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2023 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Later Trade Cycle Theory: Technical Progress and Dynamics

Author : Robert J. Bigg

Published in: Alvin Hansen

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

In the early 1930s, Hansen came to the view that the severity and duration of the 1930–3 depression were due to a confluence of long and short cyclical fluctuations. This he advanced in Economic Stabilisation in an Unbalanced World (1932). A decade later, looking back from a post-war perspective, Hansen’s emphasis had shifted to the medium and longer term, especially issues of economic maturity.

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Footnotes
1
Harris Foundation (1932: 40). 
 
2
See for example Hansen’s evidence to the Byrnes Committee where he suggested that monopolistic corporate and labour practices were preventing “adequate cost reduction” (1938d: 965), which thus hampered investment opportunities.
 
3
Hansen et al. (1936: 53).
 
4
1938a: 107, 1941a: 408.
 
5
1937d: 96.
 
6
See Samuelson (1959).
 
7
ibid: 234–8.
 
8
See Chaps. 4 and 10, and Samuelson in Colander and Landreth (1996: 157).
 
9
ibid: 133–8.
 
10
Reprinted in 1941a: 301–12.
 
11
1951a: 485–8
 
12
See also 1951a: 411–68 that includes a contribution by Richard Goodwin on “Econometrics in Business Cycle Analysis.”
 
13
Hansen linked these together in the following form: where is the annual yield of a capital good in year, the marginal efficiency of capital is and the supply price or cost of the capital good is.
 
14
see also 1945c: 226–7.
 
15
ibid: 48–50.
 
16
1964a: 56.
 
