Skip to main content
Top

2018 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Mathematical Models and Methods of Effective Estimation in Multi-objective Optimization Problems Under Uncertainties

Authors : Meniailov Ievgen, Khustochka Olexandr, Ugryumova Kateryna, Chernysh Sergey, Yepifanov Sergiy, Ugryumov Mykhaylo

Published in: Advances in Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The selection of the optimal criteria for solutions and sought values of the objective functions (multi-objective decision making) is a complex task. It becomes a real challenge when prior data are uncertain. In this paper you will find a new approach to solve this task. The new method uses the updated method of getting the scalar convolutions of the criteria for the described task. The updated method references Ashby`s law of Requisite Variety, Kolmogorov’s concept of power averages and Tikhonov`s ideas of regularization.
The obtained set of the scalar convolutions was evaluated from the maximum likelihood principle. The set can be used for synthesis of robust meta-models, mathematical model identification, and robust optimal engineering.
The scalar convolutions for the criteria were obtained from Student`s statistics. It served as a criterion to check the equality of distribution centers for representative samples from two multidimensional general t populations. Student`s statistics also played a role of multidimensional analogue of Romanovsky criterion Ro to check the hypothesis about the equality of covariance matrices Ro or statistics H (H is the mutual information) instead of statistics Ro.
The paper contains the mathematical formulations and computational methods for the synthesis of quasi-solutions of stochastic optimization problems with mixed conditions. The implementation of the research results will provide the developers with the robust estimations of the sought values even if the prior data are uncertain.
The paper also deals with a new probability-based method to solve the direct problem of dimensional engineering networks. In accordance with the probability-based method the mathematical expectations and confidence intervals of the control variables of functional elements are obtained from the mathematical expectations and confidence intervals of the decision selection criteria or from the phase variables of considered systems or processes.
To make the processing time several times less one proposed the memetic algorithm with the consistent application of advanced real coded evolutionary method, decremental neighborhoods method, randomized path relinking method.
At the end of the paper you can observe the interactive decision support system «Concept_Pro_St®» that focuses on a wide range of users in the fields of: engineering, project management, data-monitoring oriented management and production supervision to ensure product quality (Design for Six Sigma), industrial safety, environmental, pharmaceuticals, medicine, etc., working on issues of construction of robust meta-models (formal mathematical models in the form of regression equations), robust optimal design and diagnostics of systems and processes.
To validate the method regarding to some particular object one solved the problem of robust optimal designing of centrifugal impeller fitted with backward curved blades in the conditions of stochastic nature of the input data.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Ben-Tal, A., Ghaoui, L.El., Nemirovski, A.S.: Robust Optimization. Princeton Series of Applied Mathematics, Princeton University Press (2009) Ben-Tal, A., Ghaoui, L.El., Nemirovski, A.S.: Robust Optimization. Princeton Series of Applied Mathematics, Princeton University Press (2009)
2.
go back to reference Gelfand, A.E., Ghosh, S.K.: Model Choose: A Minimum Posterior Predictive Loss Approach. Biometric 85, 1–11 (1998)CrossRefMATH Gelfand, A.E., Ghosh, S.K.: Model Choose: A Minimum Posterior Predictive Loss Approach. Biometric 85, 1–11 (1998)CrossRefMATH
3.
go back to reference Gneting, T., Raftery, A.E.: Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 102(477), 359–378 (2007)MathSciNetCrossRefMATH Gneting, T., Raftery, A.E.: Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 102(477), 359–378 (2007)MathSciNetCrossRefMATH
4.
go back to reference Aivazian, S.A., Bezhaeva, Z.I., Staroverov, O.V.: Multidimensional observations classification, Moscow, Statistics (1974) Aivazian, S.A., Bezhaeva, Z.I., Staroverov, O.V.: Multidimensional observations classification, Moscow, Statistics (1974)
5.
go back to reference Tihonov, A.N., Arsenin, V.Y.: Incorrect problems solution methods, Moscow, Nauka (1986) Tihonov, A.N., Arsenin, V.Y.: Incorrect problems solution methods, Moscow, Nauka (1986)
6.
