Skip to main content
Top

2010 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

8. Food Security and Adaptation to Climate Change: What Do We Know?

Authors : Marshall Burke, David Lobell

Published in: Climate Change and Food Security

Publisher: Springer Netherlands

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The potential for agricultural systems to adapt to climate change is at once both promising and poorly understood. This chapter reviews possible producer and consumer responses to a changing climate, the ability of these responses to offset otherwise negative impacts on food security, and the role of public and private institutions in investing in adaptation where individual responses are insufficient. Accumulated evidence suggests that wealthier societies and households will be better able to adapt to a changing climate because of their greater availability of alternatives and their ability to take advantage of them. Accordingly, investments that improve options for the poor, such as improved agricultural production technologies, financial instruments, and off-farm income opportunities, will likely be critical for adapting food security to a changing climate.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Alston J M (2000) A meta-analysis of rates of return to agricultural R&D: ex pede herculem? Int Food Policy Res Inst IFPRI Alston J M (2000) A meta-analysis of rates of return to agricultural R&D: ex pede herculem? Int Food Policy Res Inst IFPRI
go back to reference Barnett BJ, Barrett CB et al (2008) Poverty traps and index-based risk transfer products. World Dev 36(10):1766–1785CrossRef Barnett BJ, Barrett CB et al (2008) Poverty traps and index-based risk transfer products. World Dev 36(10):1766–1785CrossRef
go back to reference Barrett CB, Maxwell DG (2005) Food aid after fifty years: recasting its role. Routledge, London Barrett CB, Maxwell DG (2005) Food aid after fifty years: recasting its role. Routledge, London
go back to reference Battisti D, Naylor RL (2009) Historical Warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat. Science 323(5911):240CrossRef Battisti D, Naylor RL (2009) Historical Warnings of future food insecurity with unprecedented seasonal heat. Science 323(5911):240CrossRef
go back to reference Beinhocker ED (2006) The origin of wealth: evolution, complexity, and the radical remaking of economics. Harvard Business School Press Beinhocker ED (2006) The origin of wealth: evolution, complexity, and the radical remaking of economics. Harvard Business School Press
go back to reference Birkhaeuser D, Evenson RE et al (1991) The economic impact of agricultural extension: a review. Econ Dev Cult Change 39(3):607–650 Birkhaeuser D, Evenson RE et al (1991) The economic impact of agricultural extension: a review. Econ Dev Cult Change 39(3):607–650
go back to reference Collier P, Conway G et al (2008) “Climate change and Africa. Oxford Rev Econ Pol 24(2):337CrossRef Collier P, Conway G et al (2008) “Climate change and Africa. Oxford Rev Econ Pol 24(2):337CrossRef
go back to reference Cooper PJM, Dimes J et al (2008) Coping better with current climatic variability in the rain-fed farming systems of sub-Saharan Africa: an essential first step in adapting to future climate change?” Agric Ecosyst Environ 126(1–2):24–35CrossRef Cooper PJM, Dimes J et al (2008) Coping better with current climatic variability in the rain-fed farming systems of sub-Saharan Africa: an essential first step in adapting to future climate change?” Agric Ecosyst Environ 126(1–2):24–35CrossRef
go back to reference Darwin R, Tsigas M et al (1995) World Agriculture and climate change: economic adaptations. Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture Darwin R, Tsigas M et al (1995) World Agriculture and climate change: economic adaptations. Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture
go back to reference Davis B, Winters P et al (2007) Rural income generating activities: a cross country comparison. ESA Working Paper 68. FAO, Rome Davis B, Winters P et al (2007) Rural income generating activities: a cross country comparison. ESA Working Paper 68. FAO, Rome
go back to reference Dercon S-R (2002) Income risk, coping strategies, and safety nets. World Bank Research Observer 17(2):141–166 Dercon S-R (2002) Income risk, coping strategies, and safety nets. World Bank Research Observer 17(2):141–166
go back to reference Falcon WP, Naylor RL et al (2004) Using climate models to improve Indonesian food security. Bull Indones Econ Stud 40(3):355–377CrossRef Falcon WP, Naylor RL et al (2004) Using climate models to improve Indonesian food security. Bull Indones Econ Stud 40(3):355–377CrossRef
go back to reference Faurès J, Hoogeveen J et al (2002) The FAO irrigated area forecast for 2030. FAO:14, Rome, Italy Faurès J, Hoogeveen J et al (2002) The FAO irrigated area forecast for 2030. FAO:14, Rome, Italy
go back to reference Fischer G, Shah M, van Velthuizen, H (2002) Climate change and agricultural vulnerability, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Vienna, 160 pages Fischer G, Shah M, van Velthuizen, H (2002) Climate change and agricultural vulnerability, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Vienna, 160 pages
