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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

Performance of Operational Chemical Transport Models for Particulate Matter Concentrations in Bulgaria

Authors : Hristina Kirova, Nadya Neykova, Emilia Georgieva

Published in: Environmental Protection and Disaster Risks

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The main objective of this study is to evaluate the performance of some well-known and widely used operational air quality modelling systems (EMEP-MSC-W, and the models at the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)) for simulations of ground-level particulate matter in Bulgaria. The analysis is focused on two months—a summer one (August 2017) and a winter one (February 2019). The comparison of models to observations from regular air quality background stations is based on statistical indicators and various plots (box plots, kernel density estimations, and scatter plots). The EMEP and CAMS regional models underestimate the observed concentrations, on average by about 50% for PM10 and by about 22% for PM2.5. These models perform better at a rural remote (mountain) site than at urban background stations indicating that the outputs of the models could be used for indicative values of PM background concentrations. The model inter-comparison consists of an analysis of the spatial distribution of monthly mean concentrations and values for domain averaged model concentrations. The CAMS global model simulates in summer different spatial distribution due to the assimilation of satellite data providing information for dust storms and wildfires.

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Metadata
Title
Performance of Operational Chemical Transport Models for Particulate Matter Concentrations in Bulgaria
Authors
Hristina Kirova
Nadya Neykova
Emilia Georgieva
Copyright Year
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-70190-1_8