8.3.1.3 Circular Economy Can Make a Significant Contribution to China’s 2060 Carbon Neutrality Goal
Clearly, reducing the use of materials can significantly contribute to carbon emission reduction. This is particularly the case for China—the world’s largest manufacture of steel (57% share of global production), plastics (25% of global production), and cement (51% of the worlds production) [
79‐
81]. Finally, greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from the Chinese agrifood systems should not be ignored, accounting for 1.09 billion tons CO
2eq or 8.2% of the total GHG emissions of the country in 2018 [
82]. Hence, reducing food loss and waste could significantly cut emissions from the agrifood industry. Examples of how circular economy measures can reduce emissions are presented below.
Firstly, raw materials as production inputs can be reduced through improved product design and production processes that allow for minimized use of raw materials, increased use of recycled materials to replace raw materials, and increased longevity of products. In this regard, innovations are needed to improve the efficiency of the mechanical recycling of materials. For example, Apple uses its own designed AI robot Daisy to dissemble 15 different models of iPhones automatically in a speed of up to 200 devices per hour. This innovation makes it is possible to recycle more materials in end-of-life iPhones with downstream recyclers. Currently, in the latest iPhone model, there are many recycled materials used in different models including 100% recycled rare earth in the magnets, 100% recycled tin in the main logic board solder and 100% recycled tungsten in the Taptic Engine etc. [
83,
84].
Secondly, the use of raw materials can be reduced by preventing and reducing material loss and waste in production, processing, distribution, and retail. Currently, more than 6% of China’s total food production (or 35 million tons) are lost and wasted in China [
85]. Cutting food loss and waste per year has the potential to reduce demand for 13 million hectares of agricultural land (“liberating” marginal agricultural land to rebuild the country’s carbon sink via reforestation), significantly decrease fertilizer pollution (reducing emissions of the N
2O) [
86] and taking pressure of agricultural production off nature.
Thirdly, and equally important is reducing consumption, which can effectively reduce the total demand, leading to lower production outputs to match it. This requires a major shift in our current consumption model by reducing consumer food waste, encouraging sharing economy, and increasing the use rates of products through secondary markets and rental markets. Together, these measures can extend the lifespan of products, lowering the demand of material input for the manufacturing of new products, which can subsequently reduce the upstreaming production pressure and emissions generated during production.
From an emission reduction perspective, reusing products can conserve the energy embedded in the resources and processes used to produce different products. Consequentially, the more a product is reused, the bigger the avoided emissions and economic savings are, by refraining from using the otherwise needed resource to produce new products. Additionally, this would avoid the emissions derived from the end-of-life processing of these new products, such as disposing them in a landfill or incinerating.
After product reuse, materials recycling is the next priority. Emissions reduction potential through recycling varies by materials. Table
8.2 presents the GHG inventories of different materials in primary and secondary production,
5
indicating clear potential for CO
2 emissions reduction through recycling. Notably, aluminium is among the materials with highest potential for emission reduction when being recovered, followed by steel, plastics, glass, paper and cardboard. This suggests that the recycling of some materials can lead to 3 times more emission reductions than others and therefore should be prioritized for climate mitigation strategies. However, evidence also suggests that not all materials can be indefinitely recycled. For instance, elements such as aluminium, glass and metal can be recycled over and over again without suffering any structural change, whereas plastics can be recyclable on average up to 3 times. During this process, plastic loses its structural property, therefore could only be used for lower value products before being disposed in landfills [
87].
