
0
24,906(39,167)
116,583(181,658)
116,583(181,658)
0
856(1,536)
4,009(6,563)
4,009(6,563)
 
F/t (p)
4.83.02
   
-3.41**
   
-3.20**
   
 
df1, df2
1.5, 41.5
           
 
p I vs II
.11
           
 
p I vs III
.99
           
 
p II vs III
***
           
I=Year 2019, II=Year 2020, III=Year 2021, IV=Year 2021-Year 2019; A = New dispensation applications; B = Poverty rate, C = Jobless rate, D = Junior high school completion rate, E = Senior high school completion rate, F = Cerai talak, G = Cerai gugat, H = COVID-19 positive cases, I = Number of deaths by COVID-19, F = Repeated measure ANOVA Greenhouse-Geisser, df1 = The effect degrees of freedom, df2 = The error degrees of freedom; *p< .05, **p < .01, ***p < .001
Table 3
Correlatio ns between variable
 
2019
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
  
A
Underage marriage dispensation applications
1
.91***
.68**
.13
.51
−.09
.65
.93***
.91***
  
B
Poverty rate
 
1
.82***
.06
.76
−.17
.37
.95***
.95***
  
C
Jobless rates
  
1
.18
.35
−.01
.97
.87***
.92***
  
D
Junior high school completion rate
   
1
.87***
.17
.37
.18
.34
  
E
Senior high school completion rate
    
1
−.05
.81
−.05
.81
  
F
Cerai talak
     
1
.99***
  
G
Cerai gugat
      
1
  
 
2020
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
A
Underage marriage dispensation applications
1
.91***
.74***
.20
.29
−.07
.72
.94***
.91***
.51**
.76***
B
Poverty rate
 
1
.88***
.15
.42
−.14
.47
.96***
.96***
.52**
.66***
C
Jobless rates
  
1
.25
.20
.03
.89
.92***
.95***
.63***
.56**
D
Junior high school completion rate
   
1
.87***
.25
.19
.25
.18
.39
.04
.35
.06
E
Senior high school completion rate
    
1
−.03
.89
−.02
.90
.33
.09
.21
.27
F
Cerai talak
     
1
.99***
.60***
.72***
G
Cerai gugat
      
1
.60***
.67***
H
COVID-19 cases
       
1
.85***
I
Number of deaths by COVID-19
        
1
 
2021
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
A
Underage marriage dispensation applications
1
.89***
.70***
0.08
.69
−.02
.93
.91***
.87***
.49**
.91***
B
Poverty rate
 
1
.89***
.01
.98
−.09
.63
.96***
.96***
.61**
.87***
C
Jobless rates
  
1
.10
.59
.05
.78
.93***
.95***
.74***
.74***
D
Junior high school completion rate
   
1
.87***
0.11
.56
0.11
.55
0.23
.24
0.17
.37
E
Senior high school completion rate
    
1
0.04
.84
0.04
.83
0.31
.10
0.13
.50
F
Cerai talak
     
1
.99***
.68***
.89***
G
Cerai gugat
      
1
.70***
.87***
H
COVID-19 cases
       
1
.73***
I
Number of deaths by COVID-19
        
1
 
2021–2019
A
B
C
D
E
F
G
H
I
A
Underage marriage dispensation applications
1
.54 **
.83***
−.14
.46
.26
.17
−.92***
−.74***
.46
.01
.90***
B
Poverty rate
 
1
.87***
−.28
.15
.18
.36
−.43
.02
−.30
.11
.76***
.65***
C
Jobless rates
  
1
−.21
.27
.19
.34
−.70***
−.49
.01
.72***
.85***
D
Junior high school completion rate
   
