Top

Water Resources Management

Published in:

01-04-2015

Hydrologic Determinants of Climate Change Impacts on Regulated Water Resources Systems

Authors: D. González-Zeas, L. Garrote, A. Iglesias, A. Granados, A. Chávez-Jiménez

Published in: Water Resources Management | Issue 6/2015

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config

AI-assisted search

Off

Abstract

This paper assesses the effect of climate change on water availability for consumptive use for a river basin taking into account the regulation capacity of its water supply systems and a set of management standards (restrictions, demands, reliability). A specific sensitivity index to climate change defined by the relation between the unitary variation of water availability and the unitary variation of the average annual inflow is studied. The analysis is conducted by constructing climate projections taking into consideration changes only in mean annual streamflow and changes in both the mean and the coefficient of variation of the annual streamflow. The study area includes 567 basins which cover practically the entire territory of continental Spain. The results show a significant sensitivity to changes in the coefficient of variation for regulated systems.

previous article Optimum Design of Lined Channel Sections

next article Evaluation of Markov Chain Based Drought Forecasts in an Andean Regulated River Basin Using the Skill Scores RPS and GMSS

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Alcamo J, Döll P, Henrichs T, Kaspar F, Lehner B, Rösch T, Siebert S (2003) Global estimates of water withdrawals and availability under current and future business-as-usual conditions. Hydrol Sci J 48:339–348CrossRef

Álvarez J, Sánchez A, Quinta L (2004) SIMPA, a GRASS based tool for Hydrological Studies. Proceedings of the FOSS/GRASS users Conference, Bangkok

Arnell N (2004) Climate change and global water resources: SRES scenarios and socio-economic scenarios. Glob Environ Chang 14:31–52CrossRef

Barthel R, Janisch S, Nickel D, Trifkovic A, Hörhan T (2010) Using the multiactor-approach in Glowa-Danube to simulate decisions for the water supply sector under conditions of global climate change. Water Resour Manag 23(2):239–275CrossRef

Chávez-Jiménez A, Lama B, Garrote L, Martín-Carrasco F, Sordo-Ward A, Mediero L (2013) Characterisation of the sensitivity of water resources systems to climate change. Water Resour Manag 27:4237–4258. doi:10.1007/s11269-013-0404-2 CrossRef

Christensen JH, Carter TR, Rummukainen M, Amanatidis G (2007) Evaluating the performance and utility of regional climate models: the PRUDENCE Project. Clim Change 81:1–6CrossRef

Estrela T, Quintas L (1996) El sistema integrado de modelización precipitación aportación (SIMPA). Rev Ing Civ 104:43–52

Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Stunell J (2007) Modelling the impacts of projected future climate change on water resources in north-west England. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11(3):1115–1124CrossRef

Garrote L, Rodríguez I, Estrada F (1999) Una evaluación de la capacidad de regulación de las cuencas de la España peninsular. VI Jornadas Españolas de Presas. Libro de actas, 645–656

Garrote L, Martín-Carrasco F, Rodríguez I (2004) An analysis of the sensitivity of regulated basins to climate change, per presented at the International Conference on Hydrology, “Sciences & Practice for the 21st century”. British Hydrological Society, London

Garrote L, Iglesias A, Martín-Carrasco F, Mediero L (2011) WAAPA: A model for water availability and climate change adaptation policy analysis. VI EWRA International Symposium, Catania

Garrote L, Iglesias A, Granados A, Mediero L, Martin-Carrasco M (2014) Quantitative assessment of climate change vulnerability of irrigation demands in Mediterranean Europe. Water Resour Manag. doi:10.1007/s11269-014-0736-6

González-Zeas D, Garrote L, Iglesias A, Sordo-Ward A (2012) Improving runoff estimates from regional climate models: a performance analysis in Spain. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 16:1709–1723CrossRef

González-Zeas D, Garrote L, Iglesias A (2013) Hydrologic analysis of climate change scenario in Spain. Mem Investig Ing 11:29–41

González-Zeas D, Garrote L, Iglesias A (2014) Assessing maximum potential water withdrawal for food production under climate change – an application in Spain. J Water Clim Chang. doi:10.2166/wcc.2014.057

Graham LP, Andréasson J, Carlsson B (2007) Assessing climate change impacts on hydrology from an ensemble of regional climate models, model scales and linking methods—a case study on the Lule River basin. Clim Chang 81:293–307. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9215-2 CrossRef

Haerter JO, Hagemann S, Moseley C, Piani C (2011) Climate model bias correction and the role of timescales. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 15:1065–1079. doi:10.5194/hess-15-1065-2011 CrossRef

Hargreaves GH, Samani ZA (1982) Estimating potential evapotranspiration. J Irrig Drain E-ASCE 108:225–230

