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2014 | Book

The Run to the Pennant

A Multiple Equilibria Approach to Professional Sports Leagues

Authors: Duane W Rockerbie, Stephen T Easton

Publisher: Springer New York

Book Series : Sports Economics, Management and Policy

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About this book

A number of clubs in professional sports leagues exhibit winning streaks over a number of consecutive seasons that do not conform to the standard economic model of a professional sports league developed by El Hodiri and Quirk (1994) and Fort and Quirk (1995). These clubs appear to display what we term "unsustainable runs", defined as a period of two to four seasons where the club acquires expensive talent and attempts to win a league championship despite not having the market size to sustain such a competitive position in the long run. The standard model predicts that clubs that locate in large economic markets will tend to acquire more talent, achieve more success on the field and at the box office than clubs that are located in small markets. This book builds a model that can allow unsustainable runs yet retains most of the features of the standard model. The model is then subjected to empirical verification. The new model we develop in the book has as its central feature the possibility of generating two equilibria for a club. In the empirical sections of the book, we use time-series analysis to attempt to test for the presence of unsustainable runs using historical data from National Football League (NFL), National Basketball Association (NBA), National Hockey League (NHL) and Major League Baseball (MLB). The multiple equilibria model retains all of the features of the standard model of a professional sports league that is accepted quite universally by economists, yet it offers a much richer approach by including an exploration of the effects of revenues that are earned at the league level (television, apparel, naming rights, etc.) that are then shared by all of the member clubs, making this book unique and of great interest to scholars in a variety of fields in economics.

Table of Contents

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Introducing Unsustainable Runs
Abstract
For many economists, the professional sports industry provides a rich source of data to test various hypotheses suggested by microeconomic theory.
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Chapter 2. Casual Evidence of Unsustainable Runs
Abstract
Many clubs in MLB display cyclical variation in their on-field success.
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Chapter 3. A Model of a Professional Sports League
Abstract
The standard model of a professional sports league is well known in the literature, and we only briefly describe it here. A much more detailed treatment can be found in Fort and Quirk (1995)
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Chapter 4. A Professional League Model with Unsustainable Runs
Abstract
An unsustainable run could be the result of a professional sports club moving from a low winning percentage equilibrium to a high winning percentage equilibrium. Occasionally, one observes a small-market club that increases its payroll by acquiring costly talent and making a run for the play-offs.
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Chapter 5. Unsustainable Runs with Revenue Sharing and Salary Caps
Abstract
Many scholarly articles in the sports economics literature have been devoted to modelling the impact of revenue sharing and salary caps on the behavior of professional sports clubs both on the field and off.
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Chapter 6. Some Empirical Testing
Abstract
Testing for the presence of unsustainable runs is difficult because the model of Chaps. 4 and 5 does not explicitly detail the process by which a club owner moves from one equilibrium to another, if more than one equilibrium exists. This is an unfortunate shortcoming of models that generate multiple equilibria
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Chapter 7. Concluding Remarks
Abstract
This book has offered a simple answer to the question of why a profit-maximizing professional sports club owner would allow his or her club to swing between consecutive periods of good performance on the field and consecutive periods of poor performance on the field
Duane W. Rockerbie, Stephen T. Easton
Backmatter
Metadata
Title
The Run to the Pennant
Authors
Duane W Rockerbie
Stephen T Easton
Copyright Year
2014
Publisher
Springer New York
Electronic ISBN
978-1-4614-7885-0
Print ISBN
978-1-4614-7884-3
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4614-7885-0

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