1
.16
.42
.11
.57
.05
.78
.34
.07
.23
.22
E
Senior high school completion rate
    
1
.17
.37
.15
.45
.02
.90
.21
27
F
Cerai talak
     
1
.91***
−.49
.01
−.91***
G
Cerai gugat
      
1
−.41
.03
−.76***
H
COVID-19 positive cases
       
1
.73***
I
Number of deaths by COVID-19
        
1
*p < .05, **p < .01, ***p < .001
Data in bold emphasis indicate a significant correlation
The multiple regression analysis for the dispensation underage marriage applications in year 2019 was statistically significant, F(4,24) = 178.53, p < .001 (Table 4). The final model (Model 2) was able to account for 97% of variance in new dispensation underage marriage applications (R2 = .97). However, only jobless rate (β = −0.95, 95% CI = −0.01–0.01, p < .001) and cerai gugat (β = 1.82, 95% CI = 0.06–0.22, p < .01) were significantly and uniquely contributed in predicting the 2019 dispensation applications. For every 387,959 more on jobless rate, a reduction of 1443 dispensation was applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. For every 19,481 more on cerai gugat, an extra 2765 dispensations were applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. The economic variables (poverty and jobless rates) in Model 1 could explain 84% of variance in 2019 new dispensation underage marriage applications, which increased by 13% when cerai talak and cerai gugat were entered in Model 2.
Table 4
Hierarchical multiple regression results
Variable/year
β
95% CI
p
β
95% CI
p
β
95% CI
p
2019
I—Model 1
I—Model 2
Block 1
 Poverty rate
1.06
0.00–0.01
***
0.06
0.00–0.01
0.64
   
 Jobless rate
−0.19
−0.01 to 0.01
0.18
0.95
0.01 to 0.01
***
   
Block 2
Cerai talak
   
−0.10
−0.20 to 0.15
0.80
   
Cerai gugat
   
1.82
0.06–0.22
**
   
F (df1, df2)
 
66.06 (2, 26)
***
 
178.53 (4, 24)
***
   
R2, Adjusted R2
 
0.84, 0.82
***
 
0.97, 0.96
***
   
 Δ R2
 
-
  
0.13
    
2020
II—Model 1
II—Model 2
I—Model 3
Block 1
 Poverty rate
1.18
0.00–0.01
***
0.09
−0.01–0.00
0.48
0.06
−0.01–0.00
0.64
 Jobless rate
−0.30
−0.01 to 0.00
0.07
0.87
0.01 to 0.00
***
0.78
0.01 to 0.00
***
Block 2
Cerai talak
   
1.22
0.33–1.16
**
0.77
−0.12 to 1.06
0.11
Cerai gugat
   
0.43
−0.09 to 0.28
0.31
0.76
−0.05 to 0.39
0.12
Block 3
 COVID-19 positive cases
      
−0.11
−0.04 to 0.01
0.36
 Deaths by COVID-19
      
0.18
−0.31 to 1.29
0.22
F (df1, df2)
 
77.20 (2, 26)
***
 
241.40 (4, 24)
***
 
161.83 (6, 22)
***
R2, Adjusted R2
 
0.86, 0.85
  
0.98, 0.97
  
0.98, 0.97
 
 Δ R2
 
-
  
0.12
  
0.00
 
2021
 
III—Model 1
  
III—Model 2
  
III—Model 3
 
Block 1
 Poverty rate
1.26
0.00–0.01
***
0.19
0.00–0.01
0.19
0.06
−0.01–0.00
0.70
 Jobless rate
0.42
0.01 to 0.00
0.03
1.13
0.02 to 0.01
***
-0.73
0.01 to 0.00
0.02
Block 2
Cerai talak
   
1.18
0.24–1.20
**
1.18
0.24–1.20
**
Cerai gugat
   
0.60
−0.09 to 0.35
0.23
0.21
−0.20 to 0.29
0.71
Block 3
 COVID-19 positive cases
      
-0.17
−0.01 to 0.00
0.13
 Deaths by COVID-19
      
0.29
−0.07 to 0.42
0.15
F (df1, df2)
 
61.87 (2, 26)
***
 
168.86 (4, 24)
***
 
115.67 (6, 22)
***
R2, Adjusted R2
 
0.83, 0.81
  
0.97, 0.96
  
0.97, 0.96
 
 Δ R2
 
-
  
0.14
  
0.00
 
2021–2019
 
IV—Model 1
  
IV—Model 2
  
IV—Model 3
 
Block 1
 Poverty rate
0.77
0.02 to (0.01)
***
-0.29
0.01 to 0.00
0.02
−0.18
−0.01 to 0.00
0.10
 Jobless rate
1.51
0.02–0.04
***
0.63
0.01–0.02
**
0.65
0.01–0.02
***
Block 2
Cerai talak
   