go back to reference Fisher A, Hanemann M et al (2007) Potential impacts of climate change on crop yields and land values in US agriculture: negative, significant, and robust. University of California, Berkeley Fisher A, Hanemann M et al (2007) Potential impacts of climate change on crop yields and land values in US agriculture: negative, significant, and robust. University of California, Berkeley
go back to reference Gine X, Townsend R et al (2008) “Patterns of rainfall insurance participation in rural India.” World Bank Econ Rev 22(3):539CrossRef Gine X, Townsend R et al (2008) “Patterns of rainfall insurance participation in rural India.” World Bank Econ Rev 22(3):539CrossRef
go back to reference Hanemann WM (2000) “Adaptation and its measurement.” Climatic Change 45(3):571–581CrossRef Hanemann WM (2000) “Adaptation and its measurement.” Climatic Change 45(3):571–581CrossRef
go back to reference Hobbs PR, Sayre K et al (2008) The role of conservation agriculture in sustainable agriculture. Philos Trans R Soc B: Biol Sci 363(1491):543–555CrossRef Hobbs PR, Sayre K et al (2008) The role of conservation agriculture in sustainable agriculture. Philos Trans R Soc B: Biol Sci 363(1491):543–555CrossRef
go back to reference Hoddinott J, Kinsey B (2001) “Child growth in the time of drought.” Oxford Bull Econ Stat 63(4):409–438CrossRef Hoddinott J, Kinsey B (2001) “Child growth in the time of drought.” Oxford Bull Econ Stat 63(4):409–438CrossRef
go back to reference Inocencio A, Kikuchi M et al (2007) Costs and performance of irrigation projects: a comparison of Sub-Saharan Africa and other developing regions. International Water Management Institute, Colombo, Sri Lanka Inocencio A, Kikuchi M et al (2007) Costs and performance of irrigation projects: a comparison of Sub-Saharan Africa and other developing regions. International Water Management Institute, Colombo, Sri Lanka
go back to reference Jayachandran S (2006) Selling labor low: wage responses to productivity shocks in developing countries. J Polit Econ 114(3):538–575CrossRef Jayachandran S (2006) Selling labor low: wage responses to productivity shocks in developing countries. J Polit Econ 114(3):538–575CrossRef
go back to reference Kandlikar M, Risbey J (2000) Agricultural impacts of climate change: if adaptation is the answer, what is the question? Climatic Change 45(3):529–539CrossRef Kandlikar M, Risbey J (2000) Agricultural impacts of climate change: if adaptation is the answer, what is the question? Climatic Change 45(3):529–539CrossRef
go back to reference Lobell DB, Ortiz-Monasterio JI et al (2005) Analysis of wheat yield and climatic trends in Mexico. Field Crop Res 94(2–3):250–256CrossRef Lobell DB, Ortiz-Monasterio JI et al (2005) Analysis of wheat yield and climatic trends in Mexico. Field Crop Res 94(2–3):250–256CrossRef
go back to reference Lobell DB, Burke MB et al (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319(5863):607–610CrossRef Lobell DB, Burke MB et al (2008) Prioritizing climate change adaptation needs for food security in 2030. Science 319(5863):607–610CrossRef
go back to reference Maccini S, Yang D (2008) Under the weather: health, schooling, and economic consequences of early-life rainfall. NBER Working Paper Maccini S, Yang D (2008) Under the weather: health, schooling, and economic consequences of early-life rainfall. NBER Working Paper
go back to reference Maddison D (2007) The perception of and adaptation to climate change in Africa. World Bank, Washington, DCCrossRef Maddison D (2007) The perception of and adaptation to climate change in Africa. World Bank, Washington, DCCrossRef
go back to reference Maredia MK, Byerlee D et al (2000) Impacts of food crop improvement research: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa. Food Policy 25(5):531–559CrossRef Maredia MK, Byerlee D et al (2000) Impacts of food crop improvement research: evidence from sub-Saharan Africa. Food Policy 25(5):531–559CrossRef
go back to reference Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus WD et al (1994) The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am Econ Rev:753–771 Mendelsohn R, Nordhaus WD et al (1994) The impact of global warming on agriculture: a Ricardian analysis. Am Econ Rev:753–771
go back to reference Meze-Hausken E (2004) Contrasting climate variability and meteorological drought with perceived drought and climate change in northern Ethiopia. Climate Res 27(1):19–31CrossRef Meze-Hausken E (2004) Contrasting climate variability and meteorological drought with perceived drought and climate change in northern Ethiopia. Climate Res 27(1):19–31CrossRef
go back to reference Ngigi SN, Savenije HHG et al (2005) Agro-hydrological evaluation of on-farm rainwater storage systems for supplemental irrigation in Laikipia district, Kenya. Agric Water Manage 73(1):21–41CrossRef Ngigi SN, Savenije HHG et al (2005) Agro-hydrological evaluation of on-farm rainwater storage ­systems for supplemental irrigation in Laikipia district, Kenya. Agric Water Manage 73(1):21–41CrossRef
go back to reference Ortiz-Ferrara G, Joshi A et al (2007) Partnering with farmers to accelerate adoption of new technologies in South Asia to improve wheat productivity. Euphytica 157(3):399–407CrossRef Ortiz-Ferrara G, Joshi A et al (2007) Partnering with farmers to accelerate adoption of new technologies in South Asia to improve wheat productivity. Euphytica 157(3):399–407CrossRef