Table 8.2
Comparing CO2 emission reduction potential across different materials
Glass | 0.9 | 0.5 | − 0.4 |
Aluminium | 11 | 0.4 | − 10.6 |
Steel | 2.4 | 0.3 | − 2.1 |
Plastic | 2.1 | 1.3 | − 0.8 |
Paper and cardboard | 1.1 | 0.7 | − 0.4 |
Cotton | 11 | 4.3 | − 6.7 |
8.3.1.4 Circular Economy Principles Allow Producers to Contribute to China’s Dual Circulation Policy While Reducing Pressures on Nature Resources
In 2019, domestic demand accounted for 89% of China’s economic growth, and final consumption expenditures contributed to 58% to GDP growth [
2]. As we approach the natural and mineral resource boundaries of the planet, current consumption patterns will not be sustainable and will be a brake on growth unless other patterns for demand generation can be found. The growing middle class and the increased population of younger “netizens” have created just such an opportunity for the upgrading and green transition of China’s consumption toward more sustainable consumption patterns and sustainably sourced and produced products. Focusing on promoting green consumption in China, circular economy practices can provide practical solutions to continue growth without coming up against resource limits.
More specially, from a production viewpoint, a new circular economic model will improve the circularity of materials by reinforcing the 3-R from the design to production, improve resource efficiency, reduce the impact of production, and subsequently improve the environmental quality and human health. For instance, with consumers becoming ever more concerned with sustainability and eco-friendly formulas, beauty brands such as
Lush launched its first “Naked” shops in 2018 where solid soap and shampoo bars have completely eliminated the plastic packaging by redesigning the products according to eco-design principles. Other companies have started to follow suit. In 2019, Marks and Spencer started to trail over 90 lines of loose fruit and vegetables completely free of plastic packaging at its Tolworth store and expect to save 580 tons of plastic waste over two years. Moreover, trained greengrocers were introduced to offer customers advice on the selection and preservation of fruit and vegetables to avoid food waste at home [
88]. Today, zero waste lifestyle has begun to emerge across Europe. For instance, in the UK alone, over 100 zero waste stores are offering opportunities for plastic free shopping [
89].
Further down the value chain, circular economy can also promote green consumption and foster green lifestyle through sustainable procurement, sharing platforms, products as a service, secondary markets and the like. Reuse models extend the lifetime of products and reduce upstream pressure on production. Meanwhile, the increasing demand for quality and sustainable products in the domestic market will also accelerate the adoption of sustainability, and/or safety standards on imported raw materials, which reinforces strategies to green global value chains. Below, we present a few concrete examples to illustrate how circular economy could support China’s dual circulation policy.
Reduce the use of unsustainably sourced raw materials to meet the increasing domestic demand for green consumption in China
Purposeful design is one of the guiding pillars of the circular economy. With around 80% of a product’s future environmental impact determined in the design phase [
90], carefully sourcing and use of materials for quality, durability and health is key. Good design can incentivize consumer behaviors that promote repair, reuse, and recycling of products, whether it be through longer ownership, service-based models of use, or repurposing a material. Consequently, this can lead to reduced raw material usage for production. In some cases, lifting design standards as requested by legislations or certifications can also accelerate the process to green value chains, and increase resource efficiency and sustainable sourcing to reduce the overall environmental impacts.
Taking eco-design as an example, the concept is not new, but the challenge lies in incentivizing producers and manufacturers to kick start the circular value chain. Countries around the world have already developed legislation and certifications that aims to promote eco-design. In Europe, for example, the Eco-design Directive provides design guidance on products made in the EU that impact energy consumption, such as heaters, water-using devices, and insulation materials. This measure is estimated to save 167 TWh of energy savings per year by 2030, equivalent to the annual energy consumption of Denmark [
91]. France has taken this framework one step further with its 2020 Circular Economy Law, which proposes strict provisions on right to repair, rules around the destruction of unsold goods, and waste management. The law would, for example, require producers and importers to inform consumers of their products’ environmental attributes, from recycled content to possibilities of reuse [
92]. The EU has recently updated its Eco Design Directive to also cover the longevity aspect of the product design. It requires that spare parts of a product need to be available on the market for a longer time to allow for repairs in an easy and accessible manner [
93].
