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Published in: Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination 1/2019

14-03-2018 | Regular Article

Learning to save in a voluntary pension system: toward an agent-based model

Authors: Balázs Király, András Simonovits

Published in: Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination | Issue 1/2019

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Abstract

Mandatory pension systems partially replace old-age income, therefore the government matches additional life-cycle savings in a voluntary pension system. Though the individual saving decisions are apparently independent, the earmarked taxes (paid to finance the matching) connect them. Previous models either neglected the endogenous tax expenditures (e.g. Choi et al., in: Wise (ed) Perspectives in the economics of aging, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, pp 81–121, 2004) or assumed very sophisticated saving strategies (e.g. Fehr et al. in FinanzArchiv Pub Finance Anal 64:171–198, 2008). We create twin models: myopic workers learn (i) from farsighted workers using public information (analytic model) and (ii) also from each other (agent-based model). These models provide more realistic results on saving behavior and the impact of matching on the income redistribution than the earlier models.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
In a previous version, Király and Simonovits (2016) used the expression global learning for learning by using public information.
 
2
For example, in a calibrated general equilibrium model of the German economy, Fehr et al. (2008) showed that if the voluntary pillar is extended, then existing generations lose and future generations gain. In addition, the assumption of rational expectations makes the foregoing models extremely complex (for an alternative with naive expectations, see Molnár and Simonovits 1998).
 
3
For the sake of simplicity, we forbid shortsighted workers to learn from farsighted workers but as suggested personally by Botond Kőszegi, its inclusion would open the door to an alternative learning mechanism not using government-made information like \(\alpha \) and especially \(\theta \).
 
4
Note that even extending the rules to allow learning from farsighted workers would not significantly improve learning. Upon request, we can send an unpublished document showing this.
 
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Metadata
Title
Learning to save in a voluntary pension system: toward an agent-based model
Authors
Balázs Király
András Simonovits
Publication date
14-03-2018
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination / Issue 1/2019
Print ISSN: 1860-711X
Electronic ISSN: 1860-7128
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11403-018-0218-7

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