Skip to main content
Top

2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

The Role of Social Discount Rate in Energy Modelling

Authors : Asma Dhakouani, Essia Znouda, Chiheb Bouden

Published in: Energy and Environmental Security in Developing Countries

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Activate our intelligent search to find suitable subject content or patents.

search-config
loading …

Abstract

Energy systems modelling aims to introduce a sustainable energy system design with an improved understanding of present and future interactions between demand-supply, environment, and economy. Treating energy systems started in the 1950s and have led to various approaches and models. Amongst common metrics, the discount rate impacts time horizon costs, benefits, demand and supply. This chapter presents an objective overview of energy systems approaches based on their historical evolutions. In order to point out social benefits and costs, the use of social discount rate for the Tunisian power system is argued.

Dont have a licence yet? Then find out more about our products and how to get one now:

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 102.000 Bücher
  • über 537 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe
  • Versicherung + Risiko

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Technik"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Technik" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 390 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Automobil + Motoren
  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Elektrotechnik + Elektronik
  • Energie + Nachhaltigkeit
  • Maschinenbau + Werkstoffe




 

Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

Online-Abonnement

Mit Springer Professional "Wirtschaft" erhalten Sie Zugriff auf:

  • über 67.000 Bücher
  • über 340 Zeitschriften

aus folgenden Fachgebieten:

  • Bauwesen + Immobilien
  • Business IT + Informatik
  • Finance + Banking
  • Management + Führung
  • Marketing + Vertrieb
  • Versicherung + Risiko




Jetzt Wissensvorsprung sichern!

Footnotes
1
Ceteris Paribus Assumption consists in drawing the relation between the price and the quantity of goods consumed while holding other determinants fixed.
 
2
In statistical analysis of time series data, models are sometimes built on variables predicted based on historical evolution. This is called auto-regression or autoregressive models, and the values of the variables would be predictive variables, called lagged variables.
 
3
End-use called as well engineering-economic or accounting.
 
4
Artificial neural networks called as well combined or hybrid.
 
5
Confusion occurs due to the utilisation of different lexical meaning for parameters. Access to equations gives a clearer insight about the meaning of these parameters.
 