As an early proponent of the circular economy, China has traditionally focused on end of pipe waste management, pollution prevention and cleaner production. But in the recent 14th FYP for circular economy development, Chinese government has made it clear that improving the standard system of circular economy and specifications of green designs will be a priority for the next five years. By transitioning to a more systemic model that, among other things, encourages smart eco-design, China can continue to manage these issues while aligning with the holistic approach to circularity. Similarly, the promotion of green buildings in urban areas sets an example to reduce environmental impacts through good design. To curb greenhouse gas emissions from construction and reduce its impacts on natural capital and biodiversity throughout the value chain, the Chinese government has recently imposed more stringent regulations on real estate. This was made clear in China’s 13th Five-Year Plan, which requires that by 2020, up to 50% of the newly constructed buildings in urban areas must meet green building standards and up to 40% of construction materials must be green. Meanwhile, the number of people interested in purchasing green homes has grown three-fold in China between 2012 and 2017 [
94].
New regulations together with the shift in consumer behaver has started driving the transition to green buildings that use more sustainable construction materials. It led to the creation of the “Green Supply Chain in Real Estate Industry in China” initiative in 2016, which is a business alliance of key stakeholders including real estate companies and the upstream (e.g., building construction, construction materials manufacturing) and downstream sectors (e.g., furniture manufacturing) to develop joint actions towards greening value chains [
95]. As of 2019, it has involved 100 real estate companies and 3669 whitelisted domestic and international suppliers. The annual sales of these enterprises are valued at US $290 billion, accounting for about 20% of the total industry in China [
95].
Since its inception, the Initiative has achieved notable success. It made significant contributions to improving legal and responsible sourcing of timber in the Chinese real estate sector by incorporating a “White List” standard into the joint procurement bidding documents endorsed by all member companies since 2018. With technical support received from the Global Forest and Trade Network, the joint procurement policies clearly state that green timber materials must not be sourced from forests with high ecological value, from tree species listed by the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Wild Animals and Plants, from forest areas without clearly established tenure rights, from areas undergoing forest and agricultural land conversion, or from genetically modified timber. This effort has led to approximately US $28 million of wood flooring being procured (22% of China’s total market) from legally logged forest land, which represents an important effort in forest conservation and eliminating the negative biodiversity effects of timber harvesting [
95]. By 2025, the initiative aims to expand this effort to shift over 50% of Chinese flooring companies to using FSC certified timber, bringing over 5 million ha of forest under sustainable management and contributing to global biodiversity conservation efforts [
96].
Focusing on high-quality design will allow Chinese companies to better address the increasing green consumption in the country while reducing the use of unsustainably sourced materials and environmental impacts. However, Chinese government must ensure a well-functioned monitoring and evaluation system in place to support the market transition. For instance, it can develop a mechanism to certify the green value chains which could incorporate other well-established global certification schemes and sustainable standards such as the FSC certified timber. Additionally, strengthening the relevant regulations and law enforcement is also important to obtain expected outcomes.
Reuse business models powered by digital solutions can fuel China’s economic growth within resource limits
Reuse of products allow for diminished resources consumption; one emerging business model is the sharing economy model which has many concrete applications including shared mobility, garments, power banks and so on. It entails the temporary use of goods and services which can be achieved through private individuals or companies owning the product and providing it as a service to consumers. Ultimately, the environmental benefit derives from an increased utilization of different goods and assets as well as their extended lifetime, which can conserve the embodied energy and other value resources and avoid GHG emissions associated with new material productions and end-of-life treatment [
97].
Taking the fashion industry as an example, the sharing economic model has seen growing popularity over the past decade, especially for designer products, including garments, shoes and accessories that are occasionally used by the middle classes in special social events. For instance, in 2009, “Rent the Runway” emerged as an e-commerce platform that allows users to rent, subscribe, or buy designer apparel and accessories. Since 2016, the business has started scaling drastically by accelerating the subscription business and became profitable. As of 2019, the company was valued over $1 billion [
98]. Such a business model is replicable for Chinese market and could have even bigger business potential for the rapidly growing middle class, which expects to grow from 57% of the economy in 2015 to reach 75% by 2030 [
99]. In fact, similar concepts have already started to emerge in China since 2014, including MsParis, Y-Closet, Yeechoo, Starluxe, Yiqidai, and Dou Baobao [
100].
