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2021 | OriginalPaper | Chapter

22. Unskilled Migration with Remittance and Welfare Analysis

Authors : Li-Wen Hung, Shin-Kun Peng

Published in: The Economic Geography of Cross-Border Migration

Publisher: Springer International Publishing

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Abstract

Given the increasing prominence of unskilled migrants with remittances moving from developing countries to developed ones, this research investigates the degree of trade freeness on their migration pattern, welfare, and income inequality. To address the unskilled migration issue, we first introduce the concept of “attachment cost,” which means that workers suffer when they leave their home countries. Second, we prove the existence of an equilibrium that unskilled workers migrate from the developing South to the developed North and send part of their wages back to support their families. Third, we examine its impacts on the welfare of each country and study the implications of the migration policy. We find that when unskilled migration is allowed, the welfare of both countries improves. Also, the lower the attachment cost of the unskilled migrants is, the higher the incentive for members of each household in the South to migrate to the North. Moreover, the real wages of both entrepreneurs and unskilled workers in the North also rise. Finally, the trade liberalization deepens (eases) income inequality between entrepreneurs and unskilled workers within the North when the remittances sent back are sufficiently large (small).

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Footnotes
1
There were 0.49 million immigrants in 2008, and its population reached 0.56 million in 2009. By 2018, the number of immigrants has increased rapidly to 1.46 million, https://​www.​mhlw.​go.​jp/​content/​11655000/​000472892.​pdf.
 
2
The home family uses the money received from their family members abroad to buy goods, services, and to educate their children. There is thus the need to convert the funds into domestic currency. Since the banking systems are not sufficiently developed in developing countries and rural areas do not have the same access to banking systems as do urban areas, some of the funds are transferred through the informal sectors. The amounts of remittances may therefore be underestimated.
 
3
An improved banking system may result in an increase in official remittances.
 
4
Krugman (1991) proves that when trade cost is sufficiently low, manufactured sector (or skilled workers) will agglomerate in a single region and the region becomes a “core.” Moreover, the surrounding peripheral supply agricultural good.
 
5
Past literature assumes that skilled workers can move between countries without incurring a cost while unskilled workers are immobile (see Forslid and Ottaviano 2003; Krugman 1991). We adopt the partial migration pattern to relax the immobile assumption and highlight the cost disparity between these two parties.
 
6
See also Chen and Peng (2017) or Dinopoulos and Unel (2017).
 
7
Davis (1998) mentions that if two countries produce competitive agricultural good at the same time, then the wage difference equals their trade cost; that is, \( \tau_{A} \) in our setting.
 
8
The results are not affected if the North also produces the agricultural good.
 
9
The exporting amount of Northern manufacturing firms is equal to the demand of the South.
 
10
The trade cost of the agricultural good is usually normalized into \( \tau_{A} = 1 < \tau_{M} \). We relax the assumption by imposing condition T.
 
11
The wage equals the trade cost of agricultural good \( \tau_{A} \) and is not affected by the migrants.
 
12
The aggregate prices of agricultural good in the two countries are still the same; that is, \( \varvec{ P}_{N}^{A} = \tau_{A} \) and \( \varvec{ P}_{S}^{A} = 1 \).
 
13
Given remittance rate \( \upsilon > 0 \), the upper bound of migration ratio \( \bar{\lambda } \) would be strictly smaller than 1, hence we exclude the possibility that all Southern family members migrate to the North.
 
14
The second-order condition satisfies \( \partial^{2} V_{S} /\partial \lambda^{2} < 0 \).
 
15
The horizontal axis of Fig. 22.2 and Fig. 22.3 are the value of \( \lambda \). The scale may not be the exact size for demonstration purpose.
 
16
Chen and Peng (2017) choose \( \sigma = 4 \) and adopt Luttmer (2007)’s estimations to derive \( \kappa = 3.18 \).
 
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Metadata
Title
Unskilled Migration with Remittance and Welfare Analysis
Authors
Li-Wen Hung
Shin-Kun Peng
Copyright Year
2021
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-48291-6_22