1 Introduction
In this paper, we study a two-dimensional nonstandard renewal risk model with stochastic returns, in which an insurer simultaneously operates two kinds of insurance businesses. The claim sizes
\(\{(X,Y), (X_{i},Y_{i}), i\geq1\}\) form a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and nonnegative random vectors, whose marginal distribution functions are denoted by
\(F(x)\) and
\(G(y)\) on
\([0,\infty)\), respectively. Suppose that
\((X,Y)\) follows a bivariate Sarmanov distribution of the following form:
$$ P(X\in du, Y\in dv)= \bigl(1+\theta\varphi_{1}(u)\varphi _{2}(v) \bigr)F(du)G(dv),\quad u\geq0, v\geq0, $$
(1.1)
where the kernels
\(\varphi_{1}(u)\) and
\(\varphi_{2}(v)\) are two functions and the parameter
θ is a real constant satisfying
$$ E\varphi_{1}(X)=E\varphi_{2}(Y)=0, $$
and
$$ 1+\theta\varphi_{1}(u)\varphi_{2}(v)\geq0, \quad\text{for all } u \in D_{X}, v\in D_{Y}, $$
where
\(D_{X}=\{u \geq0: P(X\in(u-\delta, u+\delta))>0\text{ for all }\delta>0\}\) and
\(D_{Y}=\{v\geq0: P(Y\in(v-\delta, v+\delta))>0\text{ for all }\delta>0\}\). Clearly, if
\(\theta=0\) or
\(\varphi _{1}(u)\equiv0\),
\(u\in D_{X}\), or
\(\varphi_{2}(v)\equiv0\),
\(v\in D_{Y}\), then
X and
Y are independent. So we say that a random vector
\((X,Y)\) follows a proper bivariate Sarmanov distribution, if the parameter
\(\theta\neq0\), and the kernels
\(\varphi_{1}(u)\) and
\(\varphi_{2}(v)\) are not identical to 0 in
\(D_{X}\) and
\(D_{Y}\), respectively. For more details of multivariate Sarmanov distributions, the read is referred to Lee [
19] and Kotz et al. [
18].
The Sarmanov family includes Falie–Gumbel–Morgenstern (FGM) distributions as special cases. For the FGM family, Schucany et al. [
26] showed that both of the ranges of correlation coefficients and rank correlation coefficients are limited to
\((-1/3, 1/3)\), and the Kendall
τ coefficient equals
\(2/3\) of the rank correlation coefficient. The correlation coefficients of the Sarmanov family can attain a much wider range than those of the FGM family. Moreover, the range of correlation coefficients depends on marginal distributions. For example, for uniform and normal marginals, Shubina and Lee [
27] proved that the ranges of correlation coefficients are
\([-3/4, 3/4]\) and
\([-2/\pi, 2/\pi]\), respectively. Shubina and Lee [
27] and Huang and Lin [
15] constructed some Sarmanov distributions, for which the correlation coefficients approach 1. For the Sarmanov family, Shubina and Lee [
27] demonstrated that the range of rank correlation coefficients is
\((-3/4, 3/4)\), while the range of Kendall
τ coefficients is
\((-1/2, 1/2)\). For simplicity, we assume that
\(\lim_{u\rightarrow\infty}\varphi_{1}(u)=d_{1}\) and
\(\lim_{v\rightarrow \infty}\varphi_{1}(v)=d_{2}\).
Let \(c_{i}(t)\) represent the probability density function of premium income for the ith kind of insurance business at time t. Suppose that there is a positive constant M such that \(0\leq c_{i}(t)\leq M\), \(i=1,2\).