Meanwhile, the luxury market is expected to expend and grow as the Chinese avidly embrace new lifestyles and new consumption habits. This rapid growing demand can be partially met through the sharing economy, whose transaction volume is expected to grow 10% annually from 3.38 trillion yuan ($522.47 billion) in 2020 (Ministry of Information Industry 2021). Furthermore, e-commerce will expedite the online sales of luxury brands to reach the Gen Z from outside the first-tier cities, as 80% of Chinese prefer to buy online when it comes to luxury [
99].
Finally, reuse can also occur through secondary markets to buy a used item of apparel or furniture. Whereas rental works well in luxury markets, reselling as a form of resale currently works better in mid markets. Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group runs a resale consumer marketplace called Xianyu, where users can buy and sell second-hand products and use the parent company’s logistics system if they choose.
All in all, creating new sharing economy and reuse models can increase the use rates of products. This will not only meet the increasing domestic consumptions for high-quality life, but also drive the growth of new demand without increasing production, hence less demand for raw material extraction as production input. This serves the engine to power high-quality development and green growth as noted in the 14th FYP.
Despite these important benefits, the possible rebound effects (or Jevon’s paradox) of sharing economy should not be ignored. Here, rebound effect refers to the reduction in expected gains from increased efficiency of resource use through shared products, because of behavioral changes toward an increasing demand of product sharing, which may diminish the beneficial effects. Sharing economic model makes it cheaper for consumers to rent a luxury item than owning one, which collectively may increase the demand for these products. To minimize the risk of unintended rebound consequences, right policy incentives would be needed to guide the development of healthy consumption habits.
Increase recycling as an alternative solution to meeting the growing domestic consumption
While keeping products and materials in the economy through reuse that which cannot be reused can still retain value through recycling. Increased recycle rates of wood-based materials can also help China as an importer to reduce dependence on the imports of timber, which will take pressure off tropical forests. This can be done through interventions in the building construction, furniture manufacturing and paper industries.
The Chinese real estate sector is the fourth largest in the world in terms of market value (US $540 billion) [
101]. It is also expanding the fastest, with China adding 2 billion m
2 of floor area each year in its rapidly growing cities [
102]. Additionally, China’s real estate sector will expand its construction business overseas through the Belt and Road Initiative. This continuous expansion has important environmental implications both domestically and internationally.
Currently, construction and furniture manufacturing industries accounted for 51% of China’s timber consumption in 2019, of which 60% was imported [
103]. The consumption and total import volume of timber in China is expected to grow to meet increasing demand. However, a national restriction on logging makes it even harder for China to meet its needs for timber through national sources. Consequently, the market for reclaimed wood as material for flooring has been rapidly growing. While this reduces pressure on upstream production, the Chinese government must complete and strengthen the regulations on the use of reclaimed materials to minimize potential risks to human health. This is because the presence of hazardous substance during the production phase will remain in the recovered materials. Some countries have already developed policies to regulate the recycled materials to avoid negative health impacts. For instance, the biocide regulation of the European Union (528/2012) clearly prohibits the presence of hazardous substances such as formaldehyde resins on wood-based panels.
China has been the world’s largest paper since 2010, accounting for 25% of the global production [
104]. The consumption of paper has grown massively over the past decade, largely driven by the booming of e-commerce and associated packaging. In 2017 the industry processed 40 billion orders, which implied 100 million parcels each day, and 7.9 million metric tons of packaging waste. Of it, 86% were scraps of corrugated paper, while plastics represented 3.6%. The current demand of virgin fibers for paper production cannot be met through national sources [
81].
A clear solution lies between sourcing timber internationally and increasing paper recycling rates. However, the former has significant local impacts in the sourcing countries. Consequently, circular practices focusing on recycling could allow China as a buyer country to reduce the pressure on countries with large deforestation fronts [
105]. Recycling has a huge potential in meeting the continuous growing demand for paper. For instance, 60% of paper packaging and almost the totality of plastics was not recycled in 2017 [
106].