0.82
5.09 to 1.75
***
0.55
4.43 to (0.11)
0.04
Cerai gugat
   
0.24
−0.15 to 1.25
0.12
0.11
−0.39 to 0.91
0.42
Block 3
 COVID-19 positive cases
      
0.29
0.01 to 0.00
**
 Deaths by COVID-19
      
0.27
−0.05 to 0.26
0.19
F (df1, df2)
 
68.12 (2, 26)
***
 
117.85 (4, 24)
***
 
117.62 (6, 22)
***
R2, Adjusted R2
 
0.84, 0.83
  
0.95, 0.94
  
0.97, 0.96
 
 Δ R2
 
-
  
0.11
  
0.02
 
I = Year 2019, II = Year 2020, III = Year 2021, IV = Year 2021–2019, β = standardized coefficient beta, CI = confidence interval, **p < .01, ***p < .001, F = hierarchical multiple regression, df1 = regression degree of freedom, df2 = residual degree of freedom, R2 = R-squared, Δ = delta/changes, NA not applicable
Data in bold emphasis indicate a significant value
The multiple regression analysis for the dispensation underage marriage applications in year 2020 was statistically significant, F(6,22) = 161.83, p < .001 (Table 4). The final model (Model 3) was able to account for 98% of variance in new dispensation underage marriage applications (R2 = .98). However, only jobless rate (β = −0.78, 95%CI = −0.01–0.00, p < .001) was significantly and uniquely contributed in predicting the 2020 dispensation applications. For every 532,812 more on jobless rate, a reduction of 3186 dispensation was applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. The economic variables (poverty and jobless rates) in the original Model 1 could explain 86% of variance in 2020 new dispensation underage marriage applications, which increased by 12% when cerai talak and cerai gugat were entered in Model 2. Two COVID-19 variables were not adding a unique contribution in explaining the variance in Model 3.
The multiple regression analysis for the dispensation underage marriage applications in year 2021 was statistically significant, F(6,22) = 115.67, p < .001 (Table 4). The final model (Model 3) was able to account for 97% of variance in new dispensation underage marriage applications (R2 = .97). However, only jobless rate (β = −0.73, 95% CI = −0.01–0.00, p = .02) and cerai talak (β = 1.18, 95% CI = 0.24–1.20, p < .01) were significantly and uniquely contributed in predicting the 2021 dispensation applications. For every 509,047 more on jobless rate, a reduction of 2,962 dispensation was applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. For every 6,662 more on cerai talak, an extra 4,788 dispensations were applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. The economic variables (poverty and jobless rates) in the original Model 1 could explain 83% of variance in 2021 new dispensation underage marriage applications, which increased by 14% when cerai talak and cerai gugat were entered in Model 2. Two COVID-19 variables were not adding a unique contribution in explaining the variance in Model 3.
The multiple regression analysis for the change of dispensation underage marriage applications in the pandemic and before (years 2021–2019) was statistically significant, F(6,22) = 117.62, p < .001 (Table 4). The final model (Model 3) was able to account for 97% of variance in new dispensation underage marriage applications (R2 = .97). However, only jobless rate (β = 0.65, 95% CI = 0.01–0.02, p < .001), cerai talak (β = −0.55, 95% CI = −4.43–(−0.11), p = .04), and COVID-19 positive cases (β = −0.29, 95% CI = −0.01–0.00, p < .01) were significantly and uniquely contributed in predicting the change of dispensation applications from 2021 and 2019. For every 128,387 more on jobless rate, a reduction of 1,661 dispensation was applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. For every 614 more on cerai talak, an extra 1,405 dispensations were applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. For every 181,658 more on COVID-19 positive cases, an extra of 741 dispensation was applied, which this interpretation is true only if the effects of other variables are held constant. The economic variables (poverty and jobless rates) in Model 1 could explain 68.12% of variance in the changes of new dispensation underage marriage applications, which increased by 11% when cerai talak and cerai gugat were entered in Model 2. Two COVID-19 variables were adding 2% more unique contribution in explaining the variance in Model 3.