In risk theory, some publications suppose that two kinds of businesses share a common claim-number process or the two claim-number processes are mutually independent. It should be noted that these assumptions are made mainly for mathematical tractability. In reality, the claim-number processes of different insurance businesses are not always the same but closely dependent. We refer the reader to Ambagaspitiya [
1] for details. Hence, establishing a bivariate risk model with a certain dependence structure between the two claim-number processes become more and more imperative. In this paper, let
\(\{\tau_{k}, k\geq1\}\) and
\(\{ \eta_{k}, k\geq1\}\) denote the arrival times of two kinds of successive claims, respectively. Suppose
\(\tau_{0}=0\) and
\(\eta _{0}=0\). We assume that
\(\{(\tau_{k}-\tau_{k-1}, \eta_{k}-\eta _{k-1}), k\geq1\}\) form another sequence of i.i.d. random vectors such that
\(\{(M(t), N(t)), t\geq0\}\) is a bivariate renewal process. Denote
$$ \lambda(u,v)=\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}\sum _{j=1}^{\infty}P(\tau_{i}\leq u, \eta_{j}\leq v). $$
Then
\(\lambda(u,v)\) is called a renewal function of the above bivariate renewal process.
In addition, when \(\{(M(t), N(t)), t\geq0\}\) is a bivariate renewal process, it is easy to see that both \(\{M(t), t\geq0\}\) and \(\{N(t), t\geq0\}\) are one-dimensional renewal processes, and their renewal functions are denoted by \(\lambda_{1}(t)\) and \(\lambda_{2}(t)\), respectively.
Denote by
Λ the set of all
t for which
\(0<\lambda(t,t)\leq \infty\). Let
\(\underline{t}=\inf\{t:P(\tau_{1}\leq t, \eta _{1}\leq t)>0\}\). Then it is clear that
$$ \varLambda= \textstyle\begin{cases} [\underline{t}, \infty]& \text{if } P(\tau_{1}\leq \underline{t}, \eta_{1}\leq\underline{t})>0, \\ (\underline{t}, \infty] &\text{if } P(\tau_{1}\leq\underline{t}, \eta _{1}\leq\underline{t} )=0. \end{cases} $$
For more details of a bivariate renewal process, we refer the reader to Hunter [
16]. Let
\(\varLambda_{T}=\varLambda\cap(0,T]\).
In addition, it is easy to get
$$ \lambda_{1}(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{\infty}P( \tau_{i}\leq t) \quad\text{and} \quad\lambda_{2}(t)=\sum _{j=1}^{\infty}P(\eta_{j}\leq t). $$
Suppose that the price processes of the investment portfolios for two kinds of insurance businesses are modeled by two geometric Lévy processes
\(\{e^{R_{1}(t)}, t\geq0\}\) and
\(\{e^{R_{2}(t)}, t\geq0\}\), where
\(\{R_{1}(t), t\geq0\}\) and
\(\{R_{2}(t), t\geq0\}\) are two Lévy processes which starts from 0, have independent and stationary increments, and are stochastically continuous. For any
\(i=1,2\), let
\(\{ R_{i}(t), t\geq0\}\) be a real-valued Lévy process with Lévy triplet
\((r_{i}, \sigma_{i}, \rho_{i})\), where
\(-\infty< r_{i}<\infty \) and
\(\sigma_{i}>0\) are constants, and
\(\rho_{i}\) is a measure supported on
\((-\infty, \infty)\), satisfying
\(\rho_{i}(0)=0\) and
\(\int_{(-\infty, \infty)}(y^{2}\wedge1)\rho_{i}(dy)<\infty\). According to Proposition 3.14 of Cont and Tankov [
5], if
\(\int _{|y|\geq1}e^{zy}\rho_{i}(dy)<\infty\) for
\(z\in(-\infty, \infty)\), then the Laplace exponent for
\(\{R_{i}(t), t\geq0\}\) is defined as
$$ \varPhi_{i}(z)=\log Ee^{zR_{i}(1)},\quad z\in(-\infty, \infty), $$
where
$$ \varPhi_{i}(z)=\frac{1}{2}\sigma_{i}^{2}z^{2}+r_{i}z+ \int_{(-\infty, \infty)} \bigl(e^{zy}-1-zy\mathbf{1}_{(-1,1)}(y) \bigr)\rho_{i}(dy)< \infty. $$
Let
$$ \phi_{i}(z)=\varPhi_{i}(-z)=\frac{1}{2} \sigma_{i}^{2}z^{2}-r_{i}z+ \int _{(-\infty, \infty)} \bigl(e^{-zy}-1+zy\mathbf{1}_{(-1,1)}(y) \bigr)\rho _{i}(dy)< \infty. $$
Then, for all
\(t\geq0\) and
z satisfying
\(\int_{|y|\geq1}e^{zy}\rho _{i}(dy)<\infty\),
\(Ee^{zR_{i}(t)}=e^{t\phi_{i}(-z)}<\infty\). Further, since
\(\phi_{i}(0)=0\), by the two expressions above, we can prove that
\(\phi_{i}(z)\) is convex in
z for which
\(\phi_{i}(z)\) is finite. Since
\(\phi _{i}(0)=0\), for some
\(\beta^{*}>0\),
\(\phi_{i}(\beta^{*})<0\) means that
\(\phi_{i}(z)<0\) for all
\(z\in(0, \beta^{*}]\). For the general theory of Lévy processes, we refer the reader to Cont and Tankov [
5] and Sato [
25].