However, while increasing recycling rates is crucial, solutions on the production side alone do not address the deep-rooted problem of our current unsustainable growth model: the unsustainable expansion and growth of consumption driven by the rapid growing population and income. An alternative approach is, therefore, eliminating paper and cardboard packaging altogether and replacing it with reusable containers and a comprehensive reverse logistics system. The latter will also require the shift of existing consumption pattern. A good example of this is RePack’s business model. The company operates as a provider of postal packaging products to online stores. Consumers can opt for RePack’s packaging service and are offered a voucher once they send the packaging back by post. While consumers can make use of the voucher with any other online platform, retailers can align themselves with environmentally sound delivery services and create loyal customers that seek to reduce environmental impacts in their everyday life. This allows RePack’s to reduce 80% in the carbon footprint as compared to disposable plastic packaging [
107].
8.3.1.5 Circular Economy Practices Focusing on Sustainable Consumption Can Set the Foundation for High-Quality Development
Equally important, the 3-R concepts of circular economy can be applied to accelerating the shift of consumers’ behavior toward a “reduce and reuse” model. This will cut the need for raw materials while increasing the demand for products that are made from recycled materials, which will, in turn, reduce the need for imported raw materials that are used as production inputs. Examples of such consumption-based strategies are set out below.
Shift the consumption model to reduce food loss and waste and the use of plastics
Food loss and waste (FLW) is increasingly a major challenge for China. It accounts for approximately 35 million tons of food annually, or about 6% of the country’s total food production, an amount that could feed between 30 and 50 million people [
108]. Roughly half of FLW occurs at the downstream end of the supply chain, whether it be in retail stores or at the hands of consumers. Restaurants and canteens present on average a 28% of the FLW [
107]. In the meanwhile, China is facing shrinking arable land for growing food, largely driving by land degradation—about 40% of its soil already moderately or severely degraded [
109]. This means China must address FLW through consumption to increase food security and reduce pressure on agricultural expansion.
Efforts are already under way in China to address the issue. In 2020, President Xi announced the Clean Plate campaign, which encourages consumers to order less at restaurants [
78]. Furthermore, China’s new food waste law will impose a fine up to 100,000 yuan to anyone who promotes overeating on popular social media channels such as binge-eating videos. Restaurants will also face fines if they induce or mislead consumers to ‘order excessive meals and cause obvious waste’ [
110]. In response to the campaign against food waste, local-led efforts have been implemented across China. For instance, since April 2020, Jinling Grand Hotel in downtown Hefei started to reward diners a 10% discount or a 50 yuan (US $7.19) coupon to use on their next visit if they take away their leftovers [
111].
However, more innovations are needed to promote a change in people’s customs and cultural attitudes that will reduce wasteful food consumption habit and encourage healthy diet [
110]. For instance, policy incentives or new business models driven by technology can nudge retailers to sell food that would otherwise be wasted at a discount. For instance, to deal with an uncertain and fluctuating demand, Lunchie and ResQ created a market-place via a mobile app, which allows catering locales to sell surplus food at a discounted price to local customers who can pick up food at specific time windows. This app provides a win–win solution to consumers who can easily access to high quality food at lower price, and to local restaurants who can avoid food waste and associated revenue loss [
112].
In addition to food waste, single use of plastics also urgently needs to be tackled. China produces around 20 million tons of single-use non-biodegradable material annually, including 3 million tons of shopping bags [
113]. Policy innovations are urgently needed to nudge citizens towards lower consumption of plastic packaging. On 16 January 2020, China announced a ban, jointly issued by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the ministry of ecology and environment, on single use plastics in restaurants, shopping plastic bags, and cosmetic products containing microplastic. The ban has come into effect on January 1st, 2021 [
114], expect to reduce plastic use in takeout in the cities by 30% by 2025. The effectiveness of the policy is yet to be seen, but provinces throughout the country have since issued their plans for implementing the national policy.
Meanwhile, research in substitute products to replace plastics is also on the rise. For instance, fast-food restaurants started to offer
Bakeys spoons, forks, and even chopsticks that are made of sorghum, rice, and wheat flour.
