Top

Published in:

2020 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

5. Intelligence Dilemmas: Understanding the Complexity of the P5 Relationship

Author : John Michael Weaver

Published in: Intelligence Relations in the 21st Century

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config

AI-assisted search

Off

Abstract

Threats to stability and peace are likely to continue into the foreseeable future. Likewise, since globalization has expanded in recent years, it has made it difficult in knowing whether any particular country could be viewed as a friend or foe; this is a significant challenge to those working in the field of intelligence and to help determine how intelligence relations can vary depending on the situation. Particularly, this is the case when turning to relations among the permanent five (P5) members of the United Nations Security Council (UNSC). This research looks to enhance the scholarship of integration (Boyer 1990). It applies the Federal Qualitative Secondary Data Case Study Triangulation Model and a variant of the York Intelligence Red Team Model (YIRTM) to help perform the analysis. Specifically, this study looks at issues from the US perspective to see the way UNSC permanent members advance their own interests. Accordingly, the chapter shows when nations will likely foster relations to share intelligence with one or more of these actors and when it is in the best interest of a country not to do so.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 102.000 Bücher
über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Automobil + Motoren
Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

über 67.000 Bücher
über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

Bauwesen + Immobilien
Business IT + Informatik
Finance + Banking
Management + Führung
Marketing + Vertrieb
Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

inform now

previous chapter Countering Hybrid Threats Through Signals Intelligence and Big Data Analysis?

next chapter Commanding America’s Military Spies

Alati, Daniel. 2015. Current National Security and Human Rights Issues in the United Kingdom, Canada, and Hong Kong. ILSA Journal of International & Comparative Law 22 (1): 91.

Boyer, E. L. 1990. Scholarship reconsidered: Priorities of teh Professoriate. Carnegie Foundation for the Advancement of Teaching.

CFR. 2017. Council on Foreign Relations. China in Africa. https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/china-africa. Accessed 15 Dec 2018.

Clark, Greg. 2017. National Security and Infrastructure Investment Review. Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy. https://www.gov.uk/government/consultations/national-security-and-infrastructure-investment-review. Accessed 17 Oct 2017.

Cormack, Rory. 2014. Secret Intelligence and Economic Security: The Exploitation of a Critical Asset. Intelligence and National Security 29 (1): 99–121.CrossRef

Creswell, J.W. 2008. Research Design; Qualitative, Quantitative, and Mixed Methods Approaches. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications.

Crosston, Matthew. 2016. Bringing Non-Western Cultures and Conditions into Comparative Intelligence Perspectives: India, Russia, and China. International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 29 (1): 110–131.CrossRef

CSPAN. 2017. Russian Interference in U.S. Elections. https://www.c-span.org/video/?430128-1/senate-intel-panel-told-21-states-targeted-russia-2016-election. Accessed 23 July 2017.

Cyber. 2017. Defence Cyber Protection Partnership. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/defence-cyber-protection-partnership. Accessed 18 Oct 2017.

DOD Press Briefing. 2015. DOD Press Briefing on April 16, 2015, with Secretary of Defense Carter and GEN Dempsey. http://www.defense.gov/Transcripts/Transcript.aspx?TranscriptID=5619. Accessed 28 Apr 2015.

DOS. 2016. Department of State International Cyberspace Policy Strategy Public Law 114–113. https://www.gov.uk/guidance/defence-cyber-protection-partnership. Accessed 17 Oct 2017.

DOS2. 2017. Country Reports on Terrorism 2016. Department of State. https://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2016/index.htm. Accessed 17 Oct 2017.

Election Code. 2017. Legifrance. https://www.legifrance.gouv.fr/affichCodeArticle.do?idArticle=LEGIARTI000006353155&cidTexte=LEGITEXT000006070239. Accessed 23 July 2017.

Electoral Commission. 2017. The Electoral Commission. https://www.electoralcommission.org.uk/our-work/roles-and-responsibilities/our-role-in-elections-and-referendums. Accessed 23 July 2017.

