Skip to main content
Top

2018 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

The Need for Uncertainty-Based Analysis in Power System Networks

Authors : Yoseph Mekonnen Abebe, P. Mallikarjuna Rao, M. Gopichand Naik

Published in: Advances in Power Systems and Energy Management

Publisher: Springer Singapore

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

The increased usage of renewable energy in conjunction with nonrenewable energy source is disturbing the reliability of generation system. This is mainly because of the variability of the power coming from renewable energy sources. Weather change is the main cause for the renewable energy variability. The weather not only disturbs generation, but also transmission line sag-tension and conductor length, thereby varies the voltage drop in the line. The combined transmission line loss, generation variability and load variation make punctual power flow analysis unreliable for planning and forecast purpose. This paper focuses on identifying the main driving forces for power uncertainty. A test case study is conducted and the result shows there is a high variation of the wind and solar energy that led to power variation.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Literature
1.
go back to reference Ela, E., O’malley, M.: Studying the variability and uncertainty impacts of variable generation at multiple timescales. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 27, 1324–1333 (2012)CrossRef Ela, E., O’malley, M.: Studying the variability and uncertainty impacts of variable generation at multiple timescales. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 27, 1324–1333 (2012)CrossRef
2.
go back to reference Fant, C., Schlosser, C.A., Strzepek, K.: The impact of climate change on wind and solar resources in southern Africa. Appl. Energy 161, 556–564 (2016)CrossRef Fant, C., Schlosser, C.A., Strzepek, K.: The impact of climate change on wind and solar resources in southern Africa. Appl. Energy 161, 556–564 (2016)CrossRef
3.
go back to reference Abebe, Y.M., Pasumarthi, M.R., Mudavath, G.N.: Load flow analysis of uncertain power system through affine arithmetic. In: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering Microelectronics, Electromagnetics and Telecommunications, pp. 217–231 (2015) Abebe, Y.M., Pasumarthi, M.R., Mudavath, G.N.: Load flow analysis of uncertain power system through affine arithmetic. In: Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering Microelectronics, Electromagnetics and Telecommunications, pp. 217–231 (2015)
4.
go back to reference Abebe, Y.M., Rao, P.M.: Overhead transmission line sag, tension and length calculation using affine arithmetic. In: 2015 IEEE Power, Communication and Information Technology Conference (PCITC), pp. 211–216 (2015) Abebe, Y.M., Rao, P.M.: Overhead transmission line sag, tension and length calculation using affine arithmetic. In: 2015 IEEE Power, Communication and Information Technology Conference (PCITC), pp. 211–216 (2015)
5.
go back to reference Huber, M., Dimkova, D., Hamacher, T.: Integration of wind and solar power in Europe: assessment of flexibility requirements. Energy 69, 236–246 (2014)CrossRef Huber, M., Dimkova, D., Hamacher, T.: Integration of wind and solar power in Europe: assessment of flexibility requirements. Energy 69, 236–246 (2014)CrossRef
6.
go back to reference Lannoye, E., Flynn, D., O’malley, M.: Transmission, variable generation, and power system flexibility. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 30, 57–66 (2015)CrossRef Lannoye, E., Flynn, D., O’malley, M.: Transmission, variable generation, and power system flexibility. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 30, 57–66 (2015)CrossRef
7.
go back to reference Wei, W., Liu, F., Mei, S.: Dispatchable region of the variable wind generation. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 30, 2755–2765 (2015)CrossRef Wei, W., Liu, F., Mei, S.: Dispatchable region of the variable wind generation. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 30, 2755–2765 (2015)CrossRef
8.
go back to reference Orwig, K.D., Ahlstrom, M.L., Banunarayanan, V., Sharp, J., Wilczak, J.M., Freedman, J., Haupt, S.E., Cline, J., Bartholomy, O., Hamann, H.F., Hodge, B.-M., Finley, C., Nakafuji, D., Peterson, J., Maggio, D., Marquis, M.: Recent trends in variable generation forecasting and its value to the power system. IEEE Trans. Sustain. Energy 6, 924–933 (2015)CrossRef Orwig, K.D., Ahlstrom, M.L., Banunarayanan, V., Sharp, J., Wilczak, J.M., Freedman, J., Haupt, S.E., Cline, J., Bartholomy, O., Hamann, H.F., Hodge, B.-M., Finley, C., Nakafuji, D., Peterson, J., Maggio, D., Marquis, M.: Recent trends in variable generation forecasting and its value to the power system. IEEE Trans. Sustain. Energy 6, 924–933 (2015)CrossRef
