Skip to main content
Top

2022 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

4. Hardware and Software

Author : Jakub Growiec

Published in: Accelerating Economic Growth

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The humankind pursues local control maximization by performing premeditated actions, the sum of which sets the course of development of the human civilization. The macroeconomic way of looking at it assumes an aggregate production function, describing how inputs are transformed into aggregate output. This chapter introduces the hardware–software framework, which assumes that producing output requires (i) physical action and (ii) code, a set of instructions describing the action. Physical action is performed by hardware while the code is provided by the software. Hardware and software are mutually complementary and each of them is essential for production. The chapter proceeds to characterize hardware and software inputs used across human history and offers a typology of final outputs. It elucidates how the accumulation of hardware and software inputs and their cumulative technological improvements propelled accelerating economic growth over the millennia, and how artificial intelligence may carry this process into the future.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
go back to reference Acemoglu, D., & Autor, D. (2011). Skills, tasks and technologies: Implications for employment and earnings. In O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (Eds.), Handbook of labor economics (Vol. 4, Chap. 12, pp. 1043–1171). Acemoglu, D., & Autor, D. (2011). Skills, tasks and technologies: Implications for employment and earnings. In O. Ashenfelter & D. Card (Eds.), Handbook of labor economics (Vol. 4, Chap. 12, pp. 1043–1171).
go back to reference Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2018). The race between man and machine: Implications of technology for growth, factor shares and employment. American Economic Review,108, 1488–1542. Acemoglu, D., & Restrepo, P. (2018). The race between man and machine: Implications of technology for growth, factor shares and employment. American Economic Review,108, 1488–1542.
go back to reference Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica,60, 323–351. Aghion, P., & Howitt, P. (1992). A model of growth through creative destruction. Econometrica,60, 323–351.
go back to reference Autor, D. H., & Dorn, D. (2013). The growth of low-skill service jobs and the polarization of the US labor market. American Economic Review,103(5), 1553–97. Autor, D. H., & Dorn, D. (2013). The growth of low-skill service jobs and the polarization of the US labor market. American Economic Review,103(5), 1553–97.
go back to reference Barkai, S. (2020). Declining labor and capital shares. Journal of Finance,75, 2421–2463. Barkai, S. (2020). Declining labor and capital shares. Journal of Finance,75, 2421–2463.
go back to reference Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. X. (2003). Economic growth. MIT Press. Barro, R. J., & Sala-i-Martin, X. X. (2003). Economic growth. MIT Press.
go back to reference Bloom, N., Jones, C. I., Van Reenen, J., & Webb, M. (2020). Are ideas getting harder to find? American Economic Review,110(4), 1104–1144. Bloom, N., Jones, C. I., Van Reenen, J., & Webb, M. (2020). Are ideas getting harder to find? American Economic Review,110(4), 1104–1144.
go back to reference Borcan, O., Olsson, O., & Putterman, L. (2018). State history and economic development: Evidence from six millennia. Journal of Economic Growth,23, 1–40. Borcan, O., Olsson, O., & Putterman, L. (2018). State history and economic development: Evidence from six millennia. Journal of Economic Growth,23, 1–40.
go back to reference Brynjolfsson, E., & McAfee, A. (2014). The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. Norton & Co. Brynjolfsson, E., & McAfee, A. (2014). The second machine age: Work, progress, and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies. Norton & Co.
go back to reference Dennett, D. (2017). From bacteria to Bach and back: The evolution of minds. Norton & Company. Dennett, D. (2017). From bacteria to Bach and back: The evolution of minds. Norton & Company.
go back to reference Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, germs, and steel: The fates of human societies. Norton & Company. Diamond, J. (1997). Guns, germs, and steel: The fates of human societies. Norton & Company.
go back to reference Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. (2017). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Technological Forecasting and Social Change,114, 254–280. Frey, C. B., & Osborne, M. (2017). The future of employment: How susceptible are jobs to computerisation? Technological Forecasting and Social Change,114, 254–280.
go back to reference Gabaix, X., & Landier, A. (2008). Why has CEO pay increased so much? Quarterly Journal of Economics,123, 49–100. Gabaix, X., & Landier, A. (2008). Why has CEO pay increased so much? Quarterly Journal of Economics,123, 49–100.
