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2019 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

4. New Keynesian Macroeconomics

Authors : Jin Cao, Gerhard Illing

Published in: Money: Theory and Practice

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

This chapter presents stylized New Keynesian model, allowing a share of prices to be sticky. We derive two core equations of the New Keynesian model from individual optimization. The Euler equation provides a microfoundation for the New Keynesian IS curve or aggregate demand curve. Price setting behavior of individual firms generates a traditional upward sloping aggregate supply curve when some share of firms is not able to adjust prices. Once prices have been set, shocks disturb the economy, shifting it away from long-run equilibrium. The model allows to analyze the impact of various shocks on all variables determining general equilibrium. We consider shocks to aggregate demand—shifting only the AD curve (pure demand shocks, like a change in the time preference parameter), aggregate supply (like shocks on technology and leisure) and so called mark-up or cost-push shocks. Whereas supply shocks affect both potential and efficient level of production in the same way, mark-up shocks shift the AS curve, but do not affect the efficient level of production. We show that these shocks will shift the economy away from natural output and the target price level if the central bank does not respond to shocks, keeping the nominal interest rate unchanged. Active interest rate policy, trying to stabilize the real interest rate at its natural rate, is needed in order to stabilize the economy. We show that the appropriate response crucially depends on the specific nature of underlying shock.

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Footnotes
1
Robert Lucas was not the only one to notice this phenomenon. An interesting illustration is the so-called “Goodhart’s law” formulated by Charles Goodhart (1975). His “law” refers to the experience that money demand in the UK became fairly unstable as soon as the central tried to target money supply. More generally, previously statistically estimated stable regularities tend to collapse once they are used as instruments of control by policymakers: When the government tries to control particular financial assets, these may become unreliable as indicators. When investors try to anticipate the effects of policy changes in order to make profit, the relationship between instruments and targets may break down.
 
2
First surveys have been presented by Clarida, Gali, and Gertler (1999) and Goodfriend and King (1997). “Classic” textbooks of the the “New Keynesian” approach are Woodford (2003) and Gali (2015).
 
3
Modern extensions introducing heterogeneity usually require calibrating/estimating large and complex quantitative models with computer simulations (as a survey see, for example, Guvenen, 2011).
 
4
Note that here lower case letters denote the log variable: \( z=\ln z. \)
 
5
Being aware that they will be able to adjust their prices freely in the following period, firms do not need to take into account what might happen later in period 2. Otherwise, the price setting strategy would be more complex. Firms would need to form expectations about future demand for the whole time interval during which they might not be able to adjust prices, requiring dynamic optimisation techniques. The popular Calvo mechanism allows a steady-state analysis of such forward-looking price setting behaviour, but the qualitative results are similar to those derived in the simple setting here. The two-period model captures the essence of price setting under rational expectations.
 
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Metadata
Title
New Keynesian Macroeconomics
Authors
Jin Cao
Gerhard Illing
Copyright Year
2019
Publisher
Springer International Publishing
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-19697-4_4