For two-dimensional risk models, some authors suppose that the insurance company invests the surpluses of two kinds of insurance businesses in one portfolio; see Fu and Ng [
10], Li [
20] and Guo et al. [
14]. But such an assumption is restrictive in applications. In fact, an insurer often invests the surpluses of different businesses into different portfolios in order to avoid risks.
Throughout this paper, we suppose that \(\{(X_{i},Y_{i}), i\geq1\}\), \(\{ (c_{1}(t), c_{2}(t)), t\geq0\}\), \(\{R_{1}(t), t\geq0\}\), \(\{R_{2}(t), t\geq0\}\) and \(\{(M(t), N(t)), t\geq0\}\) are mutually independent.
Denote the initial capital vector by
\((x,y)\). For any time
\(t\geq0\), the surplus process of the insurer can be described as
(1.2)
Next we define two types of ruin times for the risk model (
1.2) as follows:
$$\begin{aligned} T_{\max}=\inf \bigl\{ t\geq0: \max \bigl\{ U_{1}(t), U_{2}(t) \bigr\} < 0 \bigr\} \end{aligned}$$
and
$$\begin{aligned} T_{\min}=\inf \bigl\{ t\geq0:\min \bigl\{ U_{1}(t), U_{2}(t) \bigr\} < 0 \bigr\} . \end{aligned}$$
Then the corresponding ruin probabilities of the risk model (
1.2) are defined by
$$\begin{aligned} \psi_{\max}(x,y;t)=P \bigl(T_{\max}\leq t| \bigl(U_{1}(0), U_{2}(0) \bigr)=(x,y) \bigr),\quad t\geq0, \end{aligned}$$
and
$$\begin{aligned} \psi_{\min}(x,y;t)=P \bigl(T_{\min}\leq t| \bigl(U_{1}(0), U_{2}(0) \bigr)=(x,y) \bigr),\quad t\geq0, \end{aligned}$$
respectively.
\(\psi_{\max}(x,y;t)\) denotes the probability that ruin occurs in both business lines over the time
\((0,t]\), while
\(\psi_{\min}(x,y;t)\) represents the probability that ruin occurs in at least one business line over the time
\((0,t]\).