go back to reference Galor, O. (2005). From stagnation to growth: unified growth theory. In P. Aghion & S. N. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth (pp. 171–293). Galor, O. (2005). From stagnation to growth: unified growth theory. In P. Aghion & S. N. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth (pp. 171–293).
go back to reference Galor, O. (2011). Unified growth theory. Princeton University Press. Galor, O. (2011). Unified growth theory. Princeton University Press.
go back to reference Georgescu-Roegen, N. (1971). The entropy law and the economic process. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press. Georgescu-Roegen, N. (1971). The entropy law and the economic process. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
go back to reference Gomułka, S. (1990). The theory of technological change and economic growth. Routledge. Gomułka, S. (1990). The theory of technological change and economic growth. Routledge.
go back to reference Gordon, R. J. (2016). The rise and fall of american growth: The U.S. standard of living since the civil war. Princeton University Press. Gordon, R. J. (2016). The rise and fall of american growth: The U.S. standard of living since the civil war. Princeton University Press.
go back to reference Grace, K. (2013). Algorithmic progress in six domains (Technical report 2013–3). Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Grace, K. (2013). Algorithmic progress in six domains (Technical report 2013–3). Machine Intelligence Research Institute.
go back to reference Growiec, J. (2013). A microfoundation for normalized CES production functions with factor-augmenting technical change. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,37, 2336–2350. Growiec, J. (2013). A microfoundation for normalized CES production functions with factor-augmenting technical change. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,37, 2336–2350.
go back to reference Growiec, J. (2018). Factor-specific technology choice. Journal of Mathematical Economics,77, 1–14. Growiec, J. (2018). Factor-specific technology choice. Journal of Mathematical Economics,77, 1–14.
go back to reference Growiec, J. (2019). The hardware–software model: A new conceptual framework of production, R &D, and growth with AI (SGH KAE Working paper No. 42). SGH Warsaw School of Economics. Growiec, J. (2019). The hardware–software model: A new conceptual framework of production, R &D, and growth with AI (SGH KAE Working paper No. 42). SGH Warsaw School of Economics.
go back to reference Growiec, J. (2022b). What will drive global economic growth in the digital age? Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, forthcoming. Growiec, J. (2022b). What will drive global economic growth in the digital age? Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, forthcoming.
go back to reference Ha, J., & Howitt, P. (2007). Accounting for trends in productivity and R &D: A Schumpeterian critique of semi-endogenous growth theory. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,39(4), 733–774. Ha, J., & Howitt, P. (2007). Accounting for trends in productivity and R &D: A Schumpeterian critique of semi-endogenous growth theory. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,39(4), 733–774.
go back to reference Hanson, R., & Yudkowsky, E. (2013). The Hanson-Yudkowsky AI-Foom Debate. Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Hanson, R., & Yudkowsky, E. (2013). The Hanson-Yudkowsky AI-Foom Debate. Machine Intelligence Research Institute.
go back to reference Heckman, J., Lochner, L., & Todd, P. (2003). Fifty years of Mincer earnings regressions (Working paper). NBER WP 9732. Heckman, J., Lochner, L., & Todd, P. (2003). Fifty years of Mincer earnings regressions (Working paper). NBER WP 9732.
go back to reference Hernandez, D., & Brown, T. B. (2020). Measuring the algorithmic efficiency of neural networks. arxiv:2005.04305. Hernandez, D., & Brown, T. B. (2020). Measuring the algorithmic efficiency of neural networks. arxiv:2005.04305.
go back to reference Hibbs, D. A., & Olsson, O. (2004). Geography, biogeography, and why some countries are rich and others are poor. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,101, 3715–3720. Hibbs, D. A., & Olsson, O. (2004). Geography, biogeography, and why some countries are rich and others are poor. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,101, 3715–3720.
go back to reference Hidalgo, C. (2015). Why information grows: The evolution of order from atoms to economies. Basic Books. Hidalgo, C. (2015). Why information grows: The evolution of order from atoms to economies. Basic Books.
