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Published in:
2017 | OriginalPaper | Chapter
Temporal Prediction Model for Social Information Propagation
Authors : Fei Teng, Rong Tang, Yan Yang, Hongjie Wang, Rongjie Dai
Published in: Rough Sets
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
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Abstract
Prediction of information propagation is an important issue in research of social network. Recent researches can be divided into graph or non-graph approaches. Most of non-graph approaches use regression analysis and probability model, seldomly considering clustering features of social time series. In clustering-based temporal prediction model, every cluster center is treated as a propagation pattern, and so that the prediction can be realized through classification to find out the nearest-neighbor pattern. Prediction performance may be influenced by clustering performance based on clustering approaches. This paper proposes a new model Scaling Clustering based Temporal Prediction Model (SCTPM), which is applicable for predicting propagation pattern of social information. Through 10-fold cross-validation experiments on twitter and phrase datasets, SCTPM obtains lower prediction bias and variance than the existing clustering-based models.