Fitzgerald, Chad W., and Aaron F. Brantly. 2017. Subverting Reality: The Role of Propaganda in 21st Century Intelligence. International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 3 (2): 215–240.CrossRef

FSB (ФСБ). 2018. RUSSIA: I servizi segreti mettono al sicuro i confini di stato. Prevenire è meglio che curare, January 17. http://www.eastjournal.net/archives/88014. Accessed 5 Dec 2018.

GAO 02-174. 2001. European Security U.S. and European Contributions to Foster Stability and Security in Europe. https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/GAOREPORTS-GAO-02-174/pdf/GAOREPORTS-GAO-02-174.pdf. Accessed 17 Oct 2017.

GAO 17-369. 2017. Actions Needed to Address Five Key Mission Challenges. http://www.gao.gov/products/gao-17-369. Accessed 23 July 2017.

GAO 17-440T. 2017. Cybersecurity: Actions Needed to Strengthen U.S. Capabilities. http://www.gao.gov/assets/690/682756.pdf. Accessed 23 July 2017.

GAO 17-533. 2017. Cybersecurity: Federal Efforts Are Under Way That May Address Workforce Challenges. http://www.gao.gov/assets/690/683923.pdf. Accessed 23 July 2017.

GAO 17-579T. 2017. The Nation’s Fiscal Health: Actions Needed to Address the Federal Government’s Fiscal Future. http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-17-579T. Accessed 23 July 2017.

GAO/T-NSIAD-99-196. 1999. United Nations Observations on Reform Initiatives. http://www.gao.gov/assets/110/107972.pdf. Accessed 17 Oct 2017.

Glassick, Charles E. 2000. Boyer’s Expanded Definitions of Scholarship, the Standards for Assessing Scholarship, and the Elusiveness of the Scholarship of Teaching. Academic Medicine 75 (9): 877–880.CrossRef

Hammond, Brian. 2015. French National Assembly Clears Bill to Expand Government. Cybersecurity Policy Report. Aspen Publishers, Inc.

Honig, Or, and Sarah Zimskind. 2017. The Spy Machine and the Ballot Box: Examining Democracy’s Intelligence Advantage. International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 3 (3): 431–463.CrossRef

IMF. 2017. International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook Database, April 2017. http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2017/01/weodata/weorept.aspx?pr.x=32&pr.y=19&sy=2015&ey=2016&scsm=1&ssd=1&sort=country. Accessed 18 July 2017.

ISAB. 2015. International Security Advisory Board Report on a Framework for International Cyber Stability. http://www.state.gov/t/avc/isab/229023.htm. Accessed 28 Apr 2015.

Jervis, Robert. 2010. Why Intelligence and Policymakers Clash. Political Science Quarterly 125 (2): 185–204.CrossRef

Joint Press Release. 2017. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson and Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis at Joint Press Availability June 21, 2017. https://www.state.gov/secretary/remarks/2017/06/272103.htm. Accessed 18 July 2017.

Lamy, Steve L., John S. Masker, John Baylis, Steve Smith, and Patricia Owens. 2015. Introduction to Global Politics. New York: Oxford University Press.

Lasconjarias, Guillaume. 2014. ‘Rentrée dans le rang?’ France, NATO and the EU, from the Védrine Report to the 2013 French White Paper on National Security and Defence. Journal of Transatlantic Studies 12 (4): 418–431.CrossRef

MacFarquhar, Neil. 2017. Denmark Says ‘Key Elements’ of Russian Government Hacked Defense Ministry. https://www.nytimes.com/2017/04/24/world/europe/russia-denmark-hacking-cyberattack-defense-ministry.html. Accessed 27 July 2017.

Maftei, Danut. 2015. The Way Several European Countries Use to Achieve Their Strategic and Security Objectives by Involving the National Experts Seconded to International Organizations: Case Study: United Kingdom and The Netherlands. Journal of Criminal Investigations 1 (8): 62–72.

May, Theresa. 2017. Remarks by President Trump and Prime Minister May of the United Kingdom Before Bilateral Meeting. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/09/20/remarks-president-trump-and-prime-minister-may-united-kingdom-bilateral. Accessed 26 Sep 2017.

