28. The Outlook of Low-Carbon Transport System: A Case Study of Jinan

Jinan, the capital of Shandong province, is located at coastal regions in east China. It is troubled with large traffic demand as many other cities do. Transport industry has been one large energy consumer, which carbon emission accounts for nearly 10 % of all the industries. In this situation, low-carbon transport with low energy consumption, low CO₂ emission and low pollution is an increasing concern. This paper disclosed the relevance between transport and economy in Jinan by grey relational analysis, and described the causal relationship among several factors involved with low-carbon transport system. The making of low-carbon transport system in Jinan was discussed from short term and long term. The former was on the basis of energy saving potential, while the latter was based on scenario analysis. According to Jinan’s target for CO₂ emission reduction, two key uncertainties, transport socialization and sustainability, are adopted as the axes to generate four future scenarios. To achieve the fourth scenario in favor of carbon reduction, much propulsive policies about structure adjustment, new energy use and public traffic travel mode have been put forward.