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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

9. Unrest and Eruption Forecasting

Author : Valerio Acocella

Published in: Volcano-Tectonic Processes

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

The shallow accumulation and/or transfer of magma commonly result in anomalous geodetic, geophysical or geochemical activity of the volcano, named unrest, which is detectable through a monitoring system. At closed conduit volcanoes, every eruption is preceded by unrest. However, not all unrest culminates into eruption, as unrest may also vanish back into quiescence. Therefore, deciphering the monitoring signals captured during unrest is probably the main challenge for volcanology. This in fact allows not only understanding magmatic processes, but also forecasting impending eruptions and the possible location for the opening of vents. The recent boost in the quantity and quality of monitoring data, based on key multi-parameter sets, significantly contributes to face this challenge towards enhanced understanding and more accurate and reliable eruptive forecast: the future for this exciting field looks definitely promising.

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Title: Unrest and Eruption Forecasting
Author: Valerio Acocella
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Book: Volcano-Tectonic Processes
Print ISBN: 978-3-030-65967-7

Electronic ISBN: 978-3-030-65968-4

Copyright Year: 2021
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-65968-4_9