In the recent years, the one-dimensional renewal risk model with stochastic returns has been widely investigated. We refer the reader to Klüppelberg and Kostadinova [
17], Tang et al. [
29], Dong and Wang [
6], Dong and Wang [
7], Guo and Wang [
12], Guo and Wang [
13], and Peng and Wang [
24], among many others. So far few articles have been involved in a bivariate risk model with stochastic returns. For example, Fu and Ng [
10] considered a two-dimensional renewal risk model with stochastic returns, in which the claim sizes for the same kind of insurance business are pairwise quasi-independent but the claim sizes of different kinds of insurance businesses are independent, and presented a uniform asymptotic formula only for the discounted aggregate claims. Li [
20] considered a multi-dimensional renewal risk model, where there exists a certain dependence structure among claim sizes and their corresponding inter-arrival times. When the claim-size vector has a multi-dimensional regular variation distribution, the authors gave a uniform asymptotic formula for ruin probabilities over all the whole times. Guo et al. [
14] studied another two-dimensional risk model with stochastic investment returns, where two lines of insurance businesses share a common claim-number process and their surpluses are invested into the same kind of risky asset, and the claim sizes of two kinds of insurance businesses and their common inter-arrival times correspondingly follow a three-dimensional Sarmanov distribution. When the marginal distributions of the claim-size vector belong to the regular variation class, the above reference presented uniform asymptotic formulas for the finite-time ruin probability. Fu and Ng [
11] discussed a two-dimensional renewal risk model, in which there is a FGM structure between the claim sizes from two different lines of businesses, and showed uniform asymptotic formulas of the finite-time ruin probability, when the distributions of claim sizes belong to the intersection of the dominated varying class and the class of long-tailed distributions.
In the present paper, we investigate a bivariate renewal risk model with stochastic returns, where the claim sizes form a sequence of i.i.d. random vectors following a bivariate Sarmanov distribution and the price processes of investment portfolios are modeled by two geometric Lévy processes. When the two marginal distributions of the claim-size vector belong to the intersection of the dominated-variation class and the class of long-tailed distributions, we obtain uniform asymptotic formulas of the joint tail probability of the discounted aggregate claims and ruin probabilities for the risk model (
1.2).
The rest of this paper is organized as follows. In Sect.
2, we recall some important distribution classes and give main results of this paper. In Sect.
3, we prepare some necessary lemmas. In Sect.
4, we prove the two theorems.
2 Preliminaries and main results
This paper is concerned with heavy-tailed distributions, so we first introduce some related subclasses of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be found in Embrechts et al. [
8], Bingham et al. [
2], and Cline and Samorodnitsky [
4]. Let
H be a distribution and write
\(\overline{H}(x)=1-H(x)\). We assume that
\(\overline{H}(x)>0\) holds for all
\(x>0\). We say that a distribution
H on
\([0, \infty)\) belongs to the class of long-tailed distributions, denoted by
\(\mathcal{L}\), if for any
\(u>0\),
$$\begin{aligned} \lim_{x\rightarrow\infty} \frac{\overline{H}(x+u)}{\overline{H}(x)}=1. \end{aligned}$$
A distribution
H on
\([0, \infty)\) is said to belong to the dominated-varying-tailed class
\(\mathcal{D}\), if for all
\(0< u<1\),
$$\begin{aligned} \limsup_{x\rightarrow\infty} \frac{\overline{H}(ux)}{\overline{H}(x)}< \infty. \end{aligned}$$
We say that a distribution
H on
\([0,\infty)\) belongs to the regular variation class, if there is some
α,
\(0<\alpha<\infty\), such that, for all
\(u>0\),
$$\begin{aligned} \lim_{x\rightarrow\infty} \frac{\overline{H}(ux)}{\overline{H}(x)}=u^{-\alpha}. \end{aligned}$$
In this case, we denote
\(H\in\mathcal{R_{-\alpha}}\) and use
\(\mathcal{R}\) to denote the union of all
\(\mathcal{R_{-\alpha}}\) over the range
\(0<\alpha<\infty\). It is well known that
\(\mathcal{R}\subset\mathcal{D}\cap\mathcal {L}\) and the inclusion is proper.
We introduce two indices of any distribution
H. Denote
$$\begin{aligned} J_{H}^{+}=-\lim_{y\rightarrow\infty}\frac{\log\overline {H}_{*}(y)}{\log y}\quad \text{and}\quad J_{H}^{-}=-\lim_{y\rightarrow\infty} \frac{\log\overline{H}^{*}(y)}{\log y}. \end{aligned}$$
Following Tang and Tsitsiashvili [
28], we call
\(J_{H}^{+}\) and
\(J_{H}^{-}\) the upper and lower Matuszewska indices of
H.
