Skip to main content
Top

2020 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

The Discrepancy Method for Extremal Index Estimation

Author : Natalia Markovich

Published in: Nonparametric Statistics

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

We consider the nonparametric estimation of the extremal index of stochastic processes. The discrepancy method that was proposed by the author as a data-driven smoothing tool for probability density function estimation is extended to find a threshold parameter u for an extremal index estimator in case of heavy-tailed distributions. To this end, the discrepancy statistics are based on the von Mises–Smirnov statistic and the k largest order statistics instead of an entire sample. The asymptotic chi-squared distribution of the discrepancy measure is derived. Its quantiles may be used as discrepancy values. An algorithm to select u for an estimator of the extremal index is proposed. The accuracy of the discrepancy method is checked by a simulation study.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Footnotes
1
\(L=1\) holds when \(\theta =0\).
 
Literature
1.
go back to reference Ancona-Navarrete, M.A., Tawn, J.A.: A comparison of methods for estimating the extremal index. Extremes 3(1), 5–38 (2000)MathSciNetCrossRef Ancona-Navarrete, M.A., Tawn, J.A.: A comparison of methods for estimating the extremal index. Extremes 3(1), 5–38 (2000)MathSciNetCrossRef
2.
go back to reference Balakrishnan, N., Rao, C.R. (eds.): Handbook of Statistics, vol. 16. Elsevier Science B.V, Amsterdam (1998) Balakrishnan, N., Rao, C.R. (eds.): Handbook of Statistics, vol. 16. Elsevier Science B.V, Amsterdam (1998)
3.
go back to reference Beirlant, J., Goegebeur, Y., Teugels, J., Segers, J.: Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications. Wiley, Chichester (2004)CrossRef Beirlant, J., Goegebeur, Y., Teugels, J., Segers, J.: Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications. Wiley, Chichester (2004)CrossRef
4.
go back to reference Bolshev, L.N., Smirnov, N.V.: Tables of Mathematical Statistics. Nauka, Moscow (1965). (in Russian) Bolshev, L.N., Smirnov, N.V.: Tables of Mathematical Statistics. Nauka, Moscow (1965). (in Russian)
5.
go back to reference Chernick, M.R., Hsing, T., McCormick, W.P.: Calculating the extremal index for a class of stationary. Adv. Appl. Prob. 23, 835–850 (1991)MathSciNetCrossRef Chernick, M.R., Hsing, T., McCormick, W.P.: Calculating the extremal index for a class of stationary. Adv. Appl. Prob. 23, 835–850 (1991)MathSciNetCrossRef
7.
go back to reference de Haan, L., Ferreira, A.: Extreme Value Theory: An Introduction. Springer (2006) de Haan, L., Ferreira, A.: Extreme Value Theory: An Introduction. Springer (2006)
8.
go back to reference Ferreira, M.: Analysis of estimation methods for the extremal index. Electron. J. Appl. Stat. Anal. 11(1), 296–306 (2018)MathSciNet Ferreira, M.: Analysis of estimation methods for the extremal index. Electron. J. Appl. Stat. Anal. 11(1), 296–306 (2018)MathSciNet
9.
10.
go back to reference Fukutome, S., Liniger, M.A., Süveges, M.: Automatic threshold and run parameter selection: a climatology for extreme hourly precipitation in Switzerland. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 120, 403–416 (2015)CrossRef Fukutome, S., Liniger, M.A., Süveges, M.: Automatic threshold and run parameter selection: a climatology for extreme hourly precipitation in Switzerland. Theor. Appl. Climatol. 120, 403–416 (2015)CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Leadbetter, M.R., Lingren, G., Rootzén, H.: Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequence and Processes. Springer, New York (1983)CrossRef Leadbetter, M.R., Lingren, G., Rootzén, H.: Extremes and Related Properties of Random Sequence and Processes. Springer, New York (1983)CrossRef
13.
go back to reference Markovich, N.M.: Experimental analysis of nonparametric probability density estimates and of methods for smoothing them. Autom. Remote. Control. 50, 941–948 (1989)MATH Markovich, N.M.: Experimental analysis of nonparametric probability density estimates and of methods for smoothing them. Autom. Remote. Control. 50, 941–948 (1989)MATH