McCormack, Tara. 2015. The British National Security Strategy: Security After Representation. The British Journal of Politics and International Relations 3 (17): 494–511.CrossRef

MOD. 2017. Finance & Economic Annual Bulletin Departmental Resources Statistics 2016. https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/580469/Commentary_relating_to_Finance___Economics_Annual_Statistical_Bulletin___Departmental_Resources___January_2017.pdf. Accessed 17 Oct 2017.

NATO. 2018. 2018 Annual Presidential Report. https://www.nato-pa.int/documents. Accessed 9 Mar 2019.

NDS. 2018. National Defense Strategy. https://www.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2018-National-Defense-Strategy-Summary.pdf. Accessed 20 Jan 2018.

NSS. 2017. National Security Strategy of the United States of America. http://nssarchive.us/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/2017.pdf. Accessed 23 Dec 2017.

Obama, Barak H. 2015. Statement by the President on the Framework to Prevent Iran from Obtaining a Nuclear Weapon on April 2. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2015/04/02/statement-president-framework-prevent-iran-obtaining-nuclear-weapon. Accessed 28 Apr 2015.

ODNI. 2017. Background to “Assessing Russian Activities and Intentions in Recent US Elections”: The Analytic Process and Cyber Incident Attribution. https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3254239-Russia-Hacking-report.html. Accessed 20 July 2017.

OSD. 2017. Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2017. https://www.defense.gov/Portals/1/Documents/pubs/2017_China_Military_Power_Report.PDF. Accessed 18 July 2017.

P.R. 448-16. 2016. Statement by Pentagon Press Secretary Peter Cook on Incident in South China Sea. https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Releases/News-Release-View/Article/1032611/statement-by-pentagon-press-secretary-peter-cook-on-incident-in-south-china-sea/source/GovDelivery/. Accessed 27 July 2017.

Regional Focus. 2015. Regional Focus Asia Pacific. http://www.janes.com/article/39339/regional-focus-asia-pacific-es14e2. Accessed 18 Feb 2016, 17 June 2014.

Remler, D.K., and G.G. Van Ryzin. 2010. Research Methods in Practice: Strategies for Description and Causation. Thousand Oaks, CA: SAGE Publications.

Rogers, Michael. 2017. Admiral Michael S. Rogers (USN), Director, National Security Agency, and Commander, U.S. Cyber Command, Delivers Remarks at The New America Foundation Conference on CYBERSECURITY. https://www.nsa.gov/news-features/speeches-testimonies/speeches/022315-new-america-foundation.shtml. Accessed 20 July 2017.

Rudner, M. 2013. Cyber-Threats to Critical National Infrastructure: An Intelligence Challenge. International Journal of Intelligence and Counterintelligence 36 (3): 453–481.CrossRef

Russian Federation. (2015). The Russian Federation’s National Security Strategy [PDF file]. (Russia, Russian Federation, Office of the President). Moscow: Russian Federation. Retrieved from http://ieee.es/Galerias/fichero/OtrasPublicaciones/Internacional/2016/Russian-National-Security-Strategy31Dec2015.pdf. Accessed on September 10, 2019.

Russian Plan. 2016. The Russian Federation’s National Security Strategy [PDF file]. (Russia, Russian Federation, Office of the President). Moscow: Russian Federation. Retrieved from http://ieee.es/Galerias/fichero/OtrasPublicaciones/Internacional/2016/Russian-National-Security-Strategy31Dec2015.pdf. Accessed on September 10, 2019.

Russia Plan. 2017. Plan 05.12.2016 r. No 646. http://kremlin.ru/acts/bank/41460. Accessed 27 July 2017.

Russian Federation. 2018. Government Decisions. http://government.ru/en/docs/. Accessed 2 Oct 2018.

Stojanovic, Dusan. 2016. Russia Ready to Boost Serbian Defense to Counter NATO. U.S. News and World Report. https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2016-12-12/russia-ready-to-boost-serbian-defense-to-counter-nato. Accessed 27 July 2017.

Swaine, Michael D. 2017. The 19th Party Congress and Chinese Foreign Policy. http://carnegieendowment.org/2017/10/16/19th-party-congress-and-chinese-foreign-policy-pub-73432. Accessed 15 Dec 2018.