go back to reference Hilbert, M., & López, P. (2011). The world’s technological capacity to store, communicate, and compute information. Science,332, 60–65. Hilbert, M., & López, P. (2011). The world’s technological capacity to store, communicate, and compute information. Science,332, 60–65.
go back to reference Jones, C. I. (1995). R &D-based models of economic growth. Journal of Political Economy,103, 759–84. Jones, C. I. (1995). R &D-based models of economic growth. Journal of Political Economy,103, 759–84.
go back to reference Jones, C. I. (1999). Growth: With or without scale effects? American Economic Review,89(2), 139–144. Jones, C. I. (1999). Growth: With or without scale effects? American Economic Review,89(2), 139–144.
go back to reference Jones, C. I. (2005). Growth and ideas. In P. Aghion & S. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth. Jones, C. I. (2005). Growth and ideas. In P. Aghion & S. Durlauf (Eds.), Handbook of economic growth.
go back to reference Jones, C. I. (2005). The shape of production functions and the direction of technical change. Quarterly Journal of Economics,120, 517–549. Jones, C. I. (2005). The shape of production functions and the direction of technical change. Quarterly Journal of Economics,120, 517–549.
go back to reference Jones, C. I., & Kim, J. (2018). A Schumpeterian model of top income inequality. Journal of Political Economy,126, 1785–1826. Jones, C. I., & Kim, J. (2018). A Schumpeterian model of top income inequality. Journal of Political Economy,126, 1785–1826.
go back to reference Jones, C. I., & Romer, P. M. (2010). The new Kaldor facts: Ideas, institutions, population, and human capital. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics,2, 224–245. Jones, C. I., & Romer, P. M. (2010). The new Kaldor facts: Ideas, institutions, population, and human capital. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics,2, 224–245.
go back to reference Jumper, J., Evans, R., Pritzel, A., et al. (2021). Highly accurate protein structure prediction with alphafold. Nature,596, 583–589. Jumper, J., Evans, R., Pritzel, A., et al. (2021). Highly accurate protein structure prediction with alphafold. Nature,596, 583–589.
go back to reference Kaldor, N. (1961). Capital accumulation and economic growth. In L. A. Lutz & D. C. Hague (Eds.), The theory of capital (pp. 177–222). Palgrave Macmillan. Kaldor, N. (1961). Capital accumulation and economic growth. In L. A. Lutz & D. C. Hague (Eds.), The theory of capital (pp. 177–222). Palgrave Macmillan.
go back to reference Karabarbounis, L., & Neiman, B. (2014). The global decline of the labor share. Quarterly Journal of Economics,129(1), 61–103. Karabarbounis, L., & Neiman, B. (2014). The global decline of the labor share. Quarterly Journal of Economics,129(1), 61–103.
go back to reference Klump, R., McAdam, P., & Willman, A. (2007). Factor substitution and factor augmenting technical progress in the US. Review of Economics and Statistics,89, 183–192. Klump, R., McAdam, P., & Willman, A. (2007). Factor substitution and factor augmenting technical progress in the US. Review of Economics and Statistics,89, 183–192.
go back to reference Klump, R., McAdam, P., & Willman, A. (2012). Normalization in CES production functions: Theory and empirics. Journal of Economic Surveys,26, 769–799. Klump, R., McAdam, P., & Willman, A. (2012). Normalization in CES production functions: Theory and empirics. Journal of Economic Surveys,26, 769–799.
go back to reference Kremer, M. (1993). Population growth and technological change: One million B.C. to 1990. Quarterly Journal of Economics,108, 681–716. Kremer, M. (1993). Population growth and technological change: One million B.C. to 1990. Quarterly Journal of Economics,108, 681–716.
go back to reference Kruse-Andersen, P. K. (2017). Testing R &D-based endogenous growth models (Working paper). University of Copenhagen. Kruse-Andersen, P. K. (2017). Testing R &D-based endogenous growth models (Working paper). University of Copenhagen.
go back to reference Krusell, P., Ohanian, L. E., Ríos-Rull, J.-V., & Violante, G. L. (2000). Capital-skill complementarity and inequality: A macroeconomic analysis. Econometrica,68, 1029–1054. Krusell, P., Ohanian, L. E., Ríos-Rull, J.-V., & Violante, G. L. (2000). Capital-skill complementarity and inequality: A macroeconomic analysis. Econometrica,68, 1029–1054.