Literature
1.
go back to reference African Development Bank Group, OECD Development Centre, UNDP (2017) African economic outlook 2017 (No. 16), Entrepreneurship and industrialisation. Abidjan African Development Bank Group, OECD Development Centre, UNDP (2017) African economic outlook 2017 (No. 16), Entrepreneurship and industrialisation. Abidjan
2.
go back to reference Agence Nationale pour la Maîtrise de l’Energie (2016) Plan Solaire Tunisien:Programmation, conditions et moyens de la mise en oeuvre (Study No. 2016). Tunis Agence Nationale pour la Maîtrise de l’Energie (2016) Plan Solaire Tunisien:Programmation, conditions et moyens de la mise en oeuvre (Study No. 2016). Tunis
7.
go back to reference Armstrong JS (2001) Principles of forecasting—a handbook for researchers and practitioners. Kluwer Academic Publishers, United States of AmericaCrossRef Armstrong JS (2001) Principles of forecasting—a handbook for researchers and practitioners. Kluwer Academic Publishers, United States of AmericaCrossRef
8.
go back to reference Asian Development Bank (2002) Handbook for integrating risk analysis in the economic analysis of projects. Asian Development Bank Asian Development Bank (2002) Handbook for integrating risk analysis in the economic analysis of projects. Asian Development Bank
9.
go back to reference Bazilian M, Rice A, Rotich J, Howells M, DeCarolis J, Macmillan S, Brooks C, Bauer F, Liebreich M (2012) Open source software and crowdsourcing for energy analysis. Energy policy, special section: fuel poverty comes of age: commemorating 21 years of research and policy, vol 49, pp 149–153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.06.032 Bazilian M, Rice A, Rotich J, Howells M, DeCarolis J, Macmillan S, Brooks C, Bauer F, Liebreich M (2012) Open source software and crowdsourcing for energy analysis. Energy policy, special section: fuel poverty comes of age: commemorating 21 years of research and policy, vol 49, pp 149–153. https://​doi.​org/​10.​1016/​j.​enpol.​2012.​06.​032
11.
go back to reference Bossel H (1999) Indicators for sustainable development: theory, method, applications. International Institute for Sustainable Development Winnipeg Bossel H (1999) Indicators for sustainable development: theory, method, applications. International Institute for Sustainable Development Winnipeg
12.
go back to reference Broughel J (2017) The social discount rate: a baseline approach Broughel J (2017) The social discount rate: a baseline approach
13.
go back to reference Dhakouani A (2018) Multi-dimensional integrated modelling of the power system: towards renewable energy integration. Universite de Tunis el Manar, Tunis Dhakouani A (2018) Multi-dimensional integrated modelling of the power system: towards renewable energy integration. Universite de Tunis el Manar, Tunis
16.
go back to reference Dhakouani A, Znouda E, Bouden C (2020) Impacts of electricity subsidies policy on energy transition. In: Dynamics of energy, the environment and economy. Lecture notes in energy. Springer International Publishing, Switzerland, p 342 Dhakouani A, Znouda E, Bouden C (2020) Impacts of electricity subsidies policy on energy transition. In: Dynamics of energy, the environment and economy. Lecture notes in energy. Springer International Publishing, Switzerland, p 342
18.
go back to reference Fisher FM, Kaysen C (1962) A study in econometrics: the demand for electricity in the United States/by Franklin M. Fisher in association with Carl Kaysen, Contributions to economic analysis. North-Holland, Amsterdam Fisher FM, Kaysen C (1962) A study in econometrics: the demand for electricity in the United States/by Franklin M. Fisher in association with Carl Kaysen, Contributions to economic analysis. North-Holland, Amsterdam
19.
go back to reference Franses PH, van Oest R (2004) On the econometrics of the Koyck model (Econometric Institute Research Paper No. EI 2004-07). Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute Franses PH, van Oest R (2004) On the econometrics of the Koyck model (Econometric Institute Research Paper No. EI 2004-07). Erasmus University Rotterdam, Erasmus School of Economics (ESE), Econometric Institute
21.
go back to reference Freeman M, Groom B, Spackman M (2018) Social discount rates for cost-benefit analysis: a report for HM treasury. University of York, London School of Economics, 4 Centre of Climate Change Economics and Policy, London Freeman M, Groom B, Spackman M (2018) Social discount rates for cost-benefit analysis: a report for HM treasury. University of York, London School of Economics, 4 Centre of Climate Change Economics and Policy, London
22.
go back to reference Golove WH, Eto JH (1996) Market barriers to energy efficiency: a critical reappraisal of the rationale for public policies to promote energy efficiency. Energy & Environment Division—Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory—University of California, California Golove WH, Eto JH (1996) Market barriers to energy efficiency: a critical reappraisal of the rationale for public policies to promote energy efficiency. Energy & Environment Division—Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory—University of California, California
23.
go back to reference Harrison M (2010) Valuing the future: the social discount rate in cost-benefit analysis (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 1599963). Social Science Research Network, Rochester, NY Harrison M (2010) Valuing the future: the social discount rate in cost-benefit analysis (SSRN Scholarly Paper No. ID 1599963). Social Science Research Network, Rochester, NY
25.
go back to reference IEA (1997) Indicators of energy use and efficiency: understanding the link between energy and human activity. OECD/IEA IEA (1997) Indicators of energy use and efficiency: understanding the link between energy and human activity. OECD/IEA
26.
go back to reference IMF (2018) Country report: Tunisia (No. 18/218). Third review under the extended fund facility, and request for waiver of applicability and modification of performance criteria. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC IMF (2018) Country report: Tunisia (No. 18/218). Third review under the extended fund facility, and request for waiver of applicability and modification of performance criteria. International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC
28.
go back to reference Institut Tunisien des Etudes Stratégiques (2017) Les fondements de la croissance et du développement économique (Rapport Economique Complet), La Tunisie de 2025. ITES, Tunis Institut Tunisien des Etudes Stratégiques (2017) Les fondements de la croissance et du développement économique (Rapport Economique Complet), La Tunisie de 2025. ITES, Tunis
29.
go back to reference ITCEQ (2016) La Croissance Potentielle de l’Economie Tunisienne (Bilan et Perspectives No. 02/2016). Institut Tunisien de la Compétitivité et des Etudes Quantitatives, Tunis ITCEQ (2016) La Croissance Potentielle de l’Economie Tunisienne (Bilan et Perspectives No. 02/2016). Institut Tunisien de la Compétitivité et des Etudes Quantitatives, Tunis
30.
go back to reference Johansson TB, Patwardhan AP, Nakićenović N, Gomez-Echeverri L (2012) Global energy assessment: toward a sustainable future. Cambridge University Press Johansson TB, Patwardhan AP, Nakićenović N, Gomez-Echeverri L (2012) Global energy assessment: toward a sustainable future. Cambridge University Press
32.
go back to reference Lechtenböhmer S, Durand A, Fischedick M, Nebel A, Soukup O, Wane S, Brand B, Missaoui R, Belhouane MH, Marrouki S et al (2012) Etude stratégique du mix energétique pour la production d’electricité en Tunisie: rapport final Lechtenböhmer S, Durand A, Fischedick M, Nebel A, Soukup O, Wane S, Brand B, Missaoui R, Belhouane MH, Marrouki S et al (2012) Etude stratégique du mix energétique pour la production d’electricité en Tunisie: rapport final
34.
go back to reference Miller RE, Blair PD (2009) Input-output analysis: foundations and extensions. Cambridge University Press Miller RE, Blair PD (2009) Input-output analysis: foundations and extensions. Cambridge University Press
36.
go back to reference OECD (2015) A reform agenda to support competitiveness and inclusive growth. Better policies series. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris OECD (2015) A reform agenda to support competitiveness and inclusive growth. Better policies series. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris
40.
go back to reference Société Tunisienne de l’Electricité et du Gaz (2017) Rapport d’Activité 2017 (Annuel d’Activité No. 2017). Société Tunisienne de l’Electricité et du Gaz, Tunis Société Tunisienne de l’Electricité et du Gaz (2017) Rapport d’Activité 2017 (Annuel d’Activité No. 2017). Société Tunisienne de l’Electricité et du Gaz, Tunis
41.
go back to reference Steinbach J, Staniaszek D (2015) Discount rates in energy system analysis. Fraunhofer ISI, Building Performance Institute Europe (BPIE), Karlsruhe, Germany Steinbach J, Staniaszek D (2015) Discount rates in energy system analysis. Fraunhofer ISI, Building Performance Institute Europe (BPIE), Karlsruhe, Germany
42.
go back to reference The World Bank (1998) Handbook on economic analysis of investment operations (No. 20733). The World Bank The World Bank (1998) Handbook on economic analysis of investment operations (No. 20733). The World Bank
47.
go back to reference Zhuang J (2007) Theory and practice in the choice of social discount rate for cost-benefit analysis: a survey Zhuang J (2007) Theory and practice in the choice of social discount rate for cost-benefit analysis: a survey
Metadata
Title
The Role of Social Discount Rate in Energy Modelling
Authors
Asma Dhakouani
Essia Znouda
Chiheb Bouden
Copyright Year
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-63654-8_19