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2023 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Is Human Mobility an Appropriate Indicator for COVID-19 Dynamics? An Italian Experience

Authors : Divya Pragna Mulla, Mario Alessandro Bochicchio, Antonella Longo

Published in: ICT for Health, Accessibility and Wellbeing

Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland

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Abstract

COVID-19 is one of the many infectious diseases which rely on human interactions for its spread and infectivity. In an environment where human mobility is constantly subjected to change, measuring the impact of this on infectivity would be a major challenge. Among many indicators of transmission, mobility has emerged as an important factor contributing to the surge in COVID-19 cases and deaths. Here, we study the coupling between the COVID -19 impact and mobility trends caused by government NPIs (Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions) such as lockdown and social distancing. The study includes mobility reports from Google (about varied dimensions of local mobility), daily number of COVID-19 cases and deaths and information on NPIs in 9 Italian regions for over 2 years from 2020. The intent is to find possible associations between the COVID-19 impact and human mobility. The methodology is inspired by a study of Wang et al. in 2020. Our findings suggest that the trend in local mobility can help in forecasting the dynamics of COVID-19. These findings can support the policymakers in formulating the best data-driven approaches for tackling confinement issues and in structuring future scenarios in case of new outbreaks.

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Metadata
Title
Is Human Mobility an Appropriate Indicator for COVID-19 Dynamics? An Italian Experience
Authors
Divya Pragna Mulla
Mario Alessandro Bochicchio
Antonella Longo
Copyright Year
2023
Book
ICT for Health, Accessibility and Wellbeing

Print ISBN: 978-3-031-29547-8

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-031-29548-5

Copyright Year: 2023

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-29548-5_14

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