go back to reference Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics,22, 3–42. Lucas, R. E. (1988). On the mechanics of economic development. Journal of Monetary Economics,22, 3–42.
go back to reference Madsen, J. (2008). Semi-endogenous versus Schumpeterian growth models: Testing the knowledge production function using international data. Journal of Economic Growth,13, 1–26. Madsen, J. (2008). Semi-endogenous versus Schumpeterian growth models: Testing the knowledge production function using international data. Journal of Economic Growth,13, 1–26.
go back to reference Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., & Behrens, W. W. (1972). The limits to growth. Potomac Associates—Universe Books. Meadows, D. H., Meadows, D. L., Randers, J., & Behrens, W. W. (1972). The limits to growth. Potomac Associates—Universe Books.
go back to reference Meadows, D. H., Randers, J., & Meadows, D. L. (2004). Limits to growth: The 30-year update. Chelsea Green Publishing. Meadows, D. H., Randers, J., & Meadows, D. L. (2004). Limits to growth: The 30-year update. Chelsea Green Publishing.
go back to reference Mincer, J. (1974). Schooling, experience, and earnings. NBER Press. Mincer, J. (1974). Schooling, experience, and earnings. NBER Press.
go back to reference Muehlhauser, L., & Salamon, A. (2012). Intelligence explosion: Evidence and import. In A. Eden, J. Søraker, J. H. Moor, & E. Steinhart (Eds.), Singularity hypotheses: A scientific and philosophical assessment. Springer. Muehlhauser, L., & Salamon, A. (2012). Intelligence explosion: Evidence and import. In A. Eden, J. Søraker, J. H. Moor, & E. Steinhart (Eds.), Singularity hypotheses: A scientific and philosophical assessment. Springer.
go back to reference Pacho, W. (2013). Stagnacja gospodarcza i innowacje techniczne w okresie przedindustrialnym. Oficyna Wydawnicza SGH. Pacho, W. (2013). Stagnacja gospodarcza i innowacje techniczne w okresie przedindustrialnym. Oficyna Wydawnicza SGH.
go back to reference Piketty, T., & Saez, E. (2003). Income inequality in the United States, 1913–1998. Quarterly Journal of Economics,118. Piketty, T., & Saez, E. (2003). Income inequality in the United States, 1913–1998. Quarterly Journal of Economics,118.
go back to reference Piketty, T., & Zucman, G. (2014). Capital is back: Wealth-income ratios in rich countries, 1700–2010. Quarterly Journal of Economics,129(3), 1255–1310. Piketty, T., & Zucman, G. (2014). Capital is back: Wealth-income ratios in rich countries, 1700–2010. Quarterly Journal of Economics,129(3), 1255–1310.
go back to reference Raichle, M. E., & Gusnard, D. A. (2002). Appraising the brain’s energy budget. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,99(16), 10237–10239. Raichle, M. E., & Gusnard, D. A. (2002). Appraising the brain’s energy budget. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,99(16), 10237–10239.
go back to reference Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy,94(5), 1002–1037. Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of Political Economy,94(5), 1002–1037.
go back to reference Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy,98, S71–S102. Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of Political Economy,98, S71–S102.
go back to reference Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics,70, 65–94. Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. Quarterly Journal of Economics,70, 65–94.
go back to reference Tegmark, M. (2017). Life 3.0: Being human in the age of artificial intelligence. Knopf. Tegmark, M. (2017). Life 3.0: Being human in the age of artificial intelligence. Knopf.
go back to reference Uzawa, H. (1965). Optimum technical change in an aggregative model of economic growth. International Economic Review,6, 18–31. Uzawa, H. (1965). Optimum technical change in an aggregative model of economic growth. International Economic Review,6, 18–31.
go back to reference Yudkowsky, E. (2013). Intelligence explosion microeconomics (Technical report 2013-1). Machine Intelligence Research Institute. Yudkowsky, E. (2013). Intelligence explosion microeconomics (Technical report 2013-1). Machine Intelligence Research Institute.
Metadata
Title
Hardware and Software
Author
Jakub Growiec
Copyright Year
2022
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-07195-9_4