EnviGreen, an Indian company invented store bags made of starch that can become food for animals after use [
115]. There already exist many inventions that have been commercialized. They provide consumers with more options to replace plastics and therefore support behavior shift toward reduced plastic usage.
Shift consumers’ behavior to encourage the reuse of plastics, reducing the need for raw material inputs
Reuse models are a clear example of how circular economy can lead to a reduced need for raw material inputs, bringing along economic and environmental benefits. For Example, at a global level, the reuse of 20% of the total plastic would generate economic benefits for USD 10 billion [
97].
Packaging reuse is of great importance to China. Its citizens generated 60 million tons of plastic waste in 2010 alone [
116]. At the same time, China is a major manufacturer of plastics as well, producing 20% of the world’s plastics [
117]. During the COVID-19 pandemic, plastics production soared due to the increased demand for personal protective equipment and single use plastics like takeout containers and packaging for online purchases. By addressing the production and use of plastic, China would also be able to reduce fossil fuel consumption and imports, important raw materials for plastic production [
118].
There are four practical ways to encourage plastics reuse at the end of value chain through a B2C (business to consumer) service model. Firstly, consumers can refill plastic containers at home using refills that are delivered based on a subscription service. To bring this new business model to scale, it requires that leading companies should come together to redesign and standardize their containers. For instance, TerraCycle, a social enterprise based in the US has developed a Loop platform that aims to change the way the world shops with favorite brands in refillable packaging offered with convenience and style. Secondly, business could provide a pickup service to refill the container and return it to the customer. Thirdly, consumers could opt for refilling containers at shops and other retail locations. Finally, consumers could opt for disposing their container at specific locations from which businesses could later pick up, clean and refill; making the product ready to be sold again at retail shops. As an example, Splosh shampoo is provided within a container that allows to be reused up to 20 times. As a result, 95% of material usage is avoided as well as the energy required in the production process of the plastic container [
97].
All in all, the benefits of reuse models for plastic containers are beneficial from an environmental and economic point of view. At the same time, they are diverse and can be implemented in different manners, being it applicable to a vast array of products. However, to upscale the reuse model, governments and businesses will need to create incentives to attract more consumers to participate.
Shift consumption to lead new fashion trends that promote the use of ecofriendly materials
The textile industry creates signification environmental impacts through the production, extraction and utilization of raw materials for natural fiber production. For example, cotton, accounting for 43% of all the fibers used within the European market, is characterized by a high-water footprint. The production of wool, another important material for fiber, generates significant GHG emissions [
119].
As consumers become more aware of how dirty the fashion industry can be, they have taken action to demand more from the industry. Consumer demand for more sustainable consumption can drive improvement in business practices and foster new sustainable fashion trends to emerge. For instance, the iconic luxury brand Hermes teamed up with American start-up
MycoWorks to recreate its popular
Victoria duffle bag using Sylvania, a material made from mycelium or mushroom roots [
120].
Additionally, the scarcity of raw material has forced many brands in the fashion industry to make use of recycling to meet the increasing demand for clothing. Over the past years, “Fiber to Fiber” as a sustainable alternative to raw material has already begun to emerge. However, the practice of recycling fibers to be used as input in new products is in its initial phases and hard to achieve the economy of scale. Shifting consumer demand can lead to increased investment in technological innovations that will address the transformation suffered by fibers during the recycling process, such as shortening lengths, the current use of blends of fibers for garment, and other substances involved in the production process. Moreover, a change in consumer preference can also drive the increasing use of recyclable and recycled materials in fashion design, contributing to the sustainable transition of the fashion industry. For instance, Muiccia Prada’s and Raf Simons’s collaboration collection started to produce garments made from 100% recycled nylon [
120]. H&M, in partnership with the research institute HKRITA in Hong Kong, developed a technology that can separate cotton from recycled polyester fibers without damaging them. The recycled polyester has then been used for a children’s clothing line, contributing to the company’s emission reduction target [
121].
