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Journal of Failure Analysis and Prevention

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01-08-2017 | Technical Article---Peer-Reviewed

Hybrid Probabilistic Risk Assessment Using Fuzzy FTA and Fuzzy AHP in a Process Industry

Author: Mohammad Yazdi

Published in: Journal of Failure Analysis and Prevention | Issue 4/2017

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Abstract

There are many available techniques which are widely used for failure probability analysis. Fault tree analysis (FTA) is a well-known method to identify the basic events (BEs) to reach top event. However, the FTA method in real circumstances is limited because of the many unknown and the vagueness of the situations. Thus, fuzzy set theory with respect to subjective expert opinion is employed to cope with the uncertain knowledge of BEs including randomness, ignorance, and shortages of data. In addition, to gain this purpose, much subjectivity may appear; as an example, the main one is the expert weighting. This study highlights the utility of fuzzy set theory and analytic hierarchy process to failure probability analysis in a case study. A chemical process plant has been selected to illustrate the application of proposed model with a comparison of the results with conventional model.

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Title: Hybrid Probabilistic Risk Assessment Using Fuzzy FTA and Fuzzy AHP in a Process Industry
Author: Mohammad Yazdi
Publication date: 01-08-2017
Publisher: Springer US
Published in: Journal of Failure Analysis and Prevention / Issue 4/2017
Print ISSN: 1547-7029
Electronic ISSN: 1864-1245
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11668-017-0305-4

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