go back to reference Pandey S, Bhandari HS et al (2007) Economic costs of drought and rice farmers’ coping mechanisms: a cross-country comparative analysis. International Rice Research Institute Pandey S, Bhandari HS et al (2007) Economic costs of drought and rice farmers’ coping mechanisms: a cross-country comparative analysis. International Rice Research Institute
go back to reference Pardey PG, Beintema NM (2002) Slow magic: agricultural R&D a century after Mendel. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC Pardey PG, Beintema NM (2002) Slow magic: agricultural R&D a century after Mendel. International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, DC
go back to reference Pardey PG, Beintema N et al (2006) Agricultural research: a growing global divide?. IFPRI, Washington, DC Pardey PG, Beintema N et al (2006) Agricultural research: a growing global divide?. IFPRI, Washington, DC
go back to reference Reilly J, Schimmelpfennig D (2000) Irreversibility, uncertainty, and learning: portraits of adaptation to long-term climate change. Climatic Change 45(1):253–278CrossRef Reilly J, Schimmelpfennig D (2000) Irreversibility, uncertainty, and learning: portraits of adaptation to long-term climate change. Climatic Change 45(1):253–278CrossRef
go back to reference Rosenzweig MR, Binswanger HP (1993) Wealth, weather risk and the composition and profitability of agricultural investments. Econ J 103:56–78 Rosenzweig MR, Binswanger HP (1993) Wealth, weather risk and the composition and profitability of agricultural investments. Econ J 103:56–78
go back to reference Rosenzweig C, Parry M et al (1993) Climate change and world food supply. University of Oxford, Environmental Change Unit, Oxford Rosenzweig C, Parry M et al (1993) Climate change and world food supply. University of Oxford, Environmental Change Unit, Oxford
go back to reference Smit B, Blain R et al (1997) Corn hybrid selection and climatic variability: gambling with nature? Can Geogr 41(4):429–438CrossRef Smit B, Blain R et al (1997) Corn hybrid selection and climatic variability: gambling with nature? Can Geogr 41(4):429–438CrossRef
go back to reference Tadross MA, Hewitson BC et al (2005) The interannual variability of the onset of the maize growing season over South Africa and Zimbabwe. J Clim 18(16):3356–3372CrossRef Tadross MA, Hewitson BC et al (2005) The interannual variability of the onset of the maize growing season over South Africa and Zimbabwe. J Clim 18(16):3356–3372CrossRef
go back to reference Thomas DSG, Twyman C et al (2007) Adaptation to climate change and variability: farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South Africa. Climatic Change 83(3):301–322CrossRef Thomas DSG, Twyman C et al (2007) Adaptation to climate change and variability: farmer responses to intra-seasonal precipitation trends in South Africa. Climatic Change 83(3):301–322CrossRef
go back to reference Tubiello FN, Rosenzweig C et al (2002) Effects of climate change on US crop production: simulation results using two different GCM scenarios. Part I: wheat, potato, maize, and citrus. Climate Res 20(3):259–270CrossRef Tubiello FN, Rosenzweig C et al (2002) Effects of climate change on US crop production: simulation results using two different GCM scenarios. Part I: wheat, potato, maize, and citrus. Climate Res 20(3):259–270CrossRef
go back to reference Washington R, Harrison M et al (2006) African climate change: taking the shorter route. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 87(10):1355–1366CrossRef Washington R, Harrison M et al (2006) African climate change: taking the shorter route. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 87(10):1355–1366CrossRef
go back to reference World Bank (2005) Managing agricultural production risk: Innovations in developing countries. World Bank, Washington, DC World Bank (2005) Managing agricultural production risk: Innovations in developing countries. World Bank, Washington, DC
go back to reference World Bank (2008) Investment in agricultural water for poverty reduction and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. World Bank, Washington, DC World Bank (2008) Investment in agricultural water for poverty reduction and economic growth in sub-Saharan Africa. World Bank, Washington, DC
go back to reference World Bank (2008) World development report: agriculture for development. World Bank: 386, Washington, DC World Bank (2008) World development report: agriculture for development. World Bank: 386, Washington, DC
go back to reference Cline, William (2007) Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country. Peterson Institute, Washington DC, 201 pages Cline, William (2007) Global Warming and Agriculture: Impact Estimates by Country. Peterson Institute, Washington DC, 201 pages
go back to reference Stefan Dercon (2002) Income risk, coping strategies, and safety nets. World Bank Research Observer 17(2):141–166CrossRef Stefan Dercon (2002) Income risk, coping strategies, and safety nets. World Bank Research Observer 17(2):141–166CrossRef
Metadata
Title
Food Security and Adaptation to Climate Change: What Do We Know?
Authors
Marshall Burke
David Lobell
Copyright Year
2010
Publisher
Springer Netherlands
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-90-481-2953-9_8