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Published in: Innovations in Systems and Software Engineering 1/2018

06-01-2018 | Original Paper

Formal analysis of pilot error with agent safety logic

Authors: Seth Ahrenbach, Alwyn Goodloe

Published in: Innovations in Systems and Software Engineering | Issue 1/2018

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Abstract

In this paper, we show that modal logic is a valuable tool for the formal analysis of human errors in aviation safety. We develop a modal logic called agent safety logic (ASL), based on epistemic logic, doxastic logic, and a safety logic grounded in a flight safety manual. We identify a class of human error that has contributed to several aviation incidents involving a specific kind of pilot knowledge failure and formally analyze it. The use of ASL suggests how future avionics might increase aircraft safety.

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Footnotes
1
A Euclidean relation is defined as follows, for any relation R, and elements xyz, if \(({x},{y}) \in {R}\), and \(({x}, {z}) \in {R}\), then \(({y}, {z}) \in {R}\).
 
2
We use \( Agent \) because the logic can apply to more than just pilots.
 
3
A special case is if the \( FSM (\alpha )\) simplifies to complementary conjunctions, in which case \(\chi \) is their disjunction.
 
4
Sometimes pilots will take “unsafe” action to mitigate what they perceive to be the greatest safety concern. For our purposes, we consider the action’s warrant in terms of the all-things-considered safety of the plane.
 
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Metadata
Title
Formal analysis of pilot error with agent safety logic
Authors
Seth Ahrenbach
Alwyn Goodloe
Publication date
06-01-2018
Publisher
Springer London
Published in
Innovations in Systems and Software Engineering / Issue 1/2018
Print ISSN: 1614-5046
Electronic ISSN: 1614-5054
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11334-017-0309-y

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