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Published in: Finance and Stochastics 4/2016

01-10-2016

Polynomial diffusions and applications in finance

Authors: Damir Filipović, Martin Larsson

Published in: Finance and Stochastics | Issue 4/2016

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Abstract

This paper provides the mathematical foundation for polynomial diffusions. They play an important role in a growing range of applications in finance, including financial market models for interest rates, credit risk, stochastic volatility, commodities and electricity. Uniqueness of polynomial diffusions is established via moment determinacy in combination with pathwise uniqueness. Existence boils down to a stochastic invariance problem that we solve for semialgebraic state spaces. Examples include the unit ball, the product of the unit cube and nonnegative orthant, and the unit simplex.

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Appendix
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Footnotes
1
We thank Mykhaylo Shkolnikov for suggesting a way to improve an earlier version of this result.
 
2
For geometric Brownian motion, there is a more fundamental reason to expect that uniqueness cannot be proved via the moment problem: it is well known that the lognormal distribution is not determined by its moments; see Heyde [29]. It thus becomes natural to pose the following question: Can one find a process  \(Y\) , essentially different from geometric Brownian motion, such that all joint moments of all finite-dimensional marginal distributions,
$$ {\mathbb {E}}[Y_{t_{1}}^{\alpha_{1}} \cdots Y_{t_{m}}^{\alpha_{m}}], \qquad m\in{\mathbb {N}}, (\alpha _{1},\ldots,\alpha_{m})\in{\mathbb {N}}^{m}, 0\le t_{1}< \cdots< t_{m}< \infty, $$
coincide with those of geometric Brownian motion? We have not been able to exhibit such a process. Note that any such \(Y\) must possess a continuous version. Indeed, the known formulas for the moments of the lognormal distribution imply that for each \(T\ge0\), there is a constant \(c=c(T)\) such that \({\mathbb {E}}[(Y_{t}-Y_{s})^{4}] \le c(t-s)^{2}\) for all \(s\le t\le T, |t-s|\le1\), whence Kolmogorov’s continuity lemma implies that \(Y\) has a continuous version; see Rogers and Williams [42, Theorem I.25.2].
 
3
Note that unlike many other results in that paper, Proposition 2 in Bakry and Émery [4] does not require \(\widehat{\mathcal {G}}\) to leave \(C^{\infty}_{c}(E_{0})\) invariant, and is thus applicable in our setting.
 
4
Details regarding stochastic calculus on stochastic intervals are available in Maisonneuve [36]; see also Mayerhofer et al. [37], Carr et al. [7], Larsson and Ruf [34].
 
5
A matrix \(A\) is called strictly diagonally dominant if \(|A_{ii}|>\sum_{j\ne i}|A_{ij}|\) for all \(i\); see Horn and Johnson [30, Definition 6.1.9].
 
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Metadata
Title
Polynomial diffusions and applications in finance
Authors
Damir Filipović
Martin Larsson
Publication date
01-10-2016
Publisher
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Published in
Finance and Stochastics / Issue 4/2016
Print ISSN: 0949-2984
Electronic ISSN: 1432-1122
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-016-0304-4

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