Hereafter, all limit relationships are for
\(\min(x,y)\rightarrow \infty\) unless stated otherwise. For two positive functions
\(a(x,y)\) and
\(b(x,y)\), we write
\(a(x,y)\lesssim b(x,y)\) if
\(\limsup_{\min (x,y)\rightarrow\infty} a(x,y)/ b(x,y)\leq1\), write
\(a(x,y)\gtrsim b(x,y)\) if
\(\liminf a(x,y)/b(x,y)\geq1\), write
\(a(x,y)\thicksim b(x,y)\) if
\(a(x,y)\lesssim b(x,y)\) and
\(a(x,y)\gtrsim b(x,y)\), and write
\(a(x,y)=o(b(x,y))\) if
\(\lim_{\min(x,y)\rightarrow\infty} a(x,y)/b(x,y)=0\). Furthermore, for two positive ternary functions
\(a(\cdot,\cdot;t)\) and
\(b(\cdot,\cdot;t)\), we say that the asymptotic relation
\(a(x,y;t)\sim b(x,y;t)\) holds uniformly for
t in a nonempty set Δ if
$$ \lim_{\min(x,y)\rightarrow\infty}\sup_{t\in \Delta} \biggl\vert \frac{a(x,y;t)}{b(x,y;t)}-1 \biggr\vert =0. $$
Clearly, the asymptotic relation
\(a(x,y;t)\sim b(x,y;t)\) holds uniformly for
\(t\in\Delta\) if and only if
$$ \limsup_{\min(x,y)\rightarrow\infty}\sup_{t\in \Delta}\frac{a(x,y;t)}{b(x,y;t)} \leq1 \quad\text{and}\quad \liminf_{\min(x,y)\rightarrow\infty}\inf_{t\in \Delta} \frac{a(x,y;t)}{b(x,y;t)}\geq1, $$
which means that both
\(a(x,y;t)\lesssim b(x,y;t)\) and
\(a(x,y;t)\gtrsim b(x,y;t)\) hold uniformly for
\(t\in \Delta\).
Now we are in a position to state our main results. We first present a uniform asymptotic formula of the joint tail probability of two discounted aggregate claims. Then we establish uniform asymptotic formulas of ruin probabilities.
3 Some lemmas
The first lemma is from Lemma 2.19 of Foss et al. [
9].
The lemma below is due to Proposition 1.1 of Yang and Wang [
31].
The following lemma is a combination of Proposition 2.2.1 of Bingham et al. [
2] and Lemma 3.5 of Tang and Tsitsiashvili [
28].
The following lemma is a restatement of Lemma 4.1.2 of Wang and Tang [
30].
The lemma below can be derived from Lemma 5 of Chen et al. [
3].
The following lemma gives an important property of bivariate Sarmanov distributions and it is also interesting by itself.
By Lemmas
3.3(2),
3.5 and
3.6, the following lemma can be derived from Lemma 3(ii) of Li [
21].
In view of Theorem 2.1 in Li [
21] and Lemma
3.7, we arrive at the following lemma.
Following the proof of Theorem 1.1 in Liu and Zhang [
22] with some modifications, we can get the lemma below.
For simplicity, for \(t>0\), denote \(\varOmega_{1}(t)=[0,t]\times(t,\infty )\), \(\varOmega_{2}(t)=(t,\infty)\times[0,t]\) and \(\varOmega _{3}(t)=(t,\infty)\times(t,\infty)\). By a simply calculation, we can obtain the following lemma.
In order to prove Theorem
2.2, we define ruin times for the two kinds of insurance businesses. Denote
$$\begin{aligned} \vartheta_{i}=\inf \bigl\{ t\geq0: U_{i}(t)< 0 \bigr\} ,\quad i=1,2. \end{aligned}$$
The following lemma plays an important role in proving Theorem
2.2.
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