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Published in:
2013 | OriginalPaper | Chapter
75. Predictive Model of Population Growth in China
Authors : Zhijiang Wang, Jixun Song, Xiaolong Zhang
Published in: Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Engineering and Applications (IEA) 2012
Publisher: Springer London
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Abstract
The population projections must be based on three basic elements fertility function, mortality function, and migration functions. In order to build predictive mathematical model of China we use the age shift operator algorithm, consider the discrete changes in characteristics of the population over the year to indirectly deduce the parameters of the state variable as a variable factor. Relay on the continuous population model and integral mean value theorem, the eventual establishment of forecast China in the short to medium-term and long-term population development of a discrete model of differential equations.