Trend Micro. 2017. From Espionage to Cyber Propaganda: Pawn Storm’s Activities Over the Past Two Years. https://www.trendmicro.com/vinfo/us/security/news/cyber-attacks/espionage-cyber-propaganda-two-years-of-pawn-storm. Accessed 27 July 2017.

Trump, Donald. 2017a. Remarks by President Trump to the 72nd Session of the United Nations. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/09/19/remarks-president-trump-72nd-session-united-nations-general-assembly. Accessed 26 Sep 2017.

Trump, Donald. 2017b. Remarks by the President on the London Terror Bombing. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/09/15/remarks-president-london-terror-bombing. Accessed 26 Sep 2017.

UN 2375. 2017. Resolution 2375 North Korea. http://www.un.org/en/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/RES/2375(2017). Accessed 26 Sep 2017.

UN 2379. 2017. Resolution 2379 Islamic State. http://www.un.org/en/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/RES/2379(2017). Accessed 26 Sep 2017.

Weaver, John M. 2015a. The Perils of a Piecemeal Approach to Fighting ISIS in Iraq. Public Administration Review 75 (2): 192–193.CrossRef

Weaver, John M. 2015b. The Department of Defense and Homeland Security Relationship: Hurricane Katrina Through Hurricane Irene. Journal of Emergency Management 12 (3): 265–274.CrossRef

Weaver, John M. 2016. Friend or Foe (or Do We Really Know)? Intelligence Community Contemporary Challenges (Chapter). In Globalization: Economic, Political, and Social Issues. Nova Science Publishers.

Weaver, John M. 2017a. Security of Classified Information: One Standard or Many? International Journal of Public Leadership 13 (1): 9–12.CrossRef

Weaver, John M. 2017b. Cyber Threats to the National Security of the United States: A Qualitative Assessment (Chapter). In Focus on Terrorism (Volume 15). Nova Science Publishers.

Weaver, John M. 2019. United Nations Security Council Permanent Member Perspectives Implications for U.S. and Global Intelligence Professionals. Peter Lang Publishing.

Weaver, John M., and Jennifer Pomeroy, eds. 2016. Intelligence Analysis: Unclassified Area and Point Estimates (and Other Intelligence Related Topics). Hauppauge, NY: Nova Science Publishers.

Weaver, John M., and Jennifer Pomeroy, eds. 2018. Intelligence Analysis: Unclassified Area and Point Estimates (and Other Intelligence Related Topics). 2nd ed. Hauppauge, NY: Nova Science Publishers.

Weaver, John M., and Jennifer Pomeroy, eds. 2019. Global Intelligence Priorities (from the Perspective of the United States). Hauppauge, NY: Nova Science Publishers.

WEF. 2018. The Global Risks Report 2018. 13th ed. World Economic Forum. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_GRR18_Report.pdf. Accessed 19 Jan 2018.

White House Press Release. 2017a. Readout of President Donald J. Trump’s Meeting with President Xi Jinping of China. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/07/08/readout-president-donald-j-trumps-meeting-president-xi-jinping-china. Accessed 18 July 2017.

White House Press Release. 2017b. President Trump in Paris: Day 2. https://www.whitehouse.gov/blog/2017/07/14/president-trump-paris-day-2. Accessed 18 July 2017.

White House Press Release. 2017c. Readout of President Donald J. Trump’s Meeting with Prime Minister Theresa May of the United Kingdom. https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2017/07/08/readout-president-donald-j-trumps-meeting-prime-minister-theresa-may. Accessed 18 July 2017.

WTA. 2017. Worldwide Threat Assessment. https://www.dni.gov/files/documents/Newsroom/Testimonies/SSCI%20Unclassified%20SFR%20-%20Final.pdf. Accessed 20 Jan 2018.

WTA. 2019. Worldwide Threat Assessment. https://www.dni.gov/files/ODNI/documents/2019-ATA-SFR%2D%2D-SSCI.pdf. Accessed 10 Mar 2019.

Title: Intelligence Dilemmas: Understanding the Complexity of the P5 Relationship
Author: John Michael Weaver
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Book: Intelligence Relations in the 21st Century
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-34003-2

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-030-34004-9

Copyright Year: 2020
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-34004-9_5