14.
go back to reference Markovich, N.M.: Nonparametric Analysis of Univariate Heavy-Tailed data: Research and Practice. Wiley (2007) Markovich, N.M.: Nonparametric Analysis of Univariate Heavy-Tailed data: Research and Practice. Wiley (2007)
15.
go back to reference Markovich, N.M.: Nonparametric estimation of extremal index using discrepancy method. In: Proceedings of the X International conference System identification and control problems” SICPRO-2015 Moscow. V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences, 26–29 January 2015, pp. 160–168 (2015). ISBN 978-5-91450-162-1 Markovich, N.M.: Nonparametric estimation of extremal index using discrepancy method. In: Proceedings of the X International conference System identification and control problems” SICPRO-2015 Moscow. V.A. Trapeznikov Institute of Control Sciences, 26–29 January 2015, pp. 160–168 (2015). ISBN 978-5-91450-162-1
16.
go back to reference Markovich, N.M.: Nonparametric estimation of heavy-tailed density by the discrepancy method. In: Cao, R. et al. (eds.) Nonparametric Statistics. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, vol. 175, pp. 103–116. Springer International Publishing, Switzerland (2016) Markovich, N.M.: Nonparametric estimation of heavy-tailed density by the discrepancy method. In: Cao, R. et al. (eds.) Nonparametric Statistics. Springer Proceedings in Mathematics & Statistics, vol. 175, pp. 103–116. Springer International Publishing, Switzerland (2016)
17.
go back to reference Northrop, P.J.: An efficient semiparametric maxima estimator of the extremal index. Extremes 18(4), 585–603 (2015)MathSciNetCrossRef Northrop, P.J.: An efficient semiparametric maxima estimator of the extremal index. Extremes 18(4), 585–603 (2015)MathSciNetCrossRef
18.
go back to reference Robert, C.Y.: Asymptotic distributions for the intervals estimators of the extremal index and the cluster-size probabilities. J. Stat. Plan. Inference 139, 3288–3309 (2009)MathSciNetCrossRef Robert, C.Y.: Asymptotic distributions for the intervals estimators of the extremal index and the cluster-size probabilities. J. Stat. Plan. Inference 139, 3288–3309 (2009)MathSciNetCrossRef
19.
go back to reference Robert, C.Y., Segers, J., Ferro, C.A.T.: A sliding blocks estimator for the extremal index. Electron. J. Stat. 3, 993–1020 (2009)MathSciNetCrossRef Robert, C.Y., Segers, J., Ferro, C.A.T.: A sliding blocks estimator for the extremal index. Electron. J. Stat. 3, 993–1020 (2009)MathSciNetCrossRef
20.
go back to reference Sun, J., Samorodnitsky, G.: Estimating the extremal index, or, can one avoid the threshold-selection difficulty in extremal inference? Technical report, Cornell University (2010) Sun, J., Samorodnitsky, G.: Estimating the extremal index, or, can one avoid the threshold-selection difficulty in extremal inference? Technical report, Cornell University (2010)
22.
go back to reference Süveges, M., Davison, A.C.: Model misspecification in peaks over threshold analysis. Ann. Appl. Stat. 4(1), 203–221 (2010)MathSciNetCrossRef Süveges, M., Davison, A.C.: Model misspecification in peaks over threshold analysis. Ann. Appl. Stat. 4(1), 203–221 (2010)MathSciNetCrossRef
23.
go back to reference Vapnik, V.N., Markovich, N.M., Stefanyuk, A.R.: Rate of convergence in \(L_2\) of the projection estimator of the distribution density. Autom. Remote. Control. 53, 677–686 (1992)MATH Vapnik, V.N., Markovich, N.M., Stefanyuk, A.R.: Rate of convergence in \(L_2\) of the projection estimator of the distribution density. Autom. Remote. Control. 53, 677–686 (1992)MATH
24.
go back to reference Weissman, I., Novak, SYu.: On blocks and runs estimators of the extremal index. J. Stat. Plan. Inference 66, 281–288 (1978)MathSciNetCrossRef Weissman, I., Novak, SYu.: On blocks and runs estimators of the extremal index. J. Stat. Plan. Inference 66, 281–288 (1978)MathSciNetCrossRef
Metadata
Title
The Discrepancy Method for Extremal Index Estimation
Author
Natalia Markovich
Copyright Year
2020
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-57306-5_31

Premium Partner