As the world’s largest textile cloth manufacturer, China can be greatly affected by changes in domestic and international consumption patterns. Greener consumption style is already gaining traction, especially among the middle class. Today, consumers are becoming more aware of the environmental impacts of textile production via social media, campaigns and peer influence and are willing to pay for more sustainable lifestyles. China’s central and local governments can also support the transition to sustainable consumption through green public procurement. In the Netherlands, for instance, the Ministry of Defense specified a preference for recycled fibers in a large contract for the supply of towels, clothes and overalls [
75]. Designers also have an important role in integrating recycled materials in fashion design, which can create fashion trends that also support the transition to green consumption and a healthier lifestyle within the planetary boundaries.
8.3.1.6 Circular Economy Can Spur New Business Opportunities for Chinese Enterprises
The influence of evolving global trade dynamics and policies on Chinese enterprises
As countries continue to build their interest in the circular economy, global trade policies and practices also need to be designed with circularity in mind. This important reframing to how countries think about trade is rife with opportunity. While circular economy transitions have historically been driven through domestic policies such as those mentioned in the previous section, it is increasingly evident that trade is also important since most goods are linked in some way or another to global value chains [
122]. And as a dominant force in global trade, it is critical for China to be cognizant of the economic, environmental, and social implications of cross border flows.
Within global trade dynamics, individual countries can set policies that bring circularity into international trade. Extended Producer’s Responsibly (EPR) policies, for example, require producers to take responsibility for the products they bring into the beyond the consumption stage of the products lifecycle. EPR policies are often applied to products sold domestically but can also be extended to exported products. Producers would then become responsible for the collection, sorting and after use recycling of the goods in countries to which they are exported [
123].
Industry-wide initiatives related to circular economy will also usually require supporting trade policies and practices to succeed. For example, by prioritizing eco-design, an industry can reduce waste through better product design, and make it easier to disassemble the parts of a product for reuse or recycling. Such practices, however, need “demand pull” to drive the supply. Countries can use trade regulations to generate such demand, along with harmonized standards, in multiple cross-border markets.
Global trade designed with circularity in mind provides benefits beyond the environment such as economic diversification, technological growth and innovation, and new skills development [
124]. If well-regulated, trade can move waste and materials to destinations that have better capacity to sort and process them [
122]. Open markets can be a powerful tool for good, and well-considered trade policies can reap positive commercial benefits. China can find greater security and stability in its supply chains by approaching trade and the circular economy as an interlinked system. Furthermore, as the trade in services is increasingly gaining more tractions than goods in global trade, this will create new circular economy business models in China, especially for small or micro-sized tech firms. For instance, the most-traded services related to the circular economy include: IT services, other professional, technical, and business services (such as technical testing or environmental consulting services), leasing or rental services without an operator, R&D services, maintenance, repair, and installation (except construction) services, sewage and waste collection services and professional services related to construction services 0.
Additionally, China has a significant opportunity to assume leadership in issues of trade and circular economy, especially since the linkage between the two is still in its infancy. China can, for example, leverage the global market as feedstock for recyclable or reusable materials while simultaneously encouraging a shift in consumption habits among its 1.4 billion citizens. Additionally, plurilateral collaboration can benefit the health of intra-country relationships and extend beyond trade to other matters. China has already embraced a spirit of global cooperation, illustrated for instance, through its recent spearheading of the plastics initiative through the World Trade Organization. Today, majority of goods are linked in some way or another to global value chains [
122]. And as a dominant force in global trade, it is critical for China to be cognizant of the economic, environmental, and social implications of cross border flows.
The booming circular economy market and business innovations in China
Circular economy business models have already begun to emerge in many economic sectors in China. Many of them have generated considerable market revenues and create decent job opportunities to many.
