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2015 | Book

Introduction Read chapter Read first chapter

Three Domain Modelling and Uncertainty Analysis

Applications in Long Range Infrastructure Planning

Authors: Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

Book Series : Energy Systems

Part of: Springer Professional "Wirtschaft+Technik" , Springer Professional "Technik" , Springer Professional "Wirtschaft"

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About this book

This book examines in detail the planning and modelling of local infrastructure like energy systems, including the complexities resulting from various uncertainties. Readers will discover the individual steps involved in infrastructure planning in cities and territories, as well as the primary requirements and supporting quality factors. Further topics covered concern the field of uncertainty and its synergies with infrastructure planning. Theories, methodological backgrounds and concrete case studies will not only help readers to understand the proposed methodologies for modelling and uncertainty analysis, but will also show them how these approaches are implemented in practice.

Table of Contents

Frontmatter
Chapter 1. Introduction
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are (1) Presentation of the main scope, objectives and hypothesis used in the book. (2) Presentation of an overview of the book with different main questions addressed in the different chapters. (3) Providing unified definitions of different terms in the context of planning, modelling, system and uncertainty analysis, and identifying and comparing different concepts. (4) Presenting the principal concept of uncertainty in the public planning context. (5) Outlining the theoretical basis of implemented theories, such as fuzzy set theory, probabilistic theory or mixed method research.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 2. Energy Infrastructure Planning in Cities and Territories, Quality Factors of Methods for Infrastructure Planning
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are (1) Presentation of integrated energy planning in cities and territories, different phases, steps and general tasks. (2) Defining the energy infrastructure in cities and territories as a complex system. (3) Defining characteristic types of IEPCT Use Cases for implementation in the following chapters. (4) Describing the model building process by different model terms and according to energy planning processes. (5) Providing the general requirements and quality factors of methods or methodologies supporting energy infrastructure planning in cities and territories.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 3. 3-Domain Modelling
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are: (1) Presentation of a 3-domain Metasystem framework, which allows the identification of appropriate modelling approaches while considering not only the system but also the multiple study perspectives and planning constraints such as limited expertise or data. (2) Discussion of the 3-domain modelling concept, an integrated concept of different modelling methods used in different domains. (3) Providing a mapping between different modelling approaches and different domains and use cases on the basis of literature discussions and experiences.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 4. Conceptual Basis of Uncertainty in IEPCT
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are: (1) Presentation of the need for incorporating uncertainty analysis in IEPCT. (2) Presentation of a conceptual basis of uncertainty and a typology of uncertainty in context of IEPCT. (3) Showing the current state of IEPCT studies coping with uncertainties explicitly.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 5. Multi-method Approaches for Uncertainty Analysis
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are: (1) Demonstrating the principles of design of uncertainty analysis methodologies. (2) Identifying and formulating analytical sophistication degrees for uncertainty analysis in the context of IEPCT. (3) Suggesting and implementing quality factors for evaluation of uncertainty analysis methods and methodologies, thus creating an extensive review of different methods. (4) Presenting two different multi-method approaches for uncertainty analysis based on probabilistic and fuzzy set theory. (5) Providing a review of the methods and methodologies for uncertainty analysis.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 6. Implementation of Discussed Uncertainty Analysis Approaches in Case Studies
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are (1) Presentation of the implementation of the 3-domain modelling notion in different Use Cases and discussing some of the results. (2) Demonstrating the implementation of multi-method approaches for uncertainty analysis: FSUA and PRSUA in different Use Cases. (3) Discussing the return of the experience and results generated by the modelling and uncertainty analysis approaches
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 7. Evaluation and Discussion
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are: (1) Provide feedback on the implementation of different modelling methods in different domains according to quality factors. (2) Discuss the evaluation of PRSUA and FSUA according to quality factors. (3) Present trades-off among PRSUA, FSUA and a commonly used deterministic approach according to quality factors.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Chapter 8. Overall Conclusion and Future Research
Abstract
The objectives of this chapter are: (1) Summarise and present the main outcomes. (2) Present detailed concluding remarks for the different chapters. (3) Present future work.
Atom Mirakyan, Roland De Guio
Backmatter
Metadata
Title
Three Domain Modelling and Uncertainty Analysis
Authors
Atom Mirakyan
Roland De Guio
Copyright Year
2015
Electronic ISBN
978-3-319-19572-8
Print ISBN
978-3-319-19571-1
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-19572-8