Hingray B, Mouhous N, Mezghani A, Bogner K, Schaefli B, Musy A (2007) Accounting for global mean warming and scaling uncertainties in climate change impact studies: application to a regulated lake system. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11(3):1207–1226CrossRef

Iglesias A, Moneo M, Garrote L, Flores F (2006) Drought and water scarcity: current and future vulnerability and risk. In: Garrido A, Llamas MR (eds) Water policy in Spain, resources for the future. USA, Washington DC

Iglesias A, Garrote L, Flores F, Moneo M (2007) Challenges to manage the risk of water scarcity and climate change in the Mediterranean. Water Resour Manag 21:775–788CrossRef

Krol MS, de Vries MJ, van Oel PR, de Araújo JC (2011) Sustainability of small reservoirs and large scale water availability under current conditions and climate change. Water Resour Manag 25:3017–3026CrossRef

Krysanova V, Dickens C, Timmerman J, Varela-Ortega C, Schlüter M, Roest K, Huntjens P, Jaspers F, Buiteveld H, Moreno E et al (2010) Cross-comparison of climate change adaptation strategies across large river basins in Europe, Africa and Asia. Water Resour Manag 24:4121–4160CrossRef

Kundzewicz ZW, Mata LJ, Arnell NW, Döll P, Jimenez B, Miller K, Oki T, Sen Z, Shiklomanov I (2008) The implications of projected climate change for freshwater resources and their management. Hydrol Sci J 53(1):3–10CrossRef

Middelkoop H, Daamen K, Gellens D, Grabs W, Kwadijk JCJ, Lang H, Parmet BWAH, Schädler B, Schulla J, Wilke K (2001) Impact of climate change on hydrological regimes and water resources management in the Rhine Basin. Clim Change 49:1058–1128CrossRef

MMA (2000) Spanish Ministry of Environment, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente: White Paper Book of Water in Spain. [Libro Blanco del Agua en España. Secretaría de Estado de Aguas y Costas] Available at: http://www.mma.es/rec hid/libro b/index.htm (last accessed 15 December 2013)

Pulwarty RS, Maia R (2014) Adaptation challenges in complex rivers around the world: The Guadiana and the Colorado Basins. Water Resour Manag. doi:10.1007/s11269-014-0885-7

Purkey DR, Joyce B, Vicuna S, Hanemann MW, Dale LL, Yates D, Dracup JA (2008) Robust analysis of future climate change impacts on water for agriculture and other sectors: a case study in the Sacramento Valley. Clim Change 87(1):S109–S122CrossRef

Sharma D, Das Gupta A, Babel MS (2007) Spatial disaggregation of bias-corrected GCM precipitation for improved hydrological simulation: Ping river basin, Thailand. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 11(4):1373–1390CrossRef

Veijalainen N, Dubrovin T, Marttunen M, Vehvilainen B (2010) Climate change impacts on water resources and lake regulation in the Vuoksi watershed in Finland. Water Resour Manag 24:3437–3459CrossRef

Vörösmarty CJ, Green PJ, Slisbury J, Lammers RB (2000) Global water resources: vulnerability from climate change and population growth. Science 289:284–288CrossRef

Wurbs RA, Muttiah RS, Felden F (2005) Incorporation of climate change in water availability modeling. J Hydrol Eng 10(5):375–385CrossRef

Zhu T, Jenkins MW, Lund JR (2005) Estimated impacts of climate warming on California water availability under twelve future climate scenarios. J Water Resour Plan Manag 41(5):1027–1038

Title: Hydrologic Determinants of Climate Change Impacts on Regulated Water Resources Systems
Authors: D. González-Zeas
L. Garrote
A. Iglesias
A. Granados
A. Chávez-Jiménez
Publication date: 01-04-2015
Publisher: Springer Netherlands
Published in: Water Resources Management / Issue 6/2015
Print ISSN: 0920-4741
Electronic ISSN: 1573-1650
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-015-0920-3

Springer Professional

Abstract

Please log in to get access to your license.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Technik"

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Other articles of this Issue 6/2015

On the Transferability of the Concept of Drinking Water Protection Zones from EU to Latin American Countries

Experimental Studies on Water and Solute Transport Processes in a Hydraulic Model of the Severn Estuary, UK

Optimum Design of Lined Channel Sections

Development of Real-Time Conjunctive Use Operation Rules for Aquifer-Reservoir Systems

Future Irrigation Demand of South Saskatchewan River Basin under the Combined Impacts of Climate Change and El Niño Southern Oscillation

Comparison of Empirical Copula-Based Joint Deficit Index (JDI) and Multivariate Standardized Precipitation Index (MSPI) for Drought Monitoring in Iran