17
See Chap. 12.
 
Literature
go back to reference Hansen, A.H., (1932a) Economic stabilization in an unbalanced world, New York: Harcourt Brace & Company. Hansen, A.H., (1932a) Economic stabilization in an unbalanced world, New York: Harcourt Brace & Company.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1933d) ‘Review of F.A. Hayek “Monetary theory and the trade cycle”’ Nation Vol.137 No.3559 Sep 20 Hansen, A.H. (1933d) ‘Review of F.A. Hayek “Monetary theory and the trade cycle”’ Nation Vol.137 No.3559 Sep 20
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1937d) ‘Monetary policy in the upswing’ in Gayer, A.D. (ed) The lessons of monetary experience, essays in honor of Irving Fisher New York: Farrar and Rinehart, London: George Allen & Unwin Hansen, A.H. (1937d) ‘Monetary policy in the upswing’ in Gayer, A.D. (ed) The lessons of monetary experience, essays in honor of Irving Fisher New York: Farrar and Rinehart, London: George Allen & Unwin
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1938a) Full recovery or stagnation?, (with a Forward to the English Edition By Arthur D. Gayer) London: Adam & Charles Black, New York: W.W. Norton. Hansen, A.H. (1938a) Full recovery or stagnation?, (with a Forward to the English Edition By Arthur D. Gayer) London: Adam & Charles Black, New York: W.W. Norton.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1938d) ‘Statement of Dr Alvin H. Hansen, Professor of Economics, Harvard Graduate School of Public Administration, Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.’ in Special Committee to Investigate Unemployment and Relief Unemployment and relief: hearings before a special committee to investigate unemployment and relief United States Senate seventy-fifth Congress Third Session pursuant to S.Res.36, Vol.2, 1938 Washington: United States Government Printing Office, pp.959–73. Hansen, A.H. (1938d) ‘Statement of Dr Alvin H. Hansen, Professor of Economics, Harvard Graduate School of Public Administration, Harvard University, Cambridge, Mass.’ in Special Committee to Investigate Unemployment and Relief Unemployment and relief: hearings before a special committee to investigate unemployment and relief United States Senate seventy-fifth Congress Third Session pursuant to S.Res.36, Vol.2, 1938 Washington: United States Government Printing Office, pp.959–73.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1940d) ‘Price flexibility and full employment of resources’ in Means, G., Montgomery, D.E., Clark, J.M., Hansen, A.H., & Ezekiel, M. (1940) The structure of the American economy: Part II. Toward full use of resources National Resources Planning Board, Washington DC: US Government Printing Office. Reprinted in Fiscal policy and business cycles (1941a) Chapter XV pp.313–38. Hansen, A.H. (1940d) ‘Price flexibility and full employment of resources’ in Means, G., Montgomery, D.E., Clark, J.M., Hansen, A.H., & Ezekiel, M. (1940) The structure of the American economy: Part II. Toward full use of resources National Resources Planning Board, Washington DC: US Government Printing Office. Reprinted in Fiscal policy and business cycles (1941a) Chapter XV pp.313–38.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1941a) Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles New York: W.W. Norton & Company Inc. Hansen, A.H. (1941a) Fiscal Policy and Business Cycles New York: W.W. Norton & Company Inc.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1945c) ‘Stability and expansion’ in Paul T. Homan, P.T & Machlup, F. eds., Financing American prosperity: a symposium of economists New York: The Twentieth Century Fund. p.199–245. Hansen, A.H. (1945c) ‘Stability and expansion’ in Paul T. Homan, P.T & Machlup, F. eds., Financing American prosperity: a symposium of economists New York: The Twentieth Century Fund. p.199–245.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1947a) Economic policy and full employment, New York, London: Whittlesey House, McGraw-Hill Book Company Inc. Hansen, A.H. (1947a) Economic policy and full employment, New York, London: Whittlesey House, McGraw-Hill Book Company Inc.
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go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1951b) ‘Schumpeter’s contribution to business cycle theory’ in Harris, S.E. (ed) Schumpeter: social scientist, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press Hansen, A.H. (1951b) ‘Schumpeter’s contribution to business cycle theory’ in Harris, S.E. (ed) Schumpeter: social scientist, Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1953a) A guide to Keynes. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company. Hansen, A.H. (1953a) A guide to Keynes. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Company.
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go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1964a) The postwar American economy, New York: W.W. Norton & Company, Inc. Hansen, A.H. (1964a) The postwar American economy, New York: W.W. Norton & Company, Inc.
go back to reference Hansen, A.H. (1974) ‘Monetary and fiscal policies for the 1970s’ in Smith, W.L. & Culbertson, J.M. (eds) Public finance and stabilization policy, essays in honour of Richard A. Musgrave. Amsterdam & Oxford: North-Holland Publishing Company, New York: American Elsevier Publishing Company Inc. pp.231–6 Hansen, A.H. (1974) ‘Monetary and fiscal policies for the 1970s’ in Smith, W.L. & Culbertson, J.M. (eds) Public finance and stabilization policy, essays in honour of Richard A. Musgrave. Amsterdam & Oxford: North-Holland Publishing Company, New York: American Elsevier Publishing Company Inc. pp.231–6
go back to reference Colander, D.C. & Landreth, H. (eds.) (1996) The coming of Keynesianism to America, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. Colander, D.C. & Landreth, H. (eds.) (1996) The coming of Keynesianism to America, Cheltenham: Edward Elgar.
go back to reference Duesenberry, J.S. (1948) ‘Income-consumption relations and their implications’ in Metzler, L.A. et al (1948) Income, employment and public policy pp.54–81. Duesenberry, J.S. (1948) ‘Income-consumption relations and their implications’ in Metzler, L.A. et al (1948) Income, employment and public policy pp.54–81.
go back to reference Norman Wait Harris Memorial Foundation (1931) Reports of round tables 1931: unemployment as a world-problem. Chicago: University of Chicago (mimeograph) 2 vols. Norman Wait Harris Memorial Foundation (1931) Reports of round tables 1931: unemployment as a world-problem. Chicago: University of Chicago (mimeograph) 2 vols.
go back to reference Norman Wait Harris Memorial Foundation (1932) Reports of round tables 1932: gold and monetary stabilization Chicago: University of Chicago (mimeograph). Norman Wait Harris Memorial Foundation (1932) Reports of round tables 1932: gold and monetary stabilization Chicago: University of Chicago (mimeograph).
Metadata
Title
Later Trade Cycle Theory: Technical Progress and Dynamics
Author
Robert J. Bigg
Copyright Year
2023
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-42216-4_7