9.
go back to reference Azofra, D., Jiménez, E., Martínez, E., Blanco, J., Saenz-Díez, J.: Wind power merit-order and feed-in-tariffs effect: a variability analysis of the Spanish electricity market. Energy Convers. Manag. 83, 19–27 (2014)CrossRef Azofra, D., Jiménez, E., Martínez, E., Blanco, J., Saenz-Díez, J.: Wind power merit-order and feed-in-tariffs effect: a variability analysis of the Spanish electricity market. Energy Convers. Manag. 83, 19–27 (2014)CrossRef
10.
go back to reference Stanton, M.C.B., Dessai, S., Paavola, J.: A systematic review of the impacts of climate variability and change on electricity systems in Europe. Energy 109, 1148–1159 (2016)CrossRef Stanton, M.C.B., Dessai, S., Paavola, J.: A systematic review of the impacts of climate variability and change on electricity systems in Europe. Energy 109, 1148–1159 (2016)CrossRef
11.
go back to reference Jiang, X., Chen, Y.C., Dominguez-Garcia, A.D.: A set-theoretic framework to assess the impact of variable generation on the power flow. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 28, 855–867 (2013)CrossRef Jiang, X., Chen, Y.C., Dominguez-Garcia, A.D.: A set-theoretic framework to assess the impact of variable generation on the power flow. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 28, 855–867 (2013)CrossRef
12.
go back to reference Wang, Z., Alvarado, F.: Interval arithmetic in power flow analysis. In: Power Industry Computer Application Conference, pp. 156–162 (1991) Wang, Z., Alvarado, F.: Interval arithmetic in power flow analysis. In: Power Industry Computer Application Conference, pp. 156–162 (1991)
13.
go back to reference Narayana, M., Putrus, G., Jovanovic, M., Leung, P. S.: Predictive control of wind turbines by considering wind speed forecasting techniques. In: Proceedings of the 44th International, pp. 1–4 (2009) Narayana, M., Putrus, G., Jovanovic, M., Leung, P. S.: Predictive control of wind turbines by considering wind speed forecasting techniques. In: Proceedings of the 44th International, pp. 1–4 (2009)
14.
go back to reference Zhang, H., Xin, X., Li, L., Liu, Q.: An improved parametric model for simulating cloudy sky daily direct solar radiation on tilted surfaces. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Obs. Remote Sens. 6, 180–187 (2013) Zhang, H., Xin, X., Li, L., Liu, Q.: An improved parametric model for simulating cloudy sky daily direct solar radiation on tilted surfaces. IEEE J. Sel. Top. Appl. Earth Obs. Remote Sens. 6, 180–187 (2013)
15.
go back to reference Munoz, J., Canizares, C., Bhattacharya, K., Vaccaro, A.: An Affine arithmetic-based method for voltage stability assessment of power systems with intermittent generation sources. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 28, 4475–4487 (2013)CrossRef Munoz, J., Canizares, C., Bhattacharya, K., Vaccaro, A.: An Affine arithmetic-based method for voltage stability assessment of power systems with intermittent generation sources. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 28, 4475–4487 (2013)CrossRef
16.
go back to reference Vaccaro, A., Canizares, C.A., Villacci, D.: An Affine arithmetic-based methodology for reliable power flow analysis in the presence of data uncertainty. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 25, 624–632 (2010)CrossRef Vaccaro, A., Canizares, C.A., Villacci, D.: An Affine arithmetic-based methodology for reliable power flow analysis in the presence of data uncertainty. IEEE Trans. Power Syst. 25, 624–632 (2010)CrossRef
17.
go back to reference Kamjoo, A., Maheri, A., Putrus, G.: Wind speed and solar irradiance variation simulation using ARMA models in design of hybrid wind-PV-battery system. J. Clean Energy Technol. JOCET. 1, 14–17 (2013) Kamjoo, A., Maheri, A., Putrus, G.: Wind speed and solar irradiance variation simulation using ARMA models in design of hybrid wind-PV-battery system. J. Clean Energy Technol. JOCET. 1, 14–17 (2013)
Metadata
Title
The Need for Uncertainty-Based Analysis in Power System Networks
Authors
Yoseph Mekonnen Abebe
P. Mallikarjuna Rao
M. Gopichand Naik
Copyright Year
2018
Publisher
Springer Singapore
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-4394-9_9