The opportunities of the sharing economy and service provision. As previously mentioned, sharing platforms, and products as a service, bring along environmental benefits, but also economic opportunities. In China alone, the sharing economy supported US $500 billion in transactions by 600 million people in 2019—anticipated to represent 20% of China’s GDP by 2025 [
125]. Of the 0.76 billion people participated in sharing economy in China in 2018, about 75 million were service providers [
126]. In 2020, the size of the sharing economy workforce reached 84 million, of which 6.31 million were directly employed by online sale platforms (Ministry of Information Industry 2021). Expanding the sharing economic model to include the rental of designer clothing and furniture could further boost the market opportunity for shared commodities. Already, online platforms like YCloset are embracing this direction, providing a clothing rental service for consumers who pay a monthly subscription fee. YCloset has attracted high profile investors like Alibaba and brand partners like H&M, and as of 2019, had 15 million registered subscribers [
127]. The new economic model requires businesses to transition from product providers to service providers, which can generate promising economic benefits. For example, the global maintenance and repair market was valued at $1.3 trillion in 2019 [
91].
The opportunities of reuse models. Globally, an estimated $460 billion worth of underutilized apparel is thrown away annually. If a garment is worn on average twice as long, the textile industry would potentially emit 44% less greenhouse gas [
128]. Additionally, the second-hand clothing market is expected to grow five times in the next five years to US $64 million [
129]. Domestically, reuse models could not only reduce negative environmental effects within China, but also generate business opportunities. In China, only 10–15% of the approximately 26 million tons of textiles discarded every year is collected and reused, suggesting ample opportunity for more reuse opportunities [
127]. Additionally, second-hand market for luxury products has huge potential in China. The demand has been rising steadily since 1990 and by 2017 the total sale accounted for 8 billion Yuan, with a foreseeable increasing at a rate of 20%. In the same year, the total number of second-hand luxury product stores was roughly 2500, of which 400 stores were specialized in newly used second-hand products. The demand for second-hand luxury products has become a viable option for the growing Chinese middle class [
130].
Reuse models have also gained significant momentum in the world of packaging where a third of packaging ends up in landfill [
131]. This growing interest stems from the increasing recognition that reuse models offer not only a new range of solutions to plastic pollution, but also the potential to unlock significant business benefits. For example, Unilever has committed to reduce virgin plastic packaging by 50% by 2025, with one third coming from an absolute plastic reduction, and packaging producer Amcor’s sales of reusable and refillable PET containers in markets where refill programs exist have doubled in the last two years [
132]. The Chilean startup
Algramo aims to eliminate plastic packaging through its smart vending machines that dispense products like household cleaning products into refillable packaging [
133]. And such innovations are accompanied with high economic potential as well. In fact, converting 20% of the world’s plastic packaging to reusable alternatives could translate into a US $10 billion business opportunity [
134].
New recycling business model empowered by technology. China has seen a growing number of tech companies participating in recycling business. New technologies such as the internet of things and big data have been applied to transform the household recycling business. They can improve the classification and sorting of domestic wastes, dramatically increase the household recycling rates, and create different forms of incentives including gifts, credit, vouchers to reward households based on their preferences. The involvement of high-tech companies will change people’s attitude toward recycling industries and create more decent jobs, especially to well-educated younger generations.
However, national-wide large-scale recycling systems in China are still in its infancy but evolving rapidly. For instance, China launched a pilot program to create “waste-free cities” in 2019 and by end of 2020, the program expected to build 100 new large-scale recycling bases to tackle solid waste [
135]. New technologies could have an important role in scaling up the small-scale recycling models in China, by tackling particularly the final consumers. For instance, deposit-return recycling model has already existed for decades in many cities. It was implemented by bottling companies to effectively collect empty glass bottles (for beer and coca cola, for example) from end consumers via local community stores. These bottles can then be cleaned the reused by the same bottling companies, which is an important cost-saving strategy. The principle is similar to the Deposit Return Schemes (DRS) in the western world. Through it, consumers are asked to pay a fee for the price for single use metal/glass or plastic containers in which the product they buy is delivered. Being bottles for the selling of drinks the most common example. Upon return of the bottle, consumers receive their deposit back [
136]. China could adopt the DRS to expand its existing deposit-return recycling model at the national scale and use new technologies to better classify and sort waste to improve recycling rates.