Discussion

This study aimed to investigate factors associated with the applications of child marriage dispensation submitted to the [Islamic] Religious Courts in Indonesia between 2019 and 2021 during the peak of COVID-19 pandemic. Islam gradually entered Indonesia and spread across the archipelago mainly through trading in the thirteenth century. Although Indonesia is the world’s most populous Muslim-majority country, with approximately 241 million adherents or around 87% of the population in 2022 (Kementerian, 2022), it is a secular democratic country where the constitution guarantees the freedom of worship according to an individual’s religion or belief (Ropi, 2017). Nowadays, in order to manage the practices of Muslims in Indonesia, the Government established the Majelis Ulama Indonesia (MUI, Indonesian Council of Religious Scholars) in 1975, which is not discussed in detail in this study, but interested readers can read the history of Islam in Indonesia in other references (Liow, 2016; Ropi, 2017).
This current study found that the application numbers increased three times between the years, especially from 2019 to 2020. This nationwide result confirmed previous local studies that also found the increase of child marriage dispensation applications, including in Nusa Tenggara Barat (West Nusa Tenggara) (Rahiem, 2021), Jawa Tengah (Central Java) (Supriyadi & Suriyati, 2022), and Jawa Timur (East Java) (Susilo et al., 2021). Moreover, this study supported the global phenomenon regarding the rise of child marriage numbers during the COVID-19 pandemic, including in Africa and South Asia regions (Bachtiar et al., 2021; Kidman et al., 2022; Wahab, 2022). In particular, the rising child marriage numbers in other Muslim-majority countries might be caused by the (mis) interpretation of the hadith of Aishah in patriarchy societies like in Indonesia (Adawiyah et al., 2022), which religion is embedded in Indonesia’s culture and norm as well as people’s daily lives (Grijns & Horii, 2018; Liem, 2020). However, the misconception of the hadith of Aishah has been eradicated by the Indonesian women’s ulama who are committed to gender equality (Rofiah et al., 2022; Satibi et al., 2023).
As found in previous studies (Handayani et al., 2021; Putri & Sutrisno, 2022), the increasing of child marriage applications in Indonesia from 2019 to 2021 was consistently correlated in a positive direction with the economic factors, which were represented by the poverty and jobless rates. However, unlike jobless status, the regression analysis found that poverty rate could not significantly predict the increasing numbers of child marriage applications in the long run during the pandemic situation. Interestingly, the jobless rate was actually reducing the numbers of child marriage applications. It might be because the parents lost their financial stability by being laid off or losing their business and savings so they might hire their children as laborers in doing home industry to alleviate the economic burden on their family. This argument of child labors during the COVID-19 pandemic has also been found in a global study (Washburn et al., 2022).
Moreover, in Islamic tradition, the groom must prepare and give the mahar/mas kawin (dowry) to the bride, which the Indonesian Compilation of Islamic Law stated that mahar is not always money but can also be in the form of goods, animals, and services (Ratnaningsih et al., 2022). However, a previous study in Indonesia found that nearly 80% of mahar was given in the form of jewelry and money (Aini, 2014). It is assumed that the unemployed status of the people and their inadequate financial situation would prevent them from providing this mahar and proposing to their future wives. This assumption is supported by the previous study in Sulawesi that found dowry significantly contributed to child marriage acceptance (Ratnaningsih et al., 2022). Another speculation is that these unemployed young people then migrate internally to another province to find work and prevent them from getting married.
Our study also found the divorce rates were consistently correlated with the child marriage application numbers every year during the pandemic. However, in the long run, it was only cerai talak (husband initiated the divorce under Islamic law) that significantly contributed in predicting the numbers of child marriage applications. We argue that these divorces might impose women into socioeconomic disadvantages, which were supported by the significant correlations between poverty rate and cerai talak numbers from 2019 to 2021 in our analysis. Furthermore, based on the Indonesian Compilation of Islamic Law, custody of a child after divorce is given to the mother if the child has not reached mumayyiz (having a good judgement to tell good from bad) or under 12 years of age (Imami & Hayatudin, 2022). This challenging situation might drive the family to marry their children where the decision could also be forced by the extended family members like grandparents of the child. In addition, women’s voice is usually heard less in the patriarchy society so the mothers could not do much even though they might disagree with marrying the child, which was relatively same with findings among some ethnic groups in Indonesia (Handayani et al., 2021).
The rising of child marriage application numbers could also be predicted through the numbers of COVID-19 positive cases. It might happen because the family has to take care of the members who are infected by coronavirus, which might leave the parents with a caregiving burden. In addition, poverty was positively correlated with the COVID-19 total cases, which it could be interpreted that family who cares for their ill members might then experience financial hardship. Consequently, they might perceive marrying their children as one of the strategies to ease the situation. This phenomenon was also observed in Bangladesh, Brazil, Ethiopia, India, and Nigeria where economic shocks could accumulate in a long term (Yukich et al., 2021).