go back to reference Kibzun, A.I., Matveev, E.L.: The stochastic quasi-gradient algorithm to minimize the function of quantile. Autom. Telemechanics 6, 64–78 (2010)MATH Kibzun, A.I., Matveev, E.L.: The stochastic quasi-gradient algorithm to minimize the function of quantile. Autom. Telemechanics 6, 64–78 (2010)MATH
7.
go back to reference Egorov, I.N. Optimization of gas turbine engine elements by probability criteria. In: Egorov, I.N., Kretinin, G.V. (eds.) Proceedings of the International Gas Turbine and Aeroengine Congress and Exposition, Cincinnati, USA, ASME paper 93-GT-191 Egorov, I.N. Optimization of gas turbine engine elements by probability criteria. In: Egorov, I.N., Kretinin, G.V. (eds.) Proceedings of the International Gas Turbine and Aeroengine Congress and Exposition, Cincinnati, USA, ASME paper 93-GT-191
8.
go back to reference Li, M., Azarm, S., Aute, V.: A multi-objective genetic algorithm for robust design optimization. In: Proceedings of GECCO 2005, Washington, D.C., USA, pp. 771–778 (2005) Li, M., Azarm, S., Aute, V.: A multi-objective genetic algorithm for robust design optimization. In: Proceedings of GECCO 2005, Washington, D.C., USA, pp. 771–778 (2005)
9.
go back to reference Ugryumov, M.L.: Gas turbine engine elements systematic improvement on the base of inverse problem concept by stochastic optimization methods. In: Ugryumov, M.L., Tronchuk, A.A., Afanasjevska, V.E., Myenyaylov, A.V. (eds.) Abstracts Book and CD–ROM Proceedings of the 20-th ISABE Conference, Gothenburg, Sweden, ISABE Paper No. 2011–1255 Ugryumov, M.L.: Gas turbine engine elements systematic improvement on the base of inverse problem concept by stochastic optimization methods. In: Ugryumov, M.L., Tronchuk, A.A., Afanasjevska, V.E., Myenyaylov, A.V. (eds.) Abstracts Book and CD–ROM Proceedings of the 20-th ISABE Conference, Gothenburg, Sweden, ISABE Paper No. 2011–1255
10.
go back to reference Tronchuk, A.A., Ugryumova, K.M.: Mathematical models and evolution method of stochastic optimization problem solution. In: Herald of Kharkov National University. Proceedings. Series: “Mathematical Modeling. Informational Technology. Automatic System Control”, vol. 1015, pp. 292–305 (2012) Tronchuk, A.A., Ugryumova, K.M.: Mathematical models and evolution method of stochastic optimization problem solution. In: Herald of Kharkov National University. Proceedings. Series: “Mathematical Modeling. Informational Technology. Automatic System Control”, vol. 1015, pp. 292–305 (2012)
11.
go back to reference Vinogradov, K.A.: Robust optimization of the HPT cooling blade in conjugate heat transfer computations. In: Vinogradov, K.A., Otryahina, K.V., Kretinin, G.V., Didenko, R.A., Karelin, D.V., Shmotin, Y.N.: Proceedings of ASME Turbo Expo 2015: Turbine Technical Conference and Exposition, Montréal, Canada, GT2015-43319 Vinogradov, K.A.: Robust optimization of the HPT cooling blade in conjugate heat transfer computations. In: Vinogradov, K.A., Otryahina, K.V., Kretinin, G.V., Didenko, R.A., Karelin, D.V., Shmotin, Y.N.: Proceedings of ASME Turbo Expo 2015: Turbine Technical Conference and Exposition, Montréal, Canada, GT2015-43319
12.
go back to reference Seshadri, P.: Robust compressor blades for desensitizing operational tip clearance variations. In: Seshadri, P., Shahpar, S., Parks, G.T.: Proceedings of ASME Turbo Expo 2014: Turbine Technical Conference and Exposition, Düsseldorf, Germany, GT2014-2662 Seshadri, P.: Robust compressor blades for desensitizing operational tip clearance variations. In: Seshadri, P., Shahpar, S., Parks, G.T.: Proceedings of ASME Turbo Expo 2014: Turbine Technical Conference and Exposition, Düsseldorf, Germany, GT2014-2662
13.
go back to reference Karpenko, A.P.: Modern algorithms. The Algorithms, Which are Inspired by Nature, Moscow (2014) Karpenko, A.P.: Modern algorithms. The Algorithms, Which are Inspired by Nature, Moscow (2014)
14.
go back to reference Strilets, V.E., Tronchuk, A.A., Ugryumova, K.M., et al.: Ugryumov, M.L. (ed.) System improving of complex technical systems elements based on the inverse problems concept. National Aerospace University “Kharkov Aviation Institute”, Kharkov (2013) Strilets, V.E., Tronchuk, A.A., Ugryumova, K.M., et al.: Ugryumov, M.L. (ed.) System improving of complex technical systems elements based on the inverse problems concept. National Aerospace University “Kharkov Aviation Institute”, Kharkov (2013)
Metadata
Title
Mathematical Models and Methods of Effective Estimation in Multi-objective Optimization Problems Under Uncertainties
Authors
Meniailov Ievgen
Khustochka Olexandr
Ugryumova Kateryna
Chernysh Sergey
Yepifanov Sergiy
Ugryumov Mykhaylo
Copyright Year
2018
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-67988-4_32

Premium Partners