Implications

Findings from this study could be used by the stakeholders (e.g., local Government, the Ministry of Women’s Empowerment and Child Protection, Child Protection Commission, and non-governmental organizations focus on child’s welfare) as a reference to prevent and decrease the numbers of child marriage, particularly during the COVID-19 pandemic. As economic factors were found significantly in predicting the child marriage dispensation applications, social intervention should prioritize family from low and middle socioeconomic backgrounds. Additionally, the welfare and safety of children with parents who lost their jobs during the pandemic should be monitored because they might be at risk of being exploited as child labores.
Special consideration should also be given for children whose parents are divorcing. The wellness of the child must be protected and the judges should also assess how the parents will care for the child and assure they will not marry the child. A previous study in Nusa Tenggara Barat and Jawa Barat found that not all Religious Court judges asked about or considered the educational and reproductive health needs of children after marriage (Sutriyatmi et al., 2023), which in fact contradicted the Supreme Court Regulation Number 5 of 2019 on the Guidelines for the Trials of Applications for the Dispensation of Marriage/PERMA No. 5/2019 (Mahkamah Agung Republik Indonesia, 2019). Therefore, it is strongly suggested that all Religious Court judges be certified for PERMA No. 5/2019 and its implementation be monitored to ensure that children’s testimonies are heard in court in order to prevent violations of children’s rights in the determination of marriage settlements.
Due to the communal or strong-ties culture in Indonesia (Balmores-Paulino et al., 2023), the judges of divorce cases should also involve the parents of the divorcing couples about child’s wellness and ask their commitment for protecting it, including avoiding child marriage practice. Furthermore, psychosocial supports for women who are divorced and child-bearing should be provided by the Government. For example, a social worker could do a home visit to assist the transition period and monitor the condition of mother and child. Also, because religious leaders are highly respected and Pondok Pesantren (Islamic boarding schools) are common in Indonesia, they can be empowered to prevent child marriage, as a previous study in a religious area in Indonesia found (Amberi, 2023).
Lastly, during pandemic or other crisis situations, family with children should be supported especially when the breadwinner in the family is affected by situations that threaten the family’s financial security. Financial assistance could be given to ease the economic burden due to the loss of income or to pay the medical expenses. Homecare visit or caregiving assistance could also be given in alleviating the caregiving impacts that might be experienced by the parents. In addition, voluntary education tutor could also assist families who are affected by the crisis so the children in these households could be assisted related to their homework and educational material.

Conclusion

Using national data on the numbers of child marriage dispensations from 2019 to 2021, our study found the significant rise within these years. Economic factors, divorce applications, and COVID-19 positive cases were found to be variables that could predict these elevation numbers during the pandemic. Collaborative multi-sectors works are needed to decrease these numbers and findings from this study could be used by the stakeholders in preventing the similar phenomenon in the future crisis situation.

Acknowledgements

The authors thank Alivia Khairunnisa, Elvira Hidayati Afifah, Dr. Drs. H. Abdul Ghani, SH., MH (Deputy Register for Religious Civil Cases at Supreme Court of The Republic of Indonesia) for their support in data collection and analysis.

Declarations

Ethics approval

Not applicable.
Not applicable.

Competing interest

The authors declare no competing interests.
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Footnotes
1
Hierarchical regression is a family of regression model where the predictors (independent variables that are assumed to contribute in predicting the output/dependent variable) are entered in blocks. Each block, which can be one or more predictors, represents a step/model. Typically, the first block contains demographic variables that could be control variables.
 
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Metadata
Title
Factors associated with child marriage during the COVID-19 pandemic in Indonesia
Authors
Andrian Liem
Very Julianto
Kamsi
Arini Haq
Raydinda Laili Shofa
Kamilatissa’adah
Publication date
13-11-2023
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
Published in
Contemporary Islam
Print ISSN: 1872-0218
Electronic ISSN: 1